NFL Betting Picks: Best Player Props for Week 8
Happy Friday, Grinders! The Rams let me down last week when they blew the doors off of the Atlanta Falcons’ home confines. Goff played a great game — especially for fantasy purposes — but did not need to throw the ball enough to get over his passing prop.
Cooper Kupp missed going north of his prop by one catch. I am not sure how the game but my rage bias makes me remember Kupp accumulating all of his catches in the first half and going blank in the second half. That is likely inaccurate but it makes for a better narrative when I scorn my pal from the Rams. While the pairing did not cover for me, Carlos Hyde stayed under his rushing prop. One for two on the week. I am ready to turn it around in Week 8. Are you? Let’s pick some props!
Check out our Week 8 Lines and Betting Picks and some NFL betting tips before diving into all of the online sportsbooks. Here are my three favorite props for NFL Week 8.
NFL Betting Picks Week 8 — QB Player Prop for Giants at Lions
Daniel Jones Over/Under 244.5 Passing Yards
Danny Dimes went back to the mint over the last few weeks and the returns for the Giants have been pennies. Jones logged seven interceptions over the last four weeks of football without a week above 225 passing yards. With the return of Saquon Barkley last week, the Giants could feature their horse in a tight game script and limit the need for Danny to chuck the rock.
The Lions have surrendered plenty of passing yards this season even if they reside in the middle of the league in the statistic. With two opposing quarterbacks breaching the 300-yard mark — most recently Kirk Cousins — the Lions seem like a favorable matchup for Jones to finally compile some passing yards. That said, Jones has not been short of winnable matchups in his four-game stretch. The Cardinals and Redskins squared off with Danny Dimes and only surrendered a couple of hundred bills… ahem, I mean yards. All of this talk of money, ya know.
I don’t see Jones crossing this threshold after missing four weeks in a row. The Lions defense — even without Kerryon Johnson — are coached by a man who wants the game to slow down. I cannot foresee Jones hitting the over without better efficiency. Give me the under for this one.
My Pick: Under 244.5 Passing Yards -112
NFL Betting Picks Week 8 — RB Player Prop for Panthers at 49ers
Christian McCaffrey Over/Under 77.5 Rushing Yards (use our DraftKings promo code to get these odds)
Joe, are you mad? Yes, absolutely but that does have anything to do with finally buying into this 49ers defense. The revamped San Francisco front has been nothing short of spectacular with rookie Nick Bosa leading the charge.
I am not the only person buying into the hype. The 49ers are 5.5-point home favorites against the Kyle Allen-led Carolina Panthers. The script favors a more pass-heavy gameplan for the Panthers and Christian McCaffrey is absolutely the back for this script. The dynamic rusher is producing at a high clip given a massive amount of volume. That said, McCaffrey’s worst two games of the season were against another tough front in Tampa Bay. Tampa has only allowed 315 rushing yards to the running back position over six games. The Bucs lead the league while the 49ers sit in third place with a paltry 450 rushing yards in six games.
The other issue is the manner in which San Francisco is winning games. The 49ers are running plays every 29.2 seconds — bottom ten in the NFL. If the game script gets dictated by the 49ers, McCaffrey will see fewer carries than normal because of the clock alone. CMC might still get there in the passing game but I do not like his prospects for a big game on the ground. I will take the under.
My Pick: Under 77.5 Rushing Yards -112
NFL Betting Picks Week 8 — WR Player Prop for Raiders at Texans
DeAndre Hopkins Over/Under 6.5 Receptions
This one feels to easy so I want to jump on this before everyone else looks through these props. With Will Fuller sidelined for a long time, the Texans passing game will default back to their stud, DeAndre Hopkins.
Hopkins already sees enough volume to climb above this number but should see a bit of an uptick without his running mate. After Fuller left the game in Week 7, Hopkins had one of his better games — out of necessity — in a loss to the Colts. Hopkins converted nine of twelve targets for 106 yards and a touchdown. This was the second consecutive week with 12 targets for DeAndre and that number could represent close to his floor without Fuller in the lineup.
The Raiders’ defense was just cut to ribbons by Aaron Rodgers and the Packers to the tune of 421 passing yards. Rodgers produced six total touchdowns in the extremely efficient performance. Rodgers spread the ball around to various targets but look for Watson to have a more concentrated distribution. DeAndre Hopkins has 29.3% of the Texans’ target share in 2019. I will take the over before it costs too much.
My Pick: Over 6.5 Receptions -114
Be sure to use RotoGrinders’ new NFL odds comparison tool to look at NFL Week 7 lines across the industry and find out what online sports betting site has the best price for your favorite NFL Week 8 betting picks.
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