NFL DFS First Look: Divisional Round
The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, EPA rankings, and more to help you get a head start on your research for the coming week.
NFL Schedule & Vegas Lines
| Road Team | R-Total | Home Team | H-Total | Favorite | Spread | Total | Date | Time (ET) | Slate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Texans | 17.0 | Baltimore Ravens | 26.5 | BAL | -9.5 | 43.5 | Saturday | 4:30 pm | 2-Game |
| Green Bay Packers | 20.5 | San Francisco 49ers | 30.0 | SFO | -9.5 | 50.5 | Saturday | 8:15 pm | 2-Game |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 21.0 | Detroit Lions | 27.5 | DET | -6.5 | 48.5 | Sunday | 3:00 pm | 3-Game |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 21.5 | Buffalo Bills | 24.0 | BUF | -2.5 | 45.5 | Sunday | 6:30 pm | 3-Game |
Implied Team Totals & Matchup Chart (DVOA, EPA, DvP)
DVOA stats courtesy of FTN data
| Offense | Spread | Total | Matchup | tDVOA | totEPA | pDVOA | pasEPA | rDVOA | rusEPA | QB DvP | RB DvP | WR DvP | TE DvP | TIME (ET) | SLATE | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens | -9.5 | 26.5 | vs HOU | 16 | 14 | 23 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 15 | 10 | 29 | 4:30 pm | 2-Game | |||
| Houston Texans | 9.5 | 17.0 | at BAL | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 4:30 pm | 2-Game | |||
| San Francisco 49ers | -9.5 | 30.0 | vs GBP | 27 | 23 | 26 | 23 | 26 | 21 | 10 | 20 | 12 | 15 | 8:15 pm | 2-Game | |||
| Green Bay Packers | 9.5 | 20.5 | at SFO | 4 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 8:15 pm | 2-Game | |||
| Detroit Lions | -6.5 | 27.5 | vs TBB | 14 | 18 | 14 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 3 | 25 | 31 | 3:00 pm | 3-Game | |||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6.5 | 21.0 | at DET | 13 | 21 | 16 | 25 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 1 | 30 | 24 | 3:00 pm | 3-Game | |||
| Buffalo Bills | -2.5 | 24.0 | vs KCC | 7 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 28 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 6:30 pm | 3-Game | |||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 2.5 | 21.5 | at BUF | 12 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 8 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 6:30 pm | 3-Game |
Note: tDVOA = total defensive DVOA, totEPA = total defensive EPA, pDVOA = DVOA against the pass, pasEPA = EPA against the pass, rDVOA = DVOA against the run, rusEPA = EPA against the run, DvP = defense vs. position. Blue and green cells mark favorable matchups for the offense in the first column.
D-Line vs. O-Line – Pressures & Sacks
| Defense | Spread | DraftKings | FanDuel | Press | PrROE | Sacks/G | Matchup | Opp Total | O Press | O PrROE | O Sacks/G | Defense | Sack Pot | Time (ET) | Slate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens | -9.5 | $3,500 | $4,300 | 23 | 18 | 1 | vs HOU | 17.0 | 14 | 7 | 22 | Ravens | 4 | 4:30 pm | 2-Game |
| Texans | 9.5 | $2,900 | $3,400 | 12 | 10 | 13 | at BAL | 26.5 | 24 | 23 | 16 | Texans | 3 | 4:30 pm | 2-Game |
| 49ers | -9.5 | $3,400 | $4,500 | 4 | 4 | 7 | vs GBP | 20.5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 49ers | 6 | 8:15 pm | 2-Game |
| Packers | 9.5 | $2,600 | $3,200 | 9 | 11 | 16 | at SFO | 30.0 | 18 | 12 | 6 | Packers | 5 | 8:15 pm | 2-Game |
| Lions | -6.5 | $3,300 | $4,400 | 7 | 14 | 23 | vs TBB | 21.0 | 10 | 13 | 12 | Lions | 7 | 3:00 pm | 3-Game |
| Buccaneers | 6.5 | $2,500 | $3,500 | 13 | 12 | 7 | at DET | 27.5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | Buccaneers | 8 | 3:00 pm | 3-Game |
| Bills | -2.5 | $2,800 | $4,000 | 11 | 7 | 4 | vs KCC | 21.5 | 20 | 16 | 2 | Bills | 2 | 6:30 pm | 3-Game |
| Chiefs | 2.5 | $2,700 | $3,800 | 6 | 5 | 2 | at BUF | 24.0 | 21 | 19 | 1 | Chiefs | 1 | 6:30 pm | 3-Game |
Note: Press is pressure % on the opposing quarterback, PrROE is pressure rate over expectations, and sacks/g is sacks per game. The stats with O in front are for the opposing offensive line. Blue and green cells mark favorable stats for the defense in the first column.
Offense vs. Defense – Rushing & Passing Potential
| Offense | Spread | Total | pDVOA | pEPA | rDVOA | rEPA | Matchup | pDVOA | dEPA | rDVOA | rEPA | Offense | P-POT | R-POT | Time (ET) | Slate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens | -9.5 | 26.5 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | vs HOU | 23 | 20 | 2 | 6 | Ravens | 2 | 3 | 4:30 pm | 2-Game |
| Texans | 9.5 | 17.0 | 10 | 13 | 30 | 26 | at BAL | 1 | 2 | 7 | 16 | Texans | 8 | 7 | 4:30 pm | 2-Game |
| 49ers | -9.5 | 30.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | vs GBP | 26 | 23 | 26 | 21 | 49ers | 1 | 1 | 8:15 pm | 2-Game |
| Packers | 9.5 | 20.5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 10 | at SFO | 4 | 6 | 15 | 26 | Packers | 5 | 5 | 8:15 pm | 2-Game |
| Lions | -6.5 | 27.5 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 6 | vs TBB | 14 | 22 | 8 | 5 | Lions | 4 | 4 | 3:00 pm | 3-Game |
| Buccaneers | 6.5 | 21.0 | 16 | 8 | 28 | 27 | at DET | 16 | 25 | 1 | 4 | Buccaneers | 6 | 8 | 3:00 pm | 3-Game |
| Bills | -2.5 | 24.0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | vs KCC | 5 | 3 | 27 | 28 | Bills | 3 | 2 | 6:30 pm | 3-Game |
| Chiefs | 2.5 | 21.5 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 18 | at BUF | 9 | 7 | 17 | 24 | Chiefs | 7 | 6 | 6:30 pm | 3-Game |
Note: pDVOA = DVOA against the pass, pEPA = EPA against the pass, rDVOA = DVOA against the run, rEPA = EPA against the run, P-POT = offensive passing potential, R-POT = offensive rushing potential.
Projected Starters — Quarterback
| Player | Team | Spread | Total | DraftKings | FanDuel | PaY/G | PaT/G | RuY/G | RuT/G | Int/G | QBR | Opp | pDVOA | pasEPA | DvP | Time (ET) | Slate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | BAL | -9.5 | 26.5 | $7,900 | $8,700 | 229.9 | 1.5 | 51.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 102.7 | vs HOU | 23 | 20 | 18 | 4:30 pm | 2-Game |
| C.J. Stroud | HOU | 9.5 | 17.0 | $6,700 | $7,200 | 273.9 | 1.5 | 11.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 100.8 | at BAL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:30 pm | 2-Game |
| Brock Purdy | SFO | -9.5 | 30.0 | $6,500 | $7,800 | 267.5 | 1.9 | 9.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 113.0 | vs GBP | 26 | 23 | 10 | 8:15 pm | 2-Game |
| Jordan Love | GBP | 9.5 | 20.5 | $6,200 | $7,400 | 244.6 | 1.9 | 14.5 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 96.2 | at SFO | 4 | 6 | 11 | 8:15 pm | 2-Game |
| Jared Goff | DET | -6.5 | 27.5 | $6,300 | $7,600 | 269.1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 97.9 | vs TBB | 14 | 22 | 25 | 3:00 pm | 3-Game |
| Baker Mayfield | TBB | 6.5 | 21.0 | $6,000 | $7,300 | 237.9 | 1.6 | 9.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 94.6 | at DET | 16 | 25 | 30 | 3:00 pm | 3-Game |
| Josh Allen | BUF | -2.5 | 24.0 | $8,000 | $9,400 | 253.3 | 1.7 | 30.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 92.2 | vs KCC | 5 | 3 | 4 | 6:30 pm | 3-Game |
| Patrick Mahomes | KCC | 2.5 | 21.5 | $6,800 | $7,700 | 261.4 | 1.7 | 24.3 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 92.6 | at BUF | 9 | 7 | 8 | 6:30 pm | 3-Game |
Note: PaY/G = passing yards per game, PaT/G = passing touchdowns per game, RuY/G = rushing yards per game, RuT/G = rushing touchdowns per game, Int/G = interceptions per game, QBR = quarterback rating, pDVOA = opponent’s DVOA against the pass, pEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.
Projected Starters — Running Back
| Player | Team | Spread | Total | DraftKings | FanDuel | Att/G | RuY/G | Tar/G | ReY/G | Tar % | Rte % | Opp | rDVOA | rusEPA | DvP | Time (ET) | Slate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gus Edwards | BAL | -9.5 | 26.5 | $5,900 | $6,900 | 11.6 | 47.6 | 0.7 | 10.6 | 2% | 23% | vs HOU | 2 | 6 | 15 | 4:30 pm | 2-Game |
| Justice Hill | BAL | -9.5 | 26.5 | $4,800 | $5,300 | 5.3 | 24.2 | 2.3 | 12.9 | 8% | 36% | vs HOU | 2 | 6 | 15 | 4:30 pm | 2-Game |
| Devin Singletary | HOU | 9.5 | 17.0 | $5,700 | $6,400 | 12.7 | 52.8 | 2.2 | 11.4 | 6% | 41% | at BAL | 7 | 16 | 14 | 4:30 pm | 2-Game |
| Dameon Pierce | HOU | 9.5 | 17.0 | $4,600 | $4,500 | 10.4 | 29.7 | 1.2 | 7.2 | 4% | 18% | at BAL | 7 | 16 | 14 | 4:30 pm | 2-Game |
| Christian McCaffrey | SFO | -9.5 | 30.0 | $8,800 | $10,800 | 17.0 | 91.2 | 4.9 | 35.3 | 17% | 71% | vs GBP | 26 | 21 | 20 | 8:15 pm | 2-Game |
| Elijah Mitchell | SFO | -9.5 | 30.0 | $5,200 | $5,000 | 6.8 | 25.5 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3% | 11% | vs GBP | 26 | 21 | 20 | 8:15 pm | 2-Game |
| Aaron Jones | GBP | 9.5 | 20.5 | $6,700 | $7,400 | 12.9 | 59.6 | 3.8 | 21.2 | 11% | 36% | at SFO | 15 | 26 | 4 | 8:15 pm | 2-Game |
| AJ Dillon | GBP | 9.5 | 20.5 | $4,400 | $5,100 | 11.9 | 40.9 | 1.7 | 14.9 | 5% | 33% | at SFO | 15 | 26 | 4 | 8:15 pm | 2-Game |
| David Montgomery | DET | -6.5 | 27.5 | $6,100 | $7,000 | 15.6 | 72.5 | 1.6 | 8.4 | 5% | 26% | vs TBB | 8 | 5 | 3 | 3:00 pm | 3-Game |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | -6.5 | 27.5 | $6,600 | $7,300 | 12.1 | 63.0 | 4.7 | 21.1 | 13% | 52% | vs TBB | 8 | 5 | 3 | 3:00 pm | 3-Game |
| Rachaad White | TBB | 6.5 | 21.0 | $6,500 | $6,700 | 16.0 | 58.2 | 4.1 | 32.3 | 12% | 61% | at DET | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:00 pm | 3-Game |
| Chase Edmonds | TBB | 6.5 | 21.0 | $4,700 | $4,900 | 3.8 | 13.5 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 4% | 15% | at DET | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:00 pm | 3-Game |
| James Cook | BUF | -2.5 | 24.0 | $6,300 | $6,800 | 13.9 | 66.0 | 3.2 | 26.2 | 9% | 41% | vs KCC | 27 | 28 | 8 | 6:30 pm | 3-Game |
| Ty Johnson | BUF | -2.5 | 24.0 | $4,200 | $4,800 | 3.3 | 14.7 | 0.8 | 6.9 | 2% | 9% | vs KCC | 27 | 28 | 8 | 6:30 pm | 3-Game |
| Isiah Pacheco | KCC | 2.5 | 21.5 | $6,400 | $7,500 | 14.6 | 66.8 | 3.6 | 17.4 | 10% | 38% | at BUF | 17 | 24 | 17 | 6:30 pm | 3-Game |
| Clyde Edwards-Helaire | KCC | 2.5 | 21.5 | $4,500 | $5,000 | 4.7 | 14.9 | 1.4 | 12.5 | 4% | 18% | at BUF | 17 | 24 | 17 | 6:30 pm | 3-Game |
Note: Att/G = rushing attempts per game, RuY/G = rushing yards per game, Tar/G = targets per game, ReY/G = receiving yards per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, rDVOA = opponent’s DVOA against the run, rusEPA = opponent’s ERA against the run, DvP = Defense vs. Position.
Projected Starters — Wide Receiver
| Player | Team | Spread | Total | DraftKings | FanDuel | Tar/G | Rec/G | Yar/G | Tar % | Air % | Rte % | Opp | pDVOA | pasEPA | DVP | TIME (ET) | SLATE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zay Flowers | BAL | -9.5 | 26.5 | $6,000 | $7,000 | 6.6 | 4.8 | 53.6 | 23% | 24% | 88% | vs HOU | 23 | 20 | 10 | 4:30 pm | 2-Game |
| Rashod Bateman | BAL | -9.5 | 26.5 | $4,000 | $5,100 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 22.9 | 12% | 20% | 52% | vs HOU | 23 | 20 | 10 | 4:30 pm | 2-Game |
| Odell Beckham | BAL | -9.5 | 26.5 | $4,600 | $5,600 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 40.4 | 15% | 25% | 53% | vs HOU | 23 | 20 | 10 | 4:30 pm | 2-Game |
| Nico Collins | HOU | 9.5 | 17.0 | $7,100 | $8,700 | 7.3 | 5.3 | 86.5 | 21% | 29% | 66% | at BAL | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4:30 pm | 2-Game |
| John Metchie | HOU | 9.5 | 17.0 | $3,400 | $5,000 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 9.9 | 6% | 5% | 26% | at BAL | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4:30 pm | 2-Game |
| Xavier Hutchinson | HOU | 9.5 | 17.0 | $3,000 | $4,800 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 6.0 | 4% | 5% | 26% | at BAL | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4:30 pm | 2-Game |
| Brandon Aiyuk | SFO | -9.5 | 30.0 | $6,900 | $7,900 | 6.4 | 4.7 | 83.9 | 23% | 39% | 81% | vs GBP | 26 | 23 | 12 | 8:15 pm | 2-Game |
| Deebo Samuel | SFO | -9.5 | 30.0 | $7,700 | $8,300 | 5.9 | 4.0 | 59.5 | 21% | 19% | 77% | vs GBP | 26 | 23 | 12 | 8:15 pm | 2-Game |
| Jauan Jennings | SFO | -9.5 | 30.0 | $3,600 | $4,700 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 20.4 | 8% | 11% | 50% | vs GBP | 26 | 23 | 12 | 8:15 pm | 2-Game |
| Jayden Reed | GBP | 9.5 | 20.5 | $5,200 | $6,600 | 5.8 | 4.0 | 49.6 | 17% | 20% | 59% | at SFO | 4 | 6 | 19 | 8:15 pm | 2-Game |
| Romeo Doubs | GBP | 9.5 | 20.5 | $5,600 | $6,100 | 5.6 | 3.5 | 39.6 | 16% | 24% | 72% | at SFO | 4 | 6 | 19 | 8:15 pm | 2-Game |
| Dontayvion Wicks | GBP | 9.5 | 20.5 | $4,900 | $5,700 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 38.7 | 11% | 14% | 44% | at SFO | 4 | 6 | 19 | 8:15 pm | 2-Game |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET | -6.5 | 27.5 | $8,200 | $9,200 | 10.1 | 7.4 | 94.7 | 28% | 33% | 88% | vs TBB | 14 | 22 | 25 | 3:00 pm | 3-Game |
| Jameson Williams | DET | -6.5 | 27.5 | $3,600 | $5,300 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 29.5 | 10% | 23% | 47% | vs TBB | 14 | 22 | 25 | 3:00 pm | 3-Game |
| Josh Reynolds | DET | -6.5 | 27.5 | $3,700 | $6,100 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 35.8 | 10% | 17% | 67% | vs TBB | 14 | 22 | 25 | 3:00 pm | 3-Game |
| Mike Evans | TBB | 6.5 | 21.0 | $7,200 | $7,600 | 7.8 | 4.6 | 73.8 | 23% | 40% | 80% | at DET | 16 | 25 | 30 | 3:00 pm | 3-Game |
| Chris Godwin | TBB | 6.5 | 21.0 | $6,300 | $6,900 | 7.6 | 4.9 | 60.2 | 23% | 27% | 82% | at DET | 16 | 25 | 30 | 3:00 pm | 3-Game |
| Trey Palmer | TBB | 6.5 | 21.0 | $3,500 | $5,200 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 22.6 | 12% | 15% | 67% | at DET | 16 | 25 | 30 | 3:00 pm | 3-Game |
| Stefon Diggs | BUF | -2.5 | 24.0 | $7,000 | $7,500 | 9.4 | 6.3 | 69.6 | 28% | 36% | 88% | vs KCC | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6:30 pm | 3-Game |
| Gabriel Davis | BUF | -2.5 | 24.0 | $5,000 | $6,000 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 43.9 | 14% | 26% | 76% | vs KCC | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6:30 pm | 3-Game |
| Khalil Shakir | BUF | -2.5 | 24.0 | $3,800 | $5,900 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 35.9 | 8% | 8% | 47% | vs KCC | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6:30 pm | 3-Game |
| Rashee Rice | KCC | 2.5 | 21.5 | $6,800 | $7,800 | 6.4 | 4.9 | 58.6 | 17% | 14% | 53% | at BUF | 9 | 7 | 7 | 6:30 pm | 3-Game |
| Justin Watson | KCC | 2.5 | 21.5 | $3,300 | $5,000 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 28.8 | 9% | 26% | 46% | at BUF | 9 | 7 | 7 | 6:30 pm | 3-Game |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | KCC | 2.5 | 21.5 | $3,000 | $4,700 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 19.7 | 7% | 19% | 59% | at BUF | 9 | 7 | 7 | 6:30 pm | 3-Game |
Note: Tar/G = targets per game, Rec/G = receptions per game, Yar/G = receiving yards per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Air % = percentage of team air yards, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, pDVOA = opponent’s DVOA against the pass, pasEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.
Projected Starters — Tight End
| Player | Team | Spread | Total | DraftKings | FanDuel | Tar/G | Rec/G | Yar/G | Tar % | Air % | Rte % | Opp | pDVOA | pasEPA | DVP | TIME (ET) | SLATE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Andrews | BAL | -9.5 | 26.5 | $5,000 | $6,000 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 54.4 | 21% | 19% | 73% | vs HOU | 23 | 20 | 29 | 4:30 pm | 2-Game |
| Dalton Schultz | HOU | 9.5 | 17.0 | $4,400 | $5,800 | 5.6 | 3.9 | 42.3 | 16% | 15% | 65% | at BAL | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4:30 pm | 2-Game |
| George Kittle | SFO | -9.5 | 30.0 | $5,200 | $6,400 | 5.6 | 4.1 | 63.8 | 19% | 24% | 82% | vs GBP | 26 | 23 | 15 | 8:15 pm | 2-Game |
| Tucker Kraft | GBP | 9.5 | 20.5 | $3,100 | $4,800 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 20.9 | 7% | 4% | 41% | at SFO | 4 | 6 | 11 | 8:15 pm | 2-Game |
| Sam LaPorta | DET | -6.5 | 27.5 | $5,900 | $6,600 | 7.0 | 5.1 | 52.3 | 20% | 22% | 71% | vs TBB | 14 | 22 | 31 | 3:00 pm | 3-Game |
| Cade Otton | TBB | 6.5 | 21.0 | $3,500 | $5,300 | 3.9 | 2.8 | 26.8 | 12% | 9% | 80% | at DET | 16 | 25 | 24 | 3:00 pm | 3-Game |
| Dalton Kincaid | BUF | -2.5 | 24.0 | $4,800 | $6,200 | 5.2 | 4.3 | 39.6 | 15% | 12% | 65% | vs KCC | 5 | 3 | 10 | 6:30 pm | 3-Game |
| Travis Kelce | KCC | 2.5 | 21.5 | $6,000 | $7,100 | 8.0 | 6.2 | 65.6 | 21% | 24% | 73% | at BUF | 9 | 7 | 5 | 6:30 pm | 3-Game |
Note: Tar/G = targets per game, Rec/G = receptions per game, Yar/G = receiving yards per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Air % = percentage of team air yards, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, pDVOA = opponent’s DVOA against the pass, pasEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.
Cover Image Credit: Getty Images