NFL DFS First Look on DraftKings and FanDuel: Divisional Round

Allen of the Bills

The NFL DFS First Look, complete with sortable odds, matchup previews, projected starters, pace of play, and much more, will help you get an early start on the upcoming DraftKings and FanDuel slates that are loaded into our NFL DFS optimizer, LineupHQ.

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NFL Odds & Schedule

Road Team R-Total Home Team H-Total Favorite Spread Total Date Time (ET) Slate
Buffalo Bills 24.0 Denver Broncos 22.5 BUF -1.5 46.5 Saturday 2:30 pm Main
San Francisco 49ers 19.3 Seattle Seahawks 26.3 SEA -7.0 45.5 Saturday 6:00 pm Main
Houston Texans 19.3 New England Patriots 22.3 NEP -3.0 41.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Los Angeles Rams 26.0 Chicago Bears 22.5 LAR -3.5 48.5 Sunday 4:30 pm Main

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Implied Team Totals & Matchup Chart

Offense Spread Total Matchup t EPA t PFF p EPA p PFF r EPA r PFF QB DvP RB DvP WR DvP TE DvP TIME (ET) SLATE
Denver Broncos 1.5 22.5 vs BUF 13 20 8 15 31 28 2 25 6 1 2:30 pm Main
Buffalo Bills -1.5 24.0 at DEN 8 6 9 12 8 5 6 1 9 17 2:30 pm Main
Seattle Seahawks -7.0 26.3 vs SFO 24 27 25 25 17 27 17 23 20 25 6:00 pm Main
San Francisco 49ers 7.0 19.3 at SEA 1 5 5 7 1 3 9 4 4 22 6:00 pm Main
New England Patriots -3.0 22.3 vs HOU 2 3 1 2 3 6 5 8 3 12 1:00 pm Main
Houston Texans 3.0 19.3 at NEP 11 13 10 8 16 18 11 5 13 20 1:00 pm Main
Chicago Bears 3.5 22.5 vs LAR 7 1 6 1 12 2 14 12 23 15 4:30 pm Main
Los Angeles Rams -3.5 26.0 at CHI 21 22 19 23 21 20 30 18 25 16 4:30 pm Main

Note: T EPA = total defensive EPA. T PFF = total defense on PFF. P EPA = EPA against the pass. P PFF = PFF grade against the pass. R EPA = EPA against the run. R PFF = PFF grade against the run. DVP = defense vs. position. Blue and green cells mark favorable matchups for the offense in the first column.


Playbook

D-Line vs. O-Line – Pressure Rate & Sack Potential

Defense Spread DraftKings FanDuel Press PrROE PFF Matchup Opp Total O Press O PrROE O PFF Defense C Press Sack Pot Time (ET) Slate
Broncos 1.5 $2,800 $4,800 43.1% 13.1 12 vs BUF 24.0 36.6% 5.9 4 Broncos 39.9% 3 2:30 pm Main
Bills -1.5 $2,600 $3,700 37.5% 6.4 7 at DEN 22.5 36.8% 2.9 1 Bills 37.2% 8 2:30 pm Main
Seahawks -7.0 $3,200 $4,400 38.3% 9.5 10 vs SFO 19.3 34.3% 0.5 16 Seahawks 36.3% 4 6:00 pm Main
49ers 7.0 $2,200 $4,000 29.5% -3.4 26 at SEA 26.3 31.6% 0.7 19 49ers 30.6% 7 6:00 pm Main
Patriots -3.0 $3,600 $4,600 39.6% 7.0 19 vs HOU 19.3 37.5% 6.3 23 Patriots 38.6% 1 1:00 pm Main
Texans 3.0 $3,400 $4,300 40.4% 10.2 2 at NEP 22.3 43.9% 12.2 6 Texans 42.2% 2 1:00 pm Main
Bears 3.5 $2,400 $3,900 33.6% 1.1 28 vs LAR 26.0 29.8% -2.7 25 Bears 31.7% 5 4:30 pm Main
Rams -3.5 $3,000 $4,100 38.2% 7.8 5 at CHI 22.5 37.9% 0.0 2 Rams 38.1% 5 4:30 pm Main

Note: PRESS = pressure rate on the opposing quarterback. PROE = pressure rate over expectation. PFF = PFF’s pass rush grades. The stats with O in front are for the opposing offensive line. C PRESS = the combined pressure rate of the defensive line and opposing offensive line. SACK POT = sack potential

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Offense vs. Defense – Rushing & Passing Potential

Offense Spread Total p PFF p EPA r PFF r EPA Matchup p PFF p EPA r PFF r EPA Offense P-POT R-POT Time (ET) Slate
Broncos 1.5 22.5 13 13 20 16 vs BUF 15 8 28 31 Broncos 6 5 2:30 pm Main
Bills -1.5 24.0 7 4 4 2 at DEN 12 9 5 8 Bills 3 2 2:30 pm Main
Seahawks -7.0 26.3 8 8 1 21 vs SFO 25 25 27 17 Seahawks 2 4 6:00 pm Main
49ers 7.0 19.3 5 6 27 10 at SEA 7 5 3 1 49ers 5 6 6:00 pm Main
Patriots -3.0 22.3 3 1 28 25 vs HOU 2 1 6 3 Patriots 3 8 1:00 pm Main
Texans 3.0 19.3 17 17 23 30 at NEP 8 10 18 16 Texans 8 7 1:00 pm Main
Bears 3.5 22.5 16 9 2 6 vs LAR 1 6 2 12 Bears 7 3 4:30 pm Main
Rams -3.5 26.0 1 3 5 4 at CHI 23 19 20 21 Rams 1 1 4:30 pm Main

Note: P PFF = PFF grade against the pass, P EPA = EPA against the pass, P PFF = PFF grade against the run, R EPA = EPA against the run, P-POT = offensive passing potential, R-POT = offensive rushing potential.

Projected Starters — Quarterback

Note: All statistics are from the 2024 season and will be updated for this season after Week 1.
Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel PaY/G PaT/G RuY/G RuT/G Int/G CPOE aDOT FPPG Matchup p PFF P EPA DvP Time (ET) Slate
Bo Nix DEN 1.5 22.5 $5,800 $7,500 231 1.5 18 0.2 0.6 0.5 7.9 18.7 vs BUF 15 8 2 2:30 pm Main
Josh Allen BUF -1.5 24.0 $7,100 $9,000 216 1.5 25 0.2 0.6 3.8 7.3 22.2 at DEN 12 9 6 2:30 pm Main
Sam Darnold SEA -7.0 26.3 $5,400 $7,300 238 1.5 5 0.0 0.8 6.3 8.4 15.0 vs SFO 25 25 17 6:00 pm Main
Brock Purdy SFO 7.0 19.3 $5,600 $7,800 241 2.2 15 0.1 1.1 7.1 7.8 21.0 at SEA 7 5 9 6:00 pm Main
Drake Maye NEP -3.0 22.3 $6,300 $8,100 259 1.8 25 0.2 0.5 9.8 9.3 21.4 vs HOU 2 1 5 1:00 pm Main
C.J. Stroud HOU 3.0 19.3 $5,200 $7,200 217 1.4 14 0.0 0.6 -2.0 8.1 15.5 at NEP 8 10 11 1:00 pm Main
Caleb Williams CHI 3.5 22.5 $6,100 $7,800 232 1.6 21 0.1 0.4 0.3 8.8 19.2 vs LAR 1 6 14 4:30 pm Main
Matthew Stafford LAR -3.5 26.0 $6,600 $8,400 277 2.7 1 0.0 0.5 3.4 9.4 21.3 at CHI 23 19 30 4:30 pm Main

Note: PaY/G = passing yards per game, PaT/G = passing touchdowns per game, RuY/G = rushing yards per game, RuT/G = rushing touchdowns per game, Int/G = interceptions per game, CPOE = completion percentage over expectation, aDOT = average depth of target, FPPG = fantasy points per game, PFF = PFF’s grades against the pass, pEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Projected Starters — Running Back

Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel Snap% Att/G RuY/G Tar/G ReY/G Opps/G Tar % Rte % FPPG xFPPG Diff Matchup PFF EPA DVP Time (ET) Slate
RJ Harvey DEN 1.5 22.5 $6,200 $7,000 42% 8.6 31.8 3.4 20.9 12.0 10% 32% 12.2 11.1 -1.1 vs BUF 28 31 25 2:30 pm Main
Jaleel McLaughlin DEN 1.5 22.5 $4,200 $5,400 16% 4.6 23.4 0.6 3.4 5.3 2% 6% 3.9 3.5 -0.4 vs BUF 28 31 25 2:30 pm Main
James Cook BUF -1.5 24.0 $7,300 $8,400 57% 18.2 95.4 2.4 17.1 20.5 8% 37% 18.0 14.8 -3.2 at DEN 5 8 1 2:30 pm Main
Ty Johnson BUF -1.5 24.0 $4,500 $5,000 29% 2.9 11.8 1.8 15.5 4.8 6% 34% 5.9 5.1 -0.8 at DEN 5 8 1 2:30 pm Main
Kenneth Walker SEA -7.0 26.3 $5,500 $6,500 46% 13.0 60.4 2.0 16.6 15.0 7% 32% 11.3 10.8 -0.5 vs SFO 27 17 23 6:00 pm Main
Zach Charbonnet SEA -7.0 26.3 $5,300 $6,700 49% 11.5 45.6 1.5 9.0 13.0 5% 35% 11.3 10.6 -0.7 vs SFO 27 17 23 6:00 pm Main
Christian McCaffrey SFO 7.0 19.3 $8,800 $9,800 83% 18.3 70.7 7.2 54.4 25.5 21% 76% 24.5 24.0 -0.5 at SEA 3 1 4 6:00 pm Main
Brian Robinson SFO 7.0 19.3 $4,800 $5,200 17% 5.4 23.5 0.7 1.5 6.1 2% 9% 3.7 4.2 0.5 at SEA 3 1 4 6:00 pm Main
Rhamondre Stevenson NEP -3.0 22.3 $5,800 $6,800 59% 9.3 43.1 2.6 24.6 11.9 9% 49% 13.0 10.4 -2.6 vs HOU 6 3 8 1:00 pm Main
TreVeyon Henderson NEP -3.0 22.3 $5,700 $6,300 46% 10.6 53.6 2.4 13.0 13.0 8% 37% 12.2 10.3 -1.9 vs HOU 6 3 8 1:00 pm Main
Woody Marks HOU 3.0 19.3 $5,900 $6,500 52% 12.3 43.9 2.3 13.0 14.5 7% 33% 9.1 11.1 2.0 at NEP 18 16 5 1:00 pm Main
Nick Chubb HOU 3.0 19.3 $4,900 $5,500 31% 8.1 33.7 1.3 4.5 9.5 4% 18% 5.9 7.3 1.4 at NEP 18 16 5 1:00 pm Main
D’Andre Swift CHI 3.5 22.5 $6,000 $6,700 58% 13.9 67.9 2.8 18.7 16.8 8% 43% 14.4 13.1 -1.3 vs LAR 2 12 12 4:30 pm Main
Kyle Monangai CHI 3.5 22.5 $5,000 $5,700 41% 9.9 46.1 1.5 9.6 11.5 5% 29% 8.6 8.7 0.1 vs LAR 2 12 12 4:30 pm Main
Kyren Williams LAR -3.5 26.0 $6,600 $7,900 68% 15.2 73.6 2.8 16.5 18.0 8% 47% 15.6 14.3 -1.3 at CHI 20 21 18 4:30 pm Main
Blake Corum LAR -3.5 26.0 $5,100 $5,900 29% 8.5 43.9 0.8 2.1 9.4 2% 15% 7.2 7.1 -0.1 at CHI 20 21 18 4:30 pm Main

Note: Snap% = percentage of snaps palyed, Att/G = rushing attempts per game, RuY/G = rushing yards per game, Tar/G = targets per game, ReY/G = receiving yards per game, Opps/G = opportunities per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, FPPG = fantasy points per game, xFPPG = expected fantasy points per game, rusEPA = opponent’s ERA against the run, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Projected Starters — Wide Receiver

Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel Wide % Slot % Tar/G Rec/G Yar/G Tar % AY % Rte % aDOT 1READ FPPG xFPPG Diff Matchup EPA DVP TIME (ET) SLATE
Courtland Sutton DEN 1.5 22.5 $5,900 $7,300 81% 19% 7.1 4.4 59.8 20% 34% 82% 12.9 22% 12.9 13.7 0.8 vs BUF 8 6 2:30 pm Main
Troy Franklin DEN 1.5 22.5 $4,900 $5,800 57% 43% 6.0 3.8 41.7 17% 31% 68% 13.7 23% 10.5 12.0 1.5 vs BUF 8 6 2:30 pm Main
Pat Bryant DEN 1.5 22.5 $3,900 $5,000 41% 58% 3.1 2.1 25.2 9% 12% 47% 9.8 6% 5.0 5.3 0.3 vs BUF 8 6 2:30 pm Main
Khalil Shakir BUF -1.5 24.0 $5,100 $6,600 27% 70% 5.7 4.5 44.9 20% 11% 71% 3.8 6% 10.5 9.3 -1.2 at DEN 9 9 2:30 pm Main
Brandin Cooks BUF -1.5 24.0 $4,000 $5,900 60% 40% 2.3 1.6 18.6 7% 14% 59% 14.3 12% 3.5 4.0 0.5 at DEN 9 9 2:30 pm Main
Tyrell Shavers BUF -1.5 24.0 $3,100 $4,600 66% 25% 1.3 0.9 14.4 4% 9% 29% 13.6 4% 2.7 2.3 -0.4 at DEN 9 9 2:30 pm Main
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA -7.0 26.3 $8,500 $9,600 76% 23% 9.2 7.0 105.5 33% 49% 92% 11.4 25% 21.2 17.7 -3.5 vs SFO 25 20 6:00 pm Main
Rashid Shaheed SEA -7.0 26.3 $4,200 $5,500 66% 34% 4.9 3.3 38.2 16% 24% 72% 11.4 16% 8.1 9.0 0.9 vs SFO 25 20 6:00 pm Main
Cooper Kupp SEA -7.0 26.3 $3,500 $5,700 50% 49% 4.3 2.9 37.1 15% 16% 78% 8.1 4% 7.4 7.8 0.4 vs SFO 25 20 6:00 pm Main
Jauan Jennings SFO 7.0 19.3 $5,400 $6,800 70% 30% 5.7 3.7 42.9 18% 25% 80% 10.1 10% 11.6 11.1 -0.5 at SEA 5 4 6:00 pm Main
Ricky Pearsall SFO 7.0 19.3 $4,800 $6,000 77% 23% 5.9 4.0 58.7 17% 35% 79% 14.0 15% 9.8 12.9 3.1 at SEA 5 4 6:00 pm Main
Demarcus Robinson SFO 7.0 19.3 $4,400 $6,200 60% 40% 2.5 1.6 19.7 8% 15% 49% 13.3 8% 4.2 4.6 0.4 at SEA 5 4 6:00 pm Main
Stefon Diggs NEP -3.0 22.3 $5,800 $6,600 46% 54% 5.9 5.0 59.6 20% 20% 65% 8.7 12% 12.4 10.5 -1.9 vs HOU 1 3 1:00 pm Main
Kayshon Boutte NEP -3.0 22.3 $4,300 $5,700 90% 10% 3.2 2.4 39.4 11% 23% 69% 17.5 13% 8.9 6.8 -2.2 vs HOU 1 3 1:00 pm Main
Kyle Williams NEP -3.0 22.3 $3,800 $4,900 90% 10% 1.2 0.6 12.3 4% 9% 28% 18.2 8% 2.9 2.5 -0.4 vs HOU 1 3 1:00 pm Main
Nico Collins HOU 3.0 19.3 $7,000 $8,300 80% 20% 7.9 4.7 74.5 23% 38% 80% 12.9 24% 15.1 15.8 0.7 at NEP 10 13 1:00 pm Main
Xavier Hutchinson HOU 3.0 19.3 $3,400 $5,400 80% 20% 3.3 2.1 25.2 10% 13% 59% 10.4 7% 5.8 6.4 0.6 at NEP 10 13 1:00 pm Main
Christian Kirk HOU 3.0 19.3 $4,100 $6,100 28% 72% 3.6 2.2 18.4 11% 9% 55% 6.8 4% 4.5 6.4 1.9 at NEP 10 13 1:00 pm Main
D.J. Moore CHI 3.5 22.5 $5,200 $6,400 65% 33% 4.8 2.9 40.1 14% 22% 80% 12.3 17% 10.1 9.7 -0.4 vs LAR 6 23 4:30 pm Main
Rome Odunze CHI 3.5 22.5 $5,300 $6,200 61% 39% 7.3 3.7 55.1 22% 39% 80% 14.3 22% 12.2 15.2 3.0 vs LAR 6 23 4:30 pm Main
Luther Burden CHI 3.5 22.5 $4,700 $5,900 55% 44% 4.0 3.1 43.5 12% 11% 41% 7.5 6% 8.5 6.5 -2.0 vs LAR 6 23 4:30 pm Main
Puka Nacua LAR -3.5 26.0 $9,000 $9,900 63% 35% 10.2 8.1 107.2 29% 30% 75% 9.2 19% 23.5 18.1 -5.4 at CHI 19 25 4:30 pm Main
Davante Adams LAR -3.5 26.0 $6,500 $8,000 86% 14% 7.9 4.3 56.4 24% 36% 77% 13.3 21% 15.9 17.7 1.8 at CHI 19 25 4:30 pm Main
Xavier Smith LAR -3.5 26.0 $3,000 $4,700 27% 73% 1.4 1.1 18.9 4% 8% 22% 17.0 8% 3.0 2.6 -0.4 at CHI 19 25 4:30 pm Main

Note: Wide% = how often a wideout lines up on the outside, Slot% = how often a wideout lines up in the slot, Tar/G = targets per game, Rec/G = receptions per game, Yar/G = receiving yards per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Air % = percentage of team air yards, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, aDOT = average depth of target, 1READ = 1st read %, FPPG = fantasy points per game, xFPPG = expected fantasy points per game, pasEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Projected Starters — Tight End

Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel Tar/G Rec/G Yar/G Tar % Air % Rte % aDOT 1READ FPPG xFPPG Diff Matchup EPA DVP TIME (ET) SLATE
Adam Trautman DEN 1.5 22.5 $2,500 $4,400 1.4 1.2 11.5 4% 3% 25% 5.4 0% 2.7 2.1 -0.6 vs BUF 8 1 2:30 pm Main
Dalton Kincaid BUF -1.5 24.0 $4,300 $5,300 4.1 3.3 47.6 14% 19% 44% 9.3 6% 10.5 7.2 -3.3 at DEN 9 17 2:30 pm Main
AJ Barner SEA -7.0 26.3 $3,600 $5,200 3.8 3.1 30.5 13% 9% 66% 5.2 3% 8.7 7.3 -1.4 vs SFO 25 25 6:00 pm Main
Jake Tonges SFO 7.0 19.3 $3,400 $5,800 2.8 2.1 18.3 8% 6% 37% 5.4 0% 5.8 5.3 -0.5 at SEA 5 22 6:00 pm Main
Hunter Henry NEP -3.0 22.3 $4,500 $5,500 4.9 3.5 45.2 17% 15% 72% 8.1 6% 10.5 10.1 -0.4 vs HOU 1 12 1:00 pm Main
Dalton Schultz HOU 3.0 19.3 $4,200 $5,300 6.1 4.8 45.7 18% 15% 73% 6.4 5% 10.5 10.5 0.0 at NEP 10 20 1:00 pm Main
Colston Loveland CHI 3.5 22.5 $5,500 $6,000 5.0 3.6 44.6 15% 17% 59% 9.0 5% 10.3 8.7 -1.7 vs LAR 6 15 4:30 pm Main
Colby Parkinson LAR -3.5 26.0 $3,700 $5,200 3.7 2.9 27.2 10% 6% 41% 4.8 4% 8.7 6.9 -1.8 at CHI 19 16 4:30 pm Main

Note: Wide% = how often a wideout lines up on the outside, Slot% = how often a wideout lines up in the slot, Tar/G = targets per game, Rec/G = receptions per game, Yar/G = receiving yards per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Air % = percentage of team air yards, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, aDOT = average depth of target, 1READ = 1st read %, FPPG = fantasy points per game, xFPPG = expected fantasy points per game, pasEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Stats Credit: ProFootballFocus (PFF) and Fantasy Points Data (FPD)

Image Credit: Imagn

About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious