NFL DFS Expert Survey: Week 16
Our panel of experts is here to give you their NFL DFS advice for this week’s main slate by answering a handful of questions to help you make crucial lineup-building decisions. Want to know Noto’s three favorite players for cash games? Or headChopper’s favorite correlation? Find out below!
NFL DFS Picks: DraftKings & FanDuel Expert Survey for Week 16
Rank your three favorite players for cash games, in order:
| Analyst | Rank 1 | Rank 2 | Rank 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Notorious | Jahmyr Gibbs | Chuba Hubbard | Chase Brown |
| Stevietpfl | Jahmyr Gibbs | Chase Brown | Brenton Strange |
| Krayton | Jahmyr Gibbs | Chase Brown | Brenton Strange |
| ebeimfohr | Jahmyr Gibbs | Chase Brown | Brenton Strange |
| ncorfield8k | Jahmyr Gibbs | Chase Brown | Brenton Strange |
| Davis Mattek | Jahmyr Gibbs | Chase Brown | Ben Sinnott |
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What is your favorite correlation and why?
Notorious: Anthony Richardson + Calvin Ridley – This is an unconventinoal stack, as I like the QB from one team and the WR1 from the other team. Richardson doesn’t have the highest floor, but he has a ceiling that rivals most quarterbacks in the NFL. He’s played in 10 games this season and has already put up outings of 23, 27, and 29 fantasy points. Over the last 4 games, he has a total of 36 rushing attempts and 4 rushing touchdowns. It’s hard not to like him at home against the struggling Titans. With Mason Rudolph under center this season (Weeks 7, 8, 9, 15), Ridley has a 25% target share and a 45% air yards share. The Colts are a solid matchup and this game is indoors.
Stevietpfl: Jahmyr Gibbs + Keenan Allen – I like Caleb Williams, but my highest-owned stack this weekend will be Gibbs and Allen. With Montgomery out, Gibbs becomes one of the top plays on the slate. Gibbs has played 54.4% of the snaps and has 42.5% of the team’s rushing attempts this season. With Montgomery out, I’m hoping both numbers increase. He’s averaging 5.63 YPC and 74.8 rushing yards per game. Allen has been hit or miss this season. He has at least 70 receiving yards and a touchdown in 3 of his last 4 games. In the first meeting this season, he had 5 catches for 73 yards and 2 touchdowns.
Krayton: Caleb Williams + DJ Moore – We are getting a rematch from Thanksgiving where we saw Matt Eberflus get fired after letting time expire without calling a timeout in a game the Bears could have won. It’s the highest total on the slate, and we saw Williams throw for 256 yards and 3 TDs against the Lions just a few weeks ago. Williams is facing one of the biggest pass-funnel matchups, and this is a game where Williams should be throwing it often in order to stay competitive. I love the upside for DJ Moore. He has had 32 targets in the last 3 games alone, and he’s gone for over double-digit fantasy points in 4 out of the last 5 games. I even like double-stacking this game by getting either Keenan Allen or Rome Odunze in my lineups, and then I will be locking Jahmyr Gibbs in on the Lions side in every lineup.
ebeimfohr: Kyler Murray + Trey McBride – This is the perfect bounce-back spot for Kyler combined with the perfect TD spot for Trey McBride all wrapped into one. The Panthers are one of the very worst defenses in the NFL, and while James Conner soaked up all the TDs last week, McBride was stopped at the 1, and Greg Dortch fumbled into the end zone at the 1. The Panthers have shown the ability to push back enough to push teams to the brink, and McBride has at least 10 targets in 4 straight games as the focal point of the offense.
ncorfield8k: Kyler Murray + Trey McBride – The Panthers are an elite matchup across the board for fantasy players. The passing game is easy leverage off a chalky James Conner. And if Murray wasn’t already focused enough on McBride (47 targets over the past 4 games), he is now intent on getting McBride a touchdown: Murray promised on social media this week that McBride would see the end zone soon. If he wants to force a touchdown to his stud TE, this is as good a matchup as any to try.
Davis Mattek: Jaxon Smith-Njigba + Justin Jefferson – It is not very often that WRs in the top 10 of total points are available in must-win spots for their teams at less than 10% projected ownership. JaMarr Chase will get owned more than Jefferson, and Drake London will get owned more than JSN despite projecting within fractions of one another. I like this MIN/SEA game to be a pass-heavy script and think these 2 players are going to be way under-owned.
Who’s your favorite contrarian play (below 10% pOWN%) and why?
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About the Author
Robert Brown (aka Epignosis) was having lunch at a sports bar. A football game was on. He remarked to his wife that if he could have a second life, he’d like to be someone who enjoyed watching sports. That enjoyment began when he signed up for a fantasy football league that needed one more player. Since then, he has enjoyed playing NFL, NBA, and (especially) MLB DFS. When not teaching American literature, editing content for RotoGrinders (which he has done since 2019), or making lineups, Epignosis is rocking out or jazzing it up on one of several possible instruments.