NFL DFS DraftKings Ownership Projections: Week 10 Notes & Advice
We’re back with another 10-game NFL DFS slate in Week 10. Seems appropriate. As was the case last Sunday, things look quite wide open from a stacking perspective on DraftKings. We are once again missing several of the league’s high-end quarterbacks, so your stacks may not look quite as sexy as they usually might. On paper, at least.
Regardless, there’s still money to be made. Getting yourself an early peek at projected ownership is a smart way for you to learn how the field will be building lineups on Sunday. As always, our DK NFL ownership projections are now live ahead of this weekend’s main slate.
Who will be the most popular plays on DraftKings in Week 10?
NFL DFS Week 10 DraftKings Ownership Projections
Rachaad White ($5,800) – 26.8% pOWN%
Tank Dell ($5,500) – 23.53% pOWN%
Marquise Brown ($5,200) – 21.24% pOWN%
Joe Mixon ($6,200) – 20.72% pOWN%
DeAndre Hopkins ($6,000) – 18.96% pOWN%
Week 10 NFL DFS ownership projections for DraftKings are accurate at the time of publication and subject to change. Sign up for RotoGrinders Premium to get updated ownership projections all the way to kickoff.
DraftKings Ownership Notes
More Mixon
If it feels like Joe Mixon has been at or near the top of the DK ownership projections just about every week all season, that’s because he has been. Cincinnati’s offense has steadily improved as the season has progressed, and we’ve seen a similar trajectory for Mixon. He’s been getting the vast majority of the snaps and carries for this team all season long, but only recently have we seen that massive workload translate into useful fantasy production.
Mixon is steadily playing north of 70% of the Bengals’ offensive snaps, and they’re not really giving carries to anybody else now that Samaje Perine is in Denver. We’ve also seen him get more and more involved in the passing game, as he’s attracted at least 3 targets in 4 straight. With Tee Higgins out and Ja’Marr Chase questionable, we could certainly see even more work for Mixon in Week 10.
Regardless, the matchup at home against Houston is solid enough. The Texans have been better against the run (14th in DVOA) than they have been against the pass (26th), but there just aren’t many other legit bell-cow backs you’ll find in the $6,000 range on DraftKings. You can always save $200 to roll the dice on Bijan Robinson if you’re brave and/or hate winning money.
Tough Matchup, Good Projection
It’s interesting to see Rachaad White leading all players on DK with projected ownership of around 26% in GPPs. The Bucs’ second-year RB was another slow starter, but he’s another guy whose role trumps just about anything else. White’s been on the field for more than 70% of Tampa Bay’s offensive snaps in every week, while he’s cracked 80% in back-to-back games.
Just about everybody went off in last week’s Bucs-Texans extravaganza, and White was certainly no exception. Efficiency hasn’t been a strong suit for him this season, but he did draw a season-high 20 carries. His afternoon was buoyed by a pair of rushing touchdowns.
The Titans finished last season as the top-ranked defense against the run in terms of DVOA. They’ve slipped to 8th so far this season. They’re still stingy, but not quite as dominant as they were in 2022. The Steelers’ rushing attack gouged the Titans for 5.5 yards per attempt a week ago, while the Falcons averaged 5.4 YPC a couple of games ago.
I’d still say White is pretty fragile as a chalk play, especially with a few other viable RBs hovering in that $6,000 neighborhood.
Texans Dropping Like Flies
The Texans did just about anything they wanted in last week’s dramatic win over the Bucs, but they’ll be shorthanded when they head up to Cincy this week. Dameon Pierce will miss his second straight game, while Nico Collins has also been ruled out. Collins has been a core piece in this surprisingly dynamic offense, so it’ll be next man up in this passing game on Sunday.
Tank Dell has enjoyed a stellar rookie season of his own, and he’ll presumably see some more targets flow his way with Collins out. Dell, Dalton Schultz, and Robert Woods all have between 44 and 49 targets on the year, so CJ Stroud is more than happy to spread the wealth here. It’s worth noting that Woods is also iffy with his own injury.
Dell is still affordable ($5,500), which, along with the injuries, explains his pOWN%. He’s a legitimate deep threat who has already posted a couple of massive scores this season, though it’s worth noting the Bengals come into this one ranked a respectable 10th in DVOA vs. the pass.
Cardinals SZN?
The Cardinals were disastrously bad offensively in a shutout loss in Cleveland last week, but they had Clayton Tune under center. This week, they’ll return home to the friendly confines of the dome to face a beatable and underwhelming Falcons defense. And, Kyler Murray will make his season debut after recovering from last season’s ACL tear.
Murray’s presence alone should be enough to jolt this offense back to life, though it’s fair to expect some rust after a long layoff. I think Kyler makes for an intriguing midrange GPP option on DraftKings, mainly because most of his weapons are projected to be popular.
Marquise Brown, Rondale Moore, and Trey McBride are all projected for double-digit ownership. Even James Conner – who may return from an IR stint – is projected for healthy 18% ownership at $5,900 if he suits up.
The salaries are tempting. Brown is cheap as the WR1 in this offense, while Moore and McBride project to be useful punts at their respective positions. We can add Conner to the heap of viable $6,000 RBs, as well.
Atlanta is just 25th in tDVOA and 28th in pDVOA. The Cardinals’ 21-point implied team total is high enough for the stack to make sense as a popular source of value in Week 10.