NFL Weekly Grind Down: Week Five - Page 3
Philadelphia at NY Giants
| Philadelphia Eagles | New York Giants | |||||||||
| | |||||||||
| Sun – 1:00PM ET | MetLife Stadium | |||||||||
| Vegas Odds | Sprd | Total | Proj.Pts | Vegas Odds | Sprd | Total | Proj.Pts | |||
| 1 | 54 | 26.5 | -1 | 54 | 27.5 | |||||
| Tm Stats | PPG | Scoring | Pass | Rush | Tm Stats | PPG | Scoring | Pass | Rush | |
| Off. | 24.8 | 12 | 11 | 1 | Off. | 15.2 | 30 | 10 | 30 | |
| Def. | 34.5 | 31 | 31 | 26 | Def. | 36.5 | 32 | 19 | 28 | |
| Top Players | FP-S | FP-3 | DvP | FP-A | Top Players | FP-S | FP-3 | DvP | FP-A | |
| Vick | 23.00 | 22.16 | 28 | 23.49 | Manning | 15.08 | 9.51 | 31 | 24.03 | |
| McCoy | 19.08 | 16.97 | 24 | 22.58 | Wilson | 2.70 | 4.30 | 22 | 21.88 | |
| Jackson | 15.45 | 13.97 | 26 | 34.56 | Cruz | 19.88 | 15.73 | 32 | 47.12 | |
| Celek | 5.65 | 3.33 | 29 | 15.68 | Myers | 7.83 | 5.07 | 10 | 8.98 | |
Philadelphia Eagles
The Philadelphia Eagles are great team to watch in fantasy. They can score a ton of points, and they give up even more. They have lost 3 in a row since their opening night win, but their 3 studs (Vick, McCoy & Jackson) are capable of having huge weeks every week. We don’t care if they win, as long as they put up the points. This game has shootout written all over it.
Eagles Target Leaders Through Week 4
DeSean Jackson34
Jason Avant20
Riley Cooper18
Brent Celek14
LeSean McCoy9
Fantasy Relevant
Michael Vick – Vick has struggled the last two weeks, but this is great spot for him regardless. The NY Giants are giving up 36.5 PPG and are allowing 23.5 FPPG to the opposing QB.
LeSean McCoy – McCoy is averaging 152 YPG. He leads RBs with 13 runs of 10+ yards and the Giants allow the 3rd most runs of 10+ yards. The NYG allow 22.6 FPPG to the RB.
DeSean Jackson – The Giants secondary is banged up and they allow the 7th most FPPG to the WR postion.
New York Giants
The Giants have been awful this year, both offensively and defensively. They have given up the most points in the NFL and only JAC and TB have scored fewer. I think they are a much better team than this and believe they will start to come around. There is no better cure than the Eagles defense coming to town.
Giants Target Leaders Through Week 4
Victor Cruz41
Hakeem Nicks25
Brandon Myers24
Rueben Randle23
Fantasy Relevant
Eli Manning – Forget all you saw this year with Manning, the Eagles make every QB look good. They are allowing 24 FPPG to QBs. Manning still has great weapons, and he will likely never be cheaper either.
David Wilson – Things are starting to look up for Wilson. He is not only getting more carries but also caught his first two passes of the season last week. The Eagles are allowing 21.9 FPPG to the RB. The talent is there, the match up seems right…
Giants Receivers – I love them all this week, how can you not? They are all at a discounted price and Philly is dead last in FPPG to WRs.
Carolina at Arizona
| Carolina Panthers | Arizona Cardinals | |||||||||
| | |||||||||
| Sun – 4:05PM ET | Univ. of Phoenix Stadium | |||||||||
| Vegas Odds | Sprd | Total | Proj.Pts | Vegas Odds | Sprd | Total | Proj.Pts | |||
| -1 | 42 | 21.5 | 1 | 42 | 20.5 | |||||
| Tm Stats | PPG | Scoring | Pass | Rush | Tm Stats | PPG | Scoring | Pass | Rush | |
| Off. | 22.7 | 18 | 32 | 3 | Off. | 17.2 | 25 | 18 | 26 | |
| Def. | 12.0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | Def. | 22.2 | 14 | 20 | 2 | |
| Top Players | FP-S | FP-3 | DvP | FP-A | Top Players | FP-S | FP-3 | DvP | FP-A | |
| Newton | 20.29 | 24.04 | 23 | 20.07 | Palmer | 12.20 | 10.24 | 4 | 12.14 | |
| Williams | 10.07 | 10.35 | 11 | 17.08 | Mendenhall | 7.70 | 7.97 | 16 | 19.04 | |
| Smith | 9.10 | 6.60 | 8 | 22.95 | Fitzgerald | 13.25 | 9.67 | 14 | 26.62 | |
| Olsen | 11.13 | 12.65 | 31 | 18.58 | Dray | 2.55 | 2.37 | 2 | 4.55 | |
Carolina Panthers
The Carolina Panthers broke out in a big way in week 3 smashing the NYG 38-0. Pretty much everyone on the roster had a solid fantasy day. Let’s see if they can keep it rolling against a solid defense in Arizona.
Panthers Target Leaders Through Week 4
Steve Smith 23
Greg Olsen22
Ted Ginn12
Brandon LaFell11
DeAngelo Williams5
Fantasy Relevant
Cam Newton – I think Cam is in tough against the Cardinals. I think they will shut down the Panthers running game and keep Cam in the pocket and force him to throw. The Panthers have the worst passing game in the NFL averaging 170 YPG.
DeAngelo Williams – has rushed for over 75 yards in each of the last 3 games, but I think Arizona’s 2nd ranked defense VS the run will make it hard for Williams to have big day.
Smith and Olsen could have solid days if the Cardinals game plan works. Newton will have to throw a lot and that could mean a big game for either of these two. Arizona has allowed 18.6 FPPG against the TE position.
Arizona Cardinals
With Palmer’s erratic play, very little production at RB, and Fitzgerald not being 100%, the Arizona Cardinals are in tough this week against a stingy Panther defense. The Cardinals have only scored 17.25 PPG and Carolina ranks 10th overall in team defense.
Cardinals Target Leaders Through Week 4
Larry Fitzgerald34
Michael Floyd29
Andre Roberts23
Andre Ellington17
Fantasy Relevant
Carson Palmer – The Cardinals pass protection has been an issue and the Panthers are only allowing 12.1 FPPG to QBs.
Larry Fitzgerald – Is not healthy. Palmer is having trouble getting him the ball. He has not had over 70 yards in the last 3 weeks and Carolina is allowing the 4th fewest WR yards per week.
San Diego at Oakland
| San Diego Chargers | Oakland Raiders | |||||||||
| | |||||||||
| Sun – 4:25PM ET | O.co Coliseum | |||||||||
| Vegas Odds | Sprd | Total | Proj.Pts | Vegas Odds | Sprd | Total | Proj.Pts | |||
| -4 | 44.5 | 24.25 | 4 | 44.5 | 20.25 | |||||
| Tm Stats | PPG | Scoring | Pass | Rush | Tm Stats | PPG | Scoring | Pass | Rush | |
| Off. | 27.0 | 7 | 6 | 18 | Off. | 17.8 | 24 | 26 | 6 | |
| Def. | 25.5 | 21 | 29 | 25 | Def. | 22.8 | 15 | 14 | 21 | |
| Top Players | FP-S | FP-3 | DvP | FP-A | Top Players | FP-S | FP-3 | DvP | FP-A | |
| Rivers | 23.22 | 22.75 | 21 | 19.98 | Pryor | 16.92 | 14.44 | 32 | 26.75 | |
| Mathews | 9.18 | 8.07 | 7 | 15.83 | Jennings | 5.55 | 7.33 | 7 | 15.83 | |
| Royal | 14.13 | 13.53 | 21 | 33.00 | Moore | 10.70 | 10.00 | 28 | 37.93 | |
| Gates | 14.73 | 17.67 | 16 | 10.73 | Rivera | 5.70 | 6.40 | 23 | 13.55 | |
San Diego Chargers
The 2-2 San Diego Chargers are having a fantastic fantasy season so far. The resurgence of Philip Rivers (3rd ranked QB) and Antonio Gates (4th ranked TE) has been amazing to watch. Eddie Royal cracks the top 10 at WR and even Ryan Mathews had a solid week 4.
Chargers Target Leaders Through Week 4
Antonio Gates30
Danny Woodhead26
Vincent Brown 23
Eddie Royal19
Malcolm Floyd 11
Keenan Allen9
Ryan Mathews7
Fantasy Relevant
Philip Rivers –Rivers is 2nd in red zone TD passes with 8. The Raiders are allowing the 3rd best QB rating 113.2.
Ryan Mathews – Mathews is averaging 40 rushing yards per week. I know he had a solid game last week, but I cannot trust him. Danny Woodhead continues to impress, he has 172 yards and 2 TDs in his last two games. He is 4th among RBs in catches with 22.
SD Receivers – Eddie Royal has been dead quiet the last two weeks averaging 38 yards in his last two games. Antonio Gates is catching 83% of his targets and is averaging 91 YPG.
Oakland Raiders
The Oakland Raiders are pretty banged up on offense. Pryor looks like he will be back, but McFadden and Reece both appear to be out. This means Rashad Jennings could have some value against a bad (30th overall) San Diego defense.
Raiders Target Leaders Through Week 4
Denarius Moore24
Rod Streater19
Mychal Rivera14
Rashad Jennings11
Brice Butler11
Darren McFadden10
Marcel Reece10
Fantasy Relevant
Terrelle Pryor – SD is ranked 32nd against the QB and are allowing 26.8 FPPG.
Rashad Jennings – Could be this week’s Bilal Powell. He should see most of the carries assuming Reece and Run DMC cannot go. Jennings had 116 total yards last week. He has great value with his low cost.
Oak Receivers – The Chargers are allowing 8.4 yards per pass attempt, 3rd worst in the NFL. SD is also allowing 37.9 FPPG to WRs.
Denver at Dallas
| Denver Broncos | Dallas Cowboys | |||||||||
| | |||||||||
| Sun – 4:25PM ET | AT&T Stadium | |||||||||
| Vegas Odds | Sprd | Total | Proj.Pts | Vegas Odds | Sprd | Total | Proj.Pts | |||
| -7 | 56 | 31.5 | 7 | 56 | 24.5 | |||||
| Tm Stats | PPG | Scoring | Pass | Rush | Tm Stats | PPG | Scoring | Pass | Rush | |
| Off. | 44.8 | 1 | 1 | 15 | Off. | 26.0 | 10 | 21 | 19 | |
| Def. | 22.8 | 15 | 30 | 1 | Def. | 21.2 | 11 | 27 | 3 | |
| Top Players | FP-S | FP-3 | DvP | FP-A | Top Players | FP-S | FP-3 | DvP | FP-A | |
| Manning | 30.03 | 24.61 | 29 | 23.77 | Romo | 17.83 | 17.96 | 18 | 18.84 | |
| Moreno | 13.20 | 14.93 | 21 | 19.76 | Murray | 16.43 | 16.40 | 30 | 25.99 | |
| Thomas | 19.45 | 15.73 | 19 | 31.61 | Bryant | 15.93 | 19.83 | 18 | 30.50 | |
| Thomas | 14.18 | 10.40 | 28 | 15.65 | Witten | 10.43 | 6.23 | 19 | 11.88 | |
Denver Broncos
The Denver Broncos look unstoppable. There are whispers of a 16-0 season and I do not think that is crazy, which is actually crazy! They average 44.75 PPG, which is just insane. Manning is using every one of his many weapons, look above at his target distribution. I don’t see Dallas slowing this offense down.
Broncos Target Leaders Through Week 4
Demaryius Thomas37
Wes Welker36
Eric Decker35
Julius Thomas24
Knowshon Moreno9
Ronnie Hillman5
Fantasy Relevant
Peyton Manning – He is averaging 4.5 more FPPG than any other QB. The cowboys allow 23.8 FPPG to the QB position and have allowed 30 passing plays of 15 yards or more this season.
Denver Receivers – There is really no wrong way to go, they are all studs. Dallas is allowing over 300 passing yards per game. Welker has 4 TDs in 5 goal line targets. Decker has 87+ yards in his last 3 games. Thomas has caught 78% of his targets.
Knowshon Moreno – Dallas is allowing 19.8 FPPG to RBs. If you expect Denver to be winning, Moreno will be running a lot in the 2nd half.
Dallas Cowboys
The Dallas Cowboys fantasy stars are playing very well. Murray, Bryant and Romo are all in the top 10 in scoring at their positions. They could all put up big numbers if the game goes as expected.
Cowboys Target Leaders Through Week 4
Dez Bryant35
Jason Witten33
DeMarco Murray22
Miles Austin19
Terrance Williams15
Fantasy Relevant
Tony Romo – Romo will be doing a lot of throwing. Denver is ranked 30th overall against the pass, they are allowing over 316 YPG and 18.8 FPPG against QBs.
DeMarco Murray – With Denver’s #1 ranked run defense and the Cowboys likely to be trailing, I don’t see him getting a lot of carries. However, this could just lead to a huge game out of the backfield with a pile of receptions. Denver is allowing 26 FPPG to the RB. Murray could be GPP gold.
Dallas Receivers – With the theme that the Cowboys will be throwing early and often everyone is in play. Bryant has 14 TDs in his last 12 games. Denver has allowed the 5th most receiving yards to TEs (Witten)
