Packers vs. Giants Player Props: Top NFL Picks for Dillon and Barkley

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What kind of performances can we expect on Monday Night Football from AJ Dillon and Saquon Barkley? Follow along as our NFL betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NFL prop bets and DFS pick’em predictions for today – Monday, December 11, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more football props, at ScoresandOdds.

This evening, the Green Bay Packers and New York Giants will be part of a Monday Night Football double-header to end Week 14 of the NFL regular season. Entering play, the Packers have won three consecutive games, and the Giants have won each of their last two contests.

If looking to wager on the player prop market instead of a side or total this evening, we have three prop leans for this matchup between the Packers and Giants!

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Packers vs. Giants NFL Player Props for MNF

AJ Dillon u2.5 Receptions (-154), FanDuel

AJ Dillon has eclipsed this market number in only one of four games that he has played without Aaron Jones on the field this season – catching three passes against the Lions on November 23. Detroit’s defense has been suffering against opposing running backs of late, allowing running backs to have at least 38 receiving yards against them in back-to-back weeks and three times in their last four games. The Giants allowed 15 total receiving yards to the combination of Rhamondre Stevenson and Ezekiel Elliott and held both Tony Pollard and Josh Jacobs to zero receiving yards during the month of November. Only Brian Robinson has found success through the air against New York as a pass catcher in recent weeks, and that came in a game in which the Commanders trailed for the entire second half. Dillon is unlikely to see many targets tonight, making the juice likely to be worth the squeeze here for a small play.

Saquon Barkley u3.5 Receptions (-138), FanDuel

Since Week 7, only Jahmyr Gibbs has eclipsed this market number as a running back against the Packers. During that stretch, Green Bay has held the following running backs to fewer than four catches – Isiah Pacheco, David Montgomery, Austin Ekeler, Najee Harris, Jaylen Warren, Darrell Henderson, Alexander Mattison, Cam Akers, Javonte Williams, and Jaleel McLaughlin. Barkley has more than three receptions in only one of his last six games, making the under worth a stab here.

AJ Dillon u64.5 Rushing Yards (-110), Bet365

AJ Dillon had 73 rushing yards last week against the Chiefs, but he still averaged only 4.1 yards per carry. Dillon has been among the worst running backs in the NFL this season by most advanced metrics. He ranks 9th-worst in rushing yards over expected per attempt (RYOE/attempt) this year and tonight has a more difficult matchup than anticipated with New York returning their top run defender Dexter Lawrence to the field. The under makes sense here, and we will live with the results.

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Image Credit: Getty Images

About the Author

nickgalaida
Nick Galaida (nickgalaida)

A failed high school pitcher, Nick Galaida discovered that he has a higher aptitude for analyzing and writing about sports than he does playing them. To his friends, he is better known as “The Commish.” When he’s not organizing a fantasy league, placing a bet, or writing an article, he’s probably nose-deep in a book—further illustrating the point that his niche in this world is as a nerd rather than an athlete. Follow Nick on Twitter – @CommishFilmRoom