Questions & Answers: Friday, August 16th

by Allan Lem (fathalpert) Last Updated 2019-08-16 18:27:15 Premium Content Part of the product Combo Lite

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Friday, August 16th

Hello Grinders. I’m covering for Cheese today on this massive 15-game slate as he’s traveling to a live final, so we have a lot of work ahead of us (we’re rooting for you, Dave). Let’s dive right in!

Question 1: How Do We Handle The Coors Game?

The first thing I try to do on every slate is scan it at a high level and see what we’re working with. Today is a Coors Field day, but it’s not an ordinary one. For starters, it features a one pretty good pitcher (Jon Gray) and one, uh, pitcher named Sandy Alcantara. Secondly, it features a Marlins team that ranks 6th in K% against right-handed pitching, as well as dead-last in team ISO and wRC+. This is just a bad offense. Meanwhile, Jon Gray continues to impress this season at home. At home, he has a 3.88 ERA while allowing batters to hit .270 off him. He’s also struck out 64 batters over 67.1 innings. In away games, he has a 4.22 ERA while batters are hitting .258 off him and he’s struck out 79 batters over 74.2 innings. Ignoring the ERA, it’s definitely the case that he hasn’t been as effective in Coors compared to other stadiums, but considering his home ballpark factors, I would say he’s held his own quite well this season in Colorado. This is not to say the Marlins are a bad stack today (we’ll touch on that later), but if you give the league’s worst offense a park boost, how much should we really expect it to help them? We typically try to jam in Coors Field bats in our cash game lineups, but I don’t think we need to do that with the Marlins.