Super Bowl Novelty Props: How To Bet on the Coin Toss, Gatorade Color, Swiftie Picks, & More
Only two fanbases care about who gets the Gatorade bath at the end of the night. For the rest of us, all we’re concerned about is the color of that sweet, electrolyte-laden beverage.
Here it is, your guide to Super Bowl novelty props for 2024.
2024 Super Bowl Novelty Props
The Coin Toss
Obviously, don’t bet where there’s juice. It’s … a coin flip. DraftKings is offering both sides at +100.
Quick stats
- Tails leads 30-27 all-time
- Tails hit last year, breaking a streak of two straight Heads
- Tails has hit 7 of the last 10 times
Tails is also 2 for 3 in the Chiefs’ recent appearances. Over the past 20 years, the flip has alternated just 3 times. All other stretches have included 2+ years of the same result. It’s streaky!
THE PICK: Tails. With Tails hitting last year but Heads the year before, the “data” would say the flip won’t alternate, and we’ll start a Tails streak.
Gatorade Color
Purple hit last season and comes in as the favorite once again (+225 on BetMGM). Blue is a close second (+275), followed by Yellow/Green (+450).
Every other color is 5-1 or longer.
Quick stats
- Orange has hit the most since 2001 (5 times)
- Blue has been most popular in recent years (4 times since 2015)
- Kansas City went Orange in 2020
Since 2021, Red hasn’t won. But both teams have a variation of the color in their uniforms. Red also happens to be an album title for a pretty famous spectator (more on that later).
THE PICK: Red (+500 on BetMGM). It’s good value, and the Swifties will have a field day with it.
Jersey of 1st TD Scorer
DraftKings has Over 22.5 (-115) / Under 22.5 (-105)
Quick stats
- San Francisco has scored the 1st TD in 14 of 19 games
- Kansas City has scored the 1st TD in 14 of 20 games
Here are the top candidates on each side:
- Jersey number over 12.5 (odds to be first TD scorer) – Christian McCaffrey (+360), Travis Kelce (+750), Rashee Rice (+1000), George Kittle (+1000), Clyde Edwards-Helaire (+2800), Justin Watson (+3500), Marquez Valdes-Scantling (+3500)
- Jersey number under 12.5 (odds to be first TD scorer) – Isiah Pacheco (+650), Deebo Samuel (+900), Brandon Aiyuk (+1100), Patrick Mahomes (+1500), Brock Purdy (+3000), Jerick McKinnon (+3500), Jauan Jennings (+3500)
With McCaffrey being No. 23, the 22.5 seems like a clear dividing line. Mahomes has zero rushing TDs this season. Purdy has 2, but they came back in Weeks 2 and 4. A QB sneak for the first TD feels unlikely.
THE PICK: Over 22.5. Getting McCaffrey and Kelce is too much to pass up. Rice was also 7th among wide receivers in red zone targets this season.
Position of MVP
This is usually an MVP award, but the odds are interesting this year. The quarterback is only -250 vs. the field on DraftKings. It was -650 last year (and hit).
Quick stats
- A quarterback has won 32 times
- A wide receiver has won twice in the past 5 years (Julian Edelman in 2019 and Cooper Kupp in 2021)
- A tight end has never won
Two defensive players have won in the past 10 years (Von Miller and Malcolm Smith), but DraftKings is specific with defensive positions. They have odds for defensive lineman, linebacker, cornerback, and safety, which makes that long shot even longer.
THE PICK: Tight End (+900). The narrative/hype certainly helps Kelce, and the Conference Championship box score is the perfect blueprint. He snagged 11-of-11 targets for 116 yards and a TD against Baltimore, while Mahomes had just 242 yards and one score. Kittle could certainly find his way to a couple of touchdowns himself.
Will there be an Octopus?
Nailed this one last season! Shoutout Jalen Hurts. The “Yes” odds were +1400 last year, but FanDuel is down to +980 this year. No Octopus is -2500.
For those unfamiliar, an octopus is scoring a touchdown and 2-point conversion consecutively.
Quick stats
- There have been 188 octopuses since the institution of the 2-point conversion (1994)
- There were 11 octopuses this season
- No quarterback recorded an octopus this season
Mahomes recorded an octopus last season, scampering in from 14 yards out and then plunging for the 2-point try against Tennessee in Week 9.
THE PICK: No. Kansas City and San Francisco were 31st and 32nd, respectively, in 2-point attempts this season. Maybe the score or a penalty encourages them to give it a go, but we can’t bank on that. This is not one of my long-shot picks this year.
For The Swifties
DraftKings has a special section titled For The Swifties, and you know I love a good bit.
Each bet has a theme. They’re basically repackaged Super Bowl specials, which is fine. Here are a few favorites…
- You Belong With Rashee: Kelce or Rice to Score a TD in the 1st Half (+120) – Easily the best name. They’ve combined for 4 TDs in the playoffs, 3 in the first half.
- I Knew You Were Trouble: McCaffrey 150+ rush+rec yards (+160) – He’s averaging 130 total yards in the postseason. The Chiefs allowed the 6th-highest yards per carry to RBs this season. Only three backs had more targets than McCaffrey. He should be heavily involved.
- Mine: Kelce 87+ receiving yards (+190) – He has 23 catches on 27 targets in the playoffs. San Francisco gave up the 6th-most targets and the 7th-most receptions per game to the position in the regular season.
- How You Get The Girl: Kelce to Score a TD in Each Half (+1000) – Another good name. Kelce is +650 to score twice on FanDuel. It feels like decent value, I just need him to split them up. It’s a fun long shot and fits with the MVP bet.
Shoutout to my wife for explaining the references.
Image Credit: Getty Images