At the age of 50, Jim Furyk still feels he has the game to compete with the best players in the world. Prior to last week’s WorkDay Charity Open, Furyk represented a great source of value for the week. Unable to overcome an ugly opening round of 75 Furyk missed the cut by just one shot. Playing in his 25th Memorial tournament Furyk will look to bounce back this week. Since the restart, Furyk is 2 for 4 in made cuts but has played better than the box score would indicate. Furyk’s other missed cut since the restart came at the RBC Heritage where he shot 2 under for the first two rounds of golf missing the cut by just two shots. Priced-down in this strong field, Furyk projects as one of the better point per play dollar options in the RotoGrinders Model for the week. A made cut ( 21 career Memorial made cuts) and a top 30 finish ( 15 career Memorial top 30 or better finishes) will easily pay off the salary for Furyk this week.
Brooks Koepka will enter this week’s Memorial with a bit of extra motivation to play well. After missing last week’s WorkDay Charity cut, Koepka made a last-minute choice to play this week. Koepka understands that he basically needs to run the table in order to play his way into the FedEx Cup race, and is hopeful that the momentum from Friday’s second round carries over into this week. Koepka took to twitter last week to throw some shade at the newly beefed-up Bryson DeChambeau. Koepka has historically been a guy motivated to prove his critics wrong and would love to put the narrative of DeChambeau being the current best player in the game to rest. Even at a discount in price Koepka should not garnish much ownership this week. Koepka found something in his back nine on Friday, and if that form carries over to this week there is little doubt that Koepka can contend for a win. Since the restart, there have already been two winners who missed the previous cut, Koepka will tee it up on Thursday with that goal clearly in his sights.
For the first time in a few weeks, the PGA Tour is set to play a tournament without any positive COVID Test results. With just about 10 minutes until roster lock, there is no major news to report. K.J. Choi is the only player to pull out of this week’s event after pricing was released. ReslutsDB will be up and running a few minutes after lock. Good luck this week Grinders!!!!
Kevin Roth’s weather report for this week’s Workday Charity Open has just been recently updated and is now available to read on his weather page. With Thursday appearing to a pretty even weather draw, gamers will have to make a guess on how Friday’s weather forecast plays out in order to predict any edge. With a chance of stronger winds and perhaps some storms late on Friday afternoon, there is a chance that the late Thursday/ early Friday wave could end up with the favorable draw for the week. With a possibility of delays, there is a chance that Friday afternoon golfers avoid the high winds which would negate the potential edge. The uncertainty of the timing of Friday’s storms makes weather a tiebreaker this week, and less of a reason to fade a player you really like. Stacking tee time waves however is a great way for those with MME builds is a good way to gain exposure to any weather draws for the week.
Jason Day finds himself in somewhat of an unusual situation. With five missed cuts already this season ( 3 since the restart), Day is in jeopardy of having his worse season ever on The PGA Tour. Currently, outside of the top 100 in this year’s FedEx Cup standings, Day clearly has his work cut out if he plans on finishing the season strong. The good news is that Day played his ten rounds of par since the restart at a combined score of seven under par. Last week’s missed cut at 4 under is a great example of a player who is close to playing well and could get looked over as simply just a missed cut. Currently projected to have a sub 6% ownership number for the week, Day is the type of player that could make a difference in a GPP. Day lives in the area and has played more than his fair share of golf at Muirfield Village. For those who are willing to take a risk on what has been a long term talent in the world of golf, this is a great buy-low spot on a player with a ton to prove.
Due to the COVID pandemic, Matthew Fitzpatrick has been without his regular caddie during the PGA Tour restart. After using a fill-in caddie for the first three weeks of the restart Fitzpatrick will have a long time Phil Mickelson caddie Jim “Bones” MacKay on the bag for the next two events at Muirfield Village. Since retiring from Mickelson’s bag MacKay has been an on-course reporter for NBC/Golf Channel. When news surfaced that Fitzpatrick needed a caddie for the next two weeks, MacKay reached out to offer his services. In addition to getting one of the most respected caddies in the game, Fitzpatrick will also gain a bunch of local knowledge from MacKay over the next two weeks.
Despite both a positive course fit and great recent form, Rory Sabbatini struggled to play well at last week’s Rocket Mortgage. Sabbatini hit some quality shots in his first round last week, much better than his score of 76 would indicate. The combo of zero birdies ( multiple looks inside of 10 feet) and a few bad holes left Sabbatini in too big of a hole on a course that played pretty easy. Heading into this week’s event with a pretty big price discount, Sabbatini looks to be a decent source of value. For those with a short memory, Sabbatini could be a difference-maker this week. Sabbatini has 8 career top 30 or better finishes in 12 tournaments at Muirfield Village.
K.J. Choi has decided to take a pass on this week’s event. He will be replaced in the field by Chase Seiffert.
After a handful of player movement on Monday, there is no news to report ahead of round one of The Rocket Mortgage Classic. Stewart Cink and Harris English withdrew early in the week due to COVID-19. Cameron Champ was a late add to the field, but will not be available in pricing pools until round 2. After testing false positive for COVID last week, the Tour added Champ as the 157th golfer in this week’s field. He will play the first two rounds as a single. Please make sure to double-check your lineups for any of the players tagged in this alert. Good luck this week grinders. ResultsDB will be up and running a few minutes after lock.
Last year’s Rocket Mortgage Classic marked just the second career professoinal start for Matthew Wolff. The highly touted amateur known for his very unique swing was not able to overcome an opening-round 75 en route to a missed cut. In the year that has since passed Wolff has experienced both the highs and lows of life on the PGA tour. In addition to winning last fall Wolff has twice as many missed cuts as he does top 25 finishes. For game log watchers it will be easy to overlook back to back missed cuts by Wolff prior to this week, but with 3 of his last 4 rounds at par or better, this former OSU golfer is in better form ahead of this week than a missed cut would indicate. Wolff is an intriguing value golfer for the week as he typically plays the type of golf that is needed to compete at The Rocket Mortgage Classic. Birdies will be a premium on what could be an easy track, and Wolff has an aggressive style that could be a difference-maker.
At this point last week a Doc Redman was trending at a sub 7% projected ownership with a very reasonable $6700 price tag. Redman ended up at almost 10% ownership and with a T11 finish, he was a difference-maker for many in the world of DFS at The Travelers Championship. In what is shaping up to be a very weak field it is still somewhat surprising to see an $8500 Doc Redman (20%) near the top of this week’s projected ownership numbers. Redman comes into this week in excellent form, and if you combine that with his second-place finish at this event last year it’s easy to see how people could fall in love with him again this week. For those who are always looking to fade the chalk golfers, there are plenty of good reasons to scratch or go underweight on Redman in your player pool. At $8500 you would probably need a top 10 from Redman to contend in any large field GPP. ‘s. This week’s Rocket Mortgage Classic marks Redman’s 28th start on The PGA Tour, and while he has shown flashes early in his career, his only top 10 finish came at this very event last year. If Redman were to finish outside the top 10 but still post a very respectable T25 or better finish, his price tag would not kill your lineups but it would still be very hard to compete in large field GPP’s. Redman has 8 top 25 or better finishes his 27 starts on tour, and with two of those coming in the last two weeks it’s easy to see how ownership is trending his way. From a game theory standpoint, a high priced and high owned Redman is more likely to finish somewhere between 15th and 40th than he is inside the top 10. At his price and expected ownership, you can look to go underweight on Redman this week in GPP’s and maybe instead gain offsetting exposure to a talented and trending golfer by betting him to win( 47 to 1).
After an adventure-filled day of news on Monday, there is hope that this year’s Rocket Morgage Classic will play through the week without further interruption. The above players tagged in this alert have been added to the player pool and now have projections in LineupHQ. Surprisingly Kurt Kitayama has a higher price tag than many established PGA Tour players. In his limited starts on the PGA Tour Kitayama has yet to post a top ten or better finish. As a two time winner of the European PGA Tour Kitayama does have plenty of experience in the world of professional golf, but his high price tag makes his addition to a roster a very tough choice for the week. George McNeill is by far the most accomplished on this list but comes into this event in less than desirable form. McNeill has two career PGA Tour wins but has struggled to find many starts on Tour over the past few seasons. For now, this group of players at best should be considered a one-off large field GPP dart throw.
Rickie Fowler has not missed three consecutive cuts since the 2016 season. As he prepares to play in this week’s Rocket Classic, Fowler will look to put his current two missed cut streak in the rearview mirror. During the offseason, Fowler made a swing coach change and was even seen experimenting with a new putting grip during the second round of the RBC Heritage two weeks ago. Currently trending as a low owned golfer for the week, Fowler has a proven track record worth of talent needed to be a difference-maker at The Rocket Mortgage. While there is proof that the changes made in his game are not quite where Fowler would like them to be, his -3 score atThe RBC Heritage was just one shot off the cut line. We have seen that making the cut in the first three events of the restart has been a tougher task due to the strength of each field. Fowler could be closer to form than his results indicate and the intrigue of getting a player of his talent level in a weak field at a low ownership level has the feel of a strong leverage play.
In what could be a very busy week of player movement, Harris English becomes the second player to withdraw from the Rocket Classic on Monday. Unlike Stewart Cink, English figured to be a popular golfer for this week so his removal for the field could have impact on projected ownership. English tested positive for COVID-19 on Monday.
Stewart Cink has decided to not play in this week’s Rocket Mortgage Classic. He will be replaced in the field by George McNeill. At this time there is no injury news associated with Cink’s choice to not play this week. McNeill will get added to projections once he is added to pricing pools.