MLB Daily Grind Down April 19th Part 3
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee
| Chicago Cubs | Milwaukee | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miller Park | 8:10 PM | ||||||
| Jeff Samardzija (1-2 REC, 2.75 ERA, 6.0 Avg IP) | Marco Estrada (1-0 REC, 4.50 ERA, 5.1 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 16-59 (0.271) H/AB, 0.831 OPS, 1 HR, 13 Ks | PvB | 16-75 (0.213) H/AB, 0.707 OPS, 2 HR, 25 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 96.1 IP, 4.3 ERA, 0.255 BAA, 8.3 K/9 | HOME | 78.2 IP, 2.97 ERA, 0.214 BAA, 10.2 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
CHC BvP  | CHC vs R | MIL BvP | MIL vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored MIL -115
Pitchers
- Home Marco Estrada might be the best midrange option tonight. He has not been dominant in his first 3 starts but the K totals have been consitant and high. He faces off against a Cubs team batting only .175 on the road this year. The Cubs have been heating it up lately batting .274 over the last 7 days but I like the fact that Estrada was a 2.97 pitcher at home last year and his value Target
- Away Jeff Samardzija ‘s 4.30 road ERA from a year ago raises some concerns for him today in this hitter’s park. MIL is batting .286 at home this year have some solid BvPs vs. him. I do not trust CHC to score him enough runs. He has GPP upside if you want to gamble. Avoid
Batters
- Home Ryan Braun sports a tasty .462 BAA for today. Jean Segura and Norichika Aoki have positive numbers as well.
- Away Starlin Castro, Alfonso Soriano, and Nate Schierholtz have positive BvPs versus Estrada and all of those 3 have been batting well over the last 7 days. Alfonso Soriano is batting just .175 vs. Right-handed pitching so far this year.
Minnesota at Chicago White Sox
| Minnesota | Chicago White Sox | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Cellular Field | 8:10 PM | ||||||
| Vance Worley (0-2 REC, 10.50 ERA, 5.2 Avg IP) | Jake Peavy (2-1 REC, 3.93 ERA, 6.1 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 0-0 (0) H/AB, 0 OPS, 0 HR, 0 Ks | PvB | 32-140 (0.229) H/AB, 0.621 OPS, 1 HR, 36 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 60.1 IP, 2.98 ERA, 0.275 BAA, 6.6 K/9 | HOME | 101.2 IP, 3.1 ERA, 0.211 BAA, 7.9 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| MIN BvP | MIN vs R | CHW BvP | CHW vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8.5
- Favored CWS -164
Pitchers
- Home Jake Peavy has been a very reliable pitcher at home and his one start there this year went well. He draws a MIN team turning the corner offensively and loaded with dangerous left-handed hitters. He should get the win in this matchup but it probably will not be clean. Target
- Away Vance Worley has been hit very hard to start the season. He is not adjusting to the AL but even the NYM pts up 9 vs. him in the first inning. Avoid
Batters
- Home Everyone is in play for CWS. I like Conor Gillaspie for the bargain and I would probably take a chance on the lefty Adam Dunn if his price has dropped.
- Away The red hot Joe Mauer draws the righty matchup today. I like him and Justin Morneau today even though their BvPs are not all that great. Trevor Plouffe has a .294 BAA vs. Peavy and could be a nice under the radar pick.
Arizona at Colorado
| Arizona | Colorado | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coors Field | 8:40 PM | ||||||
| Ian Kennedy (1-1 REC, 5.79 ERA, 6.0 Avg IP) | Jhoulys Chacin (2-0 REC, 1.96 ERA, 5.2 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 45-171 (0.263) H/AB, 0.749 OPS, 4 HR, 43 Ks | PvB | 19-68 (0.279) H/AB, 0.912 OPS, 1 HR, 12 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 111 IP, 3.97 ERA, 0.267 BAA, 7.7 K/9 | HOME | 32.2 IP, 6.34 ERA, 0.321 BAA, 5.5 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| ARI BvP | ARI vs R | COL BvP | COL vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 10.5
- Favored COL -122
Pitchers
- Neither of these pitchers are worth taking tonight in COL.
Batters
- Home The only two starters that do not have good BvPs versus Kennedy are Troy tulowitzki and Carlos Gonzalez. Go figure. Gonzalez is batting .400 on the season and catches a struggling right-hander. Forget the BvPs.
- Away The Left-handed Miguel Montero jumps out at me tonight but everyone is in play in a game that is headed towards big numbers.
Detroit at LA Angels
| Detroit | LA Angels | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel Stadium | 10:05 PM | ||||||
| Anibal Sanchez (2-0 REC, 1.42 ERA, 6.0 Avg IP) | Tommy Hanson (1-1 REC, 6.55 ERA, 5.2 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 15-53 (0.283) H/AB, 0.774 OPS, 2 HR, 11 Ks | PvB | 12-36 (0.333) H/AB, 0.833 OPS, 1 HR, 9 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 104 IP, 3.29 ERA, 0.271 BAA, 7.1 K/9 | HOME | 79.2 IP, 4.41 ERA, 0.287 BAA, 7.9 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| DET BvP | DET vs R | LAA BvP | LAA vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8.5
- Favored DET -112
Pitchers
- Home Tommy Hanson gave up 5 runs to HOU in his last start. Heaven help him versus a team that has 6 players receiving regular playing time batting over .300 on the season. It is hard for me to recommend anyone against them. Avoid
- Away Anibal Sanchez was a much better pitcher on the road than he was at home a year ago. He has looked sharp in his first three starts and producing Ks. The Angels offense has been hot over the last 7 days batting .282 and their BvPs vs. Sanchez are pretty good. Sanchez can win you a GPP but I do not think he has GPP winning stuff and the matchup is too dangerous for me today. Avoid
Batters
- Home I told you Mike Trout would turn it on and he has. I am still waiting on Josh Hamilton. He is 4-4 vs. Sanchez. Mark Trumbo is 2-6 and after a hot week has seen his batting average jump over .300.
- Away Prince Fielder splits are really nice today. Also, Johnny Peralta is batting over .300 on the season and still priced cheap on some sites. It is a good day to take any of the Tigers.
San Diego at San Francisco
| San Diego | San Francisco | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AT&T Park | 10:15 PM | ||||||
| Edinson Volquez (0-3 REC, 11.68 ERA, 5.1 Avg IP) | Madison Bumgarner (3-0 REC, 1.77 ERA, 6.0 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 14-73 (0.192) H/AB, 0.603 OPS, 1 HR, 25 Ks | PvB | 48-169 (0.284) H/AB, 0.864 OPS, 6 HR, 41 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 82 IP, 5.6 ERA, 0.266 BAA, 8.2 K/9 | HOME | 106 IP, 2.38 ERA, 0.219 BAA, 8.3 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| SDP BvP | SDP vs L | SFG BvP | SFG vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7
- Favored SF -230
Pitchers
- Home Madison Bumgarner is your lock of the night. It actually helps the play that there are so many other good options because I do not think everyone will be sitting on him. SD has been lost at the plate and Bumgarner ‘s ERA at home was a 2.38 a year ago. Target
- Away Edinson Volquez has not been pitching well and he faces a SF team batting .305 at home this year. Even if he pitches well SD is not producing runs. Avoid
Batters
- Home Everyone is in play when a pitcher is struggling with his control. Pablo Sandoval ‘s numbers are the best. It is hard not to like any of the hot bats. The OU is only 7 so do not overdue it.
- Away Carlos Quentin, Chase Headley and Chris Denorfia have nice splits vs. Bumgarner. I like Denorfia as a play if you fade Bumgarner.