MLB Daily Grind Down: Friday, July 5th Part Two
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Minnesota vs. Toronto
| 7:07 PM | Minnesota – ROAD | Toronto – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.248 | 0.709 | 20.40% | 0.56 | 0.250 | 0.731 | 19.10% | 0.62 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.262 | 0.710 | 21.00% | 0.42 | 0.250 | 0.751 | 19.50% | 0.52 | |
| SP STATS | Correia – RHP | Buehrle – LHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.33 | 4.08 | 4.81 | 8.19 | 1.40 | 4.81 | 5.94 | 7.76 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 1.28 | 4.58 | 5.76 | 7.73 | 1.81 | 5.63 | 5.63 | 6.67 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
MIN vs L  | MIN BvP | TOR vs R | TOR BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 9
- Favored Team – TOR -172
Pitcher Grind Down
- Home This is why I think you should never play Mark Buehrle. He has not gone past 7 IP in any of his 17 starts and has a bad K/9 of 5.94 and even worse WHIP of 1.40 on the year. Plus, he seems to be overpriced because of his record and his name on most site. Everyone will have good starts from time to time but you are better off avoiding him over the grind because he has little upside. MIN is batting .230 on the road, .266 versus left-handers, and .256 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4
- Away It is not often that you see a pitcher get better when transitioning from the NL to the AL but that is exactly what Kevin Correia has done so far this year. He has struggled on the road and TOR is a great home team so there is not any upside in playing him today. TOR is batting .259 at home, .250 versus right-handers, and .247 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 3
Batter Grind Down
- Home Jose Bautista, Jose Reyes, and Edwin Encarnacion have positive BvPs versus Correia. Jose Bautista has been out of this world hot with 40.5 fp over the past 7 days. Adam Lind is batting over .300 versus right-handers.RG Stack Rating 5
- Away Justin Morneau has turned it up with 31.5 fp over the past week. Trevor Plouffe and Brian Dozier are the players I like the best in this matchup. Both are batting over .300 versus left-handed pitching and have been producing over the last 7 days. RG Stack Rating 4
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Seattle vs. Cincinnati
| 7:10 PM | Seattle – ROAD | Cincinnati – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.236 | 0.683 | 21.90% | 0.51 | 0.248 | 0.722 | 19.90% | 0.58 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.239 | 0.686 | 21.80% | 0.42 | 0.248 | 0.719 | 20.10% | 0.47 | |
| SP STATS | Harang – RHP | Leake – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.25 | 5.08 | 7.48 | 7.94 | 1.13 | 2.52 | 5.84 | 10.58 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 1.00 | 4.15 | 2.77 | 5.50 | 0.60 | 1.80 | 3.00 | 8.50 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| SEA vs R | SEA BvP | CIN vs R | CIN BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 8.5
- Favored Team – CIN -190
Pitcher Grind Down
- Home Mike Leake is having a fantastic season and he is young enough that you can believe that his jump in production is real. He draws the best matchup in baseball in SEA because they both do not score runs and strikeout at a high rate. SEA is batting .234 on the road, .241 versus right-handers, and .284 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 8
- Away If you believe in the revenge factor then Aaron Harang is making his first start in CIN since his departure. After watching him get hit hard for years in that park, I do not think anything will change for him today. CIN is batting .258 at home, .247 versus right-handers, and .265 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 1
Batter Grind Down
- Home Choo, Votto, and Bruce. are your targets but everyone is playable versus Harang. RG Stack Rating 8
- Away Rual Ibanez, Kendrys Morales and Kyle Seager have all been hot. Kyle Seager is batting .302 versus right-handers. RG Stack Rating 2
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Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay
| 7:10 PM | Chicago White Sox – ROAD | Tampa Bay – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.245 | 0.679 | 20.60% | 0.53 | 0.257 | 0.746 | 18.30% | 0.63 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.250 | 0.689 | 20.40% | 0.41 | 0.244 | 0.723 | 18.30% | 0.48 | |
| SP STATS | Axelrod – RHP | Hellickson – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.45 | 4.57 | 5.09 | 6.70 | 1.24 | 4.90 | 6.91 | 9.13 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 1.77 | 5.91 | 4.41 | 4.10 | 1.11 | 1.42 | 6.63 | 14.00 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| CHW vs R | CHW BvP | TBR vs R | TBR BvP | ||||||
- Favored Team – TAM -190
Pitcher Grind Down
- Home Jeremy Hellickson ‘s ERA is high but his WHIP is a solid 1.22 on the year, which means he is pitching better than the results would suggest. He is a great spot to perform today versus a struggling CHW team and I think is a very strong play because his salary should be low. CHW is batting .250 on the road, .250 versus right-handers, and .284 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 6
- Away Dylan Axelrod has given up 8 HR and 17 ER in his last 4 starts. Given his low K/9, it would incredibly dangerous if you played him today versus this tough TAM team. TAM is batting .266 at home, .246 versus right-handers, and .282 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 2
Batter Grind Down
- Home TAM hot and facing a pitcher who is struggling so consider everyone playable. RG Stack Rating 8
- Away Adam Dunn, Alejandro De Aza, and Jeff Keppinger have been hot of CHW. Gordon Beckham is batting .400 versus right-handers. RG Stack Rating 3
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Houston vs. Texas
| 8:05 PM | Houston – ROAD | Texas – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.238 | 0.679 | 25.10% | 0.53 | 0.260 | 0.739 | 17.60% | 0.60 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.228 | 0.653 | 25.00% | 0.38 | 0.263 | 0.751 | 17.30% | 0.49 | |
| SP STATS | Harrell – RHP | Tepesch – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.56 | 4.59 | 5.76 | 7.39 | 1.34 | 4.71 | 6.85 | 7.41 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 1.58 | 5.17 | 8.88 | 7.07 | 1.52 | 3.72 | 10.76 | 8.10 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| HOU vs R | HOU BvP | TEX vs R | TEX BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 8
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 9.5
- Favored Team – TEX -200
Pitcher Grind Down
- Home Nick Tepesch draws the K happy Astros. Even with the upgrade, I do not think he is playable in a single pitcher format because he does not go deep enough into games but he is an almost must play on a multiple pitcher site. HOU is batting .244 on the road, .227 versus right-handers, and .161 over the last 7 days.RG Start-Ability 7
- Away You remember when everyone was high on Lucas Harell to start the season? Neither do I. Harrell is a wild card since is capable of good starts but I do not think his ceiling is high enough. TEX is batting .267 at home, .263 versus right-handers, and .227 over the past 7 days RG Start-Ability 3
Batter Grind Down
- Home Adrian Beltre is 5-10 versus Harrell and has been the most productive Ranger. Bad Harrell could show up so consider everyone playable. RG Stack Rating 6
- Away The Astros have finally become as bad as everyone thought they would be. They are a bad team to began with and now they are slumping RG Stack Rating 1
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NY Mets vs. Milwaukee
| 8:10 PM | NY Mets – ROAD | Milwaukee – HOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM BATTING | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | AVG | OPS | K% | FPAB | |
| SEASON | 0.230 | 0.667 | 22.60% | 0.52 | 0.260 | 0.723 | 19.40% | 0.56 | |
| VS. LEFT/RIGHT | 0.228 | 0.665 | 22.60% | 0.40 | 0.256 | 0.718 | 18.60% | 0.43 | |
| SP STATS | Wheeler – RHP | Hellweg – RHP | |||||||
| WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | WHIP | ERA | K/9 | FPPG | ||
| SEASON | 1.50 | 5.06 | 7.31 | 8.00 | 5.00 | 20.25 | 8.18 | -0.90 | |
| LAST 14 DAYS | 1.50 | 8.10 | 5.40 | 3.50 | 5.00 | 20.25 | 8.18 | -0.90 | |
| BATTER SPLITS | Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window | ||||||||
| NYM vs R | NYM BvP | MIL vs R | MIL BvP | ||||||
What Vegas Says
- Over/Under Total Runs – 9
- Favored Team – MIL -115
Pitcher Grind Down
- Home Johnny Hellweg is the favorite today which is surprising to me since he is a reliever making a spot start and he has a 20.25 ERA on the season. There is no need to even bother considering him unless you really like to gamble. NYM is batting .245 on the road, .232 versus right-handers, and .259 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 1
- Away There are a few people in the Mets office that are higher on Zack Wheeler than they are Matt Harvey. Wheeler has not been impressive in his first 2 starts but the Mets have let him pitch. He has thrown over 100 pitches in 2 out of his first 3 starts. Vegas, has it wrong. He seems a lock to get the win today. MIL is batting .268 at home, .254 versus right-handers, and .236 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 6
Batter Grind Down
- Home Jean Segura, Aramis Ramirez, and Carlos Gomez are all batting over .300 versus right-handers. Carlos Gomez had a great game yesterday so you might want to ride the hot hand. RG Stack Rating 5
- Away Josh Satin has been hot over the last 7 days with 31.75 fp. He has not soon much power so do not expect too much but if he is still cheap jump on him. David Wright is also hot with 24.25 fp. Every one is playable in this one but it is the Mets so do not think they are a lock to go off.. RG Stack Rating 7
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