MLB Daily Grind Down May 15th Part 2
Atlanta at Arizona
| Atlanta | Arizona | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Field | 3:40 PM | ||||||
| Tim Hudson – (4-2), 4.7 ERA, 6.85 K/9, 1.24 WHIP | Ian Kennedy – (1-3), 4.83 ERA, 6.65 K/9, 1.33 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (22-100 H/AB) 0.22 BA-A, 17 K%, 0.53 OPS-A | PvB | (13-46 H/AB) 0.283 BA-A, 19.57 K%, 0.913 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-2), 6.97 ERA, 4 HRA, 5.2 K/9, 1.548 WHIP | HOME | (1-1), 4.73 ERA, 3 HRA, 6.1 K/9, 1.463 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
ATL BvP  | ATL vs R | ARI BvP | ARI vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8.0
- Favored ARI -108
Pitchers
- Home Vegas sure had the line wrong in this game last night. Patrick Corbin has been a beast all season and for some reason Vegas put the over under at 9 and only made him a slight favorite. Then he shut out the Braves. Then today we have Tim Hudson and Ian Kennedy pitching and the line is only 8? I think Vegas has it wrong again. Ian Kennedy has not looked great this season, his ERA is hovering at around 5 and his WHIP at home is 1.460. Even though the Braves bats have been cold, they can heat up in a hurry. Avoid
- Away Tim Hudson got shelled in his last start against the Giants and I could see him struggling again tonight in Arizona. He hasn’t been great on the road this season and has given up at least 3 earned runs in 4 of his last 5 starts. Not a great spot for Hudson. Avoid
Batters
- Home I think this game is much higher scoring than Vegas does. Two struggling pitchers playing in Chase Field usually means there will be some fireworks. Paul Goldschmidt has been hot lately and is a good play if he isn’t too expensive. I also like the left hand bats of Miguel Montero and Jason Kubel if he is in the lineup.
- Away The guy to watch out for tonight is Freddie Freeman. He is still rounding into form, but I think he is in a great spot tonight against Ian Kennedy. Justin Upton is also a decent play, I’m a sucker anytime there is a revenge factor involved.
Milwaukee at Pittsburgh
| Milwaukee | Pittsburgh | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PNC Park | 7:05 PM | ||||||
| Yovani Gallardo – (3-2), 4.7 ERA, 6.07 K/9, 1.5 WHIP | Wandy Rodriguez – (3-2), 3.62 ERA, 6.55 K/9, 1.07 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (36-142 H/AB) 0.254 BA-A, 21.83 K%, 0.803 OPS-A | PvB | (86-292 H/AB) 0.295 BA-A, 18.15 K%, 0.836 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-2), 6.19 ERA, 0 HRA, 5.6 K/9, 1.875 WHIP | HOME | (2-1), 1.37 ERA, 1 HRA, 8.2 K/9, 0.559 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| MIL BvP | MIL vs L | PIT BvP | PIT vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored PIT -123
Pitchers
- Home It’s really tough to like Wandy Rodriguez in this one. If he were facing any team other than the Brewers, then I would like the matchup at home, but the Brewers are so good against lefties that it’s tough to recommend him today. The Brewers are batting .291 against lefties this season with a .822 OPS. They also have had good success against him in the past. Avoid
- Away I usually tend to avoid taking Yovani Gallardo when he is pitching on the road. This season he has an ERA of 6.19 and a WHIP of 1.880 on the road. While the matchup against the Pirates is juicy, the numbers suggest otherwise. I think he could be an option in GPP’s though. In Play
Batters
- Home Not a lot of BvP history to go on here, but Andrew McCutchen has been swinging a hot bat lately and hit the walk off HR last night. He is batting .324 at home this season and could have a nice night against Gallardo. Garrett Jones also looks to have a good matchup if he is in the lineup.
- Away Like I said, the Brewers hit lefties well and have had success against Wandy in the past. Ryan Braun is 16/42 with 4 HR’s and 6 doubles against him, Aoki is 4/12 with a HR and a double, Aramis Ramirez is 20/51. All of them are solid options. Maybe stay away from Carlos Gomez though as he is only 4/29 against Rodriguez in his career.
Seattle at NY Yankees
| Seattle | NY Yankees | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankee Stadium | 7:05 PM | ||||||
| Hisashi Iwakuma – (4-1), 1.74 ERA, 8.96 K/9, 0.74 WHIP | Phil Hughes – (2-2), 4.43 ERA, 8.28 K/9, 1.38 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (21-41 H/AB) 0.512 BA-A, 12.2 K%, 1.366 OPS-A | PvB | (21-96 H/AB) 0.219 BA-A, 33.33 K%, 0.646 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (2-1), 2.42 ERA, 4 HRA, 9 K/9, 0.885 WHIP | HOME | (1-1), 3.38 ERA, 5 HRA, 9 K/9, 1.292 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| SEA BvP | SEA vs R | NYY BvP | NYY vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored NYY – 120
Pitchers
- Home Phil Hughes had been on a roll until his last start against the Royals. His strikeout numbers were up and he had only allowed 6 earned runs in his previous 4 starts. I think he has a great matchup today against the Mariners and it helps that Hughes is pitching at home where he has been much better than he has on the road. BvP also favors Hughes. Target
- Away Hishashi Iwakuma is one of my favorite pitchers to take. He just doesn’t seem to have bad games and his WHIP of 0.742 through 8 starts is insane. I think he pitches well again today and this game should be another close, low scoring affair. If you play on a site with more than one pitcher, I don’t think it’s a bad idea to take both of these guys. In Play
Batters
- Home The Yankees have limited at bats against Iwakuma but seem to have his number. Almost all of the Yankee bats have success against him. But the sample size is too small for me and Iwakuma is pitching too well. I am going to avoid all bats in this one.
- Away I think Hughes pitches well tonight and I usually don’t take any Mariners anyway unless the matchup is too good to pass up.
San Francisco at Toronto
| San Francisco | Toronto | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rogers Centre | 7:07 PM | ||||||
| Ryan Vogelsong – (1-3), 7.78 ERA, 8.52 K/9, 1.73 WHIP | Ramon Ortiz – (0-1), 3.24 ERA, 3.33 K/9, 1.8 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (10-32 H/AB) 0.313 BA-A, 21.88 K%, 0.844 OPS-A | PvB | (1-6 H/AB) 0.167 BA-A, 66.67 K%, 0.333 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-1), 6 ERA, 5 HRA, 8 K/9, 1.5 WHIP | HOME | (0-0), 5.4 ERA, 0 HRA, 5.4 K/9, 1.8 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| SFG BvP | SFG vs R | TOR BvP | TOR vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9.5
- Favored TOR -112
Pitchers
- Home Ramon Ortiz is basically a fill in starter and while I could break down the numbers, let’s just say that he is not very good. Looking at the over/under, you will want to avoid him anyway. Avoid
- Away Yesterday’s prediction about Zito getting rocked came true and I think Ryan Vogelsong could be in trouble in Toronto as well. He has just fallen apart in at least one inning of every start and the Rays bats are finally starting to heat up. Avoid
Batters
- Home Plenty of bats are in play today from both teams. Melky Cabrera has finally put together a nice hot streak and is in play today, especially on sites where he is still really cheap. The HR hitters of Jose Bautista and Edwin Encarnacion are both in play as well and watchout for Colby Rasmus as a sneaky pick.
- Away Angel Pagan and Brandon Belt get the lefty/righty splits in their favor, but I think the right hand bats are also in play. Hunter Pence has 6 hits in his last 4 games and I think he has another multi-hit performance tonight.
Boston at Tampa Bay
| Boston | Tampa Bay | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropicana Field | 7:10 PM | ||||||
| Jon Lester – (5-0), 2.73 ERA, 7.76 K/9, 0.99 WHIP | David Price – (1-3), 4.78 ERA, 8.28 K/9, 1.39 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (44-206 H/AB) 0.214 BA-A, 32.52 K%, 0.631 OPS-A | PvB | (41-176 H/AB) 0.233 BA-A, 30.11 K%, 0.705 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (3-0), 3.48 ERA, 3 HRA, 8.7 K/9, 1.065 WHIP | HOME | (0-2), 5 ERA, 3 HRA, 6.7 K/9, 1.407 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| BOS BvP | BOS vs L | TBR BvP | TBR vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.0
- Favored TB -120
Pitchers
- Home Matt Moore really had me scared yesterday after giving up 3 in the first inning, but he bounced back and ended up having a decent game. I think that David Price does him one better and really has a solid game tonight against the Red Sox. Price’s numbers at home over the last few seasons are ridiculous and he is slowly starting to pitch like the Cy Young winner we saw last season. Target
- Away Jon Lester has really been solid so far this season, but has a tough matchup against the Rays today. I think he will pitch well, but will likely fall short of picking up the win. He could be an against the grain pick though. In Play
Batters
- Home I don’t expect this game to be full of runs and Lester has good BvP numbers against the Rays. Take hitters from a more high scoring game.
- Away Dustin Pedroia is 10/33 against Price and is good against lefties so if you want to take a shot on someone, he is your guy. That said, I’m not paying that much for someone against Price.