Bills vs. Titans Same Game Parlay Picks & Player Props
Week 6 of the NFL season is almost in the books, but not until an exciting Monday Night Football showdown this evening between the Buffalo Bills and the Tennessee Titans. At center stage, MVP candidate QB Josh Allen and perennial rushing leader Derrick Henry will be trying to hoist their teams on their backs. But we won’t simply be betting on just the Monday Night Football line or individual Bills vs. Titans props. Like we do for every primetime game, we will dive deeper and assemble a low-risk, high-reward Same Game Parlay on PointsBet Sportsbook.
A Same Game Parlay basically just means a parlay consisting of multiple correlated wagers from one specific game. It provides bettors with good options to bet a game—and piece together props into a parlay within that game—beyond just the standard spread, moneyline, and over/under totals.
Here’s an example of my winning Same Game Parlay recommendation for Sunday Night Football a few weekends ago (between Green Bay and San Francisco):
- Green Bay Packers Total: OVER 21.5 (-140)
- ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN SCORER: Aaron Jones (-110)
- ANYTIME SCORER: Davante Adams (+100)
- George Kittle to Get 75+ Receiving Yards (-230)
If you played this custom-made parlay, you would have woken up $834 richer the next morning. Same Game Parlay is a quick, easy, and extremely fun way of betting one specific game—and building a big potential payout—without being confined to the typical lines and spreads.
Let’s dive into our favorite Same Game Parlay bets for this exciting Monday Night Football showdown, and let’s make some more money!
Bills vs. Titans Same Game Parlay
- Pick Your Own Spread: Buffalo -2.5 (-210)
- Pick Your Own Total: OVER 47.5 (-230)
- Receiving Props: Emmanuel Sanders 50+ Receiving Yards (-180)
- Rushing Props: Zack Moss 50+ Rushing Yards (+100)
- Quarterback Props: Josh Allen OVER 292.5 Passing Yards (-115)|
Total Odds: +737 | Total Bet: 120 | Total Payout: $1,004.40
Pick Your Own Spread: Buffalo -2.5 (-210)
I love the Buffalo Bills, and have for many years now. It’s to the point that my friends call me a fake Patriots fan, and accuse me of secretly joining the Bills Mafia. But what can I say, I just recognize and respect an organization’s ability to gradually build itself into a powerhouse. Buffalo has enjoyed a steady nucleus of talent and structure for the better part of a half-decade now—including Coach Sean McDermott and basically his entire coaching system, and QB and MVP candidate Josh Allen. This team has been dominant on both sides of the ball, and looks like a serious contender for Super Bowl LVI.
With all that being said, I still want nothing to do with the Bills -6 on Monday Night Football. We have seen way too many funky things go down in primetime games this year for us to fall for betting the favorite on the road by a touchdown. I still like Buffalo to win—especially with the majority of Tennessee’s receiving corps banged up—but I’m playing it safe and choosing my own spread of -2.5. PointsBet allows you to choose your own spread at different odds, and in this case, our safe pick of the Bills by a field goal yields a perfectly acceptable -210. Every good parlay needs a solid foundation.
Pick Your Own Total: OVER 47.5 (-230)
Here’s another “Make Your Own” special that feels like a no-brainer. The OVER was crushing earlier in the season—going 6-0 in primetime over the first two weeks of NFL action, and 8-1 total over the first three weeks. But ever since Week 3, it has leveled right off for the OVER bettors. Thus, I’m picking my own OVER. You can play Russian Roulette with the 53.5 total listed on sportsbooks—I’ll be betting the OVER on 47.5 and playing it safe.
Buffalo averages 34.4 points per game this season, the best scoring offense in the NFL. And Tennessee averages 26.4 points per game, which ranks eighth in the league. Both these teams reached 37 points last week, so the whole world will be betting the OVER of 53.5. However, I personally think it’s a trap of epic proportions. Buffalo’s defense has been incredible this season—it has pitched multiple shutouts already in 2021—and Tennessee could be without receivers A.J. Brown and Julio Jones. This is not the Jacksonville Jaguars squad the Titans destroyed in Week 5—this is a bona fide Super Bowl-contending Buffalo Bills squad.
If you want to be really safe, you should take just these first two props—Buffalo -2.5 and OVER 47.5—and put $100 down to win $213. But you’re not that safe. You’re a thrill-seeker, and you know there’s more fun to be had and more legs to throw into this parlay. So, let’s keep dancing.
Receiving Props: Emmanuel Sanders 50+ Receiving Yards (-180)
The greatest mistake most amateur in-game parlay bettors make is betting props involving the biggest names. For instance, Derrick Henry touchdown props yield no value. Nor does Stefon Diggs at -180 to net 75 receiving yards, when he’s in a down year compared to his 2020 All-Pro season. It’s perfectly fine to want to root for the top dogs in fantasy football—but in a Same Game Parlay, we want to root for what’s most likely to happen, and what gives us the best payout when it happens.
Therefore, I’m hitching my parlay wagon to Emmanuel Sanders, who has enjoyed his first year with the Bills. Manny always produces, regardless of where you put him, and he has made Bills Mafia forget John Brown ever stopped by to stink up Orchard Park. Josh Allen likes this guy—he’s targeted Sanders 31 times through five games, and their average connection goes for 16.9 yards. With a healthy target share of 17.1 percent, a completion percentage of 61.3 percent, and a per-game average of 64.4 receiving yards, Sanders at -180 to net 50 air yards seems like a great bet.
Rushing Props: Zack Moss 50+ Rushing Yards (+100)
Here’s another high-quality bet involving a lesser-known name. While most casual bettors will pound Derrick Henry -125 to net 100 rushing yards—and breathe into paper bags when he gets bottled up or the Titans have to abandon the run to play catchup—we will be calmly rooting for Bills second-year running back Zack Moss to hit the very doable stat line of 50 rushing yards.
Moss has actually hit 60 rushing yards in two of Buffalo’s last three games. But with the Bills blowing the cover off Arrowhead via the pass last week—pouncing the AFC defending-champion Chiefs 38-20 on a 315-yard passing display by Allen—Moss didn’t need to do much on the ground. He did total 92 all-purpose yards—55 receiving, 37 rushing—but he only carried the ball 11 times (to RB2 Devin Singletary’s 6). I think Moss will get closer to 15-20 touches tonight, with the Titans likely scheming against the pass and Buffalo probably playing to preserve a lead and burn the clock.
Quarterback Props: Josh Allen OVER 292.5 Passing Yards (-115)
On to the last leg of our parlay, and this one might be the easiest of them all. Josh Allen doesn’t just have his Bills team playing the best football in the NFL, he also has himself in the top two of the MVP conversation for the second year in a row. He’s got 12 TDs to just two interceptions, a completion rate of 62.3 percent, and a QB rating of 102.5. And, most importantly for this prop, he has averaged 307 passing yards over the Bills’ past three games. That number would be even higher if Buffalo had a better opponent in Week 4—Houston came into northern New York and got destroyed to the tune of 40-0, and Mitch Trubisky even came in to lead a garbage-time fourth-quarter scoring drive. PointsBet probably didn’t take into account that Allen would have hit 300 yards in that game if it was actually a game and he played four full quarters. Well, this one should be much more competitive than that one, and Allen should play the entire game, thus I’m going with the best QB in the AFC to crush the OVER on 292 passing yards.
Image Credit: Imagn