MLB Daily Grind Down: Saturday, August 24th Part Three

by Kyle Koch (Jackandsoda) Last Updated 2013-08-26 02:12:17

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Arizona vs. Philadelphia

7:05 PM	Arizona – ROAD					Philadelphia – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.257	0.713	18.50%	0.55		0.253	0.704	19.90%	0.53
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.256	0.715	19.10%	0.45		0.254	0.698	19.60%	0.41
SP STATS	Delgado – RHP					Martin – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.26	3.52	6.19	9.02		1.84	6.28	10.21	8.03
LAST 14 DAYS	1.25	5.25	3.00	4.50		1.50	3.60	9.00	10.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	ARI vs R		ARI BvP			PHI vs R		PHI BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8.5

• Favored Team – ARI -110

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Ethan Martin gets a K per inning. He has looked horrible so far but there have been slight glimmers. He has upside if you want a very high risk/reward play. Vegas set the OU of the game at a reasonable total which peaks my interest in the gamble. ATL is batting .261 on the road, .256 versus right-handers, and .267 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4

• Away Randall Degaldo looks to have an easy matchup today versus a PHI team that has disappeared at times this year but he has given up a .296 BAA to left-handers so far this year and has a lackluster 4.13 ERA and .286 BAA on the road. PHI is batting .252 at home, .255 versus right-handers, and .215 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 5

Batter Grind Down

• Home That .296 BAA versus left-handers means that Chase Utley, Domonic Brown and Cody Asche are in play. Carlos Ruis has been hot with 23.75 fp over the last 7 days and is undervalued. RG Stack Rating 4

• Away Martin has struggled with left-handed batters giving up a .275 BAA. Everyone is playable since it is more likely that Martin gets hammered than it is that he pitches a quality game. Martin Prado and Paul Goldschmidt have both been super hot with over 30 fp each. RG Stack Rating 8

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Atlanta vs. St. Louis

7:15 PM	Atlanta – ROAD					St. Louis – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.254	0.742	22.20%	0.61		0.273	0.741	18.00%	0.60
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.255	0.745	22.70%	0.50		0.284	0.764	17.70%	0.49
SP STATS	Teheran – RHP					Miller – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.18	2.96	7.97	11.33		1.16	2.97	9.70	11.57
LAST 14 DAYS	1.17	2.50	7.50	12.00		1.83	4.50	7.50	4.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	ATL vs R		ATL BvP			STL vs R		STL BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5

• Favored Team – STL -133

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Shelby Miller has dazzled at home with a 1.99 ERA and .209 BAA. His numbers have dipped slightly since the All-Star Break but he is still maintaining a K/9 over 9. He faces an ATL team that has recorded the second most Ks on the year. ATL is batting .242 on the road, .254 versus right-handers, and .221 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 8

• Away Julio Teheran is also a good young pitcher having a solid year. His numbers have gone down since the All-Star Break with a 1.75 ERA and .198 BAA. He has been superb against right-handers holding them to a .209 BAA and .592 OPS. STL hits right-handers well, however. This will be his greatest challenge on the year but he did hold them scoreless in 7 IP the last time he saw them in ATL. I think Miller has more upside but Teheran is pitching better. STL is batting .277 at home, .284 versus right-handers, and .254 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 8

Batter Grind Down

• Home I am not excited about STL bats but Yadier Molina has been super hot with 35.75 fp over the last 7 days. Jon Jay and Matt Carpenter have been productive as well and are left-handed. Matt Adams and Danniel Descalso are solid GPP plays if they get the start. RG Stack Rating 2

• Away Miller has struggled against left-handers with a .276 BAA. Freddie Freeman has been hot with 20.25 fp over the past 7 days. Brian McCann and Jordan Schafer also make interesting plays. RG Stack Rating 3

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Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego

8:40 PM	Chicago Cubs – ROAD					San Diego – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.241	0.704	19.70%	0.54		0.245	0.690	20.60%	0.55
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.230	0.685	22.10%	0.41		0.242	0.672	20.80%	0.39
SP STATS	Samardzija – RHP					Stults – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.36	4.29	9.22	10.80		1.25	3.70	5.63	8.85
LAST 14 DAYS	2.31	12.54	7.91	2.05		1.55	4.91	5.47	6.37
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	CHC vs L		CHC BvP			SDP vs R		SDP BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7

• Favored Team – SDG -125

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Eric Stults has been solid at home with a 2.50 ERA. He catches a CHC team that has struggled on the road and one that he had success versus earlier in the year. I am not excited about the fact that he has not one a game since the All-Star Break and has a 4.91 ERA and .336 BAA in that timespan but he is worth a look today in a multiple pitcher site versus a CHC team that struggles to score runs and has recorded the fourth most Ks since the break. CHC is batting .231 on the road, .230 versus left-handers, and .241 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 6

• Away Jeff Samardzija has been better on the road than he has been at home with a 3.63 ERA. There are few better places to pitch on the road in than SDG. He has fallen apart in August with a 6.29 ERA but he has maintained his high K/9, which makes him an interesting GPP play. SDG is batting .243 at home, .244 versus right-handers, and .295 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 6

Batter Grind Down

• Home Will Venable and Jedd Gyorko have been hot for SDG. Yonder Alonso is batting .302 versus right-handed pitching. RG Stack Rating 5

• Away Stults has allowed right-handers a .296 BAA. Junior Lake is batting .421 versus left-handed pitching and has been hot with 22.8 fp. RG Stack Rating 2

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Pittsburgh vs. San Francisco

9:05 PM	Pittsburgh – ROAD					San Francisco – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.245	0.702	22.30%	0.55		0.259	0.690	17.20%	0.51
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.243	0.700	21.90%	0.42		0.254	0.670	17.40%	0.36
SP STATS	Liriano – LHP					Lincecum – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.20	2.68	8.92	13.61		1.28	4.38	9.30	10.54
LAST 14 DAYS	1.71	8.74	5.68	5.55		0.79	3.86	7.07	11.50
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	PIT vs R		PIT BvP			SFG vs L		SFG BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 6.5

• Favored Team – PIT -125

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Tim Lincecum has given up 10 HR in SFO in 13 starts. That is high for AT&T Park which allows the third fewest HRs. He has a .222 BAA versus him at home so I think his mid 4 ERA is partially due to some bad luck. PIT offers the opportunity for a big game. They have recorded the 3rd most Ks since the All-Star break and have only scored 2 more runs than the Houston Astros. Lincecum has held PIT to a .177 BAA. PIT is batting .241 on the road, .241 versus right-handers, and .240 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 7

• Away I would not read to much into Francisco Liriano ‘s road ERA of 3.38. That number was greatly inflated by a 10 ER in 2.1 performance in COL, a park that has destroyed better pitcher than him. He is having an outstanding year and should get some help today in this pitcher’s park. SFO is batting .255 at home, .252 versus left-handers, and .263 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 8

Batter Grind Down

• Home Buster Posey, Marco Scutaro, Andres Torres all have high BAA versus left-handers. Pablo Sandoval has been the most productive Giant and he has hit left-handers well in the past. RG Stack Rating 2

• Away Andrew McCutchen is hot with 33 fp over the last 7 days. You know how it works with Tim Lincecum he could give up 6 ER in 5 IP at anytime. RG Stack Rating 5

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LA Angels vs. Seattle

9:10 PM	LA Angels – ROAD					Seattle – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.265	0.750	18.30%	0.61		0.246	0.717	21.50%	0.56
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.273	0.759	18.10%	0.49		0.228	0.658	22.20%	0.39
SP STATS	Vargas – LHP					Ramirez – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.42	3.92	6.06	9.31		1.36	5.94	7.48	8.30
LAST 14 DAYS	2.07	6.52	5.87	4.10		1.14	3.86	6.43	7.33
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	LAA vs R		LAA BvP			SEA vs L		SEA BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8

• Favored Team – SEA -130

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Erasmo Ramirez is the favorite today shows how little faith Vegas has in Jason Vargas. I think you are crazy to take either one of these pitcher tonight even in this park. LAA is batting .273 at home, .270 versus right-handers, and .224 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 2

• Away Jason Vargas is a low upside play and he has not looked good on the road with an upper 4s ERA. He seems temting on a multiple pitcher site in this park but when a player cannot even make it to 6 IP versus HOU, I think there are better options than them. SEA is batting .247 at home, .230 versus left-handers, and .221 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4

Batter Grind Down

• Home Vargas is allowing left-handers a .319 BAA. SEA is a heavily left-handed team. Fill free to use them all. RG Stack Rating 6

• Away This team pounds bad right-handers. Mike Trout, Josh Hamilton and Mark Trumbo are your best plays. RG Stack Rating 7

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