MLB Daily Grind Down: Sunday, June 16th

by Kyle Koch (Jackandsoda) Last Updated 2013-06-16 15:24:34

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Happy Father’s Day to all you Dads out there. Hopefully your family will respect your wishes and leave you alone for 30 minutes before the start of today’s games. I chose to visit my Dad for this great day and I am currently writing the Daily Grind Down on a computer from 1994. Needless to say, there have been a few issues. Here is today’s Daily Grind Down to help get you ready for todays action.

Note: Any Fantasy Point Average Listed Uses FanDuel Scoring. For more info on FanDuel’s MLB Scoring System, check out the scoring systems section of our FanDuel Review

• FPAB – Fantasy Points Per At Bat
• K% – Strikeout Percentage
• K/9 – Strikeouts Per 9 IP

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Washington vs. Cleveland

1:05 PM	Washington – ROAD					Cleveland – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.230	0.658	22.10%	0.48		0.257	0.754	22.30%	0.66
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.240	0.688	22.10%	0.41		0.251	0.739	23.40%	0.50
SP STATS	Strasburg – RHP					Kluber – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.07	2.54	8.87	11.51		1.23	4.08	8.98	9.46
LAST 14 DAYS	1.00	4.50	9.00	3.00		1.13	2.81	7.88	9.67
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	WSN vs R		WSN BvP			CLE vs R		CLE BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5
• Favored Team – WAS -137

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Corey Kluber is a low 4s pitcher in all of his splits. His last outing was his best one against TEX where he threw 8.0 IP with 1 ER and 3 Ks. Maybe he can ride that hot streak today at home against a WAS team that has struggled on the year but has looked sharp as of late. Kluber’s K/9 is an 8.95 so he is playable in a single pitcher format if you want to gamble. He is someone to strongly consider in a multiple pitcher format. Was is batting .212 on the road, .240 versus right-handers, and .255 over the last 7 days. In Play

• Away I said this yesterday with Anibal Sanchez. I do not like taking ace pitchers coming off of injury no matter how long it has been. Where these players are priced, there is little room for them to exceed their value and a whole lot of risk tied to them if they do not. Lieland treated Sanchez with kid gloves yesterday. He removed him in the 3rd inning. I can not be sure but something like that could also happen to Stephen Strasburg today. Avoid

Batter Grind Down

• Home CLE was able to put up runs against Zimmermann yesterday so I think they fare well against a player coming off of an injury who may or may not be rusty. Even if Starsburg pitches well, he will likely be gone early and WAS pen is not all that great. Jason Kipnis has been hot with 24.75 fp over the last week. Carlos Santana talent gives him upside everyday.

• Away WAS went off for 4 HRs yesterday. Do not expect the same power today from WAS, Kluber has only given up 5 HRs on the year. Ian Desmond and Ryan Zimmerman have been riding hot streaks. Desmond has 34 fp over the last 7 days, Zimmerman has 29.25. Anthony Rendon has also been producing and is still cheap most places.
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Milwaukee vs. Cincinnati

1:10 PM	Milwaukee – ROAD					Cincinnati – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.258	0.719	19.50%	0.56		0.253	0.733	20.00%	0.60
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.249	0.698	18.60%	0.41		0.250	0.726	20.10%	0.48
SP STATS	Peralta – RHP					Cueto – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.67	6.03	5.22	5.94		0.89	2.17	8.25	12.35
LAST 14 DAYS	1.44	5.00	4.50	7.00		0.25	0.00	6.75	18.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	MIL vs R		MIL BvP			CIN vs R		CIN BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5
• Favored Team – CIN -200

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Insert everything I just said about Stephen Strasburg here with Johnny Cueto and add to it the fact that he is fully expected to be limited in his first start back. MIL is batting .257 on the road, .255 versus right-handers, and .299 over the last 7 days. Avoid

• Away Wily Peralta last trip into CIN he gave up 3 ER in 6.0 IP and that was one of his better starts. The only way you would consider taking a player with a 6.03 ERA and 1.66 WHIP versus this tough home team is if you were trying to finish last. CIN is batting .259 at home, .251 versus right-handers, and .254 over the last 7 days.

Batter Grind Down

• Home Check the air in the tires, put a can of oil in the engine, and make sure the tank has plenty of gas because it is time to take “The Big Red Machine” for another spin in GPPs. Stack’em

• Away Aramis Ramirez ‘s BvPs of 13-39 with 4 HRs are playable even if Cueto was completely healthy. Carlos Gomez is super hot with 31.5 fp over the last 7 days. Like with Strasburg, consider everyone playable because there could be some rust and Cueto probably will only make it 6 IP even if he does pitch well and could be gone much earlier than that.

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St. Louis vs. Miami

1:10 PM	St. Louis – ROAD					Miami – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.275	0.742	17.90%	0.61		0.226	0.605	18.70%	0.40
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.289	0.765	18.40%	0.49		0.210	0.608	21.80%	0.30
SP STATS	Lyons – LHP					Nolasco – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	0.99	3.51	5.00	9.30		1.20	3.80	7.43	9.59
LAST 14 DAYS	1.52	6.17	4.02	4.10		1.43	4.34	7.91	8.40
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	STL vs R		STL BvP			MIA vs L		MIA BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5
• Favored Team – STL -151

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Do you recall all the hype surounding MIA last year before the start of the year? Now they are the worst team in baseball. It is shame this current MIA pitching staf does not have some of those bats behind them because they might be playable. Ricky Nolasco, like all the others, is not worth a look except in the most extreme cases. STL is batting .273 on the road, .291 versus right-handers, and .291 over the last 7 days. Avoid

• Away Even after 2 bad starts, Tyler Lyons ‘s WHIP is still a 0.97. On paper, he seems like a solid play against the league’s worst offense. However, I think having Giancario Stanton back will make this MIA team much more formidable. Mia has the 5th fewest Ks in the league. I think Lyons is a trap today for the uneducated. He gets limited Ks. They do not K that much and their offense is now better than what the numbers show. MIA is batting .228 at home, .214 versus left-handers, and .260 over the last 7 days. I just do not see him recording more than 10 fp even with the win. Avoid

Batter Grind Down

• Home Speaking of Giancario Stanton, he has 2 HRs in the last 7 days and has 23 fp over that time. I think he makes the guys in the LU around him better today so consider those guys in play. Marcell Ozuna is batting .385 versus left-handers on the year.

• Away Carlos Beltran is 14-41 with 1 HR versus Nolasco and has 26.5 fp over the last week. Matt Holliday is 11-24 with 2 HRs and has 25.75 fp in the past 7 days. Allen Craig is also hot but everyone in STL is producing. Yadier Molina, Matt Carpenter, Beltran, Matt Adams he plays), Craig, and David Freese are all batting over .300 versus right-handers.

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Chicago Cubs vs. NY Mets

1:10 PM	Chicago Cubs – ROAD					NY Mets – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.245	0.712	20.00%	0.56		0.227	0.666	22.90%	0.52
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.249	0.718	19.30%	0.45		0.231	0.677	23.30%	0.42
SP STATS	Garza – RHP					Hefner – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.37	6.26	7.97	7.22		1.26	4.11	6.56	7.15
LAST 14 DAYS	1.38	7.36	5.97	6.37		1.08	1.38	6.23	10.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	CHC vs R		CHC BvP			NYM vs R		NYM BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5
• Favored Team – Pick’em

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Matt Garza got lit up in his last start versus CIN for 9 ER. Does it matter how many IP it was if you give up 9 ER? I think the low OU in this game has more to do with the two teams bats than it does the ability of their starting pitching. I will say this, one of these two pitchers has to win so one of them will make a nice play on a multiple pitcher site. If you trust Garza history then feel free to take a shot. NYM is batting .210 at home, .226 versus right-handers, and .193 over the last 7 days. In Play

• Away Jeremy Hefner pitched outstanding his last time out. Sure, he gave up 6 runs but only 1 of those was earned and he recorded 15 ground ball outs in only 6 IP. His Defense let him down and you cannot drop your guard against STL. CHC offers a much easier matchup. They are batting .230 on the road, .235 versus right-handers, and .214 over the last 7 days. I like him better than Garza. In Play

Batter Grind Down

• Home Nate Schierholtz continues his hot streak with 26.5 fp over the last week. He is also batting .308 versus right-handers and is 2-6 vs. Hefner.

• Away Marlon Byrd is 4-11 with 2 HRs versus Garza. david Wright and Daniel Murphy have been hot over the last 7 days. Both players hit right-handers around a .300 clip.

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Boston vs. Baltimore

1:35 PM	Boston – ROAD					Baltimore – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.275	0.804	21.40%	0.73		0.271	0.778	17.20%	0.67
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.287	0.840	20.40%	0.62		0.252	0.738	16.90%	0.48
SP STATS	Lester – LHP					Gonzalez – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.30	4.12	7.26	10.30		1.22	3.71	6.88	9.82
LAST 14 DAYS	2.06	7.41	6.35	5.00		1.05	3.15	8.10	13.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	BOS vs R		BOS BvP			BAL vs L		BAL BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 9
• Favored Team – BOS -115

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home If you are banking on Miguel Gonzalez shutting down the league’s highest scoring team then you like to live dangerously my friend. BOS is 3rd in the league in Ks so there is upside to the play but I am not sure how much of an increase you can expect from a K/9 of only 6.88. BOS is batting .258 on the road, .280 versus right-handers, and .256 over the last 7 days. Avoid

• Away Jon Lester a few more Ks but he has been only a 4.91 pitcher on the road this year. I cannot see him blanking the league’s 3rd higgest scoring team either. BAL is batting .279 on the road, .262 versus left-handers, and .256 over the last 7 days.

Batter Grind Down

• Home David Ortiz, Mike Carp, Daniel Nava, Jarrod Saltalamachia, and Dustin Pedrioa alll have batting averages over .300 versus right-handers. Jacoby Ellsbury is hot producing 31 fp over the last 7 days and has 8 steals in the last week.

• Away Matt Wieters is 13-34 versus Lester. J.J. Hardy is 6-15 with 1 HR. Adam Jones and Manny Machado have been hot over the last 7 days. All 4 of those players are right-handers.

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