MLB Grind Down: Monday, May 12th - Page 2

Washington at Arizona

Washington Arizona
Jordan Zimmermann Vegas Moneyline Josh Collmenter Vegas Over/Under
RIGHT WAS (-126) RIGHT 8.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.265 0.706 0.311 17.4% SP vs. Left 0.281 0.707 0.330 19.0%
SP vs. Right 0.223 0.600 0.274 21.8% SP vs. Right 0.208 0.626 0.285 21.3%
Batter Splits WSN BvP pop up 2 WSN vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits ARI BvP pop up 2 ARI vs R pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Jordan Zimmermann – Zimmermann struggled a bit at the start of the season, but has pitched really well in his last 3 starts and has his ERA under 3.00 now. Zimmermann is also averaging over 1 K per inning pitched this season. Tonight he faces a tough D-Backs lineup in the very hitter-friendly Chase Field. I think he pitches well, but will only be using him as a GPP play. Rating = 6

Josh Collmenter – Collmenter has a 3.44 ERA on the season with a 1.27 WHIP and a K/9 of 6.0. He is one of those pitchers whose numbers look good, but we seem to have a hard time trusting him as a starting pitcher in daily fantasy baseball. The Nationals are below average against RH pitching, but I will not be using Collmenter in my cash games tonight. Rating = 5

Batter Grind Down

Washington

Ian Desmond – With LaRoche and Harper both out of this lineup, we could see Desmond batting clean-up tonight against Collmenter. He can hit RH and LH pitching well and makes a great value play at SS in the hitter friendly Chase Field.

Additional Plays: Denard Span

Arizona

Paul Goldschmidt – I think there are better options at 1B for cash games, but you can never rule out Goldy in GPP’s, especially when he is playing in a hitter friendly ballpark. Goldschmidt is batting .333 at Chase Field this season with 11 of his 25 hits going for extra bases.

Additional Plays: Miguel Montero


Chicago White Sox at Oakland

Chicago White Sox Oakland
John Danks Vegas Moneyline Jesse Chavez Vegas Over/Under
LEFT OAK (-176) RIGHT 7.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.284 0.794 0.348 12.3% SP vs. Left 0.250 0.635 0.301 22.3%
SP vs. Right 0.266 0.776 0.340 16.5% SP vs. Right 0.190 0.518 0.234 24.7%
Batter Splits CHW BvP pop up 2 CHW vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits OAK BvP pop up 2 OAK vs L pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

John Danks – Danks is coming off of a decent start against the Cubs, but he had to pitch out of trouble in almost every inning. He has an ERA close to 5.00 this season with a 1.47 WHIP. Tonight he faces an A’s lineup that is ranked 7th against RH pitching (.331 team wOBA). Danks is a below average fantasy option tonight. Rating = 4

Jesse Chavez – If you look at Chavez’s last 7 starts, he has been excellent, but he’s given up at least 3 earned runs in 2 of his last 3 starts and is still largely unproven. He is a high strikeout pitcher that should get plenty of run support tonight. The only issue that I have here is his opponent. The White Sox are ranked 3rd against RH pitching this season. On a night with little pitching options, he’s obviously in play, but I’m going to temper my expectations. Rating = 7

Batter Grind Down

Chicago White Sox

The White Sox are big underdogs in this game that features a total of only 7.5 runs. There aren’t any White Sox batters that stand out as great fantasy plays tonight.

Oakland

Yoenis Cespedes – Cespedes has a terrific matchup tonight against Danks who is giving up a .777 OPS to RH batters this season. Not only that, but Cespedes has a .937 OPS against LH pitching. He has the splits in his favor and is one of my favorite plays in the OF tonight.

Additional Plays: Josh Donaldson, Derek Norris, Jed Lowrie


Miami at LA Dodgers

Miami LA Dodgers
Tom Koehler Vegas Moneyline Dan Haren Vegas Over/Under
RIGHT LAD (-160) RIGHT 7.0
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.220 0.647 0.295 13.5% SP vs. Left 0.253 0.703 0.311 19.9%
SP vs. Right 0.262 0.735 0.333 17.4% SP vs. Right 0.277 0.753 0.336 21.4%
Batter Splits MIA BvP pop up 2 MIA vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits LAD BvP pop up 2 LAD vs R pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Tom Koehler – Koehler has really pitched well this season with a 1.99 ERA and a WHIP under 1.00. I just don’t see him being able to keep up these numbers over the course of the season and we could start to see him crack tonight against the Dodgers who are ranked 4th against RH pitching this season (.333 team wOBA). Rating = 4

Dan Haren – Haren has yet to give up more than 3 earned runs in any start this season which is a far cry from where he was over the last 2 seasons. Haren has been able to keep the ball in the yard. He has an ERA under 3.00 with a K/9 of 7.5. He has a great matchup against the Marlins who have a .279 wOBA on the road with an insane 29.9 K%. Dollar for dollar, Haren is my top pitcher tonight. Rating = 8

Batter Grind Down

Miami

Giancarlo Stanton – Much like Goldschmidt, I think Stanton is always in play in GPP’s. Haren has been known to give up the long ball and we all know the type of power that Stanton has in that bat. I’ll be using Haren in my cash games, but will throw Stanton in on a few GPP lineups.

Additional Plays: None

L.A. Dodgers

Dee Gordon – Gordon is basically Billy Hamilton 2.0. He already has 24 SB’s this season. He’s batting .375 against RH pitching and seems to be a lock to steal 2nd (sometimes 3rd too) every time that he gets on first base. I love him at 2B tonight.

Additional Plays: Adrian Gonzalez, Yasiel Puig, Hanley Ramirez


Tampa Bay at Seattle

Tampa Bay Seattle
Cesar Ramos Vegas Moneyline Felix Hernandez Vegas Over/Under
LEFT SEA (-160) RIGHT 7.0
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.262 0.680 0.311 20.0% SP vs. Left 0.252 0.663 0.296 24.3%
SP vs. Right 0.223 0.653 0.302 16.8% SP vs. Right 0.225 0.599 0.268 27.6%
Batter Splits TBR BvP pop up 2 TBR vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits SEA BvP pop up 2 SEA vs L pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Cesar Ramos – Ramos has a 2.96 ERA on the season with a 1.25 WHIP. The issue here is that he doesn’t pitch deep into games as he is averaging less than 5 IP’s in his starts this season. He will also have a tough time with run support tonight as King Felix is starting for the Mariners. Rating = 3

Felix Hernandez – King Felix has been good this season, but he hasn’t been great. His ERA is under 3.00 and he’s averaging slightly more than a K per inning. His biggest issue thus far has been his command. He has uncharacteristically walked 8 batters over his last 3 starts which has really hurt his pitch count. If he can correct that, he will get back to being the dominant Felix that we have been accustomed to. He’s the top overall pitching option tonight, but you will have to pay up for him. Rating = 9

Batter Grind Down

Tampa Bay

Avoid all Rays bats tonight against King Felix. They will likely have more K’s than baserunners which typically doesn’t bode well for fantasy production.

Seattle

Kyle Seager – Ramos is giving up a .693 OPS to LH batters this season and Seager is really starting to heat up. Even though this is a lefty/lefty matchup, Seager has really been producing over the last 10 games and is cheap across the industry.

Additional Plays: Robinson Cano, Corey Hart


Atlanta at San Francisco

Atlanta San Francisco
Gavin Floyd Vegas Moneyline Tim Lincecum Vegas Over/Under
RIGHT SFG (-114) RIGHT 7.0
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.270 0.876 0.376 21.1% SP vs. Left 0.252 0.694 0.317 22.6%
SP vs. Right 0.286 0.740 0.334 23.0% SP vs. Right 0.270 0.762 0.342 22.8%
Batter Splits ATL BvP pop up 2 ATL vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits SFG BvP pop up 2 SFG vs R pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Gavin Floyd – Floyd pitched a lot better than I was expecting him to in his first start of the season. He threw 7 strong innings against the Cardinals while only giving up 6 hits and 1 earned run. Tonight he faces a Giants offense that is ranked 25th against RH pitching this season and he gets to face them in the pitcher friendly AT&T Park. He is flying under the radar tonight, but I think he is a much better play than his counterpart Lincecum. Rating = 6

Tim Lincecum – Lincecum is not going to find his way onto any of my cash game lineups anytime soon. He has a 5.55 ERA with a 1.73 WHIP this season and he’s given up at least 9 baserunners in each of his last 4 starts. The Braves are a team that strikes out often though so he could be worth a look as a GPP play. Rating = 5

Batter Grind Down

Atlanta

Jason Heyward – Heyward has good numbers off of Lincecum in his career. He is 7/16 against him and has also drawn 5 walks. Heyward has good speed and good power and his price across the industry is depressed. It’s a great time to buy low on the talented leadoff hitter.

Additional Plays: Freddie Freeman, Justin Upton, Evan Gattis

San Francisco

Buster Posey – Posey is never a bad option at Catcher. He is a very productive fantasy player that rarely has those games where he scores 0 or negative fantasy points. He has a decent matchup against Floyd who gave up a .334 wOBA to RH batters last season.

Additional Plays: Hunter Pence


About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious