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MLB Grind Down: Sunday, May 11th - Page 2

by Ryan138 Last Updated 2014-05-11 13:42:08

Chicago Cubs at Atlanta

Chicago Cubs Atlanta
Edwin Jackson Vegas Moneyline Aaron Harang Vegas Over/Under
RIGHT ATL (-175) RIGHT 7.0
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.299 0.810 0.366 18.6% SP vs. Left 0.255 0.771 0.338 15.8%
SP vs. Right 0.266 0.717 0.322 17.2% SP vs. Right 0.260 0.723 0.321 23.1%
Batter Splits CHC BvP pop up 2 CHC vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits ATL BvP pop up 2 ATL vs R pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Edwin Jackson – Jackson has been up and down so far on the season resulting in a 4.57 ERA and 1.45 WHIP. He has struggled getting LH bats out, which should cause trouble against the likes of Freeman and Heyward today. Jackson is coming off his best start of the season in which he gave up 1 earned run and had 9 strike outs, but this could be an outlier in his numbers, especially the K’s. Rating = 3

Aaron Harang – Harang bounced back from his first rough outing of the season to allow 2 earned runs off of 9 hits against the Cardinals. Prior to his implosion against Miami, Harang had been on an unbelievable run of 3 earned runs in 6 starts. No one believes that he can keep this up for the season, but he is one of the biggest favorites on the board today and gets the Cubs bats. Rating = 7

Batter Grind Down

Chicago Cubs

Anthony Rizzo – Rizzo is really the only Cubs bat I would think about targeting today. Rizzo is hitting RH pitching well this year and is leading this Cubs team in the power categories. Harang has pitched so surprisingly well this year, so I would make Rizzo a GPP only play.

Atlanta

Freddie Freeman – It is not the biggest sample size in the world, but it is really tough to ignore the fact that Freeman is 7 for 11 with 2 home runs against Jackson. Add this to the fact that Jackson gives up a wOBA of.366 to LH bats and we have a great play here.

Cleveland at Tampa Bay

Cleveland Tampa Bay
Josh Tomlin Vegas Moneyline Chris Archer Vegas Over/Under
RIGHT TBR (-148) RIGHT 7.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.133 0.267 0.118 13.3% SP vs. Left 0.251 0.722 0.324 21.2%
SP vs. Right 0.250 0.715 0.321 11.1% SP vs. Right 0.224 0.567 0.262 16.8%
Batter Splits CLE BvP pop up 2 CLE vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits TBR BvP pop up 2 TBR vs R pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Josh Tomlin – Tomlin looked good in his first start of the season against Minnesota. We have seen very little of Tomlin over the last two years, but has a career 4.86 ERA with a 2.91 K/9. Until we see a bit more from him, I think he should be avoided in all leagues today. Rating = 3

Chris Archer – Archer has not had the start of the season that the Rays thought they would get out of the young righty. He is really struggling of late with a 6.86 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Archer is allowing opponents to hit .280 against him so far on the season and will be facing a number of good LH bats today. Archer should be avoided until he can get out of this poor stretch recently. Rating = 4*

Batter Grind Down

Cleveland

Nick Swisher – Swisher has been struggling this season, but still hits high in this Cleveland lineup. With how Archer has been pitching recently, a lot of the Cleveland bats are in play and Swisher is a nice cheap option.

Tampa Bay

Matt Joyce – Joyce makes a great cash game play today as he should hit in the 3rd spot in the lineup against a RH pitcher that we don’t have too much recent information on. Joyce continues to hit RH pitching well for .318 AVG and literally has all of hits against them.

NY Yankees at Milwaukee

NY Yankees Milwaukee
David Phelps Vegas Moneyline Matt Garza Vegas Over/Under
RIGHT MIL (-130) RIGHT 8.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.241 0.724 0.330 25.0% SP vs. Left 0.272 0.740 0.332 20.8%
SP vs. Right 0.272 0.734 0.331 17.5% SP vs. Right 0.237 0.660 0.299 20.0%
Batter Splits NYY BvP pop up 2 NYY vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits MIL BvP pop up 2 MIL vs R pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

David Phelps – Phelps is coming off his first start of the season against the Angels in which he went 5.1 innings with 1 earned run. He has been good this season, mostly in relief, with a 3.19 ERA and over a 10 K/9. He was pulled after only 87 pitches in his first start, so keep you expectations realistic for Phelps today. Rating = 5

Matt Garza – Garza has yet to turn that corner this season and continues to have sub par performances. He holds a 4.93 ERA, more than a full run higher than his career average. Garza has a tough matchup against this lefty filled lineup of the Yanks today. Rating = 2

Batter Grind Down

New York Yankees

Jacoby Ellsbury – Garza is giving up a .332 wOBA to left handed bats and Ellsbury has hit Garza well in his career. Ellsbury has cooled off a bit in the last week and a half which has dropped his price to a point where he makes a great cash game play.

Milwaukee

Carlos Gomez – Gomez is such a great type of player for daily fantasy purpose. He can hit for power, average and steal some bases as well. He is currently hitting RH pitching for .303 and 6 home runs on the season.

Additional Plays: Jonathan Lucroy

Arizona at Chicago White Sox

Arizona Chicago White Sox
Chase Anderson Vegas Moneyline Hector Noesi Vegas Over/Under
RIGHT ARI (-105) RIGHT 9.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left SP vs. Left 0.326 0.854 0.380 19.4%
SP vs. Right SP vs. Right 0.366 0.992 0.433 15.0%
Batter Splits ARI BvP pop up 2 ARI vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits CHW BvP pop up 2 CHW vs R pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Chase Anderson – Anderson will be getting the call up for the Diamondbacks on Sunday. Anderson has been in Double-A this season and has put up a 0.69 earned run average with 38 strike outs in 39 innings. Impressive numbers, but a wait and see approach may be necessary as he is taking on the White Sox offense that can put some runs on the board. Rating = 4

Hector Noesi – Noesi has made 2 starts and 6 relief appearances on the season. This has resulted in a terrible 8.27 ERA and 1.65 WHIP and has allowed opponents to hit .333 against him. On top of that, he is not going to be a high pitch count at all. He should be avoided. Rating = 2

Batter Grind Down

Arizona

Miguel Montero – Montero has hit RH pitching very well this season for a .303 AVG and .506 SLG. Hitting in the cleanup role against Noesi should allow for a few RBI chances today. This game has the highest over/under on the day and Montero should benefit.

Chicago White Sox

Gordon Beckham – Gordon is back and hitting leadoff in this White Sox lineup. He is extremely low priced, but beginning to rise as Beckham has gotten on base in 14 straight games.

Boston at Texas

Boston Texas
John Lackey Vegas Moneyline Robbie Ross Vegas Over/Under
RIGHT BOS (-110) LEFT 9.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.235 0.650 0.288 20.8% SP vs. Left 0.315 0.864 0.392 22.7%
SP vs. Right 0.268 0.762 0.335 21.4% SP vs. Right 0.262 0.633 0.297 17.7%
Batter Splits BOS BvP pop up 2 BOS vs L pop up 2 Batter Splits TEX BvP pop up 2 TEX vs R pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

John Lackey – Lackey has been very good other than two clunkers in a row against good Baltimore and Yankee lineups. He has posted a 3.72 ERA overall with an 8.41 K/9. Even though Lackey has ben good, he has to go to a hitter friendly park in Texas in a game that has a 9.5 total. This makes him tough to spend the salary on today. Rating = 5

Robbie Ross – After having a good start early on in the season, Ross has been awful as of late. He has given up 18 runs in his last 4 starts giving him a May ERA of over 10. The problem is Ross is giving up a lot of hits to RH bats and Boston has the 5th most Runs scored against LH pitching. Rating = 2

Batter Grind Down

Boston

Dustin Pedroia – Pedroia is abut as consistent as they come for cash games and he continues to get on base. His numbers against LH pitching are down a bit this year, but has always crushed it in his career. Ross has been struggling and Boston should be one of the higher scoring offenses of the day.

Texas

Alex Rios – Lackey’s struggles so far this year have been against the RH bats. He is allowing them to bat a surprisingly high .318 against him and .819 OPS. Rios continues to hit for average and should be a good cash game play today.

MLB Grind Down Page 2 – Page 3

About the Author

Ryan138
Ryan138

Ryan (Ryan138) is from Chicago and has been playing fantasy sports for over 10 years. He has been playing daily fantasy sports for over 2 years since he was introduced to Daily Joust in late 2010. In the last year, Ryan has risen into the Top 100 of the RotoGrinders leaderboards by playing at DraftDay, DraftKings and FanDuel in all the major sports.