MLB Player Props Today: Murphy, Outman, Plus a PrizePicks Prediction (June 6)
What kind of performances can we expect on Dinger Tuesday from Sean Murphy, James Outman, and Masataka Yoshida? Follow along as our MLB betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets and DFS pick’em predictions for today – Tuesday, June 6, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more baseball props, at ScoresandOdds.
Happy Dinger Tuesday! The forecast looks hitter-friendly around the league this evening, and there are several starting pitchers who are exploitable, which makes today’s FanDuel Sportsbook promotion targetable for bettors looking for some fun.
Below, we have our two favorite leans for Dinger Tuesday for those who are participating in the FanDuel sportsbook promotion. For bettors unfamiliar with the promotion, “upon placing an eligible wager, you will get a $5 bonus in bonus bets for each home run both teams hit in the game, up to a max bonus of $25 per game. For full details on the promotion, you can read the description of the offer in your FanDuel account.
Yesterday, we went 2-1 day to improve to 44-26-2 across our last 23 posts. Since May 1, we are 67-42-4 on non-Home Run props. We are now 66-30-1 on pitcher prop recommendations for the season. There is plenty of opportunity once again on the player prop market today – below are three prop leans for June 6!
MLB Props Results – Wager Type
HITTER PROPS
Dinger Tuesday: 2-6
Hitter: 43-42-3
Stolen Base: 0-2
PITCHER PROPS
Hits Allowed: 2-1
Outs Recorded: 26-8
Strikeout: 38-21-1
MISCELLANEOUS PROPS
1st Inning: 0-4
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MLB Player Props Today
Editor’s Note: James Outman is not in the starting lineup tonight
- Sean Murphy to Hit a Home Run
- James Outman to Hit a Home Run
- Masataka Yoshida less than 0.5 hitter strikeouts
Sean Murphy to Hit a Home Run (+350), FanDuel
Entering play on Tuesday, Carlos Carrasco has allowed at least one home run in five of his six starts in 2022. Five of the six home runs that he has allowed this season have been to right-handed batters, making Ronald Acuna, Austin Riley, Marcell Ozuna, and Sean Murphy each targetable options in this matchup. Murphy is likely the best selection for bettors when factoring in market price. Murphy owns a .909 OPS and a .246 ISO against right-handed pitching in 2023, making him a threat to leave the yard on a nightly basis.
James Outman to Hit a Home Run (+400), FanDuel
James Outman is in the midst of a major slump, hitting only .103 with a .299 OPS since May 18. In that span, he has zero home runs and only four total hits in 46 plate appearances. Tonight could be the ultimate get-right spot for Outman, who gets to face Luke Weaver at Great American Ball Park. Weaver owns a 5.77 FIP and a pedestrian 17.4% strikeout rate against left-handed hitters this year. Eight of Outman’s nine home runs this year have come against right-handed pitching this season. The wind is blowing out, the temperature is over 80 degrees – fire away here. At a minimum, this game should feature three home runs combined, meaning that bettors should see a fair chunk of free bet money coming back to them in this spot.
MLB DFS Pick’em
Masataka Yoshida less than 0.5 hitter strikeouts, PrizePicks
It is always a good day when PrizePicks offers an option for Masataka Yoshida hitter strikeouts. Yoshida, one of the most patient and disciplined hitters in Major League Baseball, gets a favorable matchup tonight against Shane Bieber. Bieber ranks in only the 15th percentile in strikeout rate this season and the 29th percentile in whiff rate. Bieber’s strikeout percentage against left-handed batters is below 20 percent, making this a great spot to target Yoshida and trust him to put the ball in play.
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