MLB Player Props Today: Best Bets & Predictions for Sunday (7/7)
What kind of performances can we expect on Sunday from Kutter Crawford, Spencer Arrighetti, and Willson Contreras? Follow along as our MLB betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets and today – Sunday, July 7, 2024. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more baseball props, at ScoresandOdds.
Happy Sunday! Today’s MLB slate features 15 games, with 14 of those contests starting at 4:10 p.m. ET or earlier. There are plenty of quality arms on the bump today, including Tarik Skubal, Nathan Eovaldi, Grayson Rodriguez, Dylan Cease, George Kirby, and more!
Since the beginning of last year, we are 128-66 (66.0%) +28.9u on pitcher prop recommendations in this article during the regular season. A bettor who has tailed every player prop, including batter props, in this article during that time period is +41.9u overall.
Below, we have 3 plays worth considering for Sunday’s action!
Editor’s Note: Don’t live in a state with sports betting? Use our PrizePicks referral code & Underdog promo code GRINDERS for a combined $350 in sign-up bonuses for fantasy pick’em contests today.
MLB Player Props Today
Kutter Crawford Over/Under 15.5 Outs Recorded
Spencer Arrighetti Over/Under 15.5 Outs Recorded
Willson Contreras Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases
Kutter Crawford OVER 15.5 Outs Recorded (-140), BetMGM
Kutter Crawford has been struggling of late, with a 5.14 ERA and 5.41 FIP across his last 8 starts. With that being said, his stuff has still been really good, which has resulted in a very healthy 27.2% strikeout rate and a 1.07 WHIP. During the last month, he’s averaging only 3.47 pitches per batter faced, which is very efficient. As a result, he’s still managed to record 18+ outs in 6 of his last 7 outings despite having difficulties keeping runs off of the board.
Tonight, Crawford draws a tough matchup against a formidable Yankees offense, but he will have the benefit of the pitcher-friendly Lance Barrett calling balls and strikes. Couple that with the fact that Boston’s arm barn is extremely taxed, and Crawford should have every opportunity to pitch into the 6th inning this evening.
Spencer Arrighetti OVER 15.5 Outs Recorded (+120), FanDuel
Spencer Arrighetti has been about as reliable as the local weatherman this season for the Astros, but he has everything in front of him to have a strong outing on Sunday afternoon against the Twins. Minnesota has been demolishing RHP of late, but Arrighetti hasn’t had trouble missing bats. His issues have been related to walks.
Though the Twins have been hitting the ball extremely well in recent weeks, they rank 25th in BB% and have been the 5th-most aggressive team in baseball in terms of Swing% across the last 14 days. Factoring in a somewhat pitcher-friendly home plate umpire and an extremely taxed Houston arm barn, and Arrighetti should have a chance to come back out for the 6th inning in this spot if he’s reasonably effective.
Willson Contreras OVER 1.5 Total Bases (-110), DraftKings
Willson Contreras has been one of the best hitters in baseball against LHP in 2024, posting a .324 batting average, 1.095 OPS, and 205 wRC+. Today, he gets a favorable matchup against the strike-throwing DJ Herz in very hot conditions. At first pitch today, the forecast has the temperature at 97 degrees at Nationals Park. Contreras could also benefit from a more hitter-friendly strike zone in this matchup. This is good value for a player who has done a lot of damage against southpaws this season.
Check out more DFS sites with fantasy baseball pick’em.
MLB 2024 Results – Wager Type
Strikeouts: 6-0
Outs Recorded: 1-1
Hitter Strikeouts: 4-0
Total Bases: 7-7
Hits + Runs + RBIs: 2-0
Stolen Bases: 0-2
Dinger Tuesday: 4-9-2
Combined Record: 23-20-2 (53.5%)
Image Credit: Getty Images