NBA Trend Blend: Friday, December 16th

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Defense versus Position isn’t everything – pace isn’t everything – defensive rating isn’t everything, but the combination of trends and metrics is something; it’s the NBA Trend Blend.

Admittedly, there is no single article or tool that you can use to build perfect lineups night in and night out, but this will be another awesome article/tool that you can use to gain an edge over the competition. Some may look at one tool/trend and make decisions solely based on a narrow set of data, but we will dive in to take a deeper look at some of the best plays on the slate.

This article will feature some of my favorite plays (and occasionally overrated plays) at each position based on DvP, pace, defensive rating, and other factors.

DRtg/A – An estimate of points allowed per 100 possessions adjusted for strength of opponent offense

Pace – Possessions per game

DvP – Defense versus Position

Long story short, my very pregnant wife and one-year-old were in a car wreck this morning, and thankfully they are completely fine. Unfortunately, her vehicle is not. I’ve spent most of the morning driving to help them and on the phone with various insurance companies, towing companies and auto body companies. I pondered not writing an article at all, but I can’t leave you guys hanging. Such is my love for you! While I truly don’t have time for a full article today, I do have time to provide something of a Trend Blend cheat sheet, which should help you locate the best plays of the day. As always, feel free to leave questions in the comments section, or hit me up on twitter for an even quicker response.

1. Most favorable DvP matchups (by position)

Point Guard

Elfrid Payton
Kyle Lowry
Patrick Beverley
Sergio Rodriguez
Jeremy Lin
Isaiah Thomas

Shooting Guard

Evan Fournier
Tony Allen
DeMar DeRozan
Buddy Hield
Lou Williams

Small Forward

Aaron Gordon
Jimmy Butler
Luol Deng
Trevor Ariza
Robert Covington
Jae Crowder

Power Forward

Serge Ibaka
JaMychal Green and Zach Randolph
Taj Gibson
Marvin Williams
Anthony Davis

Center

Bismack Biyombo and Nikola Vucevic
Joel Embiid and/or Jahlil Okafor
Brook Lopez
DeAndre Jordan
Al Horford

2. Fastest paced teams of the slate

Brooklyn Nets
New Orleans Pelicans
Los Angeles Lakers
Atlanta Hawks
Houston Rockets
Charlotte Hornets

3. Slowest paced teams of the slate

Utah Jazz
Dallas Mavericks
Detroit Pistons
Miami Heat
Orlando Magic

4. Most favorable matchups in DRtg/A

Philadelphia 76ers
Orlando Magic
Brooklyn Nets
Los Angeles Lakers
Atlanta Hawks
New Orleans Pelicans

5. Least favorable matchups in DRtg/A

Sacramento Kings
Washington Wizards
Dallas Mavericks
Miami Heat
Toronto Raptors
Boston Celtics

Hopefully this gets you well on your way to a great night of NBA DFS! Good luck to everyone.

About the Author

collinman005@gmail.com
Collin Campbell (collinman005@gmail.com)

Collin (Collinman005 on Twitter) is a musician and a lover of sports, particularly New England sports. As a kid, he could be found reading the box scores of his local newspaper, rather than playing with toys like most normal children. Collin heads up the Relief Brief, which breaks down MLB bullpen situations to help DFSers gain an even bigger edge, as well as the NBA Trend Blend. He began contributing to RotoGrinders in July of 2016.