NFL DFS Expert Survey: Week 8
Our panel of experts is here to give you their insights on NFL DFS today for the Week 8 main slate on DraftKings and FanDuel. They’re ready to answer key questions that will assist you in making those crucial lineup-building decisions. Curious about Noto’s favorite correlation? Or perhaps you’re wondering about Davis Mattek’s favorite contrarian play? Read their thoughts below!
NFL DFS DraftKings & FanDuel Expert Survey: Week 8 Picks
Rank your three favorite players for cash games, in order:
| Analyst | Rank 1 | Rank 2 | Rank 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Notorious | Chase Brown | Trey McBride | Javonte Williams (FD) / Dak Prescott (DK) |
| stevietpfl | Jahmyr Gibbs | Bucky Irving | Zay Flowers |
| Krayton | Jahmyr Gibbs | Chase Brown | Zay Flowers |
| ebeimfohr | Chase Brown | Zay Flowers | Javonte Williams |
| ncorfield8k | Chase Brown | Germie Bernard (FD) / Wan’Dale Robinson (DK) | Zay Flowers |
| Davis Mattek | Chase Brown | Javonte Williams | Wan’Dale Robinson |
| Jordan Vanek | Chase Brown | Bhayshul Tuten | Germie Bernard (FD) / Wan’Dale Robinson (DK) |
What is your favorite correlation and why?
Notorious: Cardinals/Cowboys game stack – I love the idea of loading up on these teams. The game features a massive total, and the spread is surprisingly set at only 6.5 points. I specifically want to stack the passing games, as both defenses are in the bottom 6 in EPA allowed per dropback and in schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks. I’m fine building the stack with Dak Prescott or Jacoby Brissett, and I plan to have exposure to both. I’ll mix and match Trey McBride, Michael Wilson, CeeDee Lamb, and George Pickens.
stevietpfl: Kyler Murray + T.J. Hockenson + Jahmyr Gibbs – The Lions have allowed the most fantasy points to both quarterbacks and tight ends this season. Murray doesn’t have a multi-touchdown game this season, and the Vikings have relied a lot on good defense. Even with great defense, the Lions offense should be able to move the ball. Murray is going to throw the ball more this weekend, and this is a great spot for Hockenson. I will also be playing some Hockenson / Jefferson combos with Murray. With the savings of the Minnesota stack, I’m running it back with the high floor of Gibbs. Gibbs has a 78.6% snap share this season and is viable in any game script. I also put him in the matchup-proof category.
Krayton: Dak Prescott + CeeDee Lamb + Michael Wilson – The Cowboys get an elite matchup against the Cardinals, and I will be looking to add Javonte Williams as another piece on the Cowboys side. Trey McBride is another great option to mix and match with Michael Wilson on the Cardinals side. Lamb now has 70+ receiving yards in both of his last 2 games, and he’s averaging just shy of 12 targets a game. He has a great floor, and we have seen him have an incredible ceiling this season, going for 38 and 44 DK points earlier this season. With Marvin Harrison Jr. gone, Michael Wilson will continue to get elite targets. He’s at a nice price point on both sites, especially on FD at just $6,200. I love the upside that we get with this game environment.
ebeimfohr: Lamar Jackson + Zay Flowers + DJ Moore – On a slate with several appealing games, this is by far my favorite. The Bills sport one of the worst defenses in the NFL, and the Ravens offense elevates to a different stratosphere with Lamar Jackson back at the helm. It’s the cheapest we are likely to get Jackson the rest of the way, and he’s not even projecting to be that popular after missing a few weeks. Flowers has been one of the best WRs in the NFL this season desite missing time himself and playing multiple games without Jackson. He leads the league in yards per route run and YAC, and his metrics are some of the most ridiculous you’ll ever see when he has Jackson over Tyler Huntley. On the other side, DJ Moore returns for the Bills, and he’s a wildly important piece for their offense. In his fully healthy games, he’s had 36 total DK points on 18 targets and has averaged 3.4 yards per route run.
ncorfield8k: Jacoby Brissett + Jeremiyah Love + Michael Wilson / Kendrick Bourne – There are so many high-end wide receivers I want to play on this slate that I prefer trying to find value at other positions. The Cardinals stack isn’t an extreme value, but it’s a pretty strong one with big upside against a lackluster Cowboys defense, which allows the 2nd-most EPA per pass and 9th-most EPA per rush, according to SumerSports.
Davis Mattek: Trevor Lawrence + Parker Washington – Washington has elite peripheral metrics this season (TPRR, first-read target share) and has also increased his aDOT while adding in more endzone targets. He had a true smash performance in the Jaguars’ first London game and then took a backseat to the ground game against the Texans. It’s a weird slate where there really isn’t any clear-cut chalk, and the Lawrence / Washington combo will be quite low on that list.
Jordan Vanek: Michael Penix Jr. + Drake London + Kyle Pitts + Bucky Irving – When Penix isn’t pressured, he averages 8.7 yards per attempt with a 76.6% completion rate, and Tampa Bay has one of the NFL’s worst pressure rates. That sets up well for Drake London and Kyle Pitts, especially with the Buccaneers struggling against receiving TEs. Mike Gesicki, Darren Waller, and Tucker Kraft have all scored against this defense. On the other side, I don’t believe Baker Mayfield is fully healthy, and I expect Tampa Bay to lean on the run. Atlanta has struggled recently, allowing Derrick Henry to rush for 100+ yards, Justice Hill to add 73, and Kaelon Black to finish with 63 and a touchdown. If Tampa Bay maintains last week’s rushing rate, Bucky Irving has massive upside in this matchup.
Who’s your favorite contrarian play (below 10% pOWN%) and why?
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About the Author
Robert Brown (aka Epignosis) was having lunch at a sports bar. A football game was on. He remarked to his wife that if he could have a second life, he’d like to be someone who enjoyed watching sports. That enjoyment began when he signed up for a fantasy football league that needed one more player. Since then, he has enjoyed playing NFL, NBA, and (especially) MLB DFS. When not teaching American literature, editing content for RotoGrinders (which he has done since 2019), or making lineups, Epignosis is rocking out or jazzing it up on one of several possible instruments.