Vegas Odds and Lines: Starting Pitcher Win Probability
Shown below are the starting pitcher and moneylines for today’s MLB Games. Each moneyline can be associated with a percent likelihood that the given team will win the game. While it is not a direct indicator that the starting pitcher will pick up the win and the accompanying fantasy points, it is a great way to find a great opportunity for the win.
Also included are $/ML stats, which are salary divided by the moneyline probability percentage. Each day, the starting pitcher salaries for each daily fantasy site will be divided by the probability percentage that goes with the given team’s Vegas Odds Line.
The lower the $/ML figure, the better VALUE that pitcher has.
A low $/ML number indicates a cheap pitcher who is favored to get the win. A high $/ML number might indicate a more pricey pitching option whose win probability percentage is lower.
Table below is sortable. Click any column header to sort by that category
| PITCHER | TEAM | MoneyLine | Win Prob% | FD $/ML | DS $/ML | DJ $/ML | DD $/ML | DK $/ML | FF $/ML | SS $/ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Rodriguez | PIT | 123 | 44.84% | $15,833 | $709,140 | $213,010 | $56,865 | |||
| Julio Teheran | ATL | -133 | 57.08% | $10,686 | $602,647 | $171,824 | $45,374 | |||
| Jacob Turner | MIA | 190 | 34.48% | $14,500 | $30,111 | $696,000 | $28,710 | $17,110 | $185,600 | $64,090 |
| Cole Hamels | PHI | -210 | 67.74% | $10,333 | $21,055 | $540,286 | $22,364 | $16,386 | $107,467 | $47,386 |
| Corey Kluber | CLE | 154 | 39.37% | $13,716 | $28,631 | $665,480 | $21,971 | $13,716 | $199,542 | $56,896 |
| CC Sabathia | NYY | -164 | 62.12% | $13,361 | $25,563 | $619,756 | $25,434 | $17,868 | $151,961 | $54,249 |
| Bartolo Colon | OAK | -108 | 51.92% | $13,867 | $26,655 | $570,074 | $20,704 | $13,674 | $216,320 | $55,274 |
| Yovani Gallardo | MIL | -102 | 50.50% | $13,863 | $21,465 | $566,392 | $21,091 | $17,625 | $129,597 | $51,886 |
| Dylan Axelrod | CWS | 158 | 38.76% | $13,416 | $20,637 | $696,600 | $24,123 | $12,900 | $205,574 | $53,148 |
| Hisashi Iwakuma | SEA | -168 | 62.69% | $12,762 | $27,397 | $642,881 | $24,168 | $14,517 | $218,484 | $44,029 |
| R.A. Dickey | TOR | 105 | 48.78% | $13,530 | $23,186 | $631,400 | $18,450 | $17,425 | $176,792 | $47,355 |
| Barry Zito | SFG | -115 | 53.49% | $11,217 | $15,633 | $514,130 | $13,087 | $14,583 | $108,883 | $37,391 |
| Alex Cobb | TBR | 127 | 44.05% | $17,252 | $31,228 | $733,210 | $33,710 | $20,430 | $258,962 | $66,511 |
| Doug Fister | DET | -137 | 57.81% | $12,109 | $22,712 | $646,993 | $26,554 | $14,531 | $160,537 | $47,227 |
| Dillon Gee | NYM | 132 | 43.10% | $14,384 | $23,898 | $482,560 | $17,748 | $16,472 | $164,070 | $59,856 |
| Dan Haren | WAS | -142 | 58.68% | $10,566 | $20,224 | $599,887 | $16,872 | $11,589 | $122,159 | $42,265 |
| Alexi Ogando | TEX | 110 | 47.62% | $11,760 | $22,243 | $693,000 | $21,630 | $15,750 | $59,850 | |
| John Lackey | BOS | -120 | 54.55% | $11,550 | $23,071 | $610,500 | $19,067 | $15,217 | $170,133 | $49,683 |
| Jon Garland | COL | 179 | 35.84% | $13,671 | $9,316 | $421,290 | $14,927 | $13,950 | $64,728 | $47,151 |
| Johnny Cueto | CIN | -189 | 65.40% | $11,621 | $22,741 | $585,646 | $22,937 | $13,915 | $168,568 | $46,179 |
| P.J. Walters | MIN | 133 | 42.92% | $9,553 | $17,536 | $454,350 | $18,524 | $11,650 | $103,638 | $42,173 |
| Jeremy Guthrie | KCR | -143 | 58.85% | $9,516 | $15,037 | $440,119 | $16,398 | $12,405 | $97,608 | $35,345 |
| Freddy Garcia | BAL | -163 | 61.98% | $8,713 | $17,239 | $538,908 | $14,441 | $12,101 | $118,237 | $41,306 |
| Dallas Keuchel | HOU | 153 | 39.53% | $12,397 | $16,405 | $407,330 | $15,560 | $12,650 | $157,467 | $50,094 |
| Wade Miley | ARI | 127 | 44.05% | $13,847 | $18,308 | $547,070 | $16,798 | $18,614 | $108,597 | $51,302 |
| Joe Kelly | STL | -137 | 57.81% | $7,612 | $12,428 | $434,212 | $9,861 | $8,650 | $25,949 | $36,674 |
| Matt Garza | CHC | 141 | 41.49% | $16,629 | $32,706 | $747,100 | $30,005 | $20,967 | $216,707 | $64,588 |
| Jason Vargas | LAA | -151 | 60.16% | $11,303 | $22,223 | $615,033 | $21,942 | $11,303 | $190,428 | $48,870 |
| Jason Marquis | SDP | 200 | 33.33% | $15,300 | $26,292 | $543,000 | $28,350 | $21,000 | $233,760 | $58,800 |
| Clayton Kershaw | LAD | -220 | 68.75% | $13,527 | $28,637 | $674,909 | $29,091 | $17,309 | $210,385 | $54,691 |