Daily Batter Breakdown: Monday, June 29th

by Jon Schiller (Varncass) Last Updated 2015-07-02 16:16:18

Welcome to the Daily Batter Breakdown. Whenever there are at least eight games on the night slate, I’ll break down some of the best top tier hitters to target based on matchup.

The biggest split taken into account will be left/right, but each player card will also show park factors, player salaries on FanDuel and DraftKings among other sites, and then a description of why I’ll be targeting him.

		Matt Wieters
		Daily Breakdown		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits		0.200	0.680	8.57%	0.287
		Last 7 Days Splits		0.231	0.747	7.69%	0.325
		Opp SP vs. LR		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Rodriguez – LEFT		0.267	0.830	4.67%	0.358
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
1.190	0.000	$3,300	$8,700	$4,300	$73,900

Matt Wieters

Wieters has great numbers against righties this year, which is a great sign of his continued improvement at the plate. He really does not have enough of a sample size to take anything from his play against lefties, but he has always been a better hitter from the right side of the plate. His numbers should start going up – a career .356 wOBA and .211 ISO are solid numbers for a catcher – and Wandy really struggled against righties last year and has somewhat carried that into this year.

		Adam Lind
		Daily Breakdown		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits		0.328	0.910	3.46%	0.394
		Last 7 Days Splits		0.476	1.141	0.00%	0.494
		Opp SP vs. LR		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		O’Sullivan – RIGHT		0.346	1.098	8.65%	0.459
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
0.905	0.000	$3,700	$8,150	$4,300	$67,800

Adam Lind

O’Sullivan has gotten progressively worse against lefties throughout his career and the .467 wOBA allowed this year is by far his worst mark. This is an interesting situation, as the Phillies basically have no one to take his spot in the rotation, so we get to see a guy who really is not major league caliber pitching against good hitters. The positive for him? The Brewers are mostly righties, so he might be able to limit damage tonight. Lind, however, is not a righty and absolutely dominates right-handed pitching with a career .370 wOBA and .129 ISO. He will be in a great spot tonight and will not break the bank.

		Scooter Gennett
		Daily Breakdown		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits		0.291	0.776	2.61%	0.333
		Last 7 Days Splits		0.250	0.919	12.50%	0.372
		Opp SP vs. LR		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		O’Sullivan – RIGHT		0.346	1.098	8.65%	0.459
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
0.905	0.000	$2,900	$5,050	$3,500	$43,900

Scooter Gennett

Gennett has hit a couple of homers since rejoining the lineup but has not done much of anything else. That has kept his price low, but I would expect a lot of people on him tonight against O’Sullivan, who I talked a bit above being the worst pitcher against lefties in the majors right now. I want all the exposure I can to the Milwaukee left-handers and Gennett will help manage salary and get me someone who has a career .353 wOBA against righties for cheap.

		Nolan Arenado
		Daily Breakdown		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits		0.282	0.856	5.72%	0.366
		Last 7 Days Splits		0.391	1.657	26.09%	0.678
		Opp SP vs. LR		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Graveman – RIGHT		0.261	0.729	3.63%	0.318
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
1.000	0.000	$5,000	$12,900	$5,200	$110,300

Nolan Arenado

Arenado is the hottest hitter in the game right now, and it’s not even close. He has multiple homer games in three of his last six games and has added in more hits and homers in a couple of the other matchups. His numbers are off the charts right now, and the interesting thing is he is doing it all against right-handers. His .381 ISO against righties is ridiculous, as is his awesome .411 wOBA. Graveman has not been anything special against righties either, allowing a .325 wOBA, and I expect Arenado to continue this torrid stretch.

		Asdrubal Cabrera
		Daily Breakdown		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits
		Last 7 Days Splits
		Opp SP vs. LR		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD

Asdrubal Cabrera

The shortstop field is brutal today, so I will go with Cabrera, who has been hot for the Rays in the last few days and has a career .322 wOBA. Cody Anderson is solid and has been great in the minors this year (along with having a great debut), but I am not sure I 100% trust him here. He has not been battle tested enough and his K% is a bit lower this year, meaning he is getting it done with balls in play. I am not particularly targeting him, but I am looking at a few Tampa Bay guys here in interesting spots.

		Andre Ethier
		Daily Breakdown		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits		0.257	0.758	2.72%	0.332
		Last 7 Days Splits		0.077	0.22	0.00%	0.112
		Opp SP vs. LR		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Webster – RIGHT		0.236	0.674	0.72%	0.312
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
1.121	0.000	$2,200	$5,500	$3,600	$42,600

Andre Ethier

Webster has been solid against lefties this season, but most of it is coming from a ridiculously low BABIP that is sure to come up. It’s not going to be so easy tonight against the Dodgers in a nice hitter’s park in Arizona, especially against Ethier, who has managed a career .379 wOBA against righties.

		Grady Sizemore
		Daily Breakdown		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits		0.253	0.679	1.18%	0.303
		Last 7 Days Splits
		Opp SP vs. LR		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Anderson – RIGHT		0.283	0.856	4.30%	0.369
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
0.905	0.000	$2,200	$5,000	$2,900

Grady Sizemore

Sizemore is another guy going up against Cody Anderson that I could realistically see using today. He is min price on FanDuel and under $3,000 on DraftKings, and he could possibly be the only value guy you need since there are no stud pitchers going. Sizemore is basically playing to keep his job right now, and since he’s normally near the top of the lineup most days against righties, I can definitely see Sizemore having some value. He is older but does have great career numbers, and despite him being in decline, I could see him paying off this miniscule salary.

		Chris Young
		Daily Breakdown		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits		0.262	0.852	4.96%	0.366
		Last 7 Days Splits		0.414	1.107	6.90%	0.477
		Opp SP vs. LR		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Wilson – LEFT		0.260	0.737	2.83%	0.327
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
0.889	0.000	$6,300	$7,500	$4,500	$102,600

Chris Young

Young has homered twice in his last three games and seems to be seeing the ball extremely well right now. Sometimes we forget that he was once a huge star in this league and that his career .364 wOBA against lefties is a great mark. He has had a few years over .400 wOBA as well, and with his mark sitting at .499 this year, it is clear he is loving hitting against lefties. Wilson struggled last start against the Astros and could very well struggle again today, as he has just been average against righties in his career.

		Prince Fielder
		Daily Breakdown		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits		0.341	0.925	3.07%	0.391
		Last 7 Days Splits		0.476	1.386	4.76%	0.568
		Opp SP vs. LR		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Norris – RIGHT		0.272	0.807	3.54%	0.354
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
1.190	0.000	$3,700	$10,850	$4,800	$88,700

Prince Fielder

I like the price on Prince today as he heads to a hitter’s park in Camden that is ripe for homers. Norris has been terrible against lefties this season, allowing a .410 wOBA and a pretty poor xFIP at 4.59. Fielder continues to mash right-handers with a .436 wOBA, and he is one of the best options at first base tonight against a guy who cannot seem to get lefties out.

		Joc Pederson
		Daily Breakdown		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Left/Right Splits		0.235	0.904	7.24%	0.391
		Last 7 Days Splits		0.182	0.742	4.55%	0.331
		Opp SP vs. LR		Avg	OPS	HR%	wOBA
		Webster – RIGHT
PARK-1	PARK-LR	FD	DD	DK	FF	SS	FTD
1.121	0.000	$3,600	$9,500	$4,400	$73,400

Joc Pederson

Pederson has completely cooled off from his monster start to the year and it has now been a while since his last homer. I am not afraid of that though, as the Dodgers make for one of the best stacks tonight against the Diamondbacks, who are throwing Webster out there. Webster has not had a great start to the season, and while his numbers so far have been indicative of struggles against right-handers, I expect that to even out to lefties. Pederson’s .400 wOBA and his 160 wRC+ are solid numbers and should be considered, especially considering Webster has a career 5.64 xFIP against lefties.