MLB Daily Grind Down April 26th Part 3
Colorado at Arizona
| Colorado | Arizona | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Field | 9:40 PM | ||||||
| Juan Nicasio (2-0 REC, 5.31 ERA, 5.1 Avg IP) | Brandon McCarthy (0-2 REC, 7.06 ERA, 5.2 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 10-41 (0.244) H/AB, 0.878 OPS, 2 HR, 10 Ks | PvB | 13-45 (0.289) H/AB, 0.778 OPS, 2 HR, 6 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 11 IP, 4.91 ERA, 0.279 BAA, 3.3 K/9 | HOME | 11.2 IP, 7.71 ERA, 0.365 BAA, 3.9 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
COL BvP  | COL vs R | ARI BvP | ARI vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9.5
- Favored ARI -129
Pitchers
- Home Brandon McCarthy has not been Dirty Sanchez bad but he has been pretty awful himself. He has 17 ER and only 11 Ks on the year. I expect for him to pitch better on the road than at home this year but he has been bad all around. He catches a COL team batting .259 on the road, 281 vs. right-handers, and .265 over the last 7 days. Avoid
- Away Juan Nicasio simply does not get enough Ks to matter and he has only made it more than 5 IP once in his four starts. There is no upside to playing him today versus an ARI team batting .256 at home, .272 vs. right-handers, and .233 over the last 7 days. Avoid
Batters
- Home Paul Goldschmidt has been on a tear posting 26.5 fp over the last 7 days. Everyone talks about him when he faces a lefty but he is hitting righties at a .356 clip on the year. He is 2-4 vs. Nicasio. Miguel Montero also has a HR vs. him in 4 AB and has the splits in his favor today. He has gone 2-22 over the last 7, though. Cody Ross has .400 BAA and could be a nice cheap option.
- Away Troy Tulowitzki, Michael Cuddyer, and Dexter Fowler have been the hottest Rockies. Gonzalez and Rosario have produced less than 6 fp over the last week but have positive BvPs. I like the lefty/righty matchup of Carlos Gonzalez and Cuddyer(if he plays) despite his poor BvPs because McCarthy has been struggling and the OU is high.
Baltimore at Oakland
| Baltimore | Oakland | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.co Coliseum | 10:07 PM | ||||||
| Wei-Yin Chen (1-2 REC, 3.38 ERA, 6.0 Avg IP) | Tommy Milone (3-1 REC, 4.26 ERA, 6.0 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 6-29 (0.207) H/AB, 0.621 OPS, 1 HR, 10 Ks | PvB | 5-19 (0.263) H/AB, 0.842 OPS, 1 HR, 3 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 18 IP, 4 ERA, 0.277 BAA, 4.5 K/9 | HOME | 13.2 IP, 2.63 ERA, 0.231 BAA, 6.6 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| BAL BvP | BAL vs L | OAK BvP | OAK vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored OAK -118
Pitchers
- Home Tommy Milone remains a pitcher you want to target at home and avoid on the road. He is at home today versus a hot hitting BAL team that has 3 players batting over .300 on the year.
- Away Wei-Yin Chen has been pitching in what should be a low scoring game. His K/9 totals are a little low for me liking and Vegas has him losing a close one. Avoid
Batters
- Home Josh Donaldson has produced 27.75 fp over the last week. Coco Crisp is producing well and is 2-4 vs. Chen
- Away Nate McLouth and Chris Davis have each produced over 30 fp over the last week. I really like a hot Adam Jones versus the righty today and Manny Machado for the discounted price. Both have produced over 20 fp in the last 7.
LA Angels at Seattle
| LA Angels | Seattle | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safeco Field | 10:10 PM | ||||||
| C.J. Wilson (1-0 REC, 4.13 ERA, 6.0 Avg IP) | Aaron Harang (0-2 REC, 10.24 ERA, 6.0 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 34-152 (0.224) H/AB, 0.711 OPS, 5 HR, 40 Ks | PvB | 33-107 (0.308) H/AB, 0.972 OPS, 6 HR, 11 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 6 IP, 4.5 ERA, 0.217 BAA, 6 K/9 | HOME | 5 IP, 5.4 ERA, 0.318 BAA, 10.8 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| LAA BvP | LAA vs R | SEA BvP | SEA vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored LAA -137
Pitchers
- Home Aaron Harang plus 10 ERA looks pretty tasty tonight. For the Angels, that is. However, if they struggled with Maurer last night what makes you think they can bombard Harang. Still, gentleman fire up your Angels stacks.
- Away C.J. Wilson has lasted exactly 6 IP in his first 4 starts. They have all been lackluster. He takes the hill as the huge favorite in a game in a pitcher friendly park against a SEA team that has struggled offensively and who has not had much success against him. Target
Batters
- Home Kyle Seager has produced more fp than any other player in baseball over the last 7 with 37 fp. He is 1-13 vs. Wilson, though. SEA is batting to poorly to consider anyone from their team at the moment.
- Away Howie Kendrick, Mike Trout, Peter Bourjos, and Mark Trumbo have all produced over 20 fp in the last 7. Everyone is in plyay against the struggling righty.
San Francisco at San Diego
| San Francisco | San Diego | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petco Park | 10:10 PM | ||||||
| Tim Lincecum (2-0 REC, 3.97 ERA, 6.1 Avg IP) | Andrew Cashner (0-1 REC, 4.05 ERA, 4.0 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 51-217 (0.235) H/AB, 0.756 OPS, 8 HR, 63 Ks | PvB | 9-31 (0.29) H/AB, 0.935 OPS, 3 HR, 8 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 10 IP, 3.6 ERA, 0.243 BAA, 7.2 K/9 | HOME | 3.1 IP, 2.7 ERA, 0.25 BAA, 5.4 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| SFG BvP | SFG vs R | SDP BvP | SDP vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
h3. Las Vegas
- OU 7
- Favored SFO -120
Pitchers
- Home Andrew Cashner is a long reliever making a spot start. I doubt he goes 5 today so he will not get the win or enough Ks even if he does pitch well. Avoid
- Away When Tim Lincecum is good he is GPP winning good. He is a high risk/high reward guy and draws a SDP team batting .248 at home, .245 vs. right-handers, and only .198 over the last 7 days. He is the favorite in a game with an OU of only 7. You can thank me/blame me later if you like. Target
Batters
- Home Chase Headley is the highest scoring Padre over the last week and he has only 10.5 fp. He is 10-38 vs. Lincecum with 3 HRs. Carlos Quentin, Jesus Guzman, and Evereth Cabrera have positive splits as well if you think bad Timmy is going to show up today.
- Away Buster Posey has looked like an MVP again posting 23.5 fp over the last 7 days. He is 3-6 vs. Cashner with 2 Hrs. The low OU is alarming but I think you can feel safe playing everyone except the cold Scutari and Blanco.
Milwaukee at LA Dodgers
| Milwaukee | LA Dodgers | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dodger Stadium | 10:10 PM | ||||||
| Hiram Burgos (1-0 REC, 1.80 ERA, 5.0 Avg IP) | Josh Beckett (0-3 REC, 4.68 ERA, 6.0 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 0-0 (0) H/AB, 0 OPS, 0 HR, 0 Ks | PvB | 15-34 (0.441) H/AB, 1.441 OPS, 4 HR, 4 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 0 | HOME | 6 IP, 4.5 ERA, 0.261 BAA, 6 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| MIL BvP | MIL vs R | LAD BvP | LAD vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored LAD -160
Pitchers
- Home Josh Beckett one start at home this year went well and he was a pretty solid pitcher in LA a year ago. Though his ER totals have been high his WHIP and K/9 have been solid. He is giving up way to many fly balls which have led to 6 HRs on the year. He is the significant favorite today versus a MIL team batting .225 on the road, .226 versus right-handers, and .212 over the last 7 days. The splits favor Beckett on this one but the BvP data favors MIL. They are 15-34 vs. him with 4 HRs. He should get the win today but it probably will not be clean.
- Away Hiram Burgos pitched well in his first start but he only managed 1 K versus the Cubs and threw only 83 pitches. He is the huge dog and has little to no upside. Avoid
Batters
- Home Do not look now but Matt Kemp has turned it around. He has produced 29.75 fp over the last 7 games. Mark Ellis has produced more than any other 2B with 28 fp over the last 7. Adrian Gonzalez and Carl Crawford remain solid plays versus the right-hander.
- Away Yuniesky Betancourt is 7-16 vs Beckett with 1 HR. Ryan Braun is 2-3 with 2 HRs versus him. Braun has been hot producing 28 fp over the last week. Jean Segura has produced more than any other SS over the last 7 at 25 fp. Rickie Weeks is 3-6 vs. Josh but has gone 2-20 over the last 7 days.