MLB Daily Grind Down: Saturday, June 15th

by Kyle Koch (Jackandsoda) Last Updated 2013-06-15 17:43:17

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

One of the bad things about daily fantasy is that it is on a schedule. Yesterday was not a good day for me to play daily fantasy because I was a making a bus trip down to see my parents in south texas. Internet service on my phone south of Houston is slow to nonexistant. My phone died somewhere outside of Refugio. It was not a good day to be caught with your guard down and almost every single one of my LUs had a dead player in them. Hopefully, your night was better than mine. Today is a new day. Here is the Daily Grind down to get you ready.

Note: Any Fantasy Point Average Listed Uses FanDuel Scoring. For more info on FanDuel’s MLB Scoring System, check out the scoring systems section of our FanDuel Review

• FPAB – Fantasy Points Per At Bat
• K% – Strikeout Percentage
• K/9 – Strikeouts Per 9 IP

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Chicago Cubs vs. NY Mets

1:10 PM	Chicago Cubs – ROAD					NY Mets – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.245	0.712	20.00%	0.56		0.227	0.666	22.90%	0.52
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.236	0.701	21.40%	0.43		0.231	0.677	23.30%	0.42
SP STATS	Feldman – RHP					Niese – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.18	3.22	6.73	10.02
LAST 14 DAYS	1.17	5.25	2.25	4.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	CHC vs L		CHC BvP			NYM vs R		NYM BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5
• Favored Team – NYM -120

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Jonathon Niese has been solid at home this year with a 3.01 home ERA. The Cubs are a weak hitting road team but have a great team BAA of .316 versus him. He is in play on a multiple pitcher site but his low K/9 worries me given the Cubs success against him. I would rather gamble on a player with more upside given the option. CHC is batting .228 on the road, .233 versus left-handers, and .196 over the last 7 days. In Play

• Road After a hot start, Scott Feldman ‘s numbers are starting to creep back up to his career averages. He has given up 14 ER in his last 4 starts. 10 ER came in 2 of those. He has been a good day game pitcher on the year with a 1.93 Day ERA but his road ERA is 4.01. He seems to be trending downward. He catches an equally cold team in the Mets so maybe he wins out but I think they will get to him today. NYM is batting .211 at home, .227 versus right-handers, and .196 over the last 7 days. In Play

Batter Grind Down

• Home David Wright has been hot producing 24.5 fp over the last 7 days. He is also batting .321 versus right-handed hitters. Justin Turner and Daniel Murphy have nice batting averages versus righties as well.

• Road Alfonso Soriano is batting .317 versus left-handed pitching. Starlin Castro is not the same hit machine he was a year ago but he was very good against lefties then. He is 5-13 with 1 HR off of Niese. Ryan Sweeney is batting .391 versus left-handers as well.

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Toronto vs. Texas

4:05 PM	Toronto – ROAD					Texas – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.251	0.727	19.20%	0.60		0.265	0.759	17.80%	0.62
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.250	0.747	20.00%	0.50		0.270	0.774	17.70%	0.52
SP STATS	Dickey – RHP					Lindblom – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.36	5.11	6.55	8.71		1.47	5.91	8.82	6.60
LAST 14 DAYS	1.41	6.05	3.30	5.70		1.00	4.50	9.00	9.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	TOR vs R		TOR BvP			TEX vs R		TEX BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 10
• Favored Team – TEX -120

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home I wonder if Josh Lindblom ever thought he would see the day in which he was the favorite against the previous year’s Cy Young award winner. He pitched well enough to get the quality start in his last outing but the high OU is enough to scare me away from him in this game. TOR is batting .242 on the road, .253 versus right-handers, and .251 over the last 7 days. Avoid

• Road R.A. Dickey has been dealing with a back problem that may be part of the reason for his poor preformance. All I know is that if a CHW team that was making AAA pitchers look like Hall of Famers can score 7 ER off of you then you are not going to end up in my LU no matter what the problem may be causing the problem. TEX is batting .274 at home, .267 versus right-handers, and .209 over the last 7 days. Avoid

Batter Grind Down

• Home Don’t Worry about the Mules. Just load the wagon. A.J. Pierzynski has been producing over the last 7 days. He is 4-9 with 1 HR versus Dickey

• Road Stack them up! Jose Bautista, Edwin Encarnacion, Adam Lind, and Colby Rasmus have all been hot.

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San Francisco vs. Atlanta

4:05 PM	San Francisco – ROAD					Atlanta – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.267	0.720	16.20%	0.57		0.246	0.738	23.90%	0.61
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.270	0.692	16.60%	0.38		0.253	0.754	24.80%	0.51
SP STATS	Gaudin – RHP					Minor – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.14	2.32	8.53	3.96		0.95	2.44	8.34	13.17
LAST 14 DAYS	0.83	3.00	9.00	14.00		1.00	2.37	8.05	13.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	SFG vs L		SFG BvP			ATL vs R		ATL BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7
• Favored Team – ATL -210

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Mike Minor has posted a quality start in 9 of his 10 outings. His one bad preformance came on the road in DET. He is exactly the type of player you want to be taking with your LUs. High cieling. Low Floor. SFO is batting .269 on the road, .287 versus left-handers, and .328 over the last 7 days. Target

• Road Chad Gaudin has made the most of his past 2 starts. He has win from both outings and both came on the road. However, he left both games after throwing only 80 pitches. His K totals should get a boost from ATL today so that might make him worth considering even though he most likely will not last past the 6th. If you are playing the fade of Minor than Gaudin might be a sneaky add to a multiple pitcher roster. ATL is batting .246 at home, .251 versus right-handers, and .223 over the last 7 days. In Play

Batter Grind Down

• Home Dan Uggla is 4-12 with 2 HRs versus Gaudin. He is Also hot with 24.5 fp over the last week. Jason Heyward is also hot with 21 fp. Freddie Freeman and Brian McCann are both hitting right-handers very well on the year.

• Road HUnter Pence is super hot with 41.25 fp over the last week. Buster Posey is very hot also with 30 fp. Pence, Posey, Brandon Belt, and Andres Torres are all batting over .300 versus left-handers

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LA Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh

4:05 PM	LA Dodgers – ROAD					Pittsburgh – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.254	0.695	18.70%	0.52		0.235	0.677	22.50%	0.52
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.246	0.676	19.90%	0.38		0.224	0.663	21.60%	0.40
SP STATS	Kershaw – LHP					Crumpton – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	0.98	1.88	8.63	13.94
LAST 14 DAYS	1.40	2.70	8.55	11.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	LAD vs R		LAD BvP			PIT vs L		PIT BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7
• Favored Team – LAD -140

Pitcher Grind Down

p.* Home Brandon Cumpton was 12-11 with 3.84 ERA and 5.2 K/9 in AA last year. If he cannot manage a solid ERA and K rate in AA then I am not sure what use he is to us today. He has been known to have great command of his pitches but he is more likely to get hit hard than he is to get 7 scoreless with 6 Ks. LAD is batting .251 on the road, .246 versus right-handers, and .244 over the last 7 days. Avoid

• Away Clayton Kershaw ‘s 2.55 road ERA is better than most targetable player’s home ERAs. He seems to be a lock to get the win today against the rookie and as well worth the salary if you can make him work. PIT is batting .246 at home, .233 versus left-handers, and .275 over the last 7 days. Target

Batter Grind Down

• Home Andrew McCutchen is batting .500 over the last 7 days producing 31.25 fp in that time. He is also a fantastic home hitter with a .350 batting average and he is 5-17 with 1 HR off of Kershaw. If you want to play the fade, this is your man.

• Away Vegas has the OU of this game set low so the expect the young kid to pitch well enough. I think LAD score 4 runs off him. I like the left-handed bats first but I think everyone is playable and there is always a chance with young pitchers that things get real ugly.

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Philadelphia vs. Colorado

4:10 PM	Philadelphia – ROAD					Colorado – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.248	0.709	19.90%	0.55		0.271	0.779	18.80%	0.67
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.250	0.701	19.50%	0.42		0.274	0.797	19.00%	0.56
SP STATS	Pettibone – RHP					Chatwood – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.41	3.70	5.73	8.31		1.30	2.14	8.13	11.20
LAST 14 DAYS	1.55	4.96	5.59	5.70		1.25	2.25	9.00	7.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	PHI vs R		PHI BvP			COL vs R		COL BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 11
• Favored Team – COL -145

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Tyler Chatwood has been sneaky good all year. It is tought to pull the trigger on a COL player at home in a game with a high OU. It is even harder when he has been dealing with a tricep injury. There are better picks to be had but if he keeps pitching like this at home it will not be long before I am reccomending him in COL. PHI is batting .250 on the road, .252 versus right-handers, and .262 over the last 7 days. Avoid

• Road Jonathan Pettibone is what you call a matchup play pitcher. See what Vegas thinks about his matchup today in the section above. COL is batting .282 at home, .276 versus right-handers, and .312 over the last 7 days. Avoid

Batter Grind Down

• Home Carlos Gonzalez has ankles of steel. He is also hot producing 26.25 fp over the last week. He should lead the charge again today for another strong output by COL. Everyone is in play.

• Road Michael Young is 5-6 versus Chatwood. The high OU makes everyone playable.

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