Million Dollar Musings: Thursday, July 27
CheeseIsGood, a two-time winner of a $1,000,000 first-place prize in DFS, is here to give you his musings on the upcoming MLB DFS slate. Whether you are looking for the top pitchers or the best stacks, Cheese has you covered with an extensive deep dive into his MLB DFS picks.
Happy Thursday!
I had the opportunity last night to go to see one of my all-time favorite songwriters in concert, Jackson Browne. I have been listening to his music for decades but somehow never really noticed until last night how many of them have DFS relevance. Just a few examples that I noticed:
My favorite song has always been ‘These Days.’ In just that song alone, we have lines like these:
“These days I seem to think a lot about the things that I forgot to do, and all the times I had the chance to” – Jackson Browne talking about forgetting to stack against chalky Yu Darvish.
“Don’t confront me with my failures, I had not forgotten them” – Written in his days as a DFS analyst when someone would yell at him on Twitter for recommending Patrick Corbin.
“It’s just that I’ve been losing so long” – He even wrote some lines about the years he tried to play NBA DFS.
“Well I’ve been out walking…” – Written after Browne’s first time attending a Blake Snell game.
Some of his most famous songs were written decades ago, yet peering into the future:
“Doctor My Eyes” – Written after a trip to the emergency room from trying to track balls and strikes on the night Jackson Browne had the opportunity to umpire an MLB game started by Michael Kopech vs. Kodai Senga.
“Out into the cool of the evening strolls the pretender” – For those times when Lance Lynn starts in a night game in Chicago.
“Running On Empty” – An ode to Adam Wainwright. (Side note, written in 1977, Wainwright’s rookie year)
Well, you get the point, Jackson Browne is an all-time great who was way ahead of his time!
Moving back on to baseball, we’ve got a very slow day on tap with just a 3-game slate coming up tonight. Anytime we have slates this small, there is a strong case to be made to play everyone and throw some wild darts, but we’ll still try and pick out some favorite MLB DFS picks to get started.
Thursday Pitching: MLB DFS Picks on FanDuel & DraftKings
All six pitchers on this slate are decent enough to be considered tonight:
Dylan Cease vs. Guardians – 28% K, 9.6% BB, 4.04 ERA, 3.93 SIERA
Kodai Senga vs. Nationals – 29.7% K, 11.9% BB, 3.27 ERA, 4.01 SIERA
Justin Steele at Cardinals – 22.7% K, 5%BB, 2.95 ERA, 3.82 SIERA
Tanner Bibee at White Sox – 24.6% K, 8.4% BB, 3.04 ERA, 4.19 SIERA
Josiah Gray at Mets – 20% K, 10.4% BB, 3.45 ERA, 4.92 SIERA
Miles Mikolas vs. Cubs – 15.8% K, 4.6% BB, 4.33 ERA, 4.79 SIERA
This slate gets interesting right away, with the two high-strikeout pitchers facing the league’s two lowest-strikeout teams against right-handed pitching.
Kodai Senga has been so incredibly tough to figure out this season, and we’re deep enough in that I am not expecting that to change. Senga has not been particularly matchup-based with his strikeouts or his walks, and if the good Senga shows up tonight, I still see slate-winning potential here. The low walks for Washington sort of mute out the low strikeouts. On a slate where salary is not really relevant, I’m going to call him my SP1, though it’s all very close.
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