MLB Grind Down: Monday, August 10th - Page Two

Washington at LA Dodgers – 10:10 PM EST

Washington LA Dodgers
washingtonmlb Gio Gonzalez ladodgersmlb Brett Anderson
LEFT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
LAD (-127) 7
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.236 0.64 0.283 0.218 SP vs. Left 0.283 0.675 0.303 0.159
SP vs. Right 0.249 0.695 0.309 0.236 SP vs. Right 0.257 0.69 0.301 0.171
Batter Splits WAS BvP WAS vs L Batter Splits LAD BvP LA vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Gio Gonzalez : FD: $9,400 — DK: $9,100

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 274.0 — SIERA: 3.56 — ERA: 3.65 — K%: 23.2% — BB%: 8.7% — HR/9: 0.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 26.2 — SIERA: 3.54 — ERA: 2.36 — K%: 22.9% — BB%: 9.3% — HR/9: 0.3

Los Angeles Dodgers Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.329 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 20.3% (Rank: 11)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.332 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 21.9% (Rank: 21)
Pitchers per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 5)

Analysis: Gonzalez has been in good form recently, posting a 3.54 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 22.9%. It’s always a bit unnerving when you target him though, as he has a very high walk rate and he often gets himself into trouble. Gonzalez is a small underdog tonight against the Dodgers, who are ranked fourth in team wOBA and 11th in team strikeout rate against against left-handed pitching this season. There are better pitching options at better price points tonight.

Pitcher Rating: 63.6


Brett Anderson : FD: $7,700 — DK: $7,100

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 167.0 — SIERA: 3.41 — ERA: 3.02 — K%: 16.8% — BB%: 6.7% — HR/9: 0.6
Last 30 Days: IP: 22.2 — SIERA: 3.93 — ERA: 2.78 — K%: 12.8% — BB%: 5.3% — HR/9: 1.2

Washington Nationals Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.306 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 21.6% (Rank: 18)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.295 (Rank: 25) — Strikeout Rate: 20.6% (Rank: 15)
Pitchers per PA: 3.77 (Rank: 22)

Analysis: Anderson has pitched well over the last two seasons, posting a 3.41 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 16.8%. His strikeout rate has been down a bit recently though, and he is facing a Nationals’ offense that is finally healthy. Washington has a much better lineup with Ryan Zimmerman, Anthony Rendon, and Jayson Werth back. Anderson isn’t the worst pitching option on the board, but I have both Jon Niese and Ian Kennedy ranked higher than him and they are at a comparable price point.

Pitcher Rating: 63.0

Batter Grind Down

Washington

The Nationals draw a decent matchup tonight against Brett Anderson, who is a low strikeout pitcher. There typically wouldn’t be any elite plays here, but we only have seven games on the schedule, so choices are limited. Ryan Zimmerman and Anthony Rendon are both in play tonight.

Elite Plays:

Ryan Zimmerman : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,400

Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/3B
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 62 — wOBA: 0.325 — ISO: 0.193 — wRC+: 107
Last 30 Days: PA: 46 — wOBA: 0.379 — ISO: 0.275 — wRC+: 144

Secondary Plays:

Anthony Rendon : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,200

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/3B
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 20 — wOBA: 0.362 — ISO: 0.053 — wRC+: 132
Last 30 Days: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.300 — ISO: 0.106 — wRC+: 89


LA Dodgers

The Dodgers are small favorites tonight against Gio Gonzalez, but this is not a matchup that we should go out of our way to target. Gonzalez has held left and right-handed hitters under a .310 wOBA over the last two seasons. The Dodgers are secondary fantasy options tonight at home.

Elite Plays:

NONE

Secondary Plays:

Jimmy Rollins : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,000

Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 71 — wOBA: 0.357 — ISO: 0.154 — wRC+: 132
Last 30 Days: PA: 91 — wOBA: 0.337 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 118

Yasiel Puig : FD: $2,800 — DK: $3,000

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 52 — wOBA: 0.387 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 153
Last 30 Days: PA: 83 — wOBA: 0.246 — ISO: 0.158 — wRC+: 55

Scott Van Slyke : FD: $2,800 — DK: $2,600

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 60 — wOBA: 0.418 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 174
Last 30 Days: PA: 31 — wOBA: 0.391 — ISO: 0.091 — wRC+: 155

Enrique Hernandez : FD: $2,400 — DK: $2,200

Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: OF/SS
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.484 — ISO: 0.313 — wRC+: 219
Last 30 Days: PA: 27 — wOBA: 0.437 — ISO: 0.227 — wRC+: 187


Baltimore at Seattle – 10:10 PM EST

Baltimore Seattle
baltimoremlb Wei-Yin Chen seattlemlb Vidal Nuno
LEFT LEFT
Vegas Moneyline Vegas Over/Under
BAL (-112) 7.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.257 0.666 0.292 0.173 SP vs. Left 0.174 0.544 0.245 0.249
SP vs. Right 0.258 0.765 0.332 0.189 SP vs. Right 0.269 0.785 0.342 0.188
Batter Splits BAL BvP BAL vs L Batter Splits SEA BvP SEA vs L
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Wei-Yin Chen : FD: $7,800 — DK: $7,700

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 315.2 — SIERA: 3.86 — ERA: 3.45 — K%: 18.5% — BB%: 5.0% — HR/9: 1.3
Last 30 Days: IP: 28.0 — SIERA: 3.87 — ERA: 5.14 — K%: 18.4% — BB%: 4.0% — HR/9: 1.6

Seattle Mariners Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.305 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 13)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.343 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 20.8% (Rank: 16)
Pitchers per PA: 3.87 (Rank: 8)

Analysis: Chen has been an underrated pitcher for the Orioles over the last two seasons, posting a 3.86 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 18.5%. He draws a mediocre matchup tonight against the Mariners, who are ranked 19th in team wOBA and 13th in team strikeout rate this season. Seattle does have some intimidating right-handed hitters to throw at Chen, though. Once again, I’m leaning toward Jon Niese or Ian Kennedy at this price point.

Pitcher Rating: 56.3


Vidal Nuno : FD: $5,200 — DK: $4,300

Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 201.0 — SIERA: 3.78 — ERA: 4.16 — K%: 20.3% — BB%: 6.7% — HR/9: 1.3
Last 30 Days: IP: 14.0 — SIERA: 3.94 — ERA: 2.57 — K%: 19.0% — BB%: 6.9% — HR/9: 1.3

Baltimore Orioles Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.309 (Rank: 14) — Strikeout Rate: 21.9% (Rank: 19)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.335 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 20.5% (Rank: 14)
Pitchers per PA: 3.82 (Rank: 13)

Analysis: Nuno has been a nice surprise for the Mariners, but he hasn’t thrown more than 62 pitches in a game in more than two months. He will likely be on some sort of pitch count tonight, which really hurts his fantasy appeal. He can safely be avoided against the Orioles, who are ranked 14th in team wOBA and 19th in strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season.

Pitcher Rating: 46.2

Batter Grind Down

Baltimore

The Orioles draw a favorable matchup tonight against Vidal Nuno, who has given up a .342 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. The right-handed hitters have the edge in this matchup, but the Orioles will likely see plenty of the Mariners’ bullpen as well, so the left-handed hitters in this lineup could make for intriguing tournament options.

Elite Plays:

Adam Jones : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,100

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 90 — wOBA: 0.373 — ISO: 0.217 — wRC+: 139
Last 30 Days: PA: 105 — wOBA: 0.342 — ISO: 0.225 — wRC+: 117

Secondary Plays:

Manny Machado : FD: $4,200 — DK: $5,000

Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 105 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.168 — wRC+: 121
Last 30 Days: PA: 108 — wOBA: 0.384 — ISO: 0.191 — wRC+: 147

Matt Wieters : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,100

Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 45 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 121
Last 30 Days: PA: 75 — wOBA: 0.318 — ISO: 0.137 — wRC+: 100


Seattle

The Mariners draw a favorable matchup against Wei-Yin Chen, who has given up a .332 wOBA to right-handed hitters. Nelson Cruz and Mark Trumbo have both been swinging hot bats and are elite plays in the outfield. Austin Jackson and Jesus Montero are also in play if they are in the lineup tonight.

Elite Plays:

Nelson Cruz : FD: $5,000 — DK: $5,500

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 110 — wOBA: 0.501 — ISO: 0.365 — wRC+: 233
Last 30 Days: PA: 116 — wOBA: 0.510 — ISO: 0.385 — wRC+: 239

Mark Trumbo : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,600

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 1B/OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.219 — wRC+: 124
Last 30 Days: PA: 85 — wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.169 — wRC+: 124

Secondary Plays:

Austin Jackson : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,600

Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 100 — wOBA: 0.332 — ISO: 0.172 — wRC+: 115
Last 30 Days: PA: 109 — wOBA: 0.275 — ISO: 0.088 — wRC+: 76

Jesus Montero : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,000

Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B/C
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 22 — wOBA: 0.406 — ISO: 0.211 — wRC+: 167
Last 30 Days: PA: 40 — wOBA: 0.384 — ISO: 0.189 — wRC+: 151


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About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious