MLB Grind Down: Monday, August 10th
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.
The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
Remember, these writeups are done prior to lineups being released, so make sure to check our Starting Lineups page to ensure the recommended options are playing.
Note: For more info on DFS MLB scoring systems on the two largest sites, check out our DraftKings review and FanDuel review.
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Colorado at NY Mets – 7:10 PM EST
| Colorado | NY Mets | ||||||||
 | Jon Gray |  | Jonathon Niese | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| NYM (-178) | 7.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.333 | 1.000 | 0.439 | 0.0% | SP vs. Left | 0.247 | 0.657 | 0.290 | 19.20% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.273 | 0.546 | 0.240 | 36.4% | SP vs. Right | 0.267 | 0.748 | 0.329 | 16.00% |
| Batter Splits | COL vs L | Batter Splits | NYM BvP | NYM vs R | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Jonathan Gray : FD: $4,600 — DK: $5,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 4.0 — SIERA: 3.58 — ERA: 4.50 — K%: 21.1% — BB%: 10.5% — HR/9: 0.0
New York Mets Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.297 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 20.4% (Rank: 19)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.324 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 23.3% (Rank: 29)
Pitchers per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 6)
Analysis: Gray is making his second career major league start tonight. He gave up two earned runs in his first outing against the Mariners in which he threw 77 pitches. He is the Rockies’ top pitching prospect. In 20 starts at the Triple-A level this season, Gray has posted a 3.90 FIP with a strikeout rate of 21.1%. He’s a pitcher that we should keep our eye on moving forward, but it’s tough to predict how well and how deep he is going to pitch into tonight’s game. Gray is a deep tournament play at best against the Mets.
Pitcher Rating: 53.3
Jon Niese : FD: $7,800 — DK: $6,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 316.0 — SIERA: 3.90 — ERA: 3.45 — K%: 16.7% — BB%: 6.1% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.1 — SIERA: 3.75 — ERA: 3.26 — K%: 15.5% — BB%: 3.3% — HR/9: 0.9
Colorado Rockies Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.282 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 24.4% (Rank: 28)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.349 (Rank: 5) — Strikeout Rate: 24.0% (Rank: 30)
Pitchers per PA: 3.76 (Rank: 23)
Analysis: Niese is back in good form over the last month of play, posting a 3.75 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 15.5% over the last month of play. He draws a terrific matchup tonight against the Rockies, who are ranked 27th in team wOBA and 28th in team strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season. Niese is a sizable favorite tonight at home in a game that features a total of only 7.0 runs. Dollar for dollar, he may be the best value on the board. He makes a terrific SP2 to pair with Chris Sale on multi-pitcher sites.
Pitcher Rating: 68.7
Batter Grind Down
Colorado
The Rockies have been awful against left-handed pitching this season, which is a bit surprising considering the fact that half of their games are played in Coors Field. The Rockies have one of the lowest team totals on the board tonight, as they square off against Jon Niese in Citi Field. If you are targeting any hitters in this matchup, target the ones that can hit from the right side of the plate, as Niese has allowed a .329 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Nolan Arenado : FD: $4,200 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 93 — wOBA: 0.284 — ISO: 0.136 — wRC+: 61
Last 30 Days: PA: 101 — wOBA: 0.303 — ISO: 0.198 — wRC+: 74
Drew Stubbs : FD: $2,900 — DK: $2,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 49 — wOBA: 0.300 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 72
Last 30 Days: PA: 39 — wOBA: 0.487 — ISO: 0.265 — wRC+: 201
NY Mets
The Mets’ offense has been better since acquiring Yoenis Cespedes. Over the last 14 days of play, they are ranked 16th in team wOBA. They draw a favorable matchup tonight against Jon Gray, who is only making his second career major league start. If the Rockies decide to limit Gray again tonight, the Mets will see plenty of their bullpen. Hitters from both sides of the plate are in play tonight.
Elite Plays:
Yoenis Cespedes : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 357 — wOBA: 0.377 — ISO: 0.226 — wRC+: 141
Last 30 Days: PA: 105 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.232 — wRC+: 133
Secondary Plays:
Lucas Duda : FD: $4,200 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 335 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.233 — wRC+: 127
Last 30 Days: PA: 101 — wOBA: 0.448 — ISO: 0.437 — wRC+: 195
Curtis Granderson : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 376 — wOBA: 0.381 — ISO: 0.213 — wRC+: 149
Last 30 Days: PA: 109 — wOBA: 0.389 — ISO: 0.255 — wRC+: 155
Daniel Murphy : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 2B/3B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 265 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.157 — wRC+: 123
Last 30 Days: PA: 99 — wOBA: 0.328 — ISO: 0.189 — wRC+: 113
Detroit at Kansas City – 8:10 PM EST
| Detroit | Kansas City | ||||||||
 | Matt Boyd |  | Johnny Cueto | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| KCR (-195) | 7.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.440 | 0.000 | 0.548 | 12.0% | SP vs. Left | 0.187 | 0.545 | 0.248 | 24.70% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.297 | 0.830 | 0.356 | 15.8% | SP vs. Right | 0.200 | 0.608 | 0.269 | 23.80% |
| Batter Splits | DET BvP | DET vs R | Batter Splits | KC vs L | |||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Matt Boyd : FD: $5,500 — DK: $4,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 13.2 — SIERA: 4.52 — ERA: 7.90 — K%: 14.3% — BB%: 1.6% — HR/9: 3.3
Last 30 Days: IP: 7.0 — SIERA: 6.35 — ERA: 1.29 — K%: 7.4% — BB%: 0.0% — HR/9: 0.0
Kansas City Royals Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.310 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 14.7% (Rank: 1)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.285 (Rank: 26) — Strikeout Rate: 15.0% (Rank: 2)
Pitchers per PA: 3.65 (Rank: 30)
Analysis: Boyd is making his fourth career major league start tonight. He hasn’t had much success in the majors, but he has a 3.48 FIP with a strikeout rate of 24.2% in six starts at the Triple-A level this season. The biggest issue tonight is hit matchup against the Royals, who are the toughest team to strikeout in baseball. Boyd is a large underdog on the road and he can safely be avoided in all league formats tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 25.8
Johnny Cueto : FD: $10,400 — DK: $10,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 387.1 — SIERA: 3.28 — ERA: 2.42 — K%: 24.2% — BB%: 6.4% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.0 — SIERA: 4.97 — ERA: 3.00 — K%: 14.2% — BB%: 9.5% — HR/9: 0.0
Detroit Tigers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.328 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 19.5% (Rank: 13)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.316 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 21.4% (Rank: 20)
Pitchers per PA: 3.86 (Rank: 11)
Analysis: Cueto has pitched good, but not great in his first two starts with the Royals. He has had two difficult matchups though and tonight he finally gets to pitch at home in the pitcher-friendly Kaufmann Stadium. Cueto has good strikeout potential tonight and he is the largest favorite on the board. He may not have as much upside as Chris Sale, but he is the clear number two pitching option tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 83.6
Batter Grind Down
Detroit
The Tigers draw a difficult matchup tonight against Johnny Cueto, who has held both. left and right-handed hitters under a .270 wOBA over the last two seasons. The Tigers were able to score two runs against Cueto in their last meeting, but that game was played in Detroit. The advantage goes to Cueto now that the game is being played in Kansas City.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Victor Martinez : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 247 — wOBA: 0.268 — ISO: 0.129 — wRC+: 65
Last 30 Days: PA: 105 — wOBA: 0.291 — ISO: 0.204 — wRC+: 81
Kansas City
The Royals draw a favorable matchup tonight against Matt Boyd, who is still inexperienced at the major league level. The Royals have the second-highest team total on the board. The right-handed hitters have the edge in this matchup, but Eric Hosmer is also in play, as he is a left-handed hitter that hits left-handed pitching well.
Elite Plays:
Lorenzo Cain : FD: $3,700 — DK: $5,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 140 — wOBA: 0.439 — ISO: 0.248 — wRC+: 186
Last 30 Days: PA: 100 — wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.215 — wRC+: 131
Ben Zobrist : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 98 — wOBA: 0.393 — ISO: 0.172 — wRC+: 157
Last 30 Days: PA: 83 — wOBA: 0.405 — ISO: 0.260 — wRC+: 164
Secondary Plays:
Eric Hosmer : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 169 — wOBA: 0.322 — ISO: 0.103 — wRC+: 105
Last 30 Days: PA: 106 — wOBA: 0.457 — ISO: 0.184 — wRC+: 198
Alcides Escobar : FD: $2,300 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 131 — wOBA: 0.293 — ISO: 0.051 — wRC+: 84
Last 30 Days: PA: 117 — wOBA: 0.240 — ISO: 0.018 — wRC+: 47
LA Angels at Chicago White Sox – 8:10 PM EST
| LA Angels | Chicago White Sox | ||||||||
 | Matt Shoemaker |  | Chris Sale | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| CHW (-140) | 7.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.247 | 0.716 | 0.313 | 20.2% | SP vs. Left | 0.215 | 0.516 | 0.238 | 35.60% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.238 | 0.668 | 0.291 | 25.1% | SP vs. Right | 0.216 | 0.618 | 0.273 | 30.20% |
| Batter Splits | LAA BvP | ANA vs L | Batter Splits | CHW BvP | CWS vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Matt Shoemaker : FD: $7,900 — DK: $8,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 246.0 — SIERA: 3.40 — ERA: 3.48 — K%: 22.5% — BB%: 5.1% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 20.0 — SIERA: 2.29 — ERA: 0.45 — K%: 37.3% — BB%: 8.0% — HR/9: 0.5
Chicago White Sox Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.306 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 20.3% (Rank: 17)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.366 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 21.2% (Rank: 18)
Pitchers per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 19)
Analysis: Shoemaker has been terrific over the last month of play, posting a 2.29 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 37.3%. He is finally starting to show the consistency that the Angels have wanted from him all season. He draws an interesting matchup tonight against the White Sox. Although they have been one of the best offenses in baseball recently, they are still only ranked 20th in team wOBA against right-handed pitching. Run support is a big issue tonight with Chris Sale pitching opposite him, but Shoemaker makes a strong contrarian play in tournaments.
Pitcher Rating: 68.2
Chris Sale : FD: $11,100 — DK: $12,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 317.0 — SIERA: 2.49 — ERA: 2.78 — K%: 31.2% — BB%: 5.3% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.2 — SIERA: 2.76 — ERA: 6.16 — K%: 27.9% — BB%: 4.3% — HR/9: 1.2
LA Angels of Anaheim Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.299 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 18.7% (Rank: 4)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.273 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 18.9% (Rank: 10)
Pitchers per PA: 3.78 (Rank: 20)
Analysis: Sale may have a 6.16 ERA over the last month of play, but his indicators suggest that he is the same pitcher that he has been all season. During that same time period, Sale has a 2.76 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 27.9%. He draws a favorable matchup tonight against the Angels, who are ranked 22nd in team wOBA against left-handed pitching this season. Sale is the top pitching option on the board tonight and he is the easy chalk play for cash games.
Pitcher Rating: 94.0
Batter Grind Down
LA Angels
The Angels draw the worst matchup on the board tonight, as they square off against Chris Sale in U.S. Cellular Field. Since the start of the 2014 season, Sale has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .275 wOBA. Mike Trout is about as matchup-proof of a player as you are going to find in baseball, though. He is worth a look in tournaments.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Mike Trout : FD: $4,800 — DK: $5,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 102 — wOBA: 0.425 — ISO: 0.311 — wRC+: 182
Last 30 Days: PA: 92 — wOBA: 0.452 — ISO: 0.370 — wRC+: 200
Chicago White Sox
The White Sox draw a fairly tough matchup tonight against Matt Shoemaker, who has been dominant over the last month of play. The good news is that the White Sox offense has also fared well recently, as they have one of the highest team wOBAs over that same time period. The White Sox are in play tonight, but they are all secondary options at their respective positions.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Jose Abreu : FD: $4,500 — DK: $4,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 345 — wOBA: 0.375 — ISO: 0.218 — wRC+: 141
Last 30 Days: PA: 104 — wOBA: 0.407 — ISO: 0.286 — wRC+: 163
Melky Cabrera : FD: $4,100 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 346 — wOBA: 0.328 — ISO: 0.117 — wRC+: 107
Last 30 Days: PA: 107 — wOBA: 0.409 — ISO: 0.242 — wRC+: 164
Adam Eaton : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 337 — wOBA: 0.361 — ISO: 0.177 — wRC+: 131
Last 30 Days: PA: 108 — wOBA: 0.421 — ISO: 0.193 — wRC+: 172
Philadelphia at Arizona – 9:40 PM EST
| Philadelphia | Arizona | ||||||||
 | Aaron Harang |  | Rubby De La Rosa | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| ARI (-163) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.280 | 0.758 | 0.335 | 14.9% | SP vs. Left | 0.301 | 0.887 | 0.383 | 15.10% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.254 | 0.705 | 0.310 | 19.5% | SP vs. Right | 0.235 | 0.668 | 0.295 | 22.00% |
| Batter Splits | PHI BvP | PHI vs R | Batter Splits | ARI BvP | ARI vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Aaron Harang : FD: $6,100 — DK: $5,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 320.1 — SIERA: 4.32 — ERA: 3.76 — K%: 17.4% — BB%: 7.6% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 10.0 — SIERA: 6.24 — ERA: 4.50 — K%: 8.0% — BB%: 12.0% — HR/9: 0.9
Arizona Diamondbacks Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.314 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 21.1% (Rank: 23)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 22.8% (Rank: 25)
Pitchers per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 29)
Analysis: Harang is one of the worst pitching options on the board tonight. Over the last month of play, he has a 6.24 SIERA with a walk rate (12.0%) that is higher than his strikeout rate (8.0%). He is a large underdog tonight in a game that features one of the highest run totals on the board. He can safely be avoided against the Diamondbacks, who are ranked 12th in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating: 38.4
Rubby De La Rosa : FD: $7,100 — DK: $7,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 238.0 — SIERA: 3.97 — ERA: 4.50 — K%: 18.4% — BB%: 7.4% — HR/9: 1.4
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.2 — SIERA: 5.06 — ERA: 3.34 — K%: 12.8% — BB%: 10.4% — HR/9: 1.8
Philadelphia Phillies Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.293 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 19.5% (Rank: 13)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.335 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 22.9% (Rank: 26)
Pitchers per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 27)
Analysis: De La Rosa hasn’t had the same success that he had at the start of the season. Over the last month of play, he has a 5.06 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 12.8%. He is a large favorite tonight against the Phillies, but they are a team that continues to ruin opposing pitcher’s fantasy outings. They have won 16 of their last 20 games and they have the ninth-highest team wOBA over the last 14 days of play. The Phillies may claim another victim tonight in the hitter-friendly Chase Field.
Pitcher Rating: 59.4
Batter Grind Down
Philadelphia
The Phillies draw a decent matchup tonight against Rubby De La Rosa, who has given up a .383 wOBA to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons. They also see a nice ballpark boost playing in the hitter-friendly Chase Field. All of the left-handed hitters in this lineup are in play and for the first time in a while, I don’t mind targeting them in all league formats.
Elite Plays:
Cesar Hernandez : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/SS
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 219 — wOBA: 0.299 — ISO: 0.079 — wRC+: 88
Last 30 Days: PA: 94 — wOBA: 0.311 — ISO: 0.105 — wRC+: 97
Secondary Plays:
Ryan Howard : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 305 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.247 — wRC+: 125
Last 30 Days: PA: 89 — wOBA: 0.381 — ISO: 0.235 — wRC+: 145
Odubel Herrera : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 2B/OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 261 — wOBA: 0.328 — ISO: 0.138 — wRC+: 108
Last 30 Days: PA: 73 — wOBA: 0.405 — ISO: 0.145 — wRC+: 161
Arizona
The Diamondbacks have the highest team total on the board tonight, as they square off against Aaron Harang at home. Harang hasn’t been particularly effective against left or right-handed hitters, so batters from both sides of the plate are in play here. Load up on the Diamondbacks’ offense in both cash games and tournaments.
Elite Plays:
Paul Goldschmidt : FD: $3,700 — DK: $5,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 373 — wOBA: 0.410 — ISO: 0.221 — wRC+: 161
Last 30 Days: PA: 104 — wOBA: 0.324 — ISO: 0.119 — wRC+: 102
David Peralta : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 280 — wOBA: 0.372 — ISO: 0.233 — wRC+: 135
Last 30 Days: PA: 81 — wOBA: 0.418 — ISO: 0.267 — wRC+: 166
Secondary Plays:
A.J. Pollock : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 348 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.151 — wRC+: 121
Last 30 Days: PA: 96 — wOBA: 0.376 — ISO: 0.125 — wRC+: 137
Welington Castillo : FD: $3,500 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 164 — wOBA: 0.353 — ISO: 0.248 — wRC+: 123
Last 30 Days: PA: 77 — wOBA: 0.444 — ISO: 0.358 — wRC+: 184
Ender Inciarte : FD: $2,800 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 256 — wOBA: 0.341 — ISO: 0.127 — wRC+: 113
Last 30 Days: PA: 92 — wOBA: 0.343 — ISO: 0.133 — wRC+: 115
Cincinnati at San Diego – 10:10 PM EST
| Cincinnati | San Diego | ||||||||
 | David Holmberg |  | Ian Kennedy | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SDP (-137) | 7.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.243 | 0.926 | 0.411 | 16.7% | SP vs. Left | 0.238 | 0.739 | 0.321 | 24.30% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.216 | 0.749 | 0.329 | 12.7% | SP vs. Right | 0.260 | 0.756 | 0.331 | 22.80% |
| Batter Splits | CIN BvP | CIN vs R | Batter Splits | SDP BvP | SD vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
David Holmberg : FD: $5,300 — DK: $4,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 41.0 — SIERA: 5.36 — ERA: 4.39 — K%: 13.7% — BB%: 12.1% — HR/9: 2.0
Last 30 Days: IP: 11.0 — SIERA: 5.47 — ERA: 3.27 — K%: 15.6% — BB%: 13.3% — HR/9: 0.8
San Diego Padres Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.282 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 24.8% (Rank: 30)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.302 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 21.9% (Rank: 21)
Pitchers per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 12)
Analysis: Holmberg is making his ninth career major league start tonight. His first eight starts haven’t gone very well, as he has a 5.36 SIERA with a walk rate (12.1%) that is nearly as high as his strikeout rate (13.7%). Even though he sees a sizable ballpark shift in his favor tonight in Petco Park, he is still one of the worst pitching options on the board.
Pitcher Rating: 39.3
Ian Kennedy : FD: $7,800 — DK: $8,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 311.1 — SIERA: 3.56 — ERA: 3.93 — K%: 23.5% — BB%: 7.6% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.1 — SIERA: 3.70 — ERA: 3.56 — K%: 21.4% — BB%: 5.6% — HR/9: 1.8
Cincinnati Reds Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.311 (Rank: 14) — Strikeout Rate: 18.8% (Rank: 6)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.299 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 20.8% (Rank: 16)
Pitchers per PA: 3.74 (Rank: 24)
Analysis: Kennedy has pitched well over the last month of play, posting a 3.70 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 21.4%. He draws a tough matchup tonight against the Reds, though, who are ranked 14th in team wOBA and sixth in team strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. Kennedy makes a nice tournament play tonight, but if you are looking for an SP2, Jon Niese is in a slightly better matchup at the same price point.
Pitcher Rating: 70.8
Batter Grind Down
Cincinnati
The Reds draw a mediocre matchup tonight against Ian Kennedy. While the ballpark isn’t great for offensive production, Kennedy has given up a .321+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Joey Votto is a borderline elite play, while Todd Frazier is a better target for tournaments.
Elite Plays:
Joey Votto : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 331 — wOBA: 0.425 — ISO: 0.248 — wRC+: 173
Last 30 Days: PA: 108 — wOBA: 0.534 — ISO: 0.260 — wRC+: 248
Secondary Plays:
Todd Frazier : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 1B/3B
2015 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 351 — wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.226 — wRC+: 117
Last 30 Days: PA: 102 — wOBA: 0.233 — ISO: 0.128 — wRC+: 41
San Diego
The Padres draw a favorable matchup tonight against David Holmberg, who has given up a .329+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. The biggest issue here is that the Padres are still the Padres. Since they are playing at home in the pitcher-friendly Petco Park, they should be considered secondary options tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Justin Upton : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 77 — wOBA: 0.185 — ISO: 0.056 — wRC+: 14
Last 30 Days: PA: 82 — wOBA: 0.313 — ISO: 0.217 — wRC+: 103
Matt Kemp : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 87 — wOBA: 0.314 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 103
Last 30 Days: PA: 102 — wOBA: 0.380 — ISO: 0.193 — wRC+: 149
Derek Norris : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2015 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 88 — wOBA: 0.311 — ISO: 0.122 — wRC+: 102
Last 30 Days: PA: 74 — wOBA: 0.276 — ISO: 0.072 — wRC+: 77