MLB Grind Down: Sunday, April 27th - Page 3

Cleveland at San Francisco

Cleveland San Francisco
Danny Salazar Vegas Moneyline Ryan Vogelsong Vegas Over/Under
RIGHT CLE (-105) RIGHT 8.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.239 0.645 0.294 31.8% SP vs. Left 0.285 0.803 0.353 16.5%
SP vs. Right 0.280 0.885 0.379 26.9% SP vs. Right 0.324 0.914 0.413 12.4%
Batter Splits CLE BvP pop up 2 CLE vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits SFG BvP pop up 2 SFG vs R pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window


Pitcher Grind Down

Danny Salazar – Salazar has the talent, but has struggled out of the gate this season. After 4 starts, he is 0-3 with a 7.85 ERA while allowing opponents to hit 3.47 off of him. He is striking guys out like advertised with 23 in 18 innings. I am avoiding him until he shows that he can keep guys off base. Rating = 4

Ryan Vogelsong – Vogelsong has been awful this season and is coming off his worst performance yet. He currently has an ERA of 7.71 and a WHIP of 1.96. He is allowing hitters to bat .348 against him and Lefties are scorching him with a .436 OBP and .778 SLG. He should be avoided in all games. Rating = 2

Batter Grind Down

Cleveland

Michael Brantley – Brantley is someone that I have been targeting a bunch this year. He is hitting .321 with runners in scoring position and that should be the case again today. Lefties have crushed Vogelsong and I think it will continue today.

San Francisco

Brandon Belt – Belt is consistently hitting in the 3 spot in the Giants lineup and could run into one against Salazar. He comes into this game with 7 home runs on the season while slugging against RH pitching for .574.

Additional Plays: Buster Posey Angel Pagan

Texas at Seattle

Texas Seattle
Matt Harrison Vegas Moneyline Brandon Maurer Vegas Over/Under
LEFT SEA (-115) RIGHT 7.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.182 0.432 0.206 58.3% SP vs. Left 0.319 0.909 0.393 15.5%
SP vs. Right 0.375 1.149 0.506 12.8% SP vs. Right 0.287 0.773 0.356 20.5%
Batter Splits TEX BvP pop up 2 TEX vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits SEA BvP pop up 2 SEA vs L pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window


Pitcher Grind Down

Matt Harrison – Harrison is getting his first start of the season against the Mariners. Harrison was hurt for almost the entire 2013 season, after having a good 2012. It is really tough to gauge what he will do but, when he was good, his K/9 was at 5.6, making him safe to avoid in all leagues. Rating = 3

Brandon Maurer – Maurer surprised us all by not getting crushed against the Mariners last Sunday. He only made it 4.1 innings, but gave up just 2 hits and 1 run. Last year, Maurer was allowing batters to hit .311 against him with 16 home runs in 89 innings. Texas bats should have a good chance to light him up today. Rating = 2

Batter Grind Down

Texas

Prince Fielder – With Beltre back in this lineup it really gives Prince a lot more protection. Fielder’s price is way down as his struggles have continued, but a matchup against a subpar RH pitcher should exactly be what Prince needs.

Seattle

Corey Hart – There is a lot to be unsure of with how Harrison will pitch today. A mini Seattle stack is not out of the question due to Harrison needing to shake off the rust. Hart has hit lefties well during his career and could be in for a big day.

Colorado at LA Dodgers

Colorado LA Dodgers
Jorge De La Rosa Vegas Moneyline Hyun-Jin Ryu Vegas Over/Under
LEFT LAD (-185) LEFT 7.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.200 0.518 0.238 24.8% SP vs. Left 0.275 0.717 0.320 17.4%
SP vs. Right 0.284 0.768 0.349 14.7% SP vs. Right 0.237 0.612 0.277 20.5%
Batter Splits COL BvP pop up 2 COL vs L pop up 2 Batter Splits LAD BvP pop up 2 LAD vs L pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window


Pitcher Grind Down

Jorge De La Rosa – De La Rosa has been awful away from Coors this yea with a 7.98 ERA. He gets a matchup with the Dodgers that have a lot of RH power bats in their lineup. He will have to be careful with this Dodger team that has roughed him up over the last 3 seasons (6.00 ERA, .326 AVG). Rating = 3

Hyun-Jin Ryu – Ryu has had one poor start and 5 very good ones. In those other 5 he shutout his opponents in 4 o games and allowed just 2 earned runs last game. His K numbers are decent (7.41 K/9) and comes into this game as the biggest favorite on the board today. Colorado has hit Lefties well early on in the season and Ryu’s number in Vegas is dropping pretty rapidly, which makes me think about picking one of the other elite options today. Rating = 7

Batter Grind Down

Los Angeles Dodgers

Hanley Ramirez – Hanley is my top SS of the day as he gets a great matchup against the LH De La Rosa. Hanley is a lot cheaper than Tulo and has the better matchup in my opinion. Ramirez has a good small history against De La Rosa (11 for 26, 1 home run) and should have a good day.

Colorado

Although I may be looking for other elite options, Ryu has shown the capability to shut opponents down this season. I will not be taking any inflated Colorado salaries away from Coors today.

Philadelphia at Arizona

Philadelphia Arizona
A.J. Burnett Vegas Moneyline Brandon McCarthy Vegas Over/Under
RIGHT PHI (-105) RIGHT 9.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.267 0.734 0.344 20.2% SP vs. Left 0.297 0.753 0.333 16.7%
SP vs. Right 0.203 0.542 0.244 28.7% SP vs. Right 0.295 0.784 0.353 10.7%
Batter Splits PHI BvP pop up 2 PHI vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits ARI BvP pop up 2 ARI vs R pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window


Pitcher Grind Down

A.J. Burnett – Burnett has carried over a lot of last year’s success into this season. His 2.73 ERA and 20 strikeouts get to face the last place Diamondbacks. Although the Diamondbacks have struggled, they are putting up a decent amount of runs against RH pitching (10th in the league). This game has the highest over/under on the board at 9’ so I will be avoiding the pitchers. Rating = 5

Brandon McCarthy – McCarthy has already allowed 37 hits in 30 innings this season. He is striking guys out, but allowing guys on base has resulted in a terrible 6.23 ERA. McCarthy will be a guy I am going to target against today. Rating = 2

Batter Grind Down

Philadelphia

Chase Utley – Utley is my top 2nd base option on the day as he has the best matchup in a hitters park with a high over/under. Everything falls into place for Chase who is absolutely mashing so far this season hitting .353 overall. Look for Utley to be a great GPP and Cash game play today.

Arizona

Miguel Montero – Burnett is allowing LH batters to hit over .300 against him early on this season. Make sure Montero is playing today as Sunday could be his day off. If he is playing, he should be in the cleanup spot today.

LA Angels at NY Yankees

LA Angels NY Yankees
Garrett Richards Vegas Moneyline Masahiro Tanaka Vegas Over/Under
RIGHT NYY (-165) RIGHT 8.0
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.257 0.694 0.315 18.1% SP vs. Left 0.164 0.456 0.200 22.6%
SP vs. Right 0.249 0.615 0.281 16.4% SP vs. Right 0.250 0.724 0.312 42.9%
Batter Splits LAA BvP pop up 2 LAA vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits NYY BvP pop up 2 NYY vs R pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window


Pitcher Grind Down

Garrett Richards – Richards has been a good target this year due to his low salary and 8.64 K/9 potential. He comes into this game with a 2.52 ERA, but has not played many high powered offenses yet (HOU, SEA, WSH and OAK). Tonight he will be pitching on Sunday Night Baseball against a Yankees team that can score in bunches Rating = 5

Masahiro Tanaka – The Yankees are really getting their money’s worth with Tanaka. He already has 35 strikeouts in his first 29.1 innings while only giving up 2 walks. His ability to give free passes and his ridiculous strikeout rate make him a great option any time he takes the mound. He his a big favorite, but will be facing a decent Angels team with some hot bats in it. Tanaka is still someone I will be targeting tonight. Rating = 8

Batter Grind Down

New York Yankees

Jacoby Ellsbury – Any time Ellsbury gets a RH pitcher I feel he makes a great cash and GPP play. He does a bit of everything and enters the game hitting .322 with 11 RBIs. I expect those RBI numbers to increase here soon and should be able to eventually start hitting the ball over that right field wall at Yankee Stadium.

Anaheim

Tanaka K’s like crazy and guys like Pujols and Trout are streaking, but too expensive to take against Tanaka today.

About the Author

Ryan138
Ryan138

Ryan (Ryan138) is from Chicago and has been playing fantasy sports for over 10 years. He has been playing daily fantasy sports for over 2 years since he was introduced to Daily Joust in late 2010. In the last year, Ryan has risen into the Top 100 of the RotoGrinders leaderboards by playing at DraftDay, DraftKings and FanDuel in all the major sports.