MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, July 7th - Page Four
Philadelphia at LA Dodgers – 10:10 PM EST
| Philadelphia | LA Dodgers | ||||||||
 | Chad Billingsley |  | Brett Anderson | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| LAD (-260) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.475 | 1.312 | 0.559 | 0.140 | SP vs. Left | 0.286 | 0.652 | 0.295 | 0.159 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.259 | 0.603 | 0.269 | 0.035 | SP vs. Right | 0.262 | 0.708 | 0.308 | 0.179 |
| Batter Splits | PHI BvP | PHI vs L | Batter Splits | LAD BvP | LA vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Chad Billingsley : FD: $4,800 — DK: $4,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 21.0 — SIERA: 5.16 — K%: 8.0% — BB%: 6.0% — FB Rate: 32.5% — HR/FB: 11.1%
Last 30 Days: IP: 5.0 — SIERA: 5.80 — K%: 3.7% — BB%: 11.1% — FB Rate: 18.2% — HR/FB: 0.0%
Los Angeles Dodgers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.338 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 19.8% (Rank: 16)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.295 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 23.8% (Rank: 27)
Pitchers per PA: 3.89 (Rank: 4)
Analysis: Billingsley is the worst pitching option on the board tonight. That’s an impressive feat, considering the fact that there is a game in Coors Field. On the season, he owns a 5.16 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 8.0%. Tonight he faces a Dodgers’ offense that is ranked first in wOBA (.338) against right-handed pitching. If he is on your radar, I suggest getting a new one.
Pitcher Rating:20.0
Brett Anderson : FD: $7,900 — DK: $7,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 139.1 — SIERA: 3.30 — K%: 17.3% — BB%: 6.9% — FB Rate: 20.0% — HR/FB: 9.5%
Last 30 Days: IP: 40.2 — SIERA: 3.18 — K%: 18.8% — BB%: 7.5% — FB Rate: 17.9% — HR/FB: 15.0%
Philadelphia Phillies Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.310 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 19.6% (Rank: 10)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.332 (Rank: 7) — Strikeout Rate: 17.7% (Rank: 5)
Pitchers per PA: 3.71 (Rank: 27)
Analysis: Anderson has pitched well this season and comes into tonight’s start as the biggest favorite on the board. Even if he gives up a few runs, he will likely still be in line for the win. He is expected to receive a ton of run support tonight with Chad Billingsley pitching opposite him. The matchup against the Philllies may not be as good as it appears though. They are actually ranked 13th in wOBA (.310) and tenth in strikeout rate (19.6%) against left-handed pitching this season. He could provide a cheap win, but I like Taijuan Walker upside a bit more at a similar price point.
Pitcher Rating:77.0
Batter Grind Down
Philadelphia
ALL HAIL CESAR! Hernandez has been on an absolute tear recently and he should continue on your radar tonight at second base. Brett Anderson has given up a .308 wOBA to right-handed hitters, which also brings Maikel Franco into the mix.
Elite Plays:
Cesar Hernandez : FD: $3,200 — DK: $3,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 84 — wOBA: 0.369 — ISO: 0.053 — wRC+: 136
Last 14 Days: PA: 62 — wOBA: 0.472 — ISO: 0.093 — wRC+: 207
Secondary Plays:
Maikel Franco : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 75 — wOBA: 0.290 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 82
Last 14 Days: PA: 61 — wOBA: 0.394 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 153
LA Dodgers
While the sample size is small, it’s hard to ignore the gigantic elephant in the room that is Chad Billingley’s .559 wOBA allowed to left-handed hitters this season. The right-handed bats in this lineup are also in play, but the left-handed bats have the splits in their favor. Load up on Dodgers tonight in both cash games and tournaments.
Elite Plays:
Joc Pederson : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 302 — wOBA: 0.383 — ISO: 0.268 — wRC+: 149
Last 14 Days: PA: 50 — wOBA: 0.258 — ISO: 0.163 — wRC+: 64
Yasmani Grandal : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 552 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.228 — wRC+: 138
Last 14 Days: PA: 35 — wOBA: 0.377 — ISO: 0.276 — wRC+: 145
Adrian Gonzalez : FD: $2,900 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 747 — wOBA: 0.387 — ISO: 0.239 — wRC+: 152
Last 14 Days: PA: 48 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.233 — wRC+: 128
Andre Ethier : FD: $2,300 — DK: $2,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 552 — wOBA: 0.336 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 118
Last 14 Days: PA: 34 — wOBA: 0.330 — ISO: 0.138 — wRC+: 113
Secondary Plays:
Yasiel Puig : FD: $3,200 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 603 — wOBA: 0.383 — ISO: 0.200 — wRC+: 150
Last 14 Days: PA: 41 — wOBA: 0.273 — ISO: 0.118 — wRC+: 74
Justin Turner : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 389 — wOBA: 0.425 — ISO: 0.209 — wRC+: 178
Last 14 Days: PA: 46 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 126
Howie Kendrick : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 765 — wOBA: 0.323 — ISO: 0.107 — wRC+: 111
Last 14 Days: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.102 — wRC+: 126
NY Mets at San Francisco – 10:15 PM EST
| NY Mets | San Francisco | ||||||||
 | Bartolo Colon |  | Matt Cain | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| SFG (-132) | 7 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.270 | 0.708 | 0.307 | 0.175 | SP vs. Left | 0.251 | 0.764 | 0.34 | 0.18 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.267 | 0.74 | 0.322 | 0.19 | SP vs. Right | 0.237 | 0.732 | 0.318 | 0.181 |
| Batter Splits | NYM BvP | NYM vs R | Batter Splits | SFG BvP | SF vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Bartolo Colon : FD: $7,500 — DK: $7,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 301.1 — SIERA: 3.71 — K%: 18.2% — BB%: 3.3% — FB Rate: 39.0% — HR/FB: 9.6%
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.1 — SIERA: 3.62 — K%: 19.2% — BB%: 4.6% — FB Rate: 34.0% — HR/FB: 9.1%
San Francisco Giants Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.324 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 17.8% (Rank: 5)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.324 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 22.1% (Rank: 23)
Pitchers per PA: 3.73 (Rank: 25)
Analysis: Colon has bounced back after a few down weeks. Over the last 30 days, he has a 3.62 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 18.2%. He’s still a risky fantasy option though, and his strikeout potential is low tonight against the Giants. There are better pitching options at his price point.
Pitcher Rating:54.1
Matt Cain : FD: $7,200 — DK: $7,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 95.1 — SIERA: 4.26 — K%: 18.1% — BB%: 9.0% — FB Rate: 35.4% — HR/FB: 14.9%
Last 30 Days: IP: 5.0 — SIERA: 6.60 — K%: 8.0% — BB%: 16.0% — FB Rate: 31.6% — HR/FB: 33.3%
New York Mets Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.286 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 20.6% (Rank: 22)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.250 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 22.6% (Rank: 24)
Pitchers per PA: 3.86 (Rank: 8)
Analysis: Cain struggled in his first start back from injury. He’ll look for a better outing tonight against a Mets’ offense that is ranked 29th in wOBA (.286) and 22nd in strikeout rate (20.6%) against right-handed pitching this season. The favorable matchup is appealing, but I’d like to see a quality start or two from Cain before targeting him in daily leagues.
Pitcher Rating:54.8
Batter Grind Down
NY Mets
The Mets are one of the worst offenses in all of baseball. You can easily avoid them altogether tonight, but if you want some exposure to the Mets, target the ones that can hit from the left side of the plate. Since the start of the 2014 season, Matt Cain has given up a .340 wOBA to left-handed hitters.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Curtis Granderson : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 760 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.174 — wRC+: 120
Last 14 Days: PA: 57 — wOBA: 0.444 — ISO: 0.320 — wRC+: 193
Daniel Murphy : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 2B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 666 — wOBA: 0.332 — ISO: 0.130 — wRC+: 116
Last 14 Days: PA: 27 — wOBA: 0.329 — ISO: 0.080 — wRC+: 113
San Francisco
The Giants draw a decent matchup tonight against Bartolo Colon, who throws fastballs for about 90% of his total pitches. There are teams with better matchups though and it doesn’t make a ton of sense to spend up on the Giants at home in a pitcher-friendly ballpark. They should be considered secondary options tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Buster Posey : FD: $4,600 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B/C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 677 — wOBA: 0.375 — ISO: 0.178 — wRC+: 147
Last 14 Days: PA: 48 — wOBA: 0.481 — ISO: 0.372 — wRC+: 219
Angel Pagan : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 493 — wOBA: 0.301 — ISO: 0.074 — wRC+: 96
Last 14 Days: PA: 41 — wOBA: 0.253 — ISO: 0.026 — wRC+: 63