MLB Grind Down: Tuesday, July 7th
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.
The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
Remember, these writeups are done prior to lineups being released, so make sure to check our Starting Lineups page to ensure the recommended options are playing.
Note: For more info on DFS MLB scoring systems on the two largest sites, check out our DraftKings review and FanDuel review.
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St. Louis at Chicago Cubs – 1:20 PM EST
| St. Louis | Chicago Cubs | ||||||||
 | Tyler Lyons |  | Jake Arrieta | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| CHC (-142) | N/A | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.163 | 0.561 | 0.256 | 30.9% | SP vs. Left | 0.201 | 0.574 | 0.260 | 29.10% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.276 | 0.806 | 0.347 | 22.8% | SP vs. Right | 0.214 | 0.561 | 0.248 | 25.10% |
| Batter Splits | STL BvP | STL vs R | Batter Splits | CHC BvP | CHC vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Tyler Lyons : FD: $6,700 — DK: $5,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 59.2 — SIERA: 3.23 — K%: 24.5% — BB%: 6.9% — FB Rate: 36.6% — HR/FB: 14.3%
Last 30 Days: IP: 10.0 — SIERA: 3.03 — K%: 25.6% — BB%: 4.7% — FB Rate: 34.5% — HR/FB: 30.0%
Chicago Cubs Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.301 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 24.6% (Rank: 29)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.261 (Rank: 29) — Strikeout Rate: 21.5% (Rank: 21)
Pitchers per PA: 3.98 (Rank: 1)
Analysis: Lyons has pitched well in his last two starts, posting a 3.03 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 25.6%. He’s not a pitcher that is going to pitch deep into games, but he’s a serviceable starter that can give his team a chance to win. Lyons is a sizable underdog today against the Cubs. While the strikeout potential is there, he’s a risky cash game option. He will likely see little to no run support with Jake Arrieta on the mound.
Pitcher Rating:55.4
Jake Arrieta : FD: $10,100 — DK: $10,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 262.2 — SIERA: 2.82 — K%: 26.9% — BB%: 6.2% — FB Rate: 27.9% — HR/FB: 7.0%
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.0 — SIERA: 2.97 — K%: 26.1% — BB%: 6.7% — FB Rate: 25.8% — HR/FB: 8.7%
St. Louis Cardinals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.319 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 19.0% (Rank: 10)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.282 (Rank: 22) — Strikeout Rate: 21.8% (Rank: 22)
Pitchers per PA: 3.77 (Rank: 20)
Analysis: Arrieta has pitched well in his recent starts, posting a 2.97 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 26.1% over the last month. He draws a favorable matchup today against the depleted Cardinals, who are ranked 22nd in wOBA (.282) and 22nd in strikeout rate (21.8%) over the last 14 days. Arrieta is the premier pitching option if you are playing in the early slate.
Pitcher Rating:90.1
Batter Grind Down
St. Louis
Since the start of the 2014 season, Jake Arrieta has held left and right-handed hitters under a .265 wOBA. Jason Heyward and Tommy Pham are both interesting options, but they are both secondary plays at their respective positions.
Elite Plays
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Jason Heyward : FD: $3,400 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 717 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.146 — wRC+: 123
Last 14 Days: PA: 56 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.184 — wRC+: 124
Thomas Pham : FD: $2,500 — DK: $3,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 8 — wOBA: 0.158 — ISO: 0.125 — wRC+: -5
Last 14 Days: PA: 15 — wOBA: 0.309 — ISO: 0.333 — wRC+: 97
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs draw a decent matchup against Tyler Lyons, who has given up a .347 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. The wind is blowing in from center field today, but the right-handed bats of Kris Bryant, Jorge Soler, and Dexter Fowler are all in play.
Elite Plays
Kris Bryant : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 50 — wOBA: 0.460 — ISO: 0.357 — wRC+: 196
Last 14 Days: PA: 47 — wOBA: 0.358 — ISO: 0.205 — wRC+: 127
Secondary Plays:
Jorge Soler : FD: $2,500 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 57 — wOBA: 0.336 — ISO: 0.104 — wRC+: 111
Last 14 Days: PA: 6 — wOBA: 0.358 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 127
Dexter Fowler : FD: $2,500 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 179 — wOBA: 0.384 — ISO: 0.123 — wRC+: 148
Last 14 Days: PA: 41 — wOBA: 0.224 — ISO: 0.081 — wRC+: 35
Tampa Bay at Kansas City – 2:10 PM EST
| Tampa Bay | Kansas City | ||||||||
 | Matt Moore |  | Chris Young | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| KCR (-135) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.353 | 0.921 | 0.392 | 10.5% | SP vs. Left | 0.249 | 0.773 | 0.339 | 13.50% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.244 | 0.692 | 0.312 | 17.4% | SP vs. Right | 0.182 | 0.601 | 0.262 | 18.50% |
| Batter Splits | TBR BvP | TB vs R | Batter Splits | KCR BvP | KC vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Matt Moore : FD: $6,700 — DK: $7,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 14.2 — SIERA: 4.79 — K%: 15.4% — BB%: 10.8% — FB Rate: 29.2% — HR/FB: 7.1%
Last 30 Days: IP: 4.2 — SIERA: 4.37 — K%: 19.1% — BB%: 9.5% — FB Rate: 33.3% — HR/FB: 0.0%
Kansas City Royals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.317 (Rank: 14) — Strikeout Rate: 16.2% (Rank: 1)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.276 (Rank: 24) — Strikeout Rate: 19.3% (Rank: 13)
Pitchers per PA: 3.67 (Rank: 30)
Analysis: Moore got off to a nice start in his first outing in over a year, but he was eventually touched up a bit by the Indians. He draws a difficult matchup today against the Royals, who are ranked 14th in wOBA (.317) and first in strikeout rate (16.2%) against left-handed pitching this season. The upside is limited for Moore and he will likely be on some sort of a pitch count. He can safely be avoided in all league formats.
Pitcher Rating:61.3
Chris Young : FD: $6,300 — DK: $5,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 240.0 — SIERA: 5.14 — K%: 15.7% — BB%: 8.2% — FB Rate: 57.9% — HR/FB: 7.8%
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.1 — SIERA: 5.44 — K%: 11.0% — BB%: 6.8% — FB Rate: 52.2% — HR/FB: 6.3%
Tampa Bay Rays Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.293 (Rank: 25) — Strikeout Rate: 22.1% (Rank: 25)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.275 (Rank: 25) — Strikeout Rate: 27.8% (Rank: 30)
Pitchers per PA: 3.86 (Rank: 9)
Analysis: Young has not pitched well in his recent starts, posting a 5.44 SIERA with a very low strikeout rate of 11.0% over the last month. He is a favorite today against the Rays though and dollar for dollar, he is probably the second-best fantasy option in the early slate. He draws a decent matchup against the Rays, who are ranked 25th in wOBA (.293) and 25th in strikeout rate (22.1%) against right-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating:57.5
Batter Grind Down
Tampa Bay
The Rays draw a favorable matchup today against Chris Young, who has given up a .339 wOBA to left-handed hitters. Kevin Kiermaier, Grady Sizemore, and James Loney are all in play here. The right-handed bats have a tough matchup though, as Young has held righties to a .262 wOBA.
Elite Plays
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Kevin Kiermaier : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 508 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.201 — wRC+: 123
Last 14 Days: PA: 45 — wOBA: 0.269 — ISO: 0.159 — wRC+: 74
Grady Sizemore : FD: $2,500 — DK: $2,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 396 — wOBA: 0.308 — ISO: 0.118 — wRC+: 94
Last 14 Days: PA: 25 — wOBA: 0.397 — ISO: 0.200 — wRC+: 163
James Loney : FD: $2,400 — DK: $3,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 569 — wOBA: 0.331 — ISO: 0.098 — wRC+: 118
Last 14 Days: PA: 14 — wOBA: 0.252 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 62
Kansas City
The Royals draw a decent matchup against Matt Moore, who is only making his second start since returning from Tommy John surgery. The left-handed bats make decent options here, but the preferred options from the Royals are those that can hit from the right side of the plate.
Elite Plays
Kendrys Morales : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 446 — wOBA: 0.306 — ISO: 0.163 — wRC+: 95
Last 14 Days: PA: 49 — wOBA: 0.310 — ISO: 0.200 — wRC+: 96
Alcides Escobar : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,500
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 681 — wOBA: 0.299 — ISO: 0.084 — wRC+: 89
Last 14 Days: PA: 49 — wOBA: 0.248 — ISO: 0.022 — wRC+: 53
Secondary Plays:
Alex Rios : FD: $2,200 — DK: $3,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 490 — wOBA: 0.273 — ISO: 0.077 — wRC+: 67
Last 14 Days: PA: 42 — wOBA: 0.185 — ISO: 0.000 — wRC+: 9
Oakland at NY Yankees – 7:05 PM EST
| Oakland | NY Yankees | ||||||||
 | Sonny Gray |  | Nathan Eovaldi | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| OAK (-113) | 8.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.215 | 0.613 | 0.277 | 21.3% | SP vs. Left | 0.308 | 0.804 | 0.352 | 16.10% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.228 | 0.578 | 0.261 | 21.0% | SP vs. Right | 0.262 | 0.685 | 0.302 | 16.90% |
| Batter Splits | OAK BvP | OAK vs R | Batter Splits | NYY BvP | NYY vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Sonny Gray : FD: $10,000 — DK: $9,600
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 326.2 — SIERA: 3.46 — K%: 21.2% — BB%: 7.6% — FB Rate: 27.6% — HR/FB: 7.9%
Last 30 Days: IP: 25.2 — SIERA: 3.22 — K%: 21.8% — BB%: 4.6% — FB Rate: 32.1% — HR/FB: 7.7%
New York Yankees Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.328 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 18.8% (Rank: 7)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.323 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 19.3% (Rank: 13)
Pitchers per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 5)
Analysis: Gray has pitched well for the A’s this season, but he runs into the buzz saw that is the Yankees’ offense. Not only are the Yankees ranked fourth in wOBA (.328) against right-handed pitching, but they also have the seventh-lowest strikeout rate and the fifth-highest pitches per plate appearance. That’s a bad combination for a pitcher, especially one that is on the road. There are better pitching options tonight, as Gray is severely overpriced for his matchup.
Pitcher Rating:74.9
Nathan Eovaldi : FD: $6,900 — DK: $6,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 287.1 — SIERA: 3.95 — K%: 16.5% — BB%: 5.5% — FB Rate: 31.1% — HR/FB: 7.5%
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.1 — SIERA: 4.26 — K%: 15.6% — BB%: 8.2% — FB Rate: 27.2% — HR/FB: 3.6%
Oakland Athletics Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.321 (Rank: 10) — Strikeout Rate: 17.3% (Rank: 4)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.311 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 16.9% (Rank: 3)
Pitchers per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 7)
Analysis: Eovaldi has been a serviceable starter for the Yankees this season, but he also draws a very difficult matchup. On the season, the A’s are ranked tenth in wOBA (.321) and fourth in strikeout rate (17.3%) against right-handed pitching. There is more risk than potential reward with Eovaldi, especially considering how many quality left-handed bats the A’s have in their lineup.
Pitcher Rating:47.8
Batter Grind Down
Oakland
Since the start of the 2014 season, Nathan Eovaldi has given up a .352 wOBA to left-handed hitters. The A’s have some talented left-handed bats in their lineup that also see a ballpark boost tonight with the short porch in right field. If he is in the lineup and can hit from the left side, he is in play tonight against Eovaldi.
Elite Plays:
Stephen Vogt : FD: $3,100 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: 1B/C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 468 — wOBA: 0.363 — ISO: 0.192 — wRC+: 137
Last 14 Days: PA: 51 — wOBA: 0.281 — ISO: 0.042 — wRC+: 80
Josh Reddick : FD: $2,800 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 523 — wOBA: 0.381 — ISO: 0.226 — wRC+: 150
Last 14 Days: PA: 43 — wOBA: 0.286 — ISO: 0.075 — wRC+: 83
Secondary Plays:
Billy Burns : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 179 — wOBA: 0.332 — ISO: 0.101 — wRC+: 115
Last 14 Days: PA: 51 — wOBA: 0.325 — ISO: 0.140 — wRC+: 110
Ben Zobrist : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 622 — wOBA: 0.324 — ISO: 0.142 — wRC+: 112
Last 14 Days: PA: 55 — wOBA: 0.403 — ISO: 0.159 — wRC+: 165
NY Yankees
Even though I won’t be targeting Sonny Gray tonight, I will have very little exposure to the Yankees’ offense. Since the start of the 2014 season, Gray has held left and right-handed hitters under a .280 wOBA. Brett Gardner and Brian McCann are secondary options, but there are better plays at their respective positions.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Brett Gardner : FD: $4,200 — DK: $4,700
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 690 — wOBA: 0.351 — ISO: 0.188 — wRC+: 124
Last 14 Days: PA: 59 — wOBA: 0.474 — ISO: 0.245 — wRC+: 209
Brian McCann : FD: $3,700 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 598 — wOBA: 0.310 — ISO: 0.177 — wRC+: 95
Last 14 Days: PA: 41 — wOBA: 0.319 — ISO: 0.265 — wRC+: 101
Cincinnati at Washington – 7:05 PM EST
| Cincinnati | Washington | ||||||||
 | Johnny Cueto |  | Max Scherzer | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| WAS (-148) | 6.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.185 | 0.544 | 0.247 | 24.8% | SP vs. Left | 0.228 | 0.639 | 0.284 | 25.80% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.200 | 0.613 | 0.271 | 25.0% | SP vs. Right | 0.200 | 0.557 | 0.248 | 32.80% |
| Batter Splits | CIN BvP | CIN vs R | Batter Splits | WAS BvP | WAS vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Johnny Cueto : FD: $10,600 — DK: $10,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 348.1 — SIERA: 3.15 — K%: 24.9% — BB%: 6.2% — FB Rate: 35.2% — HR/FB: 10.5%
Last 30 Days: IP: 33.1 — SIERA: 2.99 — K%: 27.3% — BB%: 6.1% — FB Rate: 39.5% — HR/FB: 9.4%
Washington Nationals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.318 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 20.6% (Rank: 22)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.310 (Rank: 16) — Strikeout Rate: 20.8% (Rank: 19)
Pitchers per PA: 3.73 (Rank: 24)
Analysis: This is one of the few times that we will see Cueto as a large underdog this season. He has pitched well in his recent outings, posting a 2.99 SIERA with an elite strikeout rate of 27.3%. He doesn’t walk many batters and he actually draws a favorable matchup tonight against a depleted Nationals’ offense, that has the ninth-highest strikeout rate (20.6%) against right-handed pitching. I love Cueto as a tournament play, but the limited run support takes him out of cash game consideration.
Pitcher Rating:84.9
Max Scherzer : FD: $12,500 — DK: $14,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 339.0 — SIERA: 2.78 — K%: 28.8% — BB%: 5.7% — FB Rate: 43.6% — HR/FB: 6.6%
Last 30 Days: IP: 41.0 — SIERA: 1.99 — K%: 33.8% — BB%: 1.4% — FB Rate: 48.9% — HR/FB: 4.5%
Cincinnati Reds Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.310 (Rank: 17) — Strikeout Rate: 18.2% (Rank: 6)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.307 (Rank: 19) — Strikeout Rate: 16.0% (Rank: 2)
Pitchers per PA: 3.74 (Rank: 23)
Analysis: Scherzer has been close to unhittable over the last month of play, posting a 1.99 SIERA with an elite strikeout rate of 33.8%. He has really improved his command this season, as evidenced by his 1.4% walk rate over the last 30 days. He draws a decent matchup tonight against the Reds, who are ranked 17th in wOBA (.310) against right-handed pitching this season. Scherzer should have another solid outing tonight, but the Reds have a low strikeout rate. It may be a good night to target a cheaper pitcher in order to afford some the of the more expensive hitters.
Pitcher Rating:98.3
Batter Grind Down
Cincinnati
Targeting hitters against Max Scherzer is not a winning proposition. He has held left and right-handed hitters under a .285 wOBA over the last two seasons and he has one of the highest strikeout rates in all of baseball. The Reds should be avoided in all league formats.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
Washington
The Nationals can also be avoided tonight in what is expected to be a pitcher’s duel. Johnny Cueto is efficient against hitters from both sides of the plate and with all of the injuries, the Nationals’ lineup lacks firepower outside of Bryce Harper.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
San Diego at Pittsburgh – 7:05 PM EST
| San Diego | Pittsburgh | ||||||||
 | Tyson Ross |  | Francisco Liriano | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| PIT (-147) | 6.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.244 | 0.692 | 0.312 | 23.9% | SP vs. Left | 0.247 | 0.677 | 0.304 | 27.90% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.223 | 0.609 | 0.276 | 24.9% | SP vs. Right | 0.195 | 0.593 | 0.270 | 25.90% |
| Batter Splits | SDP BvP | SD vs L | Batter Splits | PIT BvP | PIT vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Tyson Ross : FD: $8,800 — DK: $9,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 297.1 — SIERA: 3.30 — K%: 24.4% — BB%: 10.0% — FB Rate: 20.5% — HR/FB: 9.9%
Last 30 Days: IP: 37.0 — SIERA: 3.71 — K%: 25.8% — BB%: 13.6% — FB Rate: 16.5% — HR/FB: 0.0%
Pittsburgh Pirates Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.308 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 19.9% (Rank: 18)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.335 (Rank: 5) — Strikeout Rate: 18.9% (Rank: 10)
Pitchers per PA: 3.77 (Rank: 19)
Analysis: Ross is a high-strikeout pitcher with less than stellar command. Over the last two seasons, he has a 3.30 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 24.4% and a walk rate of 10.0%. He is typically a much better target when he is pitching at home, as he can afford to be more aggressive in the pitcher-friendly Petco Park. The total for the game is low, but Ross is a large underdog on the road. There isn’t a ton of fantasy appeal here.
Pitcher Rating:73.1
Francisco Liriano : FD: $10,200 — DK: $10,300
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 264.2 — SIERA: 3.37 — K%: 26.3% — BB%: 10.5% — FB Rate: 26.8% — HR/FB: 12.2%
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.2 — SIERA: 3.08 — K%: 23.7% — BB%: 6.7% — FB Rate: 28.7% — HR/FB: 11.1%
San Diego Padres Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.294 (Rank: 25) — Strikeout Rate: 24.2% (Rank: 28)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.271 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 23.6% (Rank: 26)
Pitchers per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 13)
Analysis: Liriano has pitched well over the last month of play, posting a 3.08 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 23.7%. Command is always an issue with Liriano, but it shouldn’t be a problem tonight against a Padres’ offense that swings at everything. On the season, the Padres are ranked 25th in wOBA (.294) and 28th in strikeout rate (24.2%) against left-handed pitching. Liriano has similar strikeout potential as Max Scherzer, yet he is considerably cheaper on both FanDuel and DraftKings.
Pitcher Rating:91.9
Batter Grind Down
San Diego
The Padres were dominated by Francisco Liriano in their last meeting and it appears that we may be in for a repeat performance tonight. The Padres are one of the worst hitting teams against southpaws, despite acquiring Justin Upton, Matt Kemp, and Derek Norris in the offseason.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Derek Norris : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,200
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 240 — wOBA: 0.369 — ISO: 0.160 — wRC+: 141
Last 14 Days: PA: 44 — wOBA: 0.261 — ISO: 0.195 — wRC+: 67
Pittsburgh
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Neil Walker : FD: $3,300 — DK: $3,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 708 — wOBA: 0.357 — ISO: 0.197 — wRC+: 131
Last 14 Days: PA: 56 — wOBA: 0.474 — ISO: 0.217 — wRC+: 211