MLB Grind Down: Wednesday, May 21st - Page 2

Toronto at Boston

Toronto Boston
Drew Hutchison Vegas Moneyline Clay Buchholz Vegas Over/Under
RIGHT BOS (-133) RIGHT 9.0
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.242 0.694 0.306 22.6% SP vs. Left 0.227 0.622 0.283 21.0%
SP vs. Right 0.221 0.626 0.284 28.6% SP vs. Right 0.267 0.677 0.303 20.8%
Batter Splits TOR BvP pop up 2 TOR vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits BOS BvP pop up 2 BOS vs R pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Drew Hutchison – Hutchison is a high strikeout pitcher with a very tough matchup in front of him tonight. Hutchison is averaging more than a strikeout per inning, but I have a tough time recommending him against the Red Sox who are are a very potent offense. Hutchison is an underdog in this game that features a total of 9.0 runs. Rating = 4

Clay Buchholz – I just haven’t seen enough out of Buchholz this season to recommend him as a viable pitching option. He has lost velocity and the numbers speed for themselves. He has an ERA of 6.17, a WHIP of 1.80, and only 33 K’s over 42 innings of work. He should be avoided until he can prove that he is back to his early 2013 form. Rating = 4

Batter Grind Down

Toronto

Edwin Encarnacion – Not only does E5 have 5 HR’s in his last 5 games, but he also has a very favorable matchup against Buchholz who has given up a .375 batting average and an OPS of .938 to RHB’s this season.

Additional Plays: Melky Cabrera, Jose Reyes, Jose Bautista

Boston

David Ortiz – Ortiz has really started to heat up over his last 10 games. He is now batting .287 against RH pitching with 11 XBH’s on the season.

Additional Plays: Mike Napoli, A.J. Pierzynski, Grady Sizemore


Oakland at Tampa Bay

Oakland Tampa Bay
Tommy Milone Vegas Moneyline Erik Bedard Vegas Over/Under
LEFT TBR (-113) LEFT 7.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.288 0.774 0.339 14.3% SP vs. Left 0.297 0.787 0.354 18.4%
SP vs. Right 0.244 0.713 0.317 19.1% SP vs. Right 0.240 0.717 0.321 20.4%
Batter Splits OAK BvP pop up 2 OAK vs L pop up 2 Batter Splits TBR BvP pop up 2 TBR vs L pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Tommy Milone – Milone has really struggled on the road in his career. Over the last 2 seasons, he has had a road ERA over 5.00 compared to an ERA close to 3.00 at home. Tonight he faces a sleeping giant in the Rays who were one of the best teams against LH pitching a year ago. This game is basically a pick ‘em, but neither pitcher really stands out as a much play tonight. Rating = 5

Erik Bedard – Bedard hasn’t given up more than 1 earned run in any of his last 4 starts, but I have a feeling that could change tonight against the A’s who are ranked 16th against LH pitching and are a team that really likes to make pitchers work by drawing them into deep pitch counts. Bedard is an average option tonight. Rating = 5

Batter Grind Down

Oakland

Coco Crisp – Crisp is batting .267 against LH pitching this season and has reached base 10 times in his last 6 games. He should be batting leadoff tonight and makes a nice play against the LHP Bedard who has given up a .321 wOBA to RHB’s.

Additional Plays: Derek Norris, Yoenis Cespedes

Tampa Bay

Evan Longoria – I really thought the Rays would have a nice night against Pomeranz last night, but he pitched well once again and got some help from his bullpen. I’m giving the Rays another shot tonight against another LHP in Milone. Longoria has always crushed LH pitching and his price has come down across the industry.

Additional Plays: Wil Myers, Desmond Jennings


Philadelphia at Miami

Philadelphia Miami
Kyle Kendrick Vegas Moneyline Nathan Eovaldi Vegas Over/Under
RIGHT MIA (-137) RIGHT 7.5
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.262 0.721 0.320 14.6% SP vs. Left 0.276 0.748 0.338 16.2%
SP vs. Right 0.292 0.744 0.338 13.5% SP vs. Right 0.231 0.631 0.282 21.3%
Batter Splits PHI BvP pop up 2 PHI vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits MIA BvP pop up 2 MIA vs R pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Kyle Kendrick – Kendrick is one of those pitchers that never seems to find his way onto the daily fantasy baseball radar. He has an average ERA, an average WHIP, and an average K-rate. He faces a Marlins’ offense that has been on fire at home all season long. I’ll be avoiding him tonight in all leagues. Rating = 4

Nathan Eovaldi – Eovaldi has really pitched well this season with a 3.62 ERA (most of which came in his last start against the Giants) and a K/9 of 8.3. He has great velocity and a nice matchup against the Phillies who are ranked 26th against RH pitching this season with a team .292 wOBA. Rating = 7

Batter Grind Down

Philadelphia

Chase Utley – Eovaldi has given up a .338 wOBA to LHB’s over the last 2 seasons. Utley has been crushing RH pitching all season long and continues to make a nice play at 2B tonight.

Additional Plays: None

Miami

Giancarlo Stanton – Stanton has been terrific at home this season with a .354 batting average and an OPS of 1.16. Kendrick is not a pitcher that you need to avoid batters against and Stanton makes a terrific play in both GPP’s and cash games.

Additional Plays: Christian Yelich, Garrett Jones


Milwaukee at Atlanta

Milwaukee Atlanta
Kyle Lohse Vegas Moneyline Ervin Santana Vegas Over/Under
RIGHT ATL (-142) RIGHT 7.0
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.262 0.739 0.327 17.1% SP vs. Left 0.251 0.682 0.306 17.6%
SP vs. Right 0.249 0.636 0.282 15.6% SP vs. Right 0.228 0.632 0.283 22.7%
Batter Splits MIL BvP pop up 2 MIL vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits ATL BvP pop up 2 ATL vs R pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Kyle Lohse – Lohse has really pitched well this season with a 2.88 ERA and a K/9 of 7.01. If he was facing the Braves a week ago, I would suggest using him as a tournament play, but this Braves’ offense is really starting to heat up and I don’t want anything to do with them as far as opposing pitchers are concerned. Rating = 5

Ervin Santana – Santana has been terrific for the Braves this season with a 2.76 ERA and a K/9 of 9.2. He has been very good against RH batters (.282 wOBA) which really bodes well for his matchup against the Brewers tonight. Santana is in play on muli-pitcher sites. Rating = 7

Batter Grind Down

Milwaukee

There aren’t any plays that stand out here. Santana has been good against RH batters this season and should be tough on the RH batters in this Brewers’ lineup.

Atlanta

Jason Heyward – Heyward is starting to heat up with 9 hits over his last 6 games. His price is still extremely cheap on across the industry and I like his matchup against the RHP Lohse who has given up a .327 wOBA to LHB’s since the start of last season.

Additional Plays: Freddie Freeman, Justin Upton


LA Dodgers at NY Mets

LA Dodgers NY Mets
Hyun-Jin Ryu Vegas Moneyline Jacob Degrom Vegas Over/Under
LEFT LAD (-125) RIGHT 7.0
Stats Avg OPS wOBA K% Stats Avg OPS wOBA K%
SP vs. Left 0.281 0.728 0.326 17.0% SP vs. Left 0.125 0.410 0.197 22.2%
SP vs. Right 0.240 0.619 0.280 20.4% SP vs. Right 0.286 0.714 0.308 28.6%
Batter Splits LAD BvP pop up 2 LAD vs R pop up 2 Batter Splits NYM BvP pop up 2 NYM vs L pop up 2
Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window

Pitcher Grind Down

Hyun-Jin Ryu – Ryu will draw the start tonight after missing his last couple of starts with a shoulder injury. He threw 75 pitches in his rehab start and it doesn’t sound like a pitch count should be an issue. That said, the Dodgers are going to be careful with Ryu. While I do like the matchup against the Mets, I’m going to personally wait a start before using him in any cash games. Rating = 6

Jacob Degrom – Degrom pitched well in his major league debut with 6 K’s over 7 innings of work against the Yankees while only giving up 1 earned run. There are still plenty of question marks surrounding him and he’s not a recommended play against the Dodgers who are ranked 3rd against RH pitching with a team .340 wOBA. Rating = 4

Batter Grind Down

L.A. Dodgers

Adrian Gonzalez – Gonzalez had a big game against the rookie Montero last night and I like his chances for another big game against the rookie Degrom tonight.

Additional Plays: Dee Gordon, Hanley Ramirez

N.Y. Mets

David Wright – Wright has always been good against LH pitching and 2014 is no different. He’s batting .442 against southpaws with an OPS of 1.06. Citi Field isn’t a great ballpark for Wright, but I think he makes a nice play at 3B.

Additional Plays: Eric Young


MLB Grind Down Page 2Page 3

About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious