MLB Player Props Today: Kirby, Snell, Plus a PrizePicks Prediction (September 8)
What kind of performances can we expect on Friday from George Kirby, Blake Snell, and Steven Kwan? Follow along as our MLB betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets and DFS pick’em predictions for today – Friday, September 8, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more baseball props, at ScoresandOdds.
Happy Friday! We had yesterday as a scheduled off-day for MLB content due to the kickoff of the NFL regular season, but we are back today! We enter the week 8-0, with one voided ticket due to CJ Abrams being out of the lineup on Tuesday. There are 14 games on tap to begin the weekend’s action, meaning that there are plenty of opportunities for the betting community to get involved!
Across the last month and change, we are 87-51-4 (63.0%) in this article. Since May 1, we are 182-132-10 on non-Home Run props and 2-6 on Home Run recommendations. We are now 109-55-5 (66.5%) on pitcher prop recommendations for the season. There is plenty of opportunity once again on the player prop market today – below are three prop leans for September 8!
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MLB Player Props Today
- George Kirby u6.5 Strikeouts
- Blake Snell u6.5 Strikeouts
- Steven Kwan Less Than 0.5 Strikeouts
George Kirby u6.5 Strikeouts (-150), PointsBet
George Kirby is one of the least consistent strikeout pitchers in all of baseball, which makes him a difficult player to bet on or against. In just his last three trips to the mound, he has had as few as two strikeouts, but as many as nine strikeouts. Tonight, however, Kirby will have a tough time overcoming the strikeout-averse Chad Fairchild, who will be calling balls and strikes in this contest. The Tampa Bay Rays have struck out at a high clip in recent weeks against right-handed pitching, but they have also faced Luis Castillo, Brayan Bello, and Gerrit Cole in that stretch. Against less talented pitchers, they have struck out six times or less against Nick Pivetta, Kutter Crawford, Xzavion Curry, Cal Quantrill, Sandy Alcantara, and Clarke Schmidt. The under has good value in this spot.
Blake Snell u6.5 Strikeouts (-136), FanDuel
Blake Snell has eclipsed this market number in 15 of his last 18 starts, but tonight is likely to make it 15 out of 19. According to props.cash, eight of the last 11 left-handed starting pitchers to face the Houston Astros have gone under their pre-game market number for strikeouts. Since August 15, the Astros have struck out at the 7th-lowest rate of any team in baseball against southpaws. We do not yet have a home plate umpire assignment for this contest, but a small wager here is still a worthwhile risk at this number and price. If we get a strikeout-averse umpire behind the plate, there could be an opportunity to be more aggressive.
MLB DFS Pick’em
Steven Kwan Less Than 0.5 Hitter Strikeouts, PrizePicks
Griffin Canning has been throwing the ball better in recent weeks, but he still carries a repertoire that struggles to generate many swings-and-misses across the platoon. Entering play on Friday, Canning’s strikeout rate is 5.5% lower against left-handed hitters than it is against right-handed hitters. Steven Kwan has struck out in only 8.0% of his total plate appearances since August 6. Trust him to avoid a punch out this evening.
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MLB Props Results – Wager Type
HITTER PROPS
Dinger Tuesday: 4-11-1
Hitter: 118-109-6
Stolen Base: 1-2
PITCHER PROPS
Hits Allowed: 3-2
Outs Recorded: 35-20
Strikeout: 70-33-3
Walk: 1-0
Earned Runs Allowed: 0-0-1
MISCELLANEOUS PROPS
1st Inning: 0-4