NBA Grind Down: Tuesday, April 24th
Welcome to the RotoGrinders NBA Grind Down. In this all-encompassing preview of today’s NBA action, every game will be broken down statistically, with several key elements highlighted in our charts.
Vegas lines are broken down to show projected Implied Team Totals, to give you an idea of who is favored to win, and often more importantly, how many points they’re expected to score. We also provide pace numbers, so you can spot a game that might have a few extra possessions and more opportunities for fantasy points.
We also provide position-by-position matchup rankings for every team, to give you an idea of the players who will be in better situations to succeed. Using Defense versus Position data, every projected starter is listed along with his opponent’s rank in points allowed to players of his position. These color-coded charts will help you spot the best matchups of the night at a glance.
If you want to try a new DFS site, be sure to click through a RotoGrinders link and use promo code “GRINDERS” to receive the best perks in the industry.
Milwaukee Bucks at Boston Celtics – 7:00 PM ET
| Milwaukee Bucks | Boston Celtics | |||||||||||
 | Vegas Total | 203.0 |  | Vegas Total | 203.0 | |||||||
| Vegas Spread | 4.0 | Vegas Spread | -4.0 | |||||||||
| Implied Team Total | 99.5 | Implied Team Total | 103.5 | |||||||||
| Pace Projection +/- | -1.4 | Pace Projection +/- | -1.1 | |||||||||
| Projected Starters | Eric Bledsoe | Malcolm Brogdon | Khris Middleton | Giannis Antetokounmpo | Tyler Zeller | Projected Starters | Terry Rozier | Jaylen Brown | Jayson Tatum | Al Horford | Aron Baynes | |
| Opponent Rank | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | Opponent Rank | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DvP | 1 | 5 | 20 | 1 | 2 | DvP | 3 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 27 | |
| DRPM Rat. | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | DRPM Rat. | 8 | 18 | 23 | 5 | 22 | |
Milwaukee Bucks
The Bucks picked up two wins at home to even the series at two games apiece. It’s now a best-of-three series with two of the final three games being played in Boston. Even though these are two slow-paced teams that pride themselves on their play on the defensive end of the floor, we’ve seen some solid fantasy production from both sides of the ball. Heading into Game 5, the Bucks are listed as three-point underdogs with an implied total of 100.8 points.
Eric Bledsoe has yet to score more than 32 fantasy points in any game in this series. Given the fact that he needs to top that to reach value at his current price point, he’s not an ideal play. The price on DraftKings ($6,300) is enticing, but point guard is loaded with options in this three-game slate. Khris Middleton has averaged 39 minutes and 44 fantasy points per game in this series. He’s been knocking down difficult shot after difficult shot and his ability to fill up the stat sheet gives him a high floor and a high ceiling. Malcolm Brogdon, but has played at least 28 minutes in three of the first four games in the series. He’s one of the better value plays available in this slate.
Giannis Antetokounmpo is finally in a slate that doesn’t feature James Harden or LeBron James. He is the top overall play on the board in terms of his raw projection. He has averaged 55 fantasy points per game in this series and will continue to play 40+ minutes a game as long as he stays out of foul trouble. John Henson has been ruled out once again, which gives a boost to both Tyler Zeller and Thon Maker. Given the fact that the game is on the road, I’d actually lean Zeller over Maker, although I’m not actively targeting either center. The biggest boost should go to Jabari Parker, who has scored 34 and 41 fantasy points in the last two games that Henson has missed. Parker’s price a little expensive on DraftKings, but he’s firmly in play on FanDuel ($5,200).
Notable Injuries
John Henson (Out)
Milwaukee Bucks Offense
Points Per Game: 106.5 (15 of 30)
Implied Implied Team Total: 100.8 (4 of 6)
Projected Point Differential: -5.8 (4 of 6)
Matchup vs. Boston Celtics
Points Allowed Per Game: 100.4 (3 of 30)
Defensive Efficiency: 101.5 (1 of 30)
Rebounding Differential: + 4.5 (4 of 30)
Pace of Play: 98.2 (23 of 30)
| Player | FD Salary | DK Salary | FDRFT Salary | FP/Game | Playoffs +/- | Minutes | Playoffs +/- | FP/Min | True Usage | EFF | DVP | DRPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Bledsoe | $7,500 | $6,300 | $13,000 | 34.7 | -9.1 | 31.4 | -0.3 | 1.10 | 23.6% | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Malcolm Brogdon | $4,200 | $4,400 | $8,600 | 24.0 | -7.9 | 29.9 | -2.4 | 0.80 | 18.1% | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| Khris Middleton | $8,500 | $8,100 | $15,800 | 35.4 | 8.5 | 36.4 | 2.1 | 0.97 | 22.2% | 6 | 20 | 3 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | $11,300 | $9,900 | $18,100 | 51.8 | 0.1 | 36.8 | 2.1 | 1.41 | 28.0% | 8 | 1 | 2 |
| Tyler Zeller | $3,500 | $3,400 | $6,500 | 14.7 | -5.0 | 16.8 | -6.8 | 0.87 | 14.5% | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Jabari Parker | $5,200 | $6,200 | $13,300 | 23.1 | -2.8 | 24.0 | -4.1 | 0.96 | 21.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Thon Maker | $3,500 | $4,200 | $8,600 | 12.3 | 9.2 | 16.7 | 2.0 | 0.74 | 12.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Elite Plays – Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Malcolm Brogdon, Jabari Parker (FD)
Secondary Plays – Eric Bledsoe (DK), Jabari Parker (DK)
Boston Celtics
The Celtics need to be careful here. The Bucks have all the momentum right now and Game 5 is close to being a pick ‘em. The Celtics can’t afford to head back to Milwaukee down 3-2. I expect them to come out firing, as they have one of the best coaches in the NBA. Considering how many injuries they have had this season, it’s amazing that they have played as well as they have. They come into Game 5 with an implied total of 103.8 points, which is the third highest of the slate. Marcus Smart has been cleared to play tonight, but we won’t know his status for sure until closer to lineup lock.
The problem with Milwaukee is that there aren’t any exploitable matchups. We used to be able to target centers against them, but that has changed a bit in this series with Giannis Antetokounmpo playing the five at times. Terry Rozier has scored at least 33 fantasy points in three of the four games in this series. He should see minutes in the upper-30s in this one and will likely carry lower ownership than Goran Dragic at a similar price point. Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum have really stepped up in this series, averaging 29 and 32 fantasy points, respectively. The problem is that they aren’t cheap. Both are viable tournament plays, but I will be looking elsewhere in cash games, especially if Smart ends up playing tonight.
Al Horford has scored at least 34 fantasy points in three of the first four games in the series. He fills up the stat sheet, he plays a lot of minutes, and his price is still affordable across the industry. Once again, we can fire up Horford in both cash games and tournaments. Aron Baynes has scored at least 20 fantasy points in three straight games. I’ve been surprised by the production, but who am I to judge. He’s still under $4,000 on DraftKings if you are in need of value. Greg Monroe is productive when given minutes, but you never know if he’s going to play 14 or 24. He’s best suited in tournaments. Marcus Morris is a player that feeds off emotion. He scored 29 and 28 fantasy points in the two games in Boston, then struggled in Milwaukee. Look for a strong bounce-back effort from him.
Notable Injuries
Marcus Smart (Questionable)
Boston Celtics Offense
Points Per Game: 104.0 (20 of 30)
Implied Implied Team Total: 103.8 (3 of 6)
Projected Point Differential: -0.3 (2 of 6)
Matchup vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Points Allowed Per Game: 106.8 (16 of 30)
Defensive Efficiency: 107.1 (17 of 30)
Rebounding Differential: -4.5 (13 of 30)
Pace of Play: 98.5 (20 of 30)
| Player | FD Salary | DK Salary | FDRFT Salary | FP/Game | Playoffs +/- | Minutes | Playoffs +/- | FP/Min | True Usage | EFF | DVP | DRPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier | $7,800 | $6,800 | $12,300 | 23.9 | 11.0 | 25.9 | 10.4 | 0.92 | 20.0% | 10 | 3 | 8 |
| Jaylen Brown | $7,300 | $7,300 | $13,700 | 25.2 | 10.3 | 30.7 | 6.6 | 0.82 | 18.5% | 14 | 12 | 18 |
| Jayson Tatum | $6,700 | $6,000 | $12,600 | 26.0 | 7.3 | 30.5 | 3.8 | 0.85 | 17.0% | 16 | 5 | 23 |
| Al Horford | $8,000 | $6,900 | $12,700 | 32.1 | 4.5 | 31.6 | 3.6 | 1.02 | 17.8% | 2 | 10 | 5 |
| Aron Baynes | $4,400 | $3,900 | $7,400 | 15.8 | 1.5 | 18.3 | 3.6 | 0.87 | 14.8% | 30 | 27 | 22 |
| Marcus Morris | $5,300 | $5,200 | $10,000 | 23.2 | -2.4 | 26.7 | 2.5 | 0.87 | 20.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Greg Monroe | $4,300 | $4,500 | $8,800 | 24.3 | -10.5 | 20.4 | -6.6 | 1.19 | 19.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Elite Plays – Terry Rozier, Al Horford, Marcus Morris
Secondary Plays – Jaylen Brown, Jayson Tatum, Aron Baynes (DK)
Miami Heat at Philadelphia 76ers – 8:00 PM ET
| Miami Heat | Philadelphia 76ers | |||||||||||
 | Vegas Total | 211.0 |  | Vegas Total | 211.0 | |||||||
| Vegas Spread | 10.0 | Vegas Spread | -10.0 | |||||||||
| Implied Team Total | 100.5 | Implied Team Total | 110.5 | |||||||||
| Pace Projection +/- | 2.6 | Pace Projection +/- | -1.8 | |||||||||
| Projected Starters | Goran Dragic | Tyler Johnson | Josh Richardson | James Johnson | Hassan Whiteside | Projected Starters | Ben Simmons | J.J. Redick | Robert Covington | Dario Saric | Joel Embiid | |
| Opponent Rank | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | Opponent Rank | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DvP | 15 | 15 | 23 | 9 | 9 | DvP | 7 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 11 | |
| DRPM Rat. | 1 | 25 | 1 | 19 | 2 | DRPM Rat. | 21 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 2 | |
Miami Heat
The Heat were unable to win Game 4 at home and will now have to win the next three games to advance out of the first round of the playoffs. This is a tall task, especially given the fact that two of the next three games will be played in Philadelphia. Even though they will be playing with desperation with their season on the line, they come into tonight’s game as 10-point underdogs with an implied total of only 100.5 points. The Sixers are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA when Joel Embiid is in the lineup.
Goran Dragic had his best two games of the series in Miami, scoring 40 and 33 fantasy points. This is a rare slate where point guard is actually one of the thinnest positions, which makes Dragic the top point per dollar target. Tyler Johnson has not been involved in this series. In theory, he would benefit from Josh Richardson being out, but I don’t expect that to happen. Richardson is dealing with a shoulder injury, but was able to log 35 minutes in Game 4. With the season on the line, I expect Richardson to tough it out. If active, he’s one of the top small forward plays on FanDuel. If he does get ruled out, Johnson, Wayne Ellington, Justise Winslow, and Dwyane Wade would all see small boosts. Wade is a strong play regardless, as he should see around 25 high-usage minutes off the bench in a win or go home Game 5.
James Johnson has been the only consistent player in Miami’s frontcourt. In the first four games of the series, he has averaged 32 minutes and 34 fantasy points. He’s viable once again as a play in all formats. The Heat made a concerted effort to get Hassan Whiteside more minutes in Game 4. He got off to a slow start, but still logged 26 minutes and scored 28 fantasy points. He has struggled to defend Joel Embiid, but he’s still a better option than Kelly Olynyk, who had by far his worst game of the series in Game 4. I’m not sure Whiteside is necessary in cash games, but if he plays 25 minutes again, he should be able to reach value at his current price point — $5,400 on FanDuel and $5,500 on DraftKings. Olynyk is a deep tournament play at best. Winslow continues to play well off the bench, but has been limited to 20 minutes in two of the last three games.
Notable Injuries
Josh Richardson (Questionable)
Miami Heat Offense
Points Per Game: 103.4 (23 of 30)
Implied Implied Team Total: 100.5 (5 of 6)
Projected Point Differential: -2.9 (3 of 6)
Matchup vs. Philadelphia 76ers
Points Allowed Per Game: 105.3 (11 of 30)
Defensive Efficiency: 102.0 (3 of 30)
Rebounding Differential: + 8.0 (2 of 30)
Pace of Play: 102.2 (4 of 30)
| Player | FD Salary | DK Salary | FDRFT Salary | FP/Game | Playoffs +/- | Minutes | Playoffs +/- | FP/Min | True Usage | EFF | DVP | DRPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goran Dragic | $6,300 | $6,100 | $11,800 | 30.2 | 1.0 | 31.7 | -1.4 | 0.95 | 24.7% | 3 | 15 | 1 |
| Tyler Johnson | $3,700 | $3,500 | $7,200 | 22.0 | -12.3 | 28.5 | -13.0 | 0.77 | 17.5% | 15 | 15 | 25 |
| Josh Richardson | $5,500 | $5,700 | $11,200 | 27.0 | 3.5 | 33.2 | -2.6 | 0.81 | 16.7% | 8 | 23 | 1 |
| James Johnson | $6,100 | $6,600 | $12,700 | 25.6 | 8.3 | 26.6 | 5.6 | 0.96 | 18.2% | 7 | 9 | 19 |
| Hassan Whiteside | $5,400 | $5,500 | $10,800 | 34.7 | -19.6 | 25.3 | -8.6 | 1.37 | 20.7% | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| Dwyane Wade | $5,500 | $5,800 | $12,800 | 23.8 | 6.9 | 22.9 | 1.2 | 1.04 | 24.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Justise Winslow | $4,500 | $5,000 | $9,800 | 20.4 | 4.5 | 24.7 | 0.2 | 0.83 | 15.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Kelly Olynyk | $6,500 | $5,400 | $10,400 | 24.4 | 1.7 | 23.4 | 3.8 | 1.04 | 19.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Elite Plays – Goran Dragic, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade (FD), Josh Richardson (FD), Hassan Whiteside (FD)
Secondary Plays – Dwyane Wade (DK), Josh Richardson (DK), Hassan Whiteside (DK), Justise Winslow
Philadelphia 76ers
The Sixers are one win away from advancing to the second round of the playoffs. It’s been fun watching this team grow over the last few years and if they can keep their core intact, they are going to be great for the next decade. All they need to do is take care of business at home. They come into Game 5 as double-digit favorites with an implied total of 110.5 points, which is the highest on the board. They also have the best projected point differential of the six teams in action.
Ben Simmons has been a beast on both ends of the floor in this series. He has averaged 38 minutes and 51 fantasy points in the first four games, but is now priced at a premium. He is over $10,000 on both FanDuel and DraftKings, which seems a bit high now that Joel Embiid is back in the mix. I don’t hate the Simmons play, but would rather target Giannis Antetokounmpo. J.J. Redick and Marco Belinelli have played well in this series, but they are overpriced. Of the two, I’m more inclined to play Redick, who is a safer bet to play 30 minutes. I likely won’t have exposure to either player, but Redick does have some appeal on FanDuel where we have to roster two shooting guards. Robert Covington has been in foul trouble in each of the last two games, which has led to a lower price point and potentially lower ownership. I’m willing to buy low on Covington, especially at home.
Dario Saric is more productive when Embiid is out of the lineup. This has been the case in each of the last two seasons. Saric has played well so far in this series, but I will not have any shares given how deep power forward is tonight. Ersan Ilyasova is an easy fade with Embiid back, as his playing time has been cut drastically. Embiid is clearly the top center of the slate and we don’t have to pay as much as we did for him during the regular season. He is only $9,500 on FanDuel and $8,900 on DraftKings. He has averaged 1.47 fantasy points per minute in this series and should see around 32 minutes in this one. Embiid is the only center outside of Al Horford that I would consider a reliable fantasy option.
Notable Injuries
None
Philadelphia 76ers Offense
Points Per Game: 109.8 (7 of 30)
Implied Implied Team Total: 110.5 (1 of 6)
Projected Point Differential: 0.7 (1 of 6)
Matchup vs. Miami Heat
Points Allowed Per Game: 102.9 (4 of 30)
Defensive Efficiency: 104.0 (7 of 30)
Rebounding Differential: -8.0 (15 of 30)
Pace of Play: 97.8 (25 of 30)
| Player | FD Salary | DK Salary | FDRFT Salary | FP/Game | Playoffs +/- | Minutes | Playoffs +/- | FP/Min | True Usage | EFF | DVP | DRPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Simmons | $10,500 | $10,100 | $18,700 | 42.2 | 9.4 | 33.7 | 4.4 | 1.25 | 22.8% | 7 | 7 | 21 |
| J.J. Redick | $5,600 | $5,600 | $11,500 | 24.9 | 1.9 | 30.2 | 1.8 | 0.82 | 20.2% | 9 | 14 | 14 |
| Robert Covington | $6,500 | $5,100 | $12,200 | 28.3 | -1.4 | 31.6 | -2.6 | 0.89 | 15.2% | 12 | 2 | 7 |
| Dario Saric | $6,400 | $6,400 | $13,500 | 27.6 | 6.3 | 29.6 | 1.9 | 0.93 | 18.6% | 11 | 8 | 8 |
| Joel Embiid | $9,500 | $8,900 | $17,700 | 44.4 | -1.2 | 30.3 | 0.5 | 1.47 | 28.2% | 8 | 11 | 2 |
| Marco Belinelli | $5,700 | $5,300 | $11,300 | 19.0 | 9.6 | 24.3 | 6.5 | 0.78 | 18.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Ersan Ilyasova | $6,000 | $4,900 | $9,900 | 22.8 | 2.2 | 25.1 | 0.5 | 0.91 | 16.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Elite Plays – Robert Covington, Joel Embiid
Secondary Plays – Ben Simmons, J.J. Redick (FD)
San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors – 10:30 PM ET
| San Antonio Spurs | Golden State Warriors | |||||||||||
 | Vegas Total | 204.5 |  | Vegas Total | 204.5 | |||||||
| Vegas Spread | 11.0 | Vegas Spread | -11.0 | |||||||||
| Implied Team Total | 96.8 | Implied Team Total | 107.8 | |||||||||
| Pace Projection +/- | 2.2 | Pace Projection +/- | -2.4 | |||||||||
| Projected Starters | Dejounte Murray | Patty Mills | Danny Green | Rudy Gay | LaMarcus Aldridge | Projected Starters | Andre Iguodala | Klay Thompson | Kevin Durant | Draymond Green | JaVale McGee | |
| Opponent Rank | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | Opponent Rank | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DvP | 11 | 21 | 11 | 26 | 6 | DvP | 5 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 4 | |
| DRPM Rat. | 2 | 11 | 24 | 3 | 25 | DRPM Rat. | 1 | 26 | 1 | 9 | 8 | |
San Antonio Spurs
The Spurs prolonged the inevitable with a win in Game 4. While they are technically still alive, this is the Warriors’ series to win. As we all know, no team in NBA history has overcome an 0-3 deficit. The Spurs come into tonight’s game as 11-point underdogs with an implied total of only 96.8 points. Not only is that the lowest total on the board, but also the worst projected point differential of the slate.
Dejounte Murray played well in Game 4, but isn’t seeing enough minutes to warrant consideration in DFS. The same can be said for Tony Parker, who is averaging minutes in the low teens. Manu Ginobili has flashed some upside at times in this series, but his price has come up and his ownership may be inflated. I’ll gladly fade Manu in hopes that he is popular and has a mediocre outing. Danny Green and Kyle Anderson have been non-existent in the first four games and are easy fades in all formats. The one guard that has played well for the Spurs is Patty Mills, who is averaging 31 minutes and 20 fantasy points per game. With point guard being so thin, Mills is viable in all formats.
Rudy Gay has been the lone bright spot for the Spurs in this series. He has averaged 30 minutes and 29 fantasy points per contest. If this game stays close, he should play 32-34 minutes. The only downside is that we could see Greg Popovich waive the white flag early if the Spurs get down by a large margin. For that reason, Gay and all of the Spurs are best suited as tournament plays. LaMarcus Aldridge is an intriguing tournament play. His ownership will be low and he’s San Antonio’s best chance of keeping this game close.
Notable Injuries
None
San Antonio Spurs Offense
Points Per Game: 102.7 (27 of 30)
Implied Implied Team Total: 96.8 (6 of 6)
Projected Point Differential: -6.0 (6 of 6)
Matchup vs. Golden State Warriors
Points Allowed Per Game: 107.5 (18 of 30)
Defensive Efficiency: 104.2 (8 of 30)
Rebounding Differential: + 12.5 (1 of 30)
Pace of Play: 101.8 (5 of 30)
| Player | FD Salary | DK Salary | FDRFT Salary | FP/Game | Playoffs +/- | Minutes | Playoffs +/- | FP/Min | True Usage | EFF | DVP | DRPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray | $5,000 | $4,800 | $9,500 | 22.4 | -4.8 | 21.5 | -4.4 | 1.04 | 19.4% | 11 | 11 | 2 |
| Patty Mills | $4,600 | $4,700 | $8,800 | 17.6 | 2.5 | 25.7 | 5.1 | 0.68 | 17.1% | 10 | 21 | 11 |
| Danny Green | $4,000 | $3,700 | $7,100 | 20.2 | -7.9 | 25.6 | -3.5 | 0.79 | 15.0% | 8 | 11 | 24 |
| Rudy Gay | $6,700 | $5,900 | $12,900 | 22.7 | 6.2 | 21.6 | 8.2 | 1.05 | 21.7% | 6 | 26 | 3 |
| LaMarcus Aldridge | $9,300 | $8,700 | $16,000 | 40.2 | -4.7 | 33.4 | -0.6 | 1.20 | 26.5% | 16 | 6 | 25 |
| Pau Gasol | $4,100 | $4,000 | $7,500 | 26.9 | -10.6 | 23.5 | -5.6 | 1.14 | 19.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Manu Ginobili | $4,500 | $4,300 | $8,200 | 16.4 | 1.1 | 20.0 | -1.2 | 0.82 | 19.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Tony Parker | $3,500 | $3,100 | $6,000 | 15.3 | -5.7 | 19.5 | -7.4 | 0.78 | 20.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Elite Plays – Patty Mills (FD), Rudy Gay (GPP), LaMarcus Aldridge (GPP)
Secondary Plays – Patty Mills (DK), Rudy Gay (Cash), LaMarcus Aldridge (Cash)
Golden State Warriors
The Warriors need one win to advance to the second round of the playoffs. There have been reports that Stephen Curry isn’t close to returning, but he did take part in Saturday’s non-contact practice. Golden State will obviously need their point guard if they want to defend their title. As for tonight, they come into this elimination game as 11-point favorites with an implied total of 107.8 points. Their total is considerably lower than their season average, but still the second highest of the slate.
Andre Iguodala has scored at least 15 fantasy points in every game so far this series, which is a high floor for a player that is priced in the mid-$4,000 range. He’s viable once again, especially on FanDuel where we have to roster two small forwards. Klay Thompson is basically playing 40 minutes a night and he has 16, 16, and 20 shot attempts in the last three games. I always hesitate to target players that rely on scoring for most of their fantasy production, but I’m on the Klay train tonight. He’s affordable, he has plenty of upside, and his minutes are secure.
Kevin Durant has been good, but not great so far in this series. At his price point, I would rather pivot to Giannis Antetokounmpo. Draymond Green is always one of my favorite players in DFS because he racks up blocks and steals. Despite only scoring nine actual points in Game 4, he put up 42 fantasy points. JaVale McGee has been a bright spot in this series, averaging 24 fantasy points per game. He scored 28 fantasy points in each of the two home games if you want to give him a look in tournaments. As far as the bench players go, the only one of interest to me is David West, who should see around 16 minutes at a price point of only $3,200 on DraftKings.
Notable Injuries
None
Golden State Warriors Offense
Points Per Game: 113.5 (1 of 30)
Implied Implied Team Total: 107.8 (2 of 6)
Projected Point Differential: -5.8 (4 of 6)
Matchup vs. San Antonio Spurs
Points Allowed Per Game: 99.8 (1 of 30)
Defensive Efficiency: 102.4 (4 of 30)
Rebounding Differential: -12.5 (16 of 30)
Pace of Play: 97.2 (29 of 30)
| Player | FD Salary | DK Salary | FDRFT Salary | FP/Game | Playoffs +/- | Minutes | Playoffs +/- | FP/Min | True Usage | EFF | DVP | DRPM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Iguodala | $4,700 | $4,600 | $9,500 | 18.7 | 5.9 | 25.4 | 0.6 | 0.74 | 11.5% | 13 | 5 | 1 |
| Klay Thompson | $6,500 | $6,500 | $12,700 | 30.4 | 1.7 | 34.3 | 3.2 | 0.89 | 20.7% | 1 | 2 | 26 |
| Kevin Durant | $10,900 | $10,300 | $18,900 | 47.2 | -1.1 | 34.2 | 0.6 | 1.38 | 26.9% | 13 | 8 | 1 |
| Draymond Green | $8,200 | $7,900 | $14,400 | 36.0 | 2.7 | 32.7 | 2.8 | 1.10 | 16.7% | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| JaVale McGee | $4,200 | $3,800 | $7,300 | 11.9 | 12.1 | 9.5 | 7.3 | 1.25 | 16.5% | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| Quinn Cook | $3,800 | $3,700 | $7,200 | 16.8 | -1.6 | 22.4 | -1.0 | 0.75 | 16.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| David West | $4,100 | $3,200 | $6,100 | 17.3 | -1.9 | 13.7 | 2.4 | 1.26 | 19.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Kevon Looney | $3,700 | $3,200 | $6,700 | 12.3 | 3.9 | 13.8 | 7.6 | 0.89 | 11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A |