NBA Preview Pt. 4: Opening Night Fever

lebron james

There are only 3 games on the official opening night for the NBA season, which I absolutely hate for daily fantasy formats. The variance will be minimal and you have to be deadly correct to win any type of GPP. With that said, it also means I can take some time and go next level with all of the individual players. In the final part of the NBA preview I have full projections for each player, their salaries on every site that has launched NBA games thus far, and their $ spent per fantasy point value ratings.

The projections I ran were relatively simple. They were a function of the players statistics from 2011-12 and their opponent statistics against that players position. From there I made a bunch of tweaks to guys in new roles, on new squads or rookies, or the rare Jeff Green scenario. It’s not perfect but it gets all these players in one place for you with their salaries and a solid idea of where you might be able to find some solid value for opening night!

Good luck and if you ever have any daily fantasy hoops questions feel free to PM me or send me an email Ethan@RotoGrinders.com

NOTE: All Tables are sortable. Just click the header of each column to sort!

Forwards Projections and Salaries

FORWARD Proj. FP DS FD DD DJ SS DK
LeBron James 37.48 $22,402 $9,900 $20,450 $203,000 $18,000 $11,100
Pau Gasol 30.07 $17,266 $7,900 $16,400 $156,000 $13,972 $8,200
Dirk Nowitzki 0.00 $15,433 $8,200 $14,200 $153,000 $13,390 $7,400
Paul Pierce 29.67 $13,948 $7,400 $13,750 $142,000 $12,595 $7,000
Nene Hilario 24.25 $13,175 $6,900 $11,350 $122,000 $9,853 $7,700
Elton Brand 23.19 $11,741 $6,200 $11,050 $88,000 $7,831 $5,700
Shawn Marion 21.66 $10,731 $6,200 $10,050 $96,000 $8,658 $5,300
Brandon Bass 20.93 $10,161 $6,000 $10,250 $82,000 $6,596 $5,200
Trevor Booker 15.00 $10,019 $5,700 $8,800 $55,000 $4,500 $4,400
Antawn Jamison 19.83 $9,868 $6,600 $9,700 $59,000 $6,377 $5,100
Tristan Thompson 18.04 $9,787 $5,700 $9,200 $100,000 $9,802 $5,900
Kevin Seraphin 17.30 $8,731 $6,200 $7,450 $55,000 $6,221 $5,000
Jared Sullinger 12.10 $8,019 $4,900 $7,000 $55,000 $4,500 $3,000
Udonis Haslem 16.28 $7,949 $4,700 $7,300 $72,000 $6,602 $3,600
Jan Vesely 14.08 $7,918 $5,400 $7,850 $73,000 $6,548 $3,400
Jeff Green 21.20 $7,903 $6,000 $7,600 #N/A $4,972 $3,800
Brandan Wright 15.66 $7,903 $4,700 $7,300 $55,000 $4,500 $3,300
Rashard Lewis 15.44 $7,681 $5,100 $9,000 $55,000 $4,500 $3,000
Metta World Peace 16.64 $7,413 $6,100 $6,750 $68,000 $6,189 $3,900
Jon Leuer 12.10 $6,521 $4,200 $3,000 #N/A $4,500 $3,000
Chris Wilcox 12.71 $6,191 $3,400 $6,050 #N/A $4,500 $3,000
Omri Casspi 10.00 $6,090 $4,800 $5,600 $55,000 $4,500 $3,000
Chris Singleton 14.11 $5,964 $4,600 $6,500 $55,000 $4,500 $3,000
Samardo Samuels 12.63 $5,515 $4,700 $6,000 $55,000 $4,500 $3,500
Luke Harangody 10.22 $4,964 $4,100 $5,250 $55,000 $4,500 $3,000
Earl Clark 0.00 $4,449 $4,600 $5,300 #N/A $4,500 $3,000

Forwards I LOVE

  • Jeff Green – Hands down he’s my top value pick for opening night. The man is playing like he has new life(probably because he does.) It might only be preseason but Green played with a sense of urgency that critics had knocked him for lacking for years. He’ll play big minutes off the bench to help on LeBron and should contribute a 15 point, 7 rebound performance.
  • Brandan Wright – Filling in for Dirk won’t be easy but the minutes on the court Wright should get will allow him to pick up a bunch of rebounds and some scrap buckets. Don’t overthink this too much, just save money on Wright.

Forwards I HATE

  • Antawn Jamison – This is not the Antawn Jamison who could shoot whenever he felt like it and pretty much do whatever he wanted in Cleveland. This is one that will play scattered minutes and be the 3rd or 4th option on the court 90% of the time.
  • Washington Forwards – This whole front court is a mess and I would say just avoid it altogether. Nene is questionable at Center but will play through pain if he goes. Vesely is the starting PF but will split minutes with Booker and Seraphin is hurt as well. Too much confusion and concern here. Avoid on opening night and wait until there’s some clear sense of who can contribute in Washington.

Guards Projections and Salaries

NAME Fantasy Points DS FD DD DJ SS DK
Dwyane Wade 27.18 $17,635 $8,900 $16,150 $170,000 $14,874 $8,200
Rajon Rondo 37.14 $16,685 $8,300 $14,250 $144,000 $13,368 $8,100
Kobe Bryant 30.09 $15,978 $8,500 $16,050 $173,000 $15,109 $9,000
Kyrie Irving 34.36 $15,509 $7,400 $14,000 $158,000 $13,970 $9,200
Steve Nash 21.27 $13,807 $6,200 $12,600 $124,000 $11,453 $6,700
Trevor Ariza 20.01 $11,453 $5,900 $12,050 $111,000 $9,870 $5,900
O.J. Mayo 17.96 $10,585 $5,500 $11,100 $110,000 #N/A $5,900
Alonzo Gee 13.90 $10,484 $5,700 $10,700 $74,000 $4,500 $5,800
Darren Collison 17.29 $10,433 $5,100 $10,000 $103,000 $9,239 $5,900
Jason Terry 16.50 $10,095 $6,000 $10,150 $93,000 $7,490 $4,800
Jordan Crawford 18.48 $10,039 $6,100 $8,550 $70,000 $6,135 $6,200
Mario Chalmers 15.76 $9,221 $5,800 $8,450 $65,000 $5,726 $4,300
Courtney Lee 18.58 $8,848 $6,000 $8,550 $66,000 $5,816 $4,400
Ray Allen 12.00 $8,459 $5,600 $9,150 $76,000 $6,620 $4,300
Rodrigue Beaubois 15.82 $8,338 $5,000 $7,150 $55,000 $4,859 $4,400
Delonte West 15.78 $8,327 $5,200 $7,150 $55,000 $4,500 $3,000
Bradley Beal 18.60 $8,171 #N/A $8,100 $82,000 $7,147 $5,800
Vince Carter 16.20 $7,817 $5,600 $7,600 $61,000 $5,839 $3,300
C.J. Miles 17.30 $7,035 $4,900 $6,400 $55,000 #N/A $5,800
Leandro Barbosa 7.00 $6,949 #N/A $3,800 #N/A #N/A $4,300
Daniel Gibson 13.49 $6,929 $3,500 $7,400 $55,000 $4,500 $3,200
Dion Waiters 19.30 $6,706 $5,200 $6,600 $83,000 $7,299 $5,000
Donald Sloan 10.91 $6,550 $4,600 $6,400 $55,000 $4,500 $3,000
Martell Webster 6.00 $6,237 $5,000 $6,100 #N/A $4,500 $3,000
Jodie Meeks 8.00 $5,903 $4,000 $6,500 $55,000 $4,787 $3,000
Norris Cole 10.46 $5,661 $3,600 $5,900 $55,000 $4,500 $3,000
Steve Blake 11.02 $5,388 $4,600 $4,650 $55,000 $4,500 $3,000
Shane Battier 11.07 $5,378 $5,000 $5,150 $68,000 $6,064 $3,000
Cartier Martin 14.00 $5,282 $4,800 $3,800 #N/A $4,500 $3,000
Chris Douglas-Roberts 0.00 $5,050 $4,700 #N/A #N/A $4,500 $3,000
A.J. Price 15.20 $4,974 $3,800 $9,650 $55,000 #N/A $3,000
Chris Duhon 9.22 $4,833 $3,900 $4,300 #N/A $4,500 $3,000
Mike Miller 3.00 $4,495 $4,300 $3,550 #N/A $4,500 $3,000
Dahntay Jones 9.77 $4,222 $3,900 $4,200 $55,000 $4,500 $3,000
Dominique Jones 5.00 $3,176 $3,900 $3,000 #N/A $4,500 $3,000
James Jones 5.00 $2,535 $3,600 $3,000 #N/A $4,500 $3,000

Guards I LOVE

  • Kyrie Irving – Kyrie should come out firing against an abysmal Wizards defense and light up opening night. No sophomore slump here, he’s my #2 Guard for next Tuesday evening behind Rajon Rondo.
  • C.J. Miles – Value is king and Miles earned a starting role in Cleveland and will now get plenty of minutes to fill up the stat sheet. Minutes mean everything in NBA daily fantasy people, get used to it.
  • O.J. Mayo – With Dirk out, someone has to step up and take over the role of leading scorer for the Mavs. Mayo is new to Dallas and should put up a ton of shots on opening night. The Lakers will probably blow them out late, but Mayo has the most potential for a huge game for Dallas.

Guards I HATE

  • Steve Nash – Not sold on Nash in LA at all yet. Kobe has always flourished with a PG who acts more like a shooting guard and is willing to defer to Kobe on occasion to bring up the ball. They will find a way to work together, but opening night could prove worrisome. Avoid Nash.
  • Alonzo Gee – His price tag is high on a bunch of sites because of the starter role he was supposed to fill and the big play at the end of last year. He finds himself coming off the bench and while he still should play good minutes, the benching is a sign of Gee not quite clicking right now. He’s off his game, so keep him off your lineups.

Centers Projections and Salaries

NAME Fantasy Points DS FD DD DJ SS DK
Dwight Howard 36.08 $19,301 $9,000 $17,650 $182,000 $16,238 $10,200
Kevin Garnett 26.57 $14,832 $7,900 $13,100 $139,000 $12,485 $7,100
Chris Bosh 29.24 $14,519 $7,100 $13,400 $142,000 $12,613 $6,900
Anderson Varejao 29.94 $14,044 $6,800 $12,300 $102,000 $9,253 $7,000
Chris Kaman 23.76 $11,963 $7,100 $10,200 $125,000 $11,120 $7,100
Emeka Okafor 20.87 $10,721 $6,000 $9,450 $88,000 $7,862 $6,100
Jordan Hill 11.00 $6,833 $4,700 $6,350 $55,000 $4,920 $3,800
Tyler Zeller 13.00 $6,363 $4,900 $5,500 $55,000 $4,500 $3,900
Darko Milicic 12.20 $6,131 $4,500 $3,000 #N/A #N/A $3,000
Joel Anthony 10.20 $5,530 $4,200 $5,800 $55,000 $4,500 $3,000
Fab Melo 0.00 $5,303 $3,400 $4,650 $55,000 $4,500 $3,000

Centers I LOVE

  • Dwight Howard – The cop out pick is an easy one here. He has a match-up against one of the worst defenses versus Centers last year and should be hungry to get back on the court. 20/20 night for D-12 to open up his LAKERS CAREER. If you’re gonna spend on a superstar I’d recommend Dwight #1.
  • Anderson Varejao – Remember the shaky Wizards frontcourt I mentioned earlier? Well Varejao is ready to tear them apart. He and Kyrie should have no issue getting whatever they want against Washington’s weak defense. He’s a scrapper who gets a ton of boards as well and will be a touch underpriced on most sites because of his injuries to end last season.

Centers I HATE

  • Chris Kaman – Going up against D-12 is gonna be a blast for the slow, fundamentally sound Kaman. Pause…naht. Kaman did say the other day he will play in the opener but I still can’t see a way he’s healthy enough to contribute let alone beat up on one of the best defensive centers in the NBA.

Forwards $/Fantasy Point

FORWARD Proj. FP DS $/Pt FD $/Pt DD $/Pt DJ $/Pt SS $/Pt DK $/Pt
LeBron James 37.48 $597.75 $264.16 $545.66 $5,416.58 $480.29 $296.18
Pau Gasol 30.07 $574.29 $262.76 $545.48 $5,188.76 $464.73 $272.74
Dirk Nowitzki 0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Paul Pierce 29.67 $470.06 $249.39 $463.39 $4,785.58 $424.47 $235.91
Nene Hilario (Q) 24.25 $543.24 $284.51 $467.99 $5,030.41 $406.27 $317.49
Elton Brand 23.19 $506.24 $267.33 $476.45 $3,794.33 $337.65 $245.77
Shawn Marion 21.66 $495.37 $286.21 $463.94 $4,431.62 $399.68 $244.66
Brandon Bass 20.93 $485.42 $286.64 $489.67 $3,917.35 $315.11 $248.42
Trevor Booker 15.00 $667.93 $380.00 $586.67 $3,666.67 $300.00 $293.33
Antawn Jamison 19.83 $497.63 $332.83 $489.16 $2,975.29 $321.58 $257.19
Tristan Thompson 18.04 $542.44 $315.92 $509.91 $5,542.47 $543.27 $327.01
Kevin Seraphin 17.30 $504.68 $358.38 $430.64 $3,179.19 $359.60 $289.02
Jared Sullinger 12.10 $662.73 $404.96 $578.51 $4,545.45 $371.90 $247.93
Udonis Haslem 16.28 $488.42 $288.79 $448.54 $4,423.96 $405.65 $221.20
Jan Vesely 14.08 $562.56 $383.66 $557.73 $5,186.50 $465.22 $241.56
Jeff Green 21.20 $372.78 $283.02 $358.49 #N/A $234.53 $179.25
Brandan Wright 15.66 $504.58 $300.08 $466.08 $3,511.57 $287.31 $210.69
Rashard Lewis 15.44 $497.64 $330.42 $583.09 $3,563.33 $291.55 $194.36
Metta World Peace 16.64 $445.49 $366.59 $405.65 $4,086.54 $371.94 $234.38
Jon Leuer 12.10 $539.15 $347.25 $248.04 #N/A $372.05 $248.04
Chris Wilcox 12.71 $487.00 $267.45 $475.91 #N/A $353.98 $235.99
Omri Casspi 10.00 $609.00 $480.00 $560.00 $5,500.00 $450.00 $300.00
Chris Singleton 14.11 $422.60 $325.95 $460.58 $3,897.25 $318.87 $212.58
Samardo Samuels 12.63 $436.75 $372.20 $475.15 $4,355.57 $356.37 $277.17
Luke Harangody 10.22 $485.71 $401.17 $513.70 $5,381.60 $440.31 $293.54
Earl Clark 0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00

Guards $/Fantasy Point

NAME Proj. FP DS $/Pt FD $/Pt DD $/Pt DJ $/Pt SS $/Pt DK $/Pt
Dwyane Wade 27.18 $648.82 $327.45 $594.19 $6,254.60 $547.24 $301.69
Rajon Rondo 37.14 $449.31 $223.51 $383.74 $3,877.74 $359.98 $218.12
Kobe Bryant 30.09 $531.05 $282.51 $533.44 $5,749.90 $502.17 $299.13
Kyrie Irving 34.36 $451.37 $215.37 $407.45 $4,598.37 $406.58 $267.75
Steve Nash 21.27 $649.21 $291.52 $592.45 $5,830.49 $538.52 $315.03
Trevor Ariza 20.01 $572.29 $294.82 $602.12 $5,546.53 $493.19 $294.82
O.J. Mayo 17.96 $589.53 $306.32 $618.21 $6,126.43 #N/A $328.60
Alonzo Gee 13.90 $754.24 $410.07 $769.78 $5,323.74 $323.74 $417.27
Darren Collison 17.29 $603.50 $295.01 $578.45 $5,958.06 $534.43 $341.29
Jason Terry 16.50 $611.82 $363.64 $615.15 $5,636.36 $453.94 $290.91
Jordan Crawford 18.48 $543.16 $330.04 $462.60 $3,787.37 $331.94 $335.45
Mario Chalmers 15.76 $585.09 $368.02 $536.17 $4,124.37 $363.32 $272.84
Courtney Lee 18.58 $476.34 $323.01 $460.30 $3,553.16 $313.11 $236.88
Ray Allen 12.00 $704.92 $466.67 $762.50 $6,333.33 $551.67 $358.33
Rodrigue Beaubois 15.82 $527.14 $316.11 $452.03 $3,477.16 $307.19 $278.17
Delonte West 15.78 $527.69 $329.53 $453.11 $3,485.42 $285.17 $190.11
Bradley Beal 18.60 $439.30 #N/A $435.48 $4,408.60 $384.25 $311.83
Vince Carter 16.20 $482.53 $345.68 $469.14 $3,765.43 $360.43 $203.70
C.J. Miles 17.30 $406.65 $283.24 $369.94 $3,179.19 #N/A $335.26
Leandro Barbosa 7.00 $992.71 #N/A $542.86 #N/A #N/A $614.29
Daniel Gibson 13.49 $513.83 $259.55 $548.76 $4,078.61 $333.70 $237.30
Dion Waiters 19.30 $347.46 $269.43 $341.97 $4,300.52 $378.19 $259.07
Donald Sloan 10.91 $600.64 $421.82 $586.89 $5,043.56 $412.65 $275.10
Martell Webster 6.00 $1,039.50 $833.33 $1,016.67 #N/A $750.00 $500.00
Jodie Meeks 8.00 $737.88 $500.00 $812.50 $6,875.00 $598.38 $375.00
Norris Cole 10.46 $541.33 $344.25 $564.19 $5,259.38 $430.31 $286.88
Steve Blake 11.02 $488.82 $417.33 $421.86 $4,989.79 $408.26 $272.17
Shane Battier 11.07 $485.71 $451.57 $465.12 $6,141.34 $547.66 $270.94
Cartier Martin 14.00 $377.35 $342.92 $271.48 #N/A $321.49 $214.32
Chris Douglas-Roberts 0.00 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #N/A #N/A #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
A.J. Price 15.20 $327.24 $250.00 $634.87 $3,618.42 #N/A $197.37
Chris Duhon 9.22 $524.04 $422.88 $466.25 #N/A $487.94 $325.29
Mike Miller 3.00 $1,498.33 $1,433.33 $1,183.33 #N/A $1,500.00 $1,000.00
Dahntay Jones 9.77 $432.36 $399.39 $430.11 $5,632.36 $460.83 $307.22
Dominique Jones 5.00 $635.20 $780.00 $600.00 #N/A $900.00 $600.00
James Jones 5.00 $507.00 $720.00 $600.00 #N/A $900.00 $600.00

Centers $/Fantasy Point

NAME Proj. FP DS $/Pt FD $/Pt DD $/Pt DJ $/Pt SS $/Pt DK $/Pt
Dwight Howard 36.08 $534.95 $249.45 $489.19 $5,044.35 $450.06 $282.71
Kevin Garnett 26.57 $558.17 $297.30 $492.99 $5,230.97 $469.85 $267.19
Chris Bosh 29.24 $496.63 $242.86 $458.35 $4,857.19 $431.43 $236.02
Anderson Varejao 29.94 $469.15 $227.16 $410.89 $3,407.38 $309.10 $233.84
Chris Kaman 23.76 $503.60 $298.88 $429.38 $5,262.05 $468.11 $298.88
Emeka Okafor 20.87 $513.70 $287.49 $452.80 $4,216.58 $376.71 $292.29
Jordan Hill 11.00 $621.18 $427.27 $577.27 $5,000.00 $447.27 $345.45
Tyler Zeller 13.00 $489.46 $376.92 $423.08 $4,230.77 $346.15 $300.00
Darko Milicic 12.20 $502.54 $368.85 $245.90 #N/A #N/A $245.90
Joel Anthony 10.20 $542.16 $411.76 $568.63 $5,392.16 $441.18 $294.12
Fab Melo 0.00 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0!

GOOD LUCK ON OPENING NIGHT GRINDERS. VIVA LA NBA

About the Author

Comments

  • Cameron

    RG Co-Founder

    • 2014 FanDuel NFL Survivor Champion

    • 2016 RG Season Long Champion: NFL

    boom store! excellent info, sir

  • agendaman

    /

    WOW ethan gotta go back and edit some lineups now would ask this al jeffrson or lamarcus aldridge tx

  • FantasyJones

    I must have missed part 4? This is good stuff, anyone got a link.

  • jaymanj2

    Good info man keep it coming!

  • naapstermaan

    Panda Grinder

    • 2014 DraftKings FBWC Finalist

    • x2

      2012 FanDuel WFFC Finalist

    “20/20 night for D-12 to open up his Magic career”

    wow, the Magic really can’t let this guy go. lol :)

  • Ethan

    DraftKings Rep

    damn naap, you’re always finding my slips!

    @agendaman I assume you’re talking about the 2nd night. Al Jeff over Lamarcus Aldridge

    @fantasyjones my bad this is part 4, renamed it now. couldve sworn i had a part 4 up already

  • Ethan

    DraftKings Rep

    ill have to make up for that by making another part 5 i suppose

  • JHols1nger

    Great job, im starting to catch the fever.

  • meandterry

    Sensational! Great job.

  • csuram88

    • 147

      RG Overall Ranking

    • Ranked #99

      RG Tiered Ranking

    • x7

      2014 DraftKings FFWC Finalist

    • 2014 DraftKings FBWC Champion

    Easily one of the best articles I have read on RG. This type of info and analysis should help any Grinder opening night. Make sure opening night lineups include King James/Dwight/Rondo.

  • Ethan

    DraftKings Rep

    I’m thinkin about posting some lineups for each of these sites. Went through last night after publishing and there are definitely some good teams that can be built. A week into the season you won’t be able to sneak play starters who are dirt cheap out there anymore

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