Tuttle's Take: Week 4
Having qualified for countless live finals, Dan Gaspar (MrTuttle05) knows what it takes to win in DFS. In this space each week, he’ll guide you through the lineup building process for both cash games and tournaments by going in-depth and giving out his “Tuttle’s Take” for every game on the schedule.
Week 4
Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots (-7) 48
News and Notes:
- Miami Dolphins target totals (market share air yards) through three weeks: Jakeem Grant 14 (21.4%), Danny Amendola 13 (14.9%), Kenny Stills 13
(30.2%), Kenyan Drake 12 (-0.6%), Albert Wilson 11 (12.4%), Mike Gesicki 5 (5.9%) - Gesicki’s snap-rate through three weeks 33.9% → 55% → 63.6%
- New England Patriots target totals (market share air yards) through three weeks: Phillip Dorsett 19 (31.1%), James White 17 (8.9%), Rob Gronkowski 17
(26.8%), Chris Hogan 14 (16.8%), James Develin 6 (2.1%), Rex Burkhead 6 (3.9%), Sony Michel 5 (1.6%), Cordarrelle Patterson 5 (2.7%) - Rex Burkhead placed on IR
Tuttle’s Take:
The biggest DFS impact in this game is the announcement that Rex Burkhead was placed on IR with a neck injury. Bill Belichick already looked determined to get first-round pick Sony Michel involved in the offense in Week 3 as Michel carried the ball 14 times in a negative game script. Michel was also targeted three times, although James White remains the obvious pass catching back. The Patriots are 7.5-point home favorites with a 27.5 implied team total and Michel is only $4,500 on DraftKings and $5,900 on FanDuel. I won’t go as far as saying Michel is a “lock” but you can still consider him a core play, even though I still have him ranked behind both Alvin Kamara and Giovani Bernard.
Our Premium content can help you make better picks every day
- To read this full article for this week’s NFL games, you need to have a subscription to RG Premium.
- A Premium subscription will allow you to access this article, as well as Consensus Value Rankings, daily picks from top-ranked players, and much more.
- If you have already used your free trial, you can purchase a weekly pass to quickly gain access to Premium Content!