Daily Batter Breakdown: Wednesday, July 29th
Welcome to the Daily Batter Breakdown. Whenever there are at least eight games on the night slate, I’ll break down some of the best top tier hitters to target based on matchup.
The biggest split taken into account will be left/right, but each player card will also show park factors, player salaries on FanDuel and DraftKings among other sites, and then a description of why I’ll be targeting him.
 | Brian McCann | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.226 | 0.693 | 4.59% | 0.304 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | 0.176 | 0.51 | 0.00% | 0.235 | |||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Lewis – RIGHT | 0.292 | 0.809 | 2.51% | 0.350 | |||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 1.085 | 0.000 | $3,000 | $8,000 | $3,900 | $67,300 | ||
Brian McCann
There are two teams to target in the night games here in my eyes, the Yankees and the Jays. The Yankees are on absolute fire right now, and with McCann’s price as cheap as it is, I would love to roster him. While he is not the player he was four years ago, he still has a career .355 wOBA against right-handed pitching and is facing Colby Lewis tonight in a hitter’s park. McCann has not been able to do much lately, but he should be popular tonight.
Editor’s Note: Edwin Encarnacion has been scratched from tonight’s lineup with a jammed finger.
 | Edwin Encarnacion | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.253 | 0.860 | 7.04% | 0.371 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | 0.273 | 0.883 | 4.55% | 0.382 | |||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Williams – RIGHT | 0.295 | 0.000 | 0.362 | ||||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 0.948 | 0.000 | $4,600 | $9,800 | $4,400 | $73,900 | ||
Edwin Encarnacion
The Jays did not have a good night last night and they are against a righty tonight, so there may be some ownership shifts to the team who scored 21 runs last night in the Yankees. That would be a mistake though, as some of the Jays best hitters, like Encarnacion, crush right-handed pitching. He is against Jerome Williams, who has allowed righties to hit at a .405 wOBA this year, and is in one of the most homer-friendly parks in the majors. Plus, Encarnacion has hit 17 of his 19 home runs this year against right-handed pitching.
 | Ryan Goins | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.209 | 0.533 | 0.67% | 0.237 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | |||||||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Williams – RIGHT | 0.295 | 0.787 | 2.15% | 0.348 | |||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 0.948 | 0.000 | $2,200 | $5,000 | $2,200 | $35,000 | ||
Ryan Goins
Not only is Williams bad against righties, he is also bad against lefties. His .349 wOBA allowed is a mask for his 5.48 xFIP, and with the Jays having the highest team total on the board, he seems like a good min-salary play so that we can grab Kershaw. I like Goins because of his price, not necessarily because of his batting ability, which is not great; he has never really posted a solid number throughout this career. He will be hitting low in the lineup, but if he gets on, he will have the bulk of the lineup to drive him in.
 | Chase Headley | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.255 | 0.704 | 2.53% | 0.315 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | 0.423 | 1.061 | 3.85% | 0.447 | |||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Lewis – RIGHT | 0.292 | 0.809 | 2.51% | 0.350 | |||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 1.085 | 0.000 | $2,900 | $8,600 | $3,800 | $65,000 | ||
Chase Headley
Chase Headley is on fire right now and is connecting with everything. With the way the Yankees are hitting, and at this price, Headley should definitely be considered in all formats. Lewis has been good this year, but he allows a .356 wOBA to left-handed hitters. Hitting right handed is Headley’s strength, but he should be able to get a few knocks against a guy pitching above his ability with that 4.95 xFIP.
 | Xander Bogaerts | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.305 | 0.815 | 2.47% | 0.357 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | 0.344 | 0.719 | 0.00% | 0.315 | |||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Quintana – LEFT | 0.267 | 0.702 | 1.56% | 0.309 | |||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 1.107 | 0.000 | $2,900 | $7,100 | $3,400 | $61,100 | ||
Xander Bogaerts
Bogaerts remains extremely cheap for some reason, on every site. He has a .390 wOBA against lefties this year, and even though Quintana is a solid pitcher, I will go with a guy hitting at the top of the lineup and hitting the ball consistently. Bogaerts is one of the top SS options out there right now, and he will not come at a premium price either.
 | Conor Gillaspie | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.281 | 0.758 | 1.69% | 0.331 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | |||||||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Porcello – RIGHT | 0.271 | 0.759 | 2.95% | 0.331 | |||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 1.107 | 0.000 | $2,300 | $5,000 | $2,600 | $35,000 | ||
Conor Gillaspie
Gillaspie seems to enjoy his new surroundings with the Angels, hitting second last night and being productive over the last three games. I will take a chance on him tonight, as he had a .354 wOBA last year against right-handers and is showing some of that hitting ability with a new team. McCullers has been lights out against lefties this year, but for a guy who is min salary and possibly living up to his potential with a new team, I will take a shot or two with Gillaspie.
 | Jacoby Ellsbury | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.273 | 0.729 | 2.47% | 0.321 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | 0.222 | 0.651 | 3.70% | 0.264 | |||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Lewis – RIGHT | 0.292 | 0.809 | 2.51% | 0.350 | |||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 1.085 | 0.000 | $3,700 | $8,400 | $4,400 | $61,600 | ||
Jacoby Ellsbury
Ellsbury and Gardner are both solid plays tonight against Lewis, who is due for a nice regression soon. I have been surprised at how good he has been, but when he is bad, he is terrible, as shown by the 10 ER game that he gave up to the Angels earlier in the month. The thing that is great about Lewis is that when he is struggling, the Rangers will leave him in, giving the lefties time to rack up hits against him. Ellsbury does not have great numbers this year but has a power/speed combo and definite upside in this spot.
 | Kevin Pillar | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.266 | 0.690 | 1.72% | 0.302 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | 0.261 | 0.624 | 0.00% | 0.283 | |||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Williams – RIGHT | 0.295 | 0.000 | 0.362 | ||||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 0.948 | 0.000 | $2,500 | $6,150 | $3,700 | $59,500 | ||
Kevin Pillar
Pillar is another one of the Jays guys that is super cheap. He has struggled a bit lately but does have a .129 ISO and five homers against righties this year. Mainly, I am targeting Jerome Williams, whose .409 wOBA against righties is so miserable that I feel like grabbing the lower portion of the Jays lineup, as it still allows you the hitting upside while being able to grab Kershaw and some other solid bats.
 | Adam Eaton | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.286 | 0.782 | 1.46% | 0.344 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | 0.348 | 1.135 | 4.35% | 0.478 | |||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Porcello – RIGHT | 0.271 | 0.759 | 2.95% | 0.331 | |||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 1.107 | 0.000 | $3,700 | $9,000 | $4,000 | $72,600 | ||
Adam Eaton
The White Sox are coming alive? It sure seems that way, and Eaton has been a huge part of it. He has been extremely productive fantasy wise in the last few weeks and gets to lead off against Porcello in Fenway, which should also be a boon to his fantasy ability. Eaton’s .349 wOBA against righties is rising and Porcello has continually been a guy to attack with left-handed batters, as he has not been great at all for the Red Sox this year. I am going to jump on this train while the pricing is still affordable.
 | Justin Bour | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.273 | 0.801 | 4.49% | 0.348 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | 0.211 | 0.474 | 0.00% | 0.206 | |||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Fister – RIGHT | 0.252 | 0.689 | 2.66% | 0.303 | |||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 0.957 | 0.000 | $2,400 | $5,050 | $2,800 | $51,700 | ||
Justin Bour
Fister has not been good lately, and while his weakness has been RHP, I do like Bour against him tonight. Bour is super cheap if you do not want to go Teixeira or Encarnacion at first base, and he gives you a .358 wOBA with a 128 wRC+ against righties. Fister has relied on a lot of luck against lefties, only allowing a .236 BABIP, but his xFIP indicates a regression with that 5.11 mark. Even with no Stanton, I think Bour should do some damage tonight.