Fantasy Football Millionaire Review: Week 6
The Millionaire review series will provide the reader with a breakdown of the exposures of “top of the leaderboard” players, the top single-entry lineup, and a comparison between all single entry lineups and professionals for the weekly DraftKings Millionaire Maker GPP.
This week, we looked at the $4.44M Fantasy Football Millionaire [$1M to 1st!] on DraftKings with a buy-in of $20 and maximum entry limit of 150 lineups per person.
Multi-Entry Grinders of the Game
Headchopper led the way at the quarterback position with a berth of mobile passers, mostly naked. With a high floor from their rushing potential and high ceiling, they were complimented well by their low ownership. He followed them up with a number of chalk RB, WR, and TE, but a number of names stuck out at higher than average ownership that made the difference (Lamar Miller at 43.3%, Golden Tate at 23.3%, Brandin Cooks at 23.3%, and Rob Gronkowski at 16.7%). He landed a 56.7% cash rate and a 254th place finish on just 30 lineups.
Ryazan2000 played fairly chalk at all positions, but supplemented them with a few low ownership plays based on great match-ups. Marcus Mariota was playing against Cleveland at home and had just broken out of a slump the previous week. Brandon LaFell, who showed he could produce on 11 targets last week, was certain to see some important looks with Belichick scheming to take away A.J. Green. Tavon Austin had been seeing a copious amount of targets through the beginning of the year and even took a few handoffs in the backfield; against a leaky Detroit team who would put up points at home, Tavon was the playmaker the LA Rams would ideally look towards (he also avoided Slay coverage by running a majority of his routes out of the slot). Staying close to some chalk while being able to make outside of the box plays and being able to fade a Le’veon Bell (just 24.4% ownership) can go a long ways to leveraging yourself above the field and the pros.
At first look at youdacao’s ownership, you may have thought it was just a breakdown of the field. However, what you miss at first glance is how his ownership percentages match up against the field. While many of the plays are chalk, he’s either overweight on a chalk play or underweight (or complete fade). It just so happens that the pro’s tend to be able to sniff out the correct chalk plays better than most (or they wouldn’t be professional for too long). He was almost dead on with his quarterbacks, over-owning Cam Newton, Drew Brees, Matthew Stafford, and Eli Manning, while almost completely fading Ben Roethlisberger and unfortunately Marcus Mariota. With 150 lineups, youdacao cashed on an impressive 62% of lineups while landing a 65th and 67th place finish.
Single-Entry Winner of the Game
As Mallen21 absolutely malled the top-10 places, we had to drop down to mrva2u at #15 to find our top single-entry lineup. Mrva2u started offed with an all too familiar Brees to Cooks connection at home and followed it up with the Lesean McCoy & Lamar Miller combo against paper-thin defenses. He got more unique with Cole Beasley and Terrelle Pryor. Cole had been a cash game staple but couldn’t find his way to paydirt while Terelle Pryor hadn’t been the sexy name since week 3 but was still seeing a large amount of targets, albeit from Cody Kessler. With Jamaal Charles being ‘sprinkled’ in and a majority of people overreacting to his availability, Spencer Ware went overlooked as he still saw a majority of carries. Some last minute salary savings in Lance Kendricks didn’t end up too shabby (14.4 points) as the Rams needed to match point for point a decent Detroit offense at home.
Single-Entry vs. headchopper/ryazan2000/youdacao
Out of 253,816 entries in the Fantasy Football Millionaire, 29.2% of those entries were entered courtesy of players using a single bullet. The table below compares the exposures of those single entries to the exposures of headchopper, ryazan2000, youdacao, and 80 other top professionals picked off of RotoGrinders’ leaderboard:
