MLB Daily Grind Down April 26th
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit.
While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries. The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
Tonights big night in the industry so I took extra time to really break down every game tonight. The red hot Nelson Cruz gets my nod as the play of the day. It should be an action packed evening. Best of luck to everyone.
Toronto at NY Yankees
| Toronto | NY Yankees | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankee Stadium | 7:05 PM | ||||||
| Josh Johnson (0-1 REC, 6.86 ERA, 6.0 Avg IP) | Ivan Nova (1-1 REC, 6.14 ERA, 5.2 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 15-58 (0.259) H/AB, 0.828 OPS, 2 HR, 12 Ks | PvB | 34-110 (0.309) H/AB, 1 OPS, 6 HR, 25 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 1.1 IP, 40.5 ERA, 0.7 BAA, 6.8 K/9 | HOME | 5 IP, 3.6 ERA, 0.35 BAA, 10.8 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
TOR BvP  | TOR vs R | NYY BvP | NYY vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9
- Favored NYY -115
Pitchers
- Home Ivan Nova has not been good on the year and he makes a start at home today where he was a plus 6.00 pitcher a year ago. He draws a TOR team batting .213 on the road, .225 vs. right-handers and .206 over the last 7 days. However, the BvPs strongly favor them and the OU is high. Avoid
- Away Aaron Laffey gets the call today for Josh Johnson. The one thing he has working for him is he is a left-hander and the Yankees have only hit lefties for a .208 average so far this year but he most likely is not going to make it 5 IP and the high OU gives me the impression that he should get crushed.
Batters
- Home Robinson Cano has been the hottest 2B in baseball producing 27.25 fp over the last 7. He does not hit lefties well but this is not David Price we are talking about today. Vernon Wells is on a nice little tear also and he gains favorable splits. Lyle Overbay and Ichiro Suzuki ‘s numbers BvPs are nice also.
- Away J.P. Arencibia has been the hottest catcher in baseball posting 26.5 fp over the last week. Jose Bautista and Edwin Encarnacion have had solid weeks as well. Bautista is 4-10 vs. Nova with 1 HR. Encarnacion is 6-18 vs. him. Melky Cabrera is 5-8 with 2 HRs.
Atlanta at Detroit
| Atlanta | Detroit | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comerica Park | 7:05 PM | ||||||
| Paul Maholm (3-1 REC, 1.03 ERA, 6.0 Avg IP) | Anibal Sanchez (2-1 REC, 1.75 ERA, 6.0 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 19-104 (0.183) H/AB, 0.529 OPS, 1 HR, 26 Ks | PvB | 40-133 (0.301) H/AB, 0.88 OPS, 4 HR, 35 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 20.2 IP, 1.31 ERA, 0.132 BAA, 8.3 K/9 | HOME | 7 IP, 2.57 ERA, 0.192 BAA, 10.3 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| ATL BvP | ATL vs R | DET BvP | DET vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favorite DET -137
Pitchers
- Home Anibal Sanchez gets the call as the huge favorite. If he keeps pitching the way he has then you will have to say that DET is headed to the Fall classic. The BvP data does not favor him today and he draws a tough matchup on the hill.
- Away Paul Maholm has been pitching at an extremely high level. He has everything you want in a pitcher for daily fantasy. He takes the hill as a huge dog against a DET team batting over .300 at home. There is no BvP data but the young guy certainly has GPP winning upside if you have the stones to play him on the road.
batters
- Home After a hot start DET has cooled of a little lately. Only Miguel cabrera is producing consistent fantasy points and he has great splits today. I would lay off the cold prince fielder who has a bad matchup today. DET at home is batting over .300 on the season so they should score some runs.
- Away It has turned into a one man show in ATL staring Justin Upton. He is the only Brave that has produced more than 15 fp over the last 7 days. ATL as a team is slumping and I am not sure I trust any of them versus Sanchez at home. Justin Upton, B.J. Upton, Freddie Freeman, and Jason Heyward all have really nice BvPs versus Sanchez.
Cincinnati at Washington
| Cincinnati | Washington | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals Park | 7:05 PM | ||||||
| Homer Bailey (1-1 REC, 3.24 ERA, 5.2 Avg IP) | Jordan Zimmermann (3-1 REC, 2.67 ERA, 5.2 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 6-44 (0.136) H/AB, 0.5 OPS, 1 HR, 11 Ks | PvB | 20-63 (0.317) H/AB, 0.857 OPS, 3 HR, 13 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 5 IP, 12.6 ERA, 0.391 BAA, 3.6 K/9 | HOME | 13 IP, 2.08 ERA, 0.294 BAA, 3.5 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| CIN BvP | CIN vs R | WSN BvP | WSN vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7
- Favored WAS -130
Pitchers
- Home In his 2 starts at home this year, Jordan Zimmerman has gone 13 IP with 3 ER and 5 Ks. He has only 15 Ks on the season, less than 4 a start. He is pitching hot and runs into a CIN team batting .221 on the road, .242 versus right-handers, and .234 over the last 7 days. The lack of Ks limits his usefulness in a single pitcher format but he seems in line to win a low scoring game today.
- Away Homer Bailey one start on the road went horrible against the Cardinals. He was stellar in his other 3 at home. He was a great road pitcher a year ago with a 2.32 ERA. He draws a WAS team batting .242 at home, .239 versus right-handed pitching and only .196 over the last seven days. I like his K/9 ratio so far this year so I think he is a sneaky good GPP play today. Target
Batters
- Home Bryce Harper has been the only person producing for WAS. He has 31. 5 fp over the last week. The next person closes to him is Ian Desmond with 13.75 fp. The BvP data does not favor them either so I would not look to deep into WAS past Bryce.
- Away Joey Votto and Shin Choo-Choo have been hot over the past week producing a combined 56.25 fp. They draw another righty today whom Votto is 4-8 vs. with 1 HR. Both are in play. Todd Frazier and Ryan Hanigan both also have encouraging BvPs today. Brandon Phillips has produced only 5.8 fp over the past week and should probably be avoided.
Houston at Boston
| Houston | Boston | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenway Park | 7:10 PM | ||||||
| Erik Bedard (0-1 REC, 6.17 ERA, 5.1 Avg IP) | Ryan Dempster (0-2 REC, 3.38 ERA, 6.0 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 15-99 (0.152) H/AB, 0.616 OPS, 4 HR, 28 Ks | PvB | 14-57 (0.246) H/AB, 0.632 OPS, 0 HR, 13 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 4.1 IP, 12.46 ERA, 0.188 BAA, 8.3 K/9 | HOME | 12 IP, 1.5 ERA, 0.122 BAA, 12.8 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| HOU BvP | HOU vs R | BOS BvP | BOS vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9
- Favored BOS -260
Pitchers
- Home Ryan Dempster has 33 Ks on the year and is a beast at home. The Astros have 218 Ks on the season. They are batting .278 on the road, .249 vs. right-handers and .265 on the season but he could give up 3 runs and still be the play of the day with 11 Ks. Only thing you have to worry about is overlay. Target
- Away Erik Bedard has yet to make it 5 IP in any of his first 4 starts. That alone makes him unplayable. The splits and BvPs are in his favor but he pitching so poorly you can throw all the numbers out the window. Avoid
Batters
- Home Bedard is holding lefties to a .188 BAA and BOS has hit left-handers for only a .211 average. Something to consider but I do not expect for him to be in the game too long. Mike Napoli has been the hottest 1B in baseball producing 33 fp and he gets the added bonus of nice splits today. Dustin Pedroia gets the righty/lefty matchup and is also producing over the last 7.
- Away Brandon Laird if he is cheap has produced 18 fp over the last week….If you want to get cute.
Philadelphia at NY Mets
| Philadelphia | NY Mets | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citi Field | 7:10 PM | ||||||
| Kyle Kendrick (1-1 REC, 3.28 ERA, 5.1 Avg IP) | Dillon Gee (1-3 REC, 5.95 ERA, 6.0 Avg IP) | ||||||
| PvB | 32-130 (0.246) H/AB, 0.746 OPS, 5 HR, 15 Ks | PvB | 28-70 (0.4) H/AB, 1.229 OPS, 7 HR, 8 Ks | ||||
| ROAD | 7 IP, 0 ERA, 0.091 BAA, 5.1 K/9 | HOME | 6.1 IP, 1.42 ERA, 0.15 BAA, 5.7 K/9 | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| PHI BvP | PHI vs R | NYM BvP | NYM vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored NYM -115
Pitchers
- Home Dillon Gee two starts on the road have been bad but in his two starts at home he has gone for 12 IP with 1 ER, 6 Hs, and 10 Ks which makes him playable. His last start was at home and he looked sharp. He gets a PHI team batting .223 on the road, .261 vs. Right-handers, and .271 over the last 7 days. He is only a slight favorite and the BvPs favor PHI.
- Away Kyle Kendrick one start on the road was near perfect and he was a point lower better pitcher on the road a year ago also. He has been pretty sharp so far this season and draws a NYM team batting .230 at home, .251 vs. right-handers, and .207 over the last 7 days. He is in play today versus a cold NYM team
Batters
- Home David wright is 11-34 versus Kyle with 2 Hrs. He has been hot this week as has Lucas Duda and Ike Davis who draw the lefty/righty split.
- Away Michael young is 4-5 vs. Gee with 2 HRs. Ryan Howard is 3-9 with 3 HRs and even John Mayberry jr. is 4-11 with 2 HRs versus Gee. PHI sports a .400 BAA versus him today.