MLB Daily Grind Down May 19th
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit.
While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries. The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time. (any fp listed uses Fanduel’s scoring system)
Seattle at Cleveland
| Seattle | Cleveland | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progressive Field | 1:05 PM | ||||||
| Felix Hernandez – (5-2), 1.53 ERA, 8.97 K/9, 0.93 WHIP | Justin Masterson – (6-2), 3.14 ERA, 8.57 K/9, 1.17 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (43-154 H/AB) 0.279 BA-A, 20.78 K%, 0.805 OPS-A | PvB | (15-88 H/AB) 0.17 BA-A, 21.59 K%, 0.523 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (2-2), 3.51 ERA, 3 HRA, 8.9 K/9, 1.05 WHIP | HOME | (2-2), 2.63 ERA, 5 HRA, 8.2 K/9, 0.988 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
SEA BvP  | SEA vs R | CLE BvP | CLE vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7
- Favored CLE -110
Pitchers
- Home Justin Masterson has been throwing extremely well on the year. His ERA is a point better then his career average on the year and his K/9 and WHIP are significantly better as well. This makes you wonder if these are sustainable numbers or are the product of a player who started off the season hot? Either way, he catches a SEA team that is not known for its offense. SEA has come to life as of late. They are batting .230 on the road, .238 versus right-handers, and .271 over the last 7 days with 13 HRs. SEA is too hot and his opponent on the hill is too good for me to sat to target but he is the favorite in a game with an OU of 7. In Play
- Away It is not that Felix Hernandez is a bad road pitcher. In fact, his numbers on the road are well above average. He is just a really good pitcher at home. King Felix has been near perfect in every start so far this year and his ERA sets at a dominant 1.53 with a 0.93 WHIP. CLE is batting .257 at home, .256 versus right-handers, and .252 over the last 7 days. In Play
Batters
- Home If you are playing the fade then Nick Swisher has 4 HRs in 48 Ab versus Felix. Mark Reynolds, Jason Kipnis, Drew Stubbs and Jason, Giambi all have positive BvPS. Kipnis is super hot producing 41.25 fp over the last 7 days.
- Away SEA has a .170 BAA vs. Masterson. Raul Ibanez has been hot but I am looking elsewhere for my offense.
Toronto at NY Yankees
| Toronto | NY Yankees | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankee Stadium | 1:05 PM | ||||||
| R.A. Dickey – (3-5), 4.83 ERA, 8 K/9, 1.35 WHIP | CC Sabathia – (4-3), 3.19 ERA, 8.22 K/9, 1.28 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (40-169 H/AB) 0.237 BA-A, 17.16 K%, 0.663 OPS-A | PvB | (52-225 H/AB) 0.231 BA-A, 20 K%, 0.609 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-3), 4.91 ERA, 4 HRA, 7 K/9, 1.545 WHIP | HOME | (2-3), 5.97 ERA, 7 HRA, 9.7 K/9, 1.395 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| TOR BvP | TOR vs L | NYY BvP | NYY vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8
- Favored NYY -130
Pitchers
- Home CC Sabathia at home is one of my favorite plays in daily fantasy. He has not delivered this year like he has in years past but I trust his resume. He gets a very free swinging team today in TOR who has a .231 BAA vs him.. TOR is batting .234 on the road, .244 versus left-handers, and .295 over the last 7 days. Target
- Away R.A. Dickey looked like his old self in his last start. I am not sure I trust him going into NYY but if he can regain his form from a year ago then he certainly has upside. The fact that he struggled early will only mean that he has value. NYY is batting .252 at home, .264 versus right-handers, and .233 over the last 7 days. In Play
Batters
- Home Vernon Wells is 7-16 versus Dickey and has been hot producing 24.5 fp. Robinson Cano is also hot producing 27 fp over the last 7days and is batting .330 versus right-handers. Lyle Overbay is batting .320 versus right-handers and is still cheap.
- Away If you are playing the fade then Edwin Encarnacion, Jose Bautista, and Melky Cabrera have been hot over the last 7 and Adam Lind is 7-15 versus CC.
Arizona at Miami
| Arizona | Miami | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins Park | 1:10 PM | ||||||
| Wade Miley – (3-2), 3.75 ERA, 6.56 K/9, 1.38 WHIP | Ricky Nolasco – (2-5), 4.39 ERA, 6.61 K/9, 1.22 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (1-24 H/AB) 0.042 BA-A, 20.83 K%, 0.167 OPS-A | PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (2-1), 3.38 ERA, 2 HRA, 7.3 K/9, 1.219 WHIP | HOME | (0-0), 8.64 ERA, 2 HRA, 10.8 K/9, 2.16 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| ARI BvP | ARI vs R | MIA BvP | MIA vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored ARI -145
Pitchers
- Home Ricky Nolasco is an below average pitcher who is bad home, His home ERA is 5.25 on the year and if that were not enough, ARI has a .324 BAA vs him. Oh, he plays for the Marlins also. ARI is batting .255 on the road, .264 versus right-handers, and .272 over the last 7 days. Avoid
- Away Wade Miley K/9 totals leave much to be desired but he is facing the Marlins so all of his stats should get a boost. He is a full point better pitcher on the road than he is at home. His K/9 ratio is much higher also on the road. The BvP totals are low but he has held MIA to a .042 BAA. MIA is batting .211 at home, .219 versus left-handers, and .204 over the last 7 days.
Batters
- Home Marcell Ozuna is batting .444 versus left-handers. His salary has jumped now and he is kind of like Jose Altuve. He is good but you cannot count on those around him to produce so why pay for his price?
- Away Miguel Montero is 5-10 with 1 HR versus Nolasco. Martin Prado has a verny line of 14-40. Eric Chavez and Paul Goldshmidt are both super hot. Chavez has 40.5 fp over the last week and Goldshmidt has 33.5 fp. The OU is low and Nolasco’s WHIP is a solid 1.22 so I would not over do it here.
LA Dodgers at Atlanta
| LA Dodgers | Atlanta | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turner Field | 1:35 PM | ||||||
| Matt Magill – (0-0), 6.92 ERA, 7.62 K/9, 1.77 WHIP | Mike Minor – (5-2), 2.75 ERA, 7.26 K/9, 0.97 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | PvB | (14-53 H/AB) 0.264 BA-A, 13.21 K%, 0.83 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-0), 16.2 ERA, 0 HRA, 5.4 K/9, 3 WHIP | HOME | (1-0), 2.16 ERA, 1 HRA, 8.6 K/9, 1.02 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| LAD BvP | LAD vs L | ATL BvP | ATL vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8
- Favored ATL -200
Pitchers
- Home If Mike Minor can go into ARI and hold that team to 1 ER then I have more than enough faith in him today to stop a struggling LAD offense. Minor has been good on the year but he is even better at home where his ERA is a very nice 2.21. LAD is batting .260 on the road, .300 versus left-handers, and .269 over the last 7 days. Target
- Away There are quite a bit of good young pitcher hitting the majors right now. Matt Magill is not one of them. He is young so that means that he is not good. While ATL might not provide the fireworks, they are no slouch either and he is a huge dog that has limited K/9 Ability. ATL is batting .246 at home, .242 versus right-handers, and .234 over the last 7 days.
Batters
- Home Justin Upton has been steady producing 25 fp over the last week. Freddie Freeman gains the splits in his favor and has been ATL best hitter versus right-handers.
- Away A low OU of 8 and a -200 line is kind of a big deal so I do not expect too much from LAD today. A.J. Ellis has good numbers versus Minor but I trust Vegas on this one and am avoiding their hitters today.
Houston at Pittsburgh
| Houston | Pittsburgh | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PNC Park | 1:35 PM | ||||||
| Lucas Harrell – (3-4), 5.11 ERA, 5.32 K/9, 1.78 WHIP | Jeff Locke – (3-1), 3.15 ERA, 5.58 K/9, 1.23 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (12-35 H/AB) 0.343 BA-A, 28.57 K%, 0.971 OPS-A | PvB | (9-28 H/AB) 0.321 BA-A, 28.57 K%, 0.893 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (2-1), 2.41 ERA, 4 HRA, 4.3 K/9, 1.179 WHIP | HOME | (1-1), 5 ERA, 2 HRA, 6 K/9, 1.222 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| HOU BvP | HOU vs L | PIT BvP | PIT vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8.5
- Favored PIT -200
Pitchers
- Home Jeff Locke has a nice ERA and WHIP but does not K that many batters. That is okay, however, because HOU leads the league in strikeouts. Locke is playable again today and even more attractive because he carries a very low price. Target
- Away Lucas Harrell ERA sits over 5 but he has really only had three starts that were not exceptionally good. Two of those starts came against DET. In 9 starts, he has given up more than 2 ER only 3 times and this is a pitcher’s park. If you are looking for a big GPP gamble then he could be your guy. In Play
Batters
- Home Andre McCutchen has been hot producing over 30 fp in the last 7 days. I trust Harrell to pitch well today but he has imploded in the past so everyone on PIT is playable.
- Away Jose Altuve is a great batter but he really kills left-handed pitching. He has a .378 batting average versus left-handers and is in play today if you think he can get some help around him.
