MLB First Look: Saturday, September 2nd (Early)
The MLB First Look, complete with sortable odds, a pitcher breakdown, and team offense rankings, will help you get an early start on the upcoming slate.
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MLB Schedule & Vegas Lines (Early Slate)
| Away | Pitcher | Home | Pitcher | Vegas Line | Run Total | Ballpark | LHB Rating | RHB Rating | Time (ET) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox | Drew Pomeranz – L | at | New York Yankees | Masahiro Tanaka – R | NYY-135 | 8.5 | Yankee Stadium | 99 | 100 | 1:05 PM |
| New York Mets | Matt Harvey – R | at | Houston Astros | Charlie Morton – R | HOU-215 | 9.0 | Minute Maid Park | 84 | 82 | 2:10 PM |
| Atlanta Braves | Lucas Sims – R | at | Chicago Cubs | Jon Lester – L | CHC-240 | TBD | Wrigley Field | 79 | 88 | 2:20 PM |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | Brock Stewart – R | at | San Diego Padres | Clayton Richard – L | LAD-134 | 9.0 | Petco Park | 77 | 86 | 3:40 PM |
| St. Louis Cardinals | Lance Lynn – R | at | San Francisco Giants | Chris Stratton – R | STL-120 | 8.5 | AT&T Park | 70 | 79 | 4:05 PM |
| Cleveland Indians | Corey Kluber – R | at | Detroit Tigers | Jordan Zimmermann – R | CLE-250 | 8.5 | Comerica Park | 93 | 91 | 6:10 PM |
Starting Pitchers (Early Slate)
| Pitcher | Team | Matchup | Opp. K% | Line | FD | DK | FDRFT | SIERA | ERA | K% | BB% | SS% | GB% | HC% | HR/FB | Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Kluber | CLE | at DET | 22.2% | -250 | $11,300 | $13,200 | N/A | 2.67 | 2.63 | 34.9% | 5.4% | 15.8% | 46.0% | 30.5% | 14.5% | 6:10 PM |
| Masahiro Tanaka | NYY | BOS | 19.4% | -135 | $9,300 | $9,500 | N/A | 3.61 | 4.69 | 24.8% | 5.5% | 14.6% | 48.6% | 31.6% | 20.9% | 1:05 PM |
| Jon Lester | CHC | ATL | 18.5% | -240 | $9,200 | $11,800 | N/A | 3.85 | 4.37 | 24.9% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 47.1% | 26.8% | 15.0% | 2:20 PM |
| Drew Pomeranz | BOS | at NYY | 23.5% | 135 | $8,500 | $8,300 | N/A | 4.19 | 3.23 | 24.5% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 42.6% | 31.5% | 11.4% | 1:05 PM |
| Charlie Morton | HOU | NYM | 19.8% | -215 | $8,500 | $9,100 | $17,700 | 3.84 | 3.88 | 25.9% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 50.6% | 29.1% | 13.2% | 2:10 PM |
| Lance Lynn | STL | at SF | 19.4% | -120 | $7,800 | $7,700 | N/A | 4.68 | 3.14 | 20.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 43.9% | 30.9% | 14.8% | 4:05 PM |
| Chris Stratton | SF | STL | 21.7% | 120 | $7,300 | $7,400 | N/A | 4.92 | 3.82 | 20.3% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 44.9% | 27.5% | 6.7% | 4:05 PM |
| Matt Harvey | NYM | at HOU | 17.5% | 215 | $7,100 | $5,100 | $10,000 | 5.24 | 5.25 | 17.4% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 45.3% | 34.9% | 22.2% | 2:10 PM |
| Clayton Richard | SD | LAD | 22.2% | 134 | $6,900 | $5,700 | $11,200 | 4.07 | 4.96 | 17.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 59.4% | 33.7% | 20.6% | 3:40 PM |
| Lucas Sims | ATL | at CHC | 22.3% | 240 | $6,300 | $5,600 | N/A | 5.08 | 4.41 | 14.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 36.9% | 32.5% | 11.6% | 2:20 PM |
| Jordan Zimmermann | DET | CLE | 19.7% | 250 | $5,600 | $4,900 | N/A | 5.25 | 6.08 | 14.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 32.6% | 39.3% | 13.7% | 6:10 PM |
| Brock Stewart | LAD | at SD | 25.2% | -134 | $5,500 | $5,800 | $11,600 | 5.17 | 3.38 | 16.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 38.6% | 23.6% | 10.0% | 3:40 PM |
Note: All statistics in the pitching table are from the 2017 season.
Offenses (Early Slate)
| Offense | IRT | RPG | +/- | Opp. Pitcher | L/R | P vs. LHB | P vs. RHB | T-wOBA | T-ISO | Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs | TBD | 4.98 | TBD | Lucas Sims | RIGHT | 0.346 | 0.358 | 0.327 | 0.192 | 2:20 PM |
| Atlanta Braves | TBD | 4.57 | TBD | Jon Lester | LEFT | 0.229 | 0.301 | 0.331 | 0.164 | 2:20 PM |
| Houston Astros | 5.16 | 5.59 | -0.43 | Matt Harvey | RIGHT | 0.370 | 0.311 | 0.356 | 0.206 | 2:10 PM |
| Cleveland Indians | 5.11 | 4.91 | 0.20 | Jordan Zimmermann | RIGHT | 0.353 | 0.366 | 0.330 | 0.188 | 6:10 PM |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 4.70 | 5.00 | -0.30 | Clayton Richard | LEFT | 0.314 | 0.366 | 0.346 | 0.203 | 3:40 PM |
| New York Yankees | 4.46 | 5.24 | -0.78 | Drew Pomeranz | LEFT | 0.326 | 0.285 | 0.309 | 0.159 | 1:05 PM |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 4.37 | 4.70 | -0.33 | Chris Stratton | RIGHT | 0.361 | 0.267 | 0.329 | 0.165 | 4:05 PM |
| San Diego Padres | 4.30 | 3.83 | 0.47 | Brock Stewart | RIGHT | 0.327 | 0.342 | 0.304 | 0.170 | 3:40 PM |
| San Francisco Giants | 4.13 | 3.97 | 0.16 | Lance Lynn | RIGHT | 0.347 | 0.248 | 0.297 | 0.133 | 4:05 PM |
| Boston Red Sox | 4.04 | 4.80 | -0.76 | Masahiro Tanaka | RIGHT | 0.298 | 0.305 | 0.318 | 0.152 | 1:05 PM |
| New York Mets | 3.84 | 4.61 | -0.78 | Charlie Morton | RIGHT | 0.253 | 0.345 | 0.323 | 0.190 | 2:10 PM |
| Detroit Tigers | 3.39 | 4.77 | -1.38 | Corey Kluber | RIGHT | 0.274 | 0.254 | 0.314 | 0.154 | 6:10 PM |
Note: All statistics in the team offense table are from the 2017, season with the exception of the pitcher splits by handedness. They are from the last two seasons combined.
First Look Legend
| Term | Description |
|---|---|
| LHB Rating | The ballpark rating for left-handed hitters |
| RHB Rating | The ballpark rating for left-handed hitters |
| Opp. K% | Strikeout rate of the opposing offense against the handedness of the pitcher |
| SIERA | Skill-Interactive Earned Run Average – A good predictor of future ERA |
| ERA | Earned Run Average |
| K% | Percentage of batters a pitcher strikes out |
| BB% | Percentage of batters that a pitcher walks |
| SS% | Swinging Strike Percentage |
| GB% | Ground Ball Percentage |
| HC% | Hard Contact Percentage |
| HR/FB | Percentage of fly balls a pitcher gives up a home run |
| IRT | Implied run total based on the Vegas line and over/under |
| RPG | Average runs scored per game |
| +/- | The difference between a team’s implied run total and their average runs scored per game |
| P vs. LHB | The wOBA a pitcher allows to left-handed hitters |
| P vs. RHB | The wOBA a pitcher allows to right-handed hitters |
| T-wOBA | A team’s wOBA vs. the handedness of the pitcher they are facing |
| T-ISO | A team’s ISO vs. the handedness of the pitcher they are facing |