MLB Grind Down: Friday, September 18th
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.
The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
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St. Louis at Chicago Cubs – 2:20 PM EST
| St. Louis | Chicago Cubs | ||||||||
| Lance Lynn | | Dan Haren | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| CHC (-107) | 8.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.255 | 0.749 | 0.331 | 17.2% | SP vs. Left | 0.251 | 0.765 | 0.329 | 20.60% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.234 | 0.630 | 0.281 | 25.4% | SP vs. Right | 0.247 | 0.713 | 0.308 | 15.50% |
| Batter Splits | STL BvP | STL vs R | Batter Splits | CHC BvP | CHC vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Lance Lynn : FD: $8,200 — DK: $8,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 359.2 — SIERA: 3.87 — ERA: 2.93 — K%: 21.7% — BB%: 8.5% — HR/9: 0.7
Last 30 Days: IP: 28.0 — SIERA: 5.28 — ERA: 4.18 — K%: 13.1% — BB%: 11.5% — HR/9: 1.0
Chicago Cubs Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.317 (Rank: 12) — Strikeout Rate: 24.0% (Rank: 29)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.353 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 24.9% (Rank: 29)
Pitches per PA: 3.99 (Rank: 1)
Analysis: Lynn has not been in the best of form recently, posting a 5.28 SIERA with a low strikeout rate of 13.1% over the last month of play. He draws an awful matchup today against the Cubs, who are a very patient team at the plate. To make matters worse, the Cubs also have the fourth-highest team wOBA over the last two weeks of play. With so many aces on the bump tonight, we can skip right over Lynn.
Pitcher Rating: 60.6
Dan Haren : FD: $7,200 — DK: $6,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 355.2 — SIERA: 4.07 — ERA: 3.95 — K%: 18.0% — BB%: 4.9% — HR/9: 1.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 30.1 — SIERA: 4.71 — ERA: 5.34 — K%: 18.1% — BB%: 6.8% — HR/9: 2.1
St. Louis Cardinals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.318 (Rank: 11) — Strikeout Rate: 19.6% (Rank: 13)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.300 (Rank: 27) — Strikeout Rate: 25.2% (Rank: 30)
Pitches per PA: 3.82 (Rank: 15)
Analysis: Haren gives up a lot of home runs. The last time I checked, that’s not what pitchers get rewarded for in daily fantasy baseball. Over the last month of play, Haren owns a 4.71 SIERA while giving up 2.1 home runs per nine innings. There is more risk than potential reward with Haren, as the Cardinals are ranked above the major league average in both team wOBA and strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating: 58.8
Batter Grind Down
St. Louis
The Cardinals draw an intriguing matchup against Dan Haren, who is a fly-ball pitcher that struggles to keep the ball in the yard. Haren hasn’t been particularly effective against hitters from either side of the plate, allowing a .308+ wOBA to both left and right-handed hitters over the last two seasons.
Elite Plays:
Matt Carpenter : FD: $3,400 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 895 — wOBA: 0.357 — ISO: 0.156 — wRC+: 129
Last 30 Days: PA: 119 — wOBA: 0.315 — ISO: 0.167 — wRC+: 99
Secondary Plays:
Jason Heyward : FD: $3,500 — DK: $4,300
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 871 — wOBA: 0.359 — ISO: 0.149 — wRC+: 129
Last 30 Days: PA: 100 — wOBA: 0.387 — ISO: 0.182 — wRC+: 148
Thomas Pham : FD: $2,700 — DK: $3,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 93 — wOBA: 0.298 — ISO: 0.174 — wRC+: 88
Last 30 Days: PA: 73 — wOBA: 0.460 — ISO: 0.297 — wRC+: 198
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs draw a favorable matchup today against the struggling Lance Lynn, who has not been sharp in his recent outings. Lynn has allowed a .331 wOBA to left-handed hitters over the last two seasons, which bodes well for the left-handed heavy lineup of the Cubs.
Elite Plays:
Anthony Rizzo : FD: $4,500 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 887 — wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.260 — wRC+: 148
Last 30 Days: PA: 126 — wOBA: 0.332 — ISO: 0.250 — wRC+: 109
Secondary Plays:
Kyle Schwarber : FD: $4,300 — DK: $4,400
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: C/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 154 — wOBA: 0.447 — ISO: 0.369 — wRC+: 187
Last 30 Days: PA: 87 — wOBA: 0.318 — ISO: 0.289 — wRC+: 99
Dexter Fowler : FD: $3,200 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 854 — wOBA: 0.332 — ISO: 0.153 — wRC+: 111
Last 30 Days: PA: 124 — wOBA: 0.379 — ISO: 0.236 — wRC+: 141
Miami at Washington – 7:05 PM EST
| Miami | Washington | ||||||||
| Jose Fernandez | | Max Scherzer | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| WAS (-140) | 6.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.250 | 0.674 | 0.299 | 27.4% | SP vs. Left | 0.238 | 0.684 | 0.300 | 25.60% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.146 | 0.408 | 0.183 | 38.4% | SP vs. Right | 0.209 | 0.590 | 0.259 | 32.50% |
| Batter Splits | MIA BvP | MIA vs R | Batter Splits | WAS BvP | WAS vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Jose Fernandez : FD: $10,800 — DK: $11,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 99.2 — SIERA: 2.40 — ERA: 2.26 — K%: 33.1% — BB%: 6.1% — HR/9: 0.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 5.0 — SIERA: 1.84 — ERA: 0.00 — K%: 41.2% — BB%: 5.9% — HR/9: 0.0
Washington Nationals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.315 (Rank: 15) — Strikeout Rate: 21.8% (Rank: 26)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.353 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 23.1% (Rank: 26)
Pitches per PA: 3.79 (Rank: 21)
Analysis: Fernandez pitched well in his first start back from injury, but he only threw 69 pitches in five innings of work. The Marlins have no reason to over-extend him in any start the rest of the season and I’d be surprised to see him throw more than 80-90 pitches tonight. That’s a huge concern because it severely limits his upside. A matchup against the Nationals also hurts his cause, as Washington is ranked fourth in team wOBA over the last two weeks. I’m a huge Fernandez fan, but I won’t be targeting him tonight at this price point.
Pitcher Rating: 92.5
Max Scherzer : FD: $11,000 — DK: $12,100
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 418.1 — SIERA: 2.85 — ERA: 3.03 — K%: 28.6% — BB%: 5.3% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 33.0 — SIERA: 2.92 — ERA: 3.82 — K%: 26.8% — BB%: 2.2% — HR/9: 1.6
Miami Marlins Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.291 (Rank: 30) — Strikeout Rate: 19.0% (Rank: 8)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.304 (Rank: 25) — Strikeout Rate: 16.1% (Rank: 2)
Pitches per PA: 3.72 (Rank: 29)
Analysis: Scherzer has been giving up home runs left and right, but that high home run per fly ball rate is unsustainable. He should experience some positive regression, which is great news for his fantasy appeal. His indicators still look sharp, as he has a 2.92 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 26.8% over the last month of play. Even better, he gets to face a Marlins offense that is ranked dead last in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. Scherzer will get overlooked tonight, but he is arguably the safest pitcher on the board tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 95.7
Batter Grind Down
Miami
The Marlins can safely be avoided tonight against Max Scherzer. Not only do they have one of the lowest team totals on the board, but Scherzer has held both left and right-handed hitters under a .300 wOBA over the last two seasons.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
Washington
Even though Jose Fernandez is not expected to pitch deep into tonight’s game, there is very little fantasy appeal with the Nationals tonight. Bryce Harper may be worth a look in tournaments, but the rest of this lineup can be avoided.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
NONE
Boston at Toronto – 7:07 PM EST
| Boston | Toronto | ||||||||
| Rick Porcello | | Marcus Stroman | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| TOR (-175) | 9.0 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.273 | 0.771 | 0.335 | 16.5% | SP vs. Left | 0.225 | 0.639 | 0.284 | 19.90% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.270 | 0.712 | 0.312 | 18.1% | SP vs. Right | 0.271 | 0.632 | 0.283 | 20.90% |
| Batter Splits | BOS BvP | BOS vs R | Batter Splits | TOR BvP | TOR vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Rick Porcello : FD: $7,900 — DK: $6,900
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 348.2 — SIERA: 3.88 — ERA: 4.10 — K%: 17.3% — BB%: 5.1% — HR/9: 1.1
Last 30 Days: IP: 29.1 — SIERA: 3.00 — ERA: 2.15 — K%: 26.6% — BB%: 5.3% — HR/9: 1.2
Toronto Blue Jays Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.336 (Rank: 1) — Strikeout Rate: 18.9% (Rank: 7)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.348 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 19.8% (Rank: 9)
Pitches per PA: 3.85 (Rank: 10)
Analysis: Porcello has been in terrific form over the last month of play, posting a 3.00 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 26.6%. Unfortunately for Porcello, all good things must come to an end. He draws an extremely tough matchup tonight against the Blue Jays and he has to face them in the American League’s version of Coors Field. If Porcello was on your radar, I’m going to recommend trying out a different fantasy sport. Football, maybe?
Pitcher Rating: 49.8
Marcus Stroman : FD: $7,800 — DK: $7,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 135.2 — SIERA: 3.23 — ERA: 3.71 — K%: 20.3% — BB%: 5.4% — HR/9: 0.5
Last 30 Days: IP: 5.0 — SIERA: 4.63 — ERA: 5.40 — K%: 9.1% — BB%: 9.1% — HR/9: 1.8
Boston Red Sox Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.320 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 17.4% (Rank: 2)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.353 (Rank: 4) — Strikeout Rate: 20.4% (Rank: 11)
Pitches per PA: 3.96 (Rank: 2)
Analysis: Stroman has pitched well over the last two season, posting a 3.23 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 20.3%. This will be his second start of the season though and with only two minor league starts under his belt, potential rust is an issue. For now, we should take a wait-and-see approach with Stroman, as the Red Sox are a very capable offense.
Pitcher Rating: 62.0
Batter Grind Down
Boston
The Red Sox may not draw the best matchup on paper, but this is only Marcus Stroman second start of the season. I won’t be heavily targeting Boston in cash games, but they are a great source for tournament plays, specifically David Ortiz and Mookie Betts.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
David Ortiz : FD: $4,800 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 794 — wOBA: 0.388 — ISO: 0.282 — wRC+: 146
Last 30 Days: PA: 96 — wOBA: 0.466 — ISO: 0.463 — wRC+: 199
Mookie Betts : FD: $3,900 — DK: $4,900
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 580 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.180 — wRC+: 118
Last 30 Days: PA: 112 — wOBA: 0.428 — ISO: 0.240 — wRC+: 172
Toronto
The Blue Jays have one of the highest team totals (4.96) on the board tonight. While Rick Porcello has been sharp in his recent starts, he hasn’t had to face an offense as talented as this one. Left and right-handed hitters are both in play tonight in the hitter-friendly Rogers Centre.
Elite Plays:
Edwin Encarnacion : FD: $5,100 — DK: $5,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 879 — wOBA: 0.391 — ISO: 0.290 — wRC+: 151
Last 30 Days: PA: 107 — wOBA: 0.512 — ISO: 0.455 — wRC+: 234
Russell Martin : FD: $3,100 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 716 — wOBA: 0.347 — ISO: 0.181 — wRC+: 122
Last 30 Days: PA: 68 — wOBA: 0.363 — ISO: 0.293 — wRC+: 130
Ben Revere : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 847 — wOBA: 0.310 — ISO: 0.063 — wRC+: 95
Last 30 Days: PA: 118 — wOBA: 0.382 — ISO: 0.065 — wRC+: 143
Secondary Plays:
Josh Donaldson : FD: $5,200 — DK: $5,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 1025 — wOBA: 0.356 — ISO: 0.204 — wRC+: 129
Last 30 Days: PA: 122 — wOBA: 0.408 — ISO: 0.292 — wRC+: 162
Jose Bautista : FD: $5,100 — DK: $5,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 1008 — wOBA: 0.391 — ISO: 0.262 — wRC+: 151
Last 30 Days: PA: 119 — wOBA: 0.440 — ISO: 0.309 — wRC+: 184
Cliff Pennington : FD: $2,300 — DK: $2,000
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: 2B/SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 307 — wOBA: 0.272 — ISO: 0.066 — wRC+: 65
Last 30 Days: PA: 53 — wOBA: 0.270 — ISO: 0.163 — wRC+: 66
Kansas City at Detroit – 7:08 PM EST
| Kansas City | Detroit | ||||||||
| Johnny Cueto | | Justin Verlander | ||||||
| RIGHT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| DET (-113) | 8.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.198 | 0.567 | 0.255 | 24.2% | SP vs. Left | 0.225 | 0.660 | 0.291 | 19.30% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.220 | 0.658 | 0.288 | 22.7% | SP vs. Right | 0.299 | 0.800 | 0.350 | 17.30% |
| Batter Splits | KCR BvP | KC vs R | Batter Splits | DET BvP | DET vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Johnny Cueto : FD: $10,200 — DK: $7,700
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 430.2 — SIERA: 3.38 — ERA: 2.78 — K%: 23.4% — BB%: 5.9% — HR/9: 0.9
Last 30 Days: IP: 26.1 — SIERA: 4.23 — ERA: 9.57 — K%: 15.5% — BB%: 3.1% — HR/9: 2.7
Detroit Tigers Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.319 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 20.0% (Rank: 15)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.313 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 20.6% (Rank: 14)
Pitches per PA: 3.84 (Rank: 11)
Analysis: Cueto has been in awful form recently, posting a 4.23 SIERA (9.57 ERA!!) with a strikeout rate of only 15.5%. He draws a tough matchup tonight against the Tigers, who are ranked ninth in team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. So let’s see, do we like targeting pitchers in bad form that also have bad matchups? If you need to phone-a-friend for this answer, then again, may I recommend trying fantasy football?
Pitcher Rating: 64.6
Justin Verlander : FD: $8,800 — DK: $7,800
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 311.2 — SIERA: 4.16 — ERA: 4.22 — K%: 18.4% — BB%: 6.8% — HR/9: 0.8
Last 30 Days: IP: 35.2 — SIERA: 3.83 — ERA: 2.52 — K%: 21.9% — BB%: 5.8% — HR/9: 0.3
Kansas City Royals Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.322 (Rank: 5) — Strikeout Rate: 15.5% (Rank: 1)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.345 (Rank: 9) — Strikeout Rate: 15.3% (Rank: 1)
Pitches per PA: 3.70 (Rank: 30)
Analysis: Verlander has had one of the most interesting seasons of any pitcher in baseball. He got off to a terrible start and then out of nowhere, he was throwing one-hitters. he has been in relatively good form coming into tonight’s start, posting a 3.83 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 21.9% over the last month of play. The issue here is his matchup. The Royals are ranked fifth in team wOBA against right-handed pitching and they have the lowest strikeout rate of any team in baseball.
Pitcher Rating: 58.8
Batter Grind Down
Kansas City
The Royals love to face elite pitchers and kill them with their small ball. While I don’t mind the matchup against Justin Verlander, it’s nowhere near the ideal matchup. Lorenzo Cain and Eric Hosmer are secondary options tonight at their respective positions.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Lorenzo Cain : FD: $4,000 — DK: $4,800
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 719 — wOBA: 0.333 — ISO: 0.122 — wRC+: 112
Last 30 Days: PA: 109 — wOBA: 0.347 — ISO: 0.144 — wRC+: 120
Eric Hosmer : FD: $2,600 — DK: $4,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 735 — wOBA: 0.352 — ISO: 0.159 — wRC+: 125
Last 30 Days: PA: 113 — wOBA: 0.254 — ISO: 0.040 — wRC+: 56
Detroit
Even though I won’t be using Johnny Cueto tonight, that doesn’t mean that we have to target hitters against him. We have a full slate of games on tap, which means it won’t hurt to avoid this situation altogether. Miguel Cabrera may be worth a look in tournaments, but he’s the only option on my radar in this one.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Miguel Cabrera : FD: $3,800 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 873 — wOBA: 0.395 — ISO: 0.200 — wRC+: 155
Last 30 Days: PA: 111 — wOBA: 0.339 — ISO: 0.121 — wRC+: 114
Baltimore at Tampa Bay – 7:10 PM EST
| Baltimore | Tampa Bay | ||||||||
| Tyler Wilson | | Drew Smyly | ||||||
| RIGHT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| TBR (-121) | 7.5 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.293 | 0.721 | 0.310 | 3.3% | SP vs. Left | 0.173 | 0.492 | 0.218 | 30.30% |
| SP vs. Right | 0.206 | 0.583 | 0.265 | 13.2% | SP vs. Right | 0.260 | 0.766 | 0.334 | 20.80% |
| Batter Splits | BAL BvP | BAL vs L | Batter Splits | TBR BvP | TB vs R | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Tyler Wilson : FD: $5,500 — DK: $4,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 24.2 — SIERA: 4.91 — ERA: 2.19 — K%: 7.1% — BB%: 5.1% — HR/9: 0.0
Tampa Bay Rays Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.303 (Rank: 25) — Strikeout Rate: 21.3% (Rank: 23)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.333 (Rank: 13) — Strikeout Rate: 21.5% (Rank: 21)
Pitches per PA: 3.83 (Rank: 14)
Analysis: Wilson will draw the spot-start for the Orioles tonight. While the matchup against the Rays appears favorable on paper, he is not a recommended fantasy option in any league format. Over his last 24 major league innings of work, Wilson has a 4.91 SIERA with a strikeout rate of only 7.1%. He is a small underdog on the road that provides more downside than upside.
Pitcher Rating: 42.1
Drew Smyly : FD: $7,700 — DK: $9,400
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 201.2 — SIERA: 3.54 — ERA: 3.21 — K%: 23.1% — BB%: 6.5% — HR/9: 1.2
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.0 — SIERA: 3.51 — ERA: 3.38 — K%: 25.4% — BB%: 5.8% — HR/9: 1.4
Baltimore Orioles Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.300 (Rank: 23) — Strikeout Rate: 23.1% (Rank: 26)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.363 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 23.0% (Rank: 25)
Pitches per PA: 3.82 (Rank: 16)
Analysis: Smyly has been slowly rounding into form, posting a 3.51 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 25.4% over the last month of play. People tend to avoid pitchers against the Orioles because of their name value, but they have really struggled against left-handed pitching this season. They are ranked 23rd in team wOBA and 26th in strikeout rate. Take the Baltimore name away from the statistics and Smyly becomes an intriguing play tonight.
Pitcher Rating: 78.4
Batter Grind Down
Baltimore
The Orioles are one of the worst hitting teams against left-handed pitching this season and they are playing in a pitcher-friendly ballpark tonight. Drew Smyly has struggled against right-handed hitters, but Manny Machado and Adam Jones are secondary options at their respective positions.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Manny Machado : FD: $3,700 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 252 — wOBA: 0.314 — ISO: 0.157 — wRC+: 97
Last 30 Days: PA: 127 — wOBA: 0.333 — ISO: 0.155 — wRC+: 109
Adam Jones : FD: $2,700 — DK: $4,100
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 299 — wOBA: 0.394 — ISO: 0.240 — wRC+: 153
Last 30 Days: PA: 107 — wOBA: 0.306 — ISO: 0.188 — wRC+: 90
Tampa Bay
The Rays draw a mediocre matchup tonight against the inexperienced Tyler Wilson. In these situations, I always like to rely on Vegas and they have the Rays set as small favorites in a game with a low total. They are secondary plays at best tonight.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Evan Longoria : FD: $3,200 — DK: $3,800
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 960 — wOBA: 0.305 — ISO: 0.146 — wRC+: 97
Last 30 Days: PA: 117 — wOBA: 0.294 — ISO: 0.208 — wRC+: 88
John Jaso : FD: $2,200 — DK: $2,500
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 471 — wOBA: 0.349 — ISO: 0.175 — wRC+: 127
Last 30 Days: PA: 76 — wOBA: 0.338 — ISO: 0.219 — wRC+: 118