MLB Grind Down: Thursday, July 2nd - Page Three
Colorado at Arizona – 9:40 PM EST
| Colorado | Arizona | ||||||||
 | Chris Rusin |  | Jeremy Hellickson | ||||||
| LEFT | RIGHT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| ARI (-148) | 9 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.275 | 0.77 | 0.333 | 0.139 | SP vs. Left | 0.267 | 0.76 | 0.33 | 0.187 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.318 | 0 | 0.379 | 0.143 | SP vs. Right | 0.283 | 0 | 0.357 | 0.195 |
| Batter Splits | COL BvP | COL vs R | Batter Splits | ARI BvP | ARI vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Chris Rusin : FD: $5,400 — DK: $4,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 53.0 — SIERA: 4.16 — K%: 14.2% — BB%: 7.1% — FB Rate: 25.9% — HR/FB: 12.5%
Last 30 Days: IP: 33.1 — SIERA: 3.97 — K%: 13.7% — BB%: 5.2% — FB Rate: 24.6% — HR/FB: 16.7%
Arizona Diamondbacks Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.318 (Rank: 8) — Strikeout Rate: 20.8% (Rank: 15)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.311 (Rank: 18) — Strikeout Rate: 21.5% (Rank: 20)
Pitchers per PA: 3.67 (Rank: 30)
Analysis: Rusin has been a serviceable starter for the Rockies, but he is not a recommended fantasy option tonight. He has an average SIERA with a below-average strikeout rate. He also has a very difficult matchup against the Diamondbacks, who are ranked eighth in wOBA (.318) against left-handed pitching this season. This game should be all about offense.
Pitcher Rating:42.0
Jeremy Hellickson : FD: $6,300 — DK: $6,500
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 147.1 — SIERA: 4.03 — K%: 19.1% — BB%: 7.1% — FB Rate: 39.3% — HR/FB: 11.4%
Last 30 Days: IP: 27.0 — SIERA: 3.32 — K%: 25.8% — BB%: 5.8% — FB Rate: 50.0% — HR/FB: 12.5%
Colorado Rockies Offense (2015)
vs. RH Pitching: wOBA: 0.337 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 19.4% (Rank: 11)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.341 (Rank: 2) — Strikeout Rate: 17.6% (Rank: 6)
Pitchers per PA: 3.75 (Rank: 21)
Analysis: Hellickson has pitched well over the last month of play, posting a 3.32 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 25.8%. Unfortunately, his solid play will likely come to an end tonight, as he squares off against a very talented Rockies’ offense. Even though some of the statistics are inflated by Coors Field, the Rockies are ranked second in wOBA (.337) against right-handed pitching and second in wOBA (.341) over the last 14 days.
Pitcher Rating:51.5
Batter Grind Down
Colorado
The Rockies draw a favorable matchup tonight against Jeremy Hellickson, who has given up a .330+ wOBA to left and right-handed hitters. This game has a good chance to be the highest scoring one of the night.
Elite Plays:
Nolan Arenado : FD: $5,100 — DK: $5,700
Position Eligibility: FD: 3B — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 580 — wOBA: 0.368 — ISO: 0.265 — wRC+: 119
Last 14 Days: PA: 53 — wOBA: 0.564 — ISO: 0.588 — wRC+: 252
Charlie Blackmon : FD: $4,300 — DK: $4,600
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 732 — wOBA: 0.364 — ISO: 0.170 — wRC+: 116
Last 14 Days: PA: 57 — wOBA: 0.424 — ISO: 0.260 — wRC+: 157
Carlos Gonzalez : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 401 — wOBA: 0.345 — ISO: 0.221 — wRC+: 103
Last 14 Days: PA: 41 — wOBA: 0.314 — ISO: 0.237 — wRC+: 82
Secondary Plays:
Troy Tulowitzki : FD: $3,800 — DK: $5,400
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 487 — wOBA: 0.373 — ISO: 0.177 — wRC+: 122
Last 14 Days: PA: 50 — wOBA: 0.417 — ISO: 0.087 — wRC+: 152
Ben Paulsen : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B/OF
2014-15 vs. RH Pitching: PA: 169 — wOBA: 0.371 — ISO: 0.206 — wRC+: 121
Last 14 Days: PA: 39 — wOBA: 0.325 — ISO: 0.086 — wRC+: 90
Arizona
The Diamondbacks are also in a great spot tonight, as they take on Chris Rusin in the hitter-friendly Chase Field. Since the start of 2014, Rusin has given up a .333+ wOBA to left and right-handed hitters.
Elite Plays:
A.J. Pollock : FD: $3,700 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 125 — wOBA: 0.391 — ISO: 0.237 — wRC+: 147
Last 14 Days: PA: 54 — wOBA: 0.247 — ISO: 0.102 — wRC+: 49
Yasmany Tomas : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: 3B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 50 — wOBA: 0.358 — ISO: 0.191 — wRC+: 124
Last 14 Days: PA: 47 — wOBA: 0.384 — ISO: 0.190 — wRC+: 142
Secondary Plays:
Paul Goldschmidt : FD: $5,400 — DK: $6,000
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 171 — wOBA: 0.477 — ISO: 0.252 — wRC+: 205
Last 14 Days: PA: 57 — wOBA: 0.381 — ISO: 0.170 — wRC+: 140
Nick Ahmed : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,300
Position Eligibility: FD: SS — DK: SS
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 95 — wOBA: 0.322 — ISO: 0.098 — wRC+: 98
Last 14 Days: PA: 44 — wOBA: 0.365 — ISO: 0.262 — wRC+: 129
Seattle at Oakland – 10:05 PM EST
| Seattle | Oakland | ||||||||
 | Roenis Elias |  | Scott Kazmir | ||||||
| LEFT | LEFT | ||||||||
| Vegas Moneyline | Vegas Over/Under | ||||||||
| OAK (-160) | 7 | ||||||||
| Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% | Stats | Avg | OPS | wOBA | K% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP vs. Left | 0.228 | 0.679 | 0.306 | 0.253 | SP vs. Left | 0.256 | 0.655 | 0.292 | 0.201 |
| SP vs. Right | 0.251 | 0.734 | 0.325 | 0.185 | SP vs. Right | 0.224 | 0.641 | 0.286 | 0.222 |
| Batter Splits | SEA BvP | SEA vs L | Batter Splits | OAK BvP | OAK vs L | ||||
| Batter Split Links Above Open In Pop-Up Window | |||||||||
Pitcher Grind Down
Roenis Elias : FD: $7,700 — DK: $7,000
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 235.2 — SIERA: 4.04 — K%: 20.0% — BB%: 8.8% — FB Rate: 35.3% — HR/FB: 10.8%
Last 30 Days: IP: 28.0 — SIERA: 4.04 — K%: 19.0% — BB%: 6.6% — FB Rate: 38.8% — HR/FB: 12.1%
Oakland Athletics Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.301 (Rank: 21) — Strikeout Rate: 17.5% (Rank: 4)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.335 (Rank: 6) — Strikeout Rate: 15.2% (Rank: 1)
Pitchers per PA: 3.88 (Rank: 4)
Analysis: Elias is a pitcher that will have a great outing every now and then, but he’s not a consistent fantasy option. Since the start of last season, he has a 4.04 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 20.0%. He draws a difficult matchup tonight against the A’s, who are one of the hottest offenses in baseball right now. The A’s are also tough on opposing pitchers, ranking fourth in both strikeout rate of pitches per plate appearance.
Pitcher Rating:62.0
Scott Kazmir : FD: $9,000 — DK: $9,200
Pitching Stats:
2014 – 2015: IP: 280.2 — SIERA: 3.66 — K%: 21.6% — BB%: 7.2% — FB Rate: 36.2% — HR/FB: 8.0%
Last 30 Days: IP: 32.0 — SIERA: 3.65 — K%: 21.9% — BB%: 6.3% — FB Rate: 37.5% — HR/FB: 3.0%
Seattle Mariners Offense (2015)
vs. LH Pitching: wOBA: 0.302 (Rank: 20) — Strikeout Rate: 20.3% (Rank: 12)
Last 14 Days: wOBA: 0.266 (Rank: 28) — Strikeout Rate: 21.5% (Rank: 20)
Pitchers per PA: 3.87 (Rank: 6)
Analysis: Kazmir is the second-best pitching option on the board tonight. If you are playing cash games, take Max Scherzer on single pitcher sites and then pair Scherzer with Kazmir or a cheaper option on multi-pitcher sites. Kazmir has a high strikeout rate and a favorable matchup against the Mariners, who are ranked 20th in wOBA (.302) against left-handed pitching this season.
Pitcher Rating:74.9
Batter Grind Down
Seattle
The Mariners have struggled to score runs all season. They draw a tough matchup tonight against Scott Kazmir. They have one of the lowest team totals on the board, although Nelson Cruz is always in play when there is a left-handed pitcher on the mound.
Elite Plays:
NONE
Secondary Plays:
Nelson Cruz : FD: $3,000 — DK: $4,500
Position Eligibility: FD: OF — DK: OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 223 — wOBA: 0.455 — ISO: 0.324 — wRC+: 199
Last 14 Days: PA: 45 — wOBA: 0.348 — ISO: 0.158 — wRC+: 127
Oakland
The A’s draw a decent matchup tonight against Roenis Elias, who has given up a .325 wOBA to right-handed hitters over the last two seasons. Hot-hitting Ben Zobrist is an elite play, while Josh Phegley and Billy Butler are also worth a look.
Elite Plays:
Ben Zobrist : FD: $3,300 — DK: $4,200
Position Eligibility: FD: 2B — DK: 2B/OF
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 225 — wOBA: 0.369 — ISO: 0.129 — wRC+: 144
Last 14 Days: PA: 53 — wOBA: 0.442 — ISO: 0.273 — wRC+: 192
Secondary Plays:
Josh Phegley : FD: $3,000 — DK: $3,100
Position Eligibility: FD: C — DK: C
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 62 — wOBA: 0.444 — ISO: 0.316 — wRC+: 192
Last 14 Days: PA: 23 — wOBA: 0.481 — ISO: 0.524 — wRC+: 220
Billy Butler : FD: $2,600 — DK: $3,900
Position Eligibility: FD: 1B — DK: 1B
2014-15 vs. LH Pitching: PA: 227 — wOBA: 0.355 — ISO: 0.143 — wRC+: 129
Last 14 Days: PA: 39 — wOBA: 0.389 — ISO: 0.235 — wRC+: 156