NBA First Look: Thursday, November 10th

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2016-11-11 03:03:17

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The NBA First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, player statistics, and projected starters to help you get an early start on the upcoming slate.

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NBA Schedule & Vegas Lines

Road Team		Home Team	Vegas Line	Over/Under	Away Total	Home Total	Tip-off
New Orleans Pelicans	at	Milwaukee Bucks	MIL-4.5	208.0	101.8	106.3	8:00 PM
Chicago Bulls	at	Miami Heat	MIA-1.5	198.0	98.3	99.8	8:00 PM
Golden State Warriors	at	Denver Nuggets	GS -6.5	221.5	114.0	107.5	9:00 PM
Los Angeles Lakers	at	Sacramento Kings	SAC-4.5	208.5	102.0	106.5	10:30 PM

Implied Implied Totals & Pace of Play

Offense	Opponent	Spread	Imp. Total	Team Pace	Opp. Pace	Proj. Pace	Pace +/-
Golden State Warriors	Denver	-6.5	114.0	104.4	103.1	107.9	3.5
Denver Nuggets	Golden State	+ 6.5	107.5	103.1	104.4	107.9	4.8
Sacramento Kings	L.A. Lakers	-4.5	106.5	94.9	103.6	98.9	4.0
Milwaukee Bucks	New Orleans	-4.5	106.3	98.7	101.5	100.6	1.9
Los Angeles Lakers	Sacramento	+ 4.5	102.0	103.6	94.9	98.9	-4.7
New Orleans Pelicans	Milwaukee	+ 4.5	101.8	101.5	98.7	100.6	-0.9
Miami Heat	Chicago	-1.5	99.8	97.6	97.1	95.1	-2.5
Chicago Bulls	Miami	+ 1.5	98.3	97.1	97.6	95.1	-2.0

Defense vs. Position Matchups

Note: The DvP rankings are for the opponent of the offense listed in the first column.

Offense	Opponent	Total FPA	vs. PG	vs. SG	vs. SF	vs. PF	vs. C
Golden State Warriors	Denver	22	29	25	1	29	1
Denver Nuggets	Golden State	29	25	13	21	30	15
Sacramento Kings	L.A. Lakers	20	22	24	11	12	19
Milwaukee Bucks	New Orleans	25	5	20	27	24	24
Los Angeles Lakers	Sacramento	18	5	20	24	22	11
New Orleans Pelicans	Milwaukee	16	8	16	18	21	26
Miami Heat	Chicago	14	16	9	22	18	14
Chicago Bulls	Miami	8	2	8	7	9	20

Point Guard

Projected Starter	Team	Imp. Total	FD Salary	DK Salary	Minutes	FP/Game	True Usage	Opponent	DvP
Stephen Curry	GS	114.0	$8,900	$9,000	32.7	39.2	32.0%	DEN	29
Emmanuel Mudiay	DEN	107.5	$5,900	$6,300	33.0	28.1	28.7%	GS	25
Darren Collison	SAC	106.5	$6,300	$6,000	27.6	17.2	23.8%	LAL	22
Giannis Antetokounmpo	MIL	106.3	$9,600	$9,700	32.6	44.9	30.8%	NO	5
D’Angelo Russell	LAL	102.0	$6,000	$6,400	27.2	26.8	30.6%	SAC	5
Tim Frazier	NO	101.8	$5,500	$6,000	29.5	28.7	24.0%	MIL	8
Goran Dragic	MIA	99.8	$6,800	$6,700	33.1	31.9	27.6%	CHI	16
Rajon Rondo	CHI	98.3	$5,500	$5,700	28.2	23.9	24.2%	MIA	2

Shooting Guard

Projected Starter	Team	Imp. Total	FD Salary	DK Salary	Minutes	FP/Game	True Usage	Opponent	DvP
Klay Thompson	GS	114.0	$5,900	$6,200	35.9	25.7	22.6%	DEN	25
Gary Harris	DEN	107.5	$4,600	$4,600	22.5	17.6	21.5%	GS	13
Arron Afflalo	SAC	106.5	$3,700	$3,300	29.4	14.3	14.3%	LAL	24
Matthew Dellavedova	MIL	106.3	$4,400	$4,500	29.0	21.4	20.0%	NO	20
Nick Young	LAL	102.0	$4,100	$4,500	27.1	21.0	18.2%	SAC	20
E’Twaun Moore	NO	101.8	$4,400	$4,100	30.3	20.2	18.7%	MIL	16
Dion Waiters	MIA	99.8	$4,400	$4,300	32.3	19.8	22.3%	CHI	9
Dwyane Wade	CHI	98.3	$6,700	$6,500	28.2	28.2	27.1%	MIA	8

Small Forward

Projected Starter	Team	Imp. Total	FD Salary	DK Salary	Minutes	FP/Game	True Usage	Opponent	DvP
Kevin Durant	GS	114.0	$9,600	$9,400	35.4	47.6	27.8%	DEN	1
Danilo Gallinari	DEN	107.5	$6,300	$6,100	37.4	26.6	17.7%	GS	21
Rudy Gay	SAC	106.5	$7,600	$7,300	34.0	35.7	27.4%	LAL	11
Tony Snell	MIL	106.3	$3,500	$3,500	28.1	13.9	15.1%	NO	27
Luol Deng	LAL	102.0	$4,500	$4,000	25.3	18.2	14.9%	SAC	24
Solomon Hill	NO	101.8	$3,800	$3,600	26.5	15.6	12.2%	MIL	18
Justise Winslow	MIA	99.8	$4,800	$5,400	36.1	24.9	22.5%	CHI	22
Jimmy Butler	CHI	98.3	$7,600	$7,100	32.2	32.3	26.4%	MIA	7

Power Forward

Projected Starter	Team	Imp. Total	FD Salary	DK Salary	Minutes	FP/Game	True Usage	Opponent	DvP
Draymond Green	GS	114.0	$8,400	$7,800	33.1	39.4	19.1%	DEN	29
Nikola Jokic	DEN	107.5	$5,400	$5,500	23.6	22.6	20.5%	GS	30
DeMarcus Cousins	SAC	106.5	$9,500	$10,300	32.6	41.9	33.8%	LAL	12
Jabari Parker	MIL	106.3	$6,100	$5,900	31.5	28.2	24.7%	NO	24
Julius Randle	LAL	102.0	$6,200	$6,800	28.2	28.1	21.8%	SAC	22
Anthony Davis	NO	101.8	$10,900	$11,300	37.5	54.9	30.8%	MIL	21
Luke Babbitt	MIA	99.8	$3,600	$3,100	23.0	13.0	14.8%	CHI	18
Taj Gibson	CHI	98.3	$5,800	$5,900	26.6	27.6	21.0%	MIA	9

Center

Projected Starter	Team	Imp. Total	FD Salary	DK Salary	Minutes	FP/Game	True Usage	Opponent	DvP
Zaza Pachulia	GS	114.0	$3,700	$3,400	18.8	15.6	12.7%	DEN	1
Jusuf Nurkic	DEN	107.5	$5,700	$6,000	25.6	29.5	23.1%	GS	15
Kosta Koufos	SAC	106.5	$3,500	$3,200	21.0	15.6	15.0%	LAL	19
Miles Plumlee	MIL	106.3	$3,500	$3,000	14.7	10.3	14.3%	NO	24
Timofey Mozgov	LAL	102.0	$3,700	$3,200	20.8	16.1	16.5%	SAC	11
Omer Asik	NO	101.8	$3,600	$3,000	19.1	12.7	9.2%	MIL	26
Hassan Whiteside	MIA	99.8	$8,200	$8,500	31.4	39.2	24.7%	CHI	14
Robin Lopez	CHI	98.3	$4,500	$4,200	22.8	19.5	16.1%	MIA	20

Legend

Term	Description
Implied Total	The implied projected points of a team based on the Vegas line and total.
Pace	The number of possessions a team uses per game.
Projected Pace	League Average Pace + (Team 1 Pace – League Average Pace) + (Team 2 Pace – League Average Pace)
Pace +/-	The difference between a team’s pace and the projected pace of that game.
True Usage	The percentage of possessions a player uses while on the floor, adjusted for turnovers.
L5 + / –	The average MPG and FPPG over the last five games, compared to season averages.