NFL DFS First Look: Conference Championships
The NFL DFS First Look, complete with sortable odds, matchup previews, and projected starters, will help you get an early start on the upcoming DraftKings and FanDuel slates that are loaded into our NFL DFS optimizer, LineupHQ.
NFL Schedule & Vegas Lines
| Road Team | R-Total | Home Team | H-Total | Favorite | Spread | Total | Date | Time (ET) | Slate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Commanders | 20.5 | Philadelphia Eagles | 27.0 | PHI | -6.5 | 47.5 | Saturday | 4:00 pm | Main |
| Buffalo Bills | 23.0 | Kansas City Chiefs | 24.5 | KCC | -1.5 | 47.5 | Saturday | 6:30 pm | Main |
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Implied Team Totals & Matchup Chart
| Offense | Spread | Total | Matchup | t EPA | t PFF | p EPA | p PFF | r EPA | r PFF | QB DvP | RB DvP | WR DvP | TE DvP | TIME (ET) | SLATE | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Eagles | -6.5 | 27.0 | vs WAS | 22 | 29 | 22 | 27 | 27 | 29 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 4:00 pm | Main | ||
| Washington Commanders | 6.5 | 20.5 | at PHI | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 4:00 pm | Main | ||
| Kansas City Chiefs | -1.5 | 24.5 | vs BUF | 12 | 27 | 19 | 24 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 27 | 20 | 16 | 6:30 pm | Main | ||
| Buffalo Bills | 1.5 | 23.0 | at KCC | 15 | 2 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 1 | 18 | 29 | 6:30 pm | Main |
Note: T EPA = total defensive EPA. T PFF = total defense on PFF. P EPA = EPA against the pass. P PFF = PFF grade against the pass. R EPA = EPA against the run. R PFF = PFF grade against the run. DVP = defense vs. position. Blue and green cells mark favorable matchups for the offense in the first column.
D-Line vs. O-Line – Pressure Rate & Sack Potential
| Defense | Spread | DraftKings | FanDuel | Press | P Rush | Matchup | Opp Total | O Press | P BLK | Defense | Sack Pot | Time (ET) | Slate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles | -6.5 | $3,400 | $4,700 | 33.6% | 2 | vs WAS | 20.8 | 37.3% | 22 | Eagles | 1 | 4:00 pm | Main |
| Commanders | 6.5 | $2,300 | $3,400 | 31.4% | 14 | at PHI | 26.8 | 38.7% | 6 | Commanders | 3 | 4:00 pm | Main |
| Chiefs | -1.5 | $3,600 | $4,500 | 38.1% | 9 | vs BUF | 23.0 | 37.2% | 5 | Chiefs | 3 | 6:30 pm | Main |
| Bills | 1.5 | $3,000 | $4,300 | 36.6% | 6 | at KCC | 24.5 | 36.7% | 13 | Bills | 2 | 6:30 pm | Main |
Note: PRESS = pressure rate on the opposing quarterback. PROE = pressure rate over expectation. The stats with O in front are for the opposing offensive line. C PRESS = the combined pressure rate of the defensive line and opposing offensive line. SACK POT = sack potential
Offense vs. Defense – Rushing & Passing Potential
| Offense | Spread | Total | p PFF | p EPA | r PFF | r EPA | Matchup | p PFF | p EPA | r PFF | r EPA | Offense | P-POT | R-POT | Time (ET) | Slate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles | -6.5 | 27.0 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 1 | vs WAS | 27 | 22 | 29 | 27 | Eagles | 4 | 2 | 4:00 pm | Main |
| Commanders | 6.5 | 20.5 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 4 | at PHI | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | Commanders | 1 | 3 | 4:00 pm | Main |
| Chiefs | -1.5 | 24.5 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 13 | vs BUF | 24 | 19 | 27 | 5 | Chiefs | 3 | 4 | 6:30 pm | Main |
| Bills | 1.5 | 23.0 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | at KCC | 3 | 15 | 10 | 11 | Bills | 1 | 1 | 6:30 pm | Main |
Note: P PFF = PFF grade against the pass, P EPA = EPA against the pass, P PFF = PFF grade against the run, R EPA = EPA against the run, P-POT = offensive passing potential, R-POT = offensive rushing potential.
Projected Starters — Quarterback
| Player | Team | Spread | Total | DraftKings | FanDuel | PaY/G | PaT/G | RuY/G | RuT/G | Int/G | QBR | FPPG | Opp | p PFF | P EPA | DvP | Time (ET) | Slate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts | PHI | -6.5 | 27.0 | $6,800 | $8,200 | 193.5 | 1.2 | 24.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 103.7 | 0.6 | vs WAS | 27 | 22 | 4 | 4:00 pm | Main |
| Jayden Daniels | WAS | 6.5 | 20.5 | $7,000 | $8,500 | 209.9 | 1.5 | 33.9 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 100.1 | 0.5 | at PHI | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:00 pm | Main |
| Patrick Mahomes | KCC | -1.5 | 24.5 | $6,000 | $7,700 | 245.5 | 1.6 | 20.8 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 93.5 | 0.4 | vs BUF | 24 | 19 | 19 | 6:30 pm | Main |
| Josh Allen | BUF | 1.5 | 23.0 | $7,700 | $9,000 | 219.5 | 1.6 | 22.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 101.4 | 0.7 | at KCC | 3 | 15 | 20 | 6:30 pm | Main |
Note: PaY/G = passing yards per game, PaT/G = passing touchdowns per game, RuY/G = rushing yards per game, RuT/G = rushing touchdowns per game, Int/G = interceptions per game, QBR = quarterback rating, FPPG = fantasy points per game, pEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.
Projected Starters — Running Back
| Player | Team | Spread | Total | DraftKings | FanDuel | Att/G | RuY/G | Tar/G | ReY/G | Tar % | Rte % | FPPG | xFPPG | Diff | Opp | R PFF | R EPA | DvP | Time (ET) | Slate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | PHI | -6.5 | 27.0 | $8,200 | $9,300 | 21.6 | 125.3 | 2.4 | 17.4 | 10% | 52% | 22.3 | 16.9 | -5.4 | vs WAS | 29 | 27 | 18 | 4:00 pm | Main |
| Kenneth Gainwell | PHI | -6.5 | 27.0 | $4,700 | $4,800 | 4.4 | 17.1 | 1.3 | 6.8 | 5% | 20% | 3.7 | 4.6 | 0.9 | vs WAS | 29 | 27 | 18 | 4:00 pm | Main |
| Brian Robinson | WAS | 6.5 | 20.5 | $5,300 | $6,000 | 13.4 | 57.1 | 1.7 | 11.4 | 6% | 27% | 11.6 | 11.8 | 0.2 | at PHI | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:00 pm | Main |
| Austin Ekeler | WAS | 6.5 | 20.5 | $5,100 | $5,500 | 6.4 | 30.6 | 3.4 | 30.5 | 11% | 45% | 11.0 | 9.4 | -1.6 | at PHI | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:00 pm | Main |
| Kareem Hunt | KCC | -1.5 | 24.5 | $5,000 | $5,800 | 15.4 | 56.0 | 2.2 | 13.5 | 6% | 30% | 12.0 | 14.4 | 2.4 | vs BUF | 27 | 5 | 27 | 6:30 pm | Main |
| Isiah Pacheco | KCC | -1.5 | 24.5 | $5,500 | $5,700 | 11.9 | 44.3 | 2.3 | 11.3 | 6% | 28% | 8.1 | 10.8 | 2.7 | vs BUF | 27 | 5 | 27 | 6:30 pm | Main |
| James Cook | BUF | 1.5 | 23.0 | $6,700 | $7,400 | 12.9 | 63.1 | 2.4 | 16.1 | 8% | 35% | 16.7 | 12.6 | -4.1 | at KCC | 10 | 11 | 1 | 6:30 pm | Main |
| Ray Davis | BUF | 1.5 | 23.0 | $4,000 | $4,700 | 6.6 | 26.0 | 1.0 | 11.1 | 3% | 16% | 6.8 | 5.5 | -1.3 | at KCC | 10 | 11 | 1 | 6:30 pm | Main |
Note: Att/G = rushing attempts per game, RuY/G = rushing yards per game, Tar/G = targets per game, ReY/G = receiving yards per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, FPPG = fantasy points per game, xFPPG = expected fantasy points per game, rusEPA = opponent’s ERA against the run, DvP = Defense vs. Position.
Projected Starters — Wide Receiver
| Player | Team | Spread | Total | DraftKings | FanDuel | Tar/G | Rec/G | Yar/G | Tar % | Air % | Rte % | aDOT | 1READ | FPPG | xFPPG | Diff | Opp | P EPA | DVP | TIME (ET) | SLATE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Brown | PHI | -6.5 | 27.0 | $7,000 | $8,300 | 7.4 | 5.2 | 83.0 | 31% | 50% | 89% | 12.4 | 42% | 16.7 | 13.9 | -2.8 | vs WAS | 22 | 9 | 4:00 pm | Main |
| DeVonta Smith | PHI | -6.5 | 27.0 | $5,600 | $7,300 | 6.5 | 5.2 | 64.1 | 25% | 33% | 89% | 10.0 | 34% | 15.3 | 11.5 | -3.8 | vs WAS | 22 | 9 | 4:00 pm | Main |
| Jahan Dotson | PHI | -6.5 | 27.0 | $3,600 | $4,700 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 12.7 | 7% | 9% | 71% | 10.1 | 8% | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | vs WAS | 22 | 9 | 4:00 pm | Main |
| Terry McLaurin | WAS | 6.5 | 20.5 | $6,300 | $7,600 | 6.7 | 4.8 | 64.5 | 22% | 40% | 78% | 13.7 | 27% | 15.8 | 13.6 | -2.2 | at PHI | 3 | 7 | 4:00 pm | Main |
| Dyami Brown | WAS | 6.5 | 20.5 | $3,900 | $5,100 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 19.3 | 8% | 8% | 39% | 7.7 | 10% | 4.3 | 4.9 | 0.6 | at PHI | 3 | 7 | 4:00 pm | Main |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | WAS | 6.5 | 20.5 | $4,300 | $5,400 | 3.7 | 2.6 | 29.8 | 12% | 10% | 42% | 6.5 | 14% | 6.7 | 6.9 | 0.2 | at PHI | 3 | 7 | 4:00 pm | Main |
| Xavier Worthy | KCC | -1.5 | 24.5 | $5,200 | $6,300 | 5.6 | 3.5 | 37.5 | 16% | 25% | 70% | 9.5 | 20% | 11.0 | 10.8 | -0.2 | vs BUF | 19 | 20 | 6:30 pm | Main |
| Marquise Brown | KCC | -1.5 | 24.5 | $4,200 | $6,000 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 45.5 | 19% | 26% | 42% | 8.1 | 23% | 9.1 | 11.9 | 2.8 | vs BUF | 19 | 20 | 6:30 pm | Main |
| DeAndre Hopkins | KCC | -1.5 | 24.5 | $4,700 | $5,800 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 38.1 | 14% | 24% | 51% | 11.6 | 18% | 9.2 | 10.4 | 1.2 | vs BUF | 19 | 20 | 6:30 pm | Main |
| Khalil Shakir | BUF | 1.5 | 23.0 | $5,000 | $6,100 | 6.5 | 5.1 | 54.7 | 21% | 15% | 71% | 5.6 | 25% | 12.2 | 11.4 | -0.8 | at KCC | 15 | 18 | 6:30 pm | Main |
| Keon Coleman | BUF | 1.5 | 23.0 | $4,100 | $5,300 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 42.8 | 14% | 28% | 69% | 15.3 | 20% | 8.6 | 9.6 | 1.0 | at KCC | 15 | 18 | 6:30 pm | Main |
| Mack Hollins | BUF | 1.5 | 23.0 | $3,500 | $4,800 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 22.2 | 9% | 16% | 59% | 13.7 | 11% | 5.8 | 5.8 | 0.0 | at KCC | 15 | 18 | 6:30 pm | Main |
Note: Tar/G = targets per game, Rec/G = receptions per game, Yar/G = receiving yards per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Air % = percentage of team air yards, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, aDOT = average depth of target, 1READ = 1st read %, FPPG = fantasy points per game, xFPPG = expected fantasy points per game, pasEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.
Projected Starters — Tight End
| Player | Team | Spread | Total | DraftKings | FanDuel | Tar/G | Rec/G | Yar/G | Tar % | Air % | Rte % | aDOT | 1READ | FPPG | xFPPG | Diff | Opp | P EPA | DVP | TIME (ET) | SLATE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Goedert | PHI | -6.5 | 27.0 | $3,900 | $6,100 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 49.6 | 18% | 17% | 62% | 7.0 | 22% | 10.4 | 8.8 | -1.6 | vs WAS | 22 | 9 | 4:00 pm | Main |
| Zach Ertz | WAS | 6.5 | 20.5 | $4,000 | $5,500 | 5.2 | 3.9 | 38.5 | 17% | 19% | 69% | 8.4 | 17% | 10.4 | 9.9 | -0.5 | at PHI | 3 | 2 | 4:00 pm | Main |
| Travis Kelce | KCC | -1.5 | 24.5 | $5,000 | $6,500 | 8.0 | 6.1 | 51.4 | 22% | 24% | 77% | 6.8 | 24% | 12.3 | 14.0 | 1.7 | vs BUF | 19 | 16 | 6:30 pm | Main |
| Dalton Kincaid | BUF | 1.5 | 23.0 | $3,700 | $5,400 | 5.5 | 3.4 | 34.5 | 18% | 19% | 58% | 8.3 | 21% | 7.8 | 9.9 | 2.1 | at KCC | 15 | 29 | 6:30 pm | Main |
Note: Tar/G = targets per game, Rec/G = receptions per game, Yar/G = receiving yards per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Air % = percentage of team air yards, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, aDOT = average depth of target, 1READ = 1st read %, FPPG = fantasy points per game, xFPPG = expected fantasy points per game, pasEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.
Stats Credit: ProFootballFocus (PFF) and Fantasy Points Data
Image Credit: Getty Images