Sports Info Solutions: MLB DFS Advice for Saturday, August 4th
America’s pastime and daily fantasy sports are a perfect fit with an overload of data and statistics to analyze before making your lineup selections.
Because of the amount of information available to the DFS player, it can be a bit overwhelming, so I’ve tried to help you out by recommending a number of well-priced options by using Sports Info Solutions’ “SIS Model 3”.
SIS Model 3 gives DFS players an edge when setting their lineups as it uses the most expansive and accurate wealth of baseball data to create a tested DFS algorithm. You can learn more about the development of the algorithm in the RotoGrinders Marketplace.
Pitching Option
James Paxton, Seattle Mariners (FD Price $9,500)
Paxton dominated Houston in his return from the disabled list (back) raising his record to 9-4 with a 3.49 ERA and 11.61 K/9. The Blue Jays have managed just a .308 wOBA against left-handers this season with a 21.7 K%.
Hitting Options
C/1B) Joe Mauer, Minnesota Twins (FD Price $2600)
Mauer owns a .355 wOBA at home against RHP and opposing starter Burch Smith has yielded a .379 wOBA to all LHB which rises to a .413 wOBA on the road.
2B) Rougned Odor, Texas Rangers (FD Price $3,900)
He’s hitting .404 with six homers and 14 RBI in 13 games since the All-Star break which is as many home runs as he hit all first half (67 games). He produced a .436 wOBA in July and so far in August it’s a stunning .763 wOBA.
3B) Miguel Sano, Minnesota Twins (FD Price $2,600)
He’s hit well in the six games since being recalled from the minors (.353 wOBA) and the low price allowed us room in the budget for a pitcher like Paxton.
SS) Jorge Polanco, Minnesota Twins (FD Price $2,800)
The Twins switch-hitter owns a .417 wOBA against RHP and we know Smith can’t get out lefties on the road.
OF) Shin-Soo Choo, Texas Rangers(FD Price $3,200)
He’s a .278 hitter with 20 HR, 63 runs, 51 RBI and a .378 wOBA. He has produced a .398 wOBA against RHP. Meanwhile, opposing starter Dylan Bundy is yielding a .370 wOBA to left-handers.
OF) Joey Gallo, Texas Rangers (FD Price $3,000)
Sure he strikes out a lot, but he’s also mashed 28 home runs this season, 17 in Arlington, where he has produced a .383 wOBA and faces a vulnerable RHP in Bundy.
OF) Adam Eaton, Washington Nationals (FD Price $3,100)
Injuries have reduced Eaton to just 191 plate appearances so far in 2018, but he does have a .380 wOBA against RHP.
UTIL) Matt Carpenter, St. Louis Cardinals (FD Price $4,200)
On May 23rd, Carpenter was batting .199 with four home runs and a .690 OPS. After his 27th home run Friday night, the Cardinals infielder is batting .281 with a .973 OPS and a .405 wOBA. He owns a .402 wOBA against RHP.
Stacking Option
When it comes time to draft a fantasy baseball team in DFS, stacking is a widely accepted strategy. There’s a reason: it works. If you want to win big, you will need a gigantic score, and stacking makes it easier to rack up the points because the scoring of batters in a given lineup is interrelated. Batters reaching base allows the hitters down the line to drive them in, creating something of a snowball effect.
Minnesota Twins – Mauer, Sano and Polanco were value picks and if your budget allows Eddie Rosario you could have an inexpensive, yet solid, stack.
Sports Info Solutions has been at the forefront of in-depth analysis of baseball statistics for nearly two decades. The unequivocal amount of data along with their advanced analytics has made SIS a trusted brand in baseball. SIS works with 25 MLB teams to deliver resources that are used in decision-making both on and off the field. SIS Model 3 uses an expansive amount of data, combining metrics ranging from player age and career performance to game temperature and park factors, which has translated to a proven ROI and helped raised the game of DFS players at all skill levels.
- Author: Steve Schwarz
Want to build better lineups using SIS MODEL 3? Click here for more details