NFL Network’s Tom Pelissero initially reported Tuesday morning that Goedert was expected to miss “at least a couple weeks”, and the Eagles have made that report a reality by placing Goedert on injury reserve, effectively ruling him out for a minimum of three games. In a corresponding move, the Eagles signed Hakeem Butler from the Carolina Panthers’ practice squad to fill Goedert’s vacated spot on the active roster, and they interestingly plan to convert the former fourth-round wide receiver prospect to tight end. The absence of Goedert also clearly benefits Zach Ertz, who once again becomes the top pass-catching option for quarterback Carson Wentz even if Alshon Jeffery is able to return and make his season debut in Sunday night’s Week 4 matchup against the San Francisco 49ers following offseason foot surgery.
The Sanderson Farms Championship field got a bit more player movement on Tuesday as both Bud Cauley and Brian Gay have decided to not play this week. Kiradech Aphibarnrat and Matt Every have been added to the field as replacements. Both players will receive projections if and when they get added to the player pool.
Broncos head coach Vic Fangio confirmed with reporters on a Zoom conference Tuesday that Rypien will be his starting quarterback for Thursday night’s Week 4 matchup against the New York Jets, which means Jeff Driskel will now be the backup quarterback after being benched in the fourth quarter of Sunday’s blowout loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for his dismal performance. Rypien went undrafted in the 2019 Draft, so he obviously doesn’t have supreme arm talent in the view of NFL scouting departments, but it’s still plausible that his accuracy can help the Broncos offense move the ball more efficiently while Drew Lock is sidelined and could be a positive note the projected fantasy value of Noah Fant, Jerry Jeudy, and KJ Hamler for the immediate future.
Matt Shoemaker seems like an odd choice to start the first game against the Rays and may, in fact, be a decoy to force Tampa Bay, a platoon heavy team, into setting a more balanced lineup with the threat of a LHP entering in the early innings. The Rays have countered with just five LHBs today and have no switch-hitters. Shoemaker’s thrown just 54 pitches since August 21st and hasn’t exceeded 75 since August 9th. His 22.6 K% is worst on the board, as are his 10.8% Barrels/BBE, 5.08 xERA, 4.71 ERA, 4.35 SIERA and 5.95 FIP. Shoemaker has had home run issues on and off throughout his career, but at least finds himself in the most negative run environment on the board. While batters from either side of the plate are below a .300 wOBA against Shoemaker since last season, each are within four points of a .340 xwOBA. Randy Arozarena (125 wRC+, .230 ISO vs RHP) could be an interesting right-handed bat for just $3K on FanDuel, should he find himself in tonight’s lineup. He has a lineup leading 176 wRC+ over the last 30 days and has barreled 14% of his contact this year.
Gerrit Cole has had some contact issues this season (14 HRs, 16 Barrels, 9.1% Barrels/BBE, 90.9 mph EV) and also just a 23.9 K% through his first three starts for the Yankees, but has been peaking at the right time. Cole has struck out at least seven in each of his last nine starts and completed seven innings in three straight with just one HR and three Barrels over that span. At $10.9K, Cole is the second most expensive pitcher on the board, just $300 less than Bieber on FanDuel, but with a much superior matchup. The Indians had just an 87 wRC+ vs RHP, which is, by far, the lowest split on the board today. Their 12.2 HR/FB vs RHP is third lowest, while their 23.8 K% sits in the middle of the board. Facing an offense that lacks power really benefits Cole in this spot, diminishing his greatest flaw. The Indians don’t have a single batter in the projected lineup above a 116 wRC+ vs RHP since 2019 and only five above a 96 wRC+. While Jose Ramirez has a 222 wRC+ over the last month, seven batters in the projected lineup are below a 90 wRC+.
Lucas Giolito has the second best strikeout rate on this board (33.7%) and the top SwStr rate (17.3%), just 0.1 points ahead of Maeda and 0.2 points ahead of Bieber. Giolito’s 74.6 Z-Swing% is best on the board by more than five points. As far as contact management goes, Giolito has an 87 mph EV (third best on the board) with the lowest rate of Barrels/BBE (5.6%). If we’re talking clear upside, Giolito competes with the best of them, including all of the top talent on today’s board and he’s just the fourth highest priced pitcher on FanDuel ($9.2K). The drawback would be that his control goes through periods of inconsistency. He walked 13 of his first 93 batters faced, then just five of his next 122 and finally 10 of his last 73. The A’s have an 11 BB% vs RHP, though that’s just the fourth highest split on the board. Their 12.7 HR/FB vs RHP is the third worst split today. The A’s still have five batters in the projected lineup above a 120 wRC+ and .200 ISO vs RHP since last season, but nobody else above a .150 ISO. LHBs have a .250 wOBA against Giolito since 2019 with RHBs 41 points higher. This reverse split is confirmed by his Statcast numbers. While Lucas can have the occasional blowup game, he certainly has the potential to be the top pitching value on the board today.
Zack Greinke’s 21.2 K-BB% is his best mark since his 2017 21.2 K-BB%, his second year with the Diamondbacks. But the run prevention (4.03 ERA) was much more like his first year in Arizona (4.37 ERA). In fact, he didn’t exceed six innings or allow fewer than three runs in any of his last seven starts, though a ridiculous .361 BABIP and 62.5% strand rate are mostly responsible, as his K-BB is up to 23% over this span. While Greinke did allow 12 Barrels (10.5% of contact) during this run, an 87.8 mph EV is around average. A four-seamer, which he threw 45.2% of the time in August and September, simply got mauled over the last month of the season (.523 wOBA, 92.2 mph EV). Greinke’s 10.6 SwStr% is lowest on the board. While batters from either side of the plate are below a .300 wOBA and xwOBA against Greinke since last year, he has a reverse split by both numbers (41 and 23 points). This could play in favor of the Twins and Nelson Cruz (145 wRC+, 272 ISO vs RHP since 2019) tonight. If you’re looking for hitting value, however, Luis Arraez may be your man. He’s in the leadoff spot and has a 133 wRC+ vs RHP since last season along with a lineup leading 183 wRC+ over the last 30 days. You’re not going to get much power, but Arraez costs just $2.3K on FanDuel.