MLB Daily Grind Down May 25th Day Games
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit.
While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries. The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time. (any fp listed uses Fanduel’s scoring system)
Baltimore at Toronto
| Baltimore | Toronto | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rogers Centre | 1:07 PM | ||||||
| Freddy Garcia – (0-2), 4.84 ERA, 3.26 K/9, 1.07 WHIP | R.A. Dickey – (4-5), 4.5 ERA, 7.69 K/9, 1.31 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (22-100 H/AB) 0.22 BA-A, 14 K%, 0.81 OPS-A | PvB | (14-75 H/AB) 0.187 BA-A, 28 K%, 0.52 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-0), 2.7 ERA, 1 HRA, 2.7 K/9, 0.6 WHIP | HOME | (2-3), 5.97 ERA, 7 HRA, 9.7 K/9, 1.395 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
BAL BvP  | BAL vs R | TOR BvP | TOR vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9
- Favored TOR -149
Pitchers
- Home R.A. Dickey has struggled on the year but he has pulled 3 solid starts together in a row. In his last 20 IP, he has surrender 6 ER and recorded 20 Ks. What I like about him the most is he pitches well over 100 pitches a game. His last start he threw 120 which means that he has complete game upside. His problems have all come at home. You mean putting a knuckleballer in doors is a bad idea? Go figure. It is hard to trust him today vs. a very stout BAL offense but he has proven this year that he can still win you GPPs. BAL is batting .278 on the road, .279 versus right-handers, and .306 over the last 7 days. Probably best to avoid but you cannot win GPPs by making only the unsafe plays. *In Play
- Away If you want to take a player who will not get you many KS or IPs and is guaranteed to give up a couple of runs then Freddy Garcia is your guy. For those of you who want to win GPPS then Avoid
Batters
- Home Jose Bautista is 5-11 with 2 HRs versus Garcia. He is also Super hot with 31.25 fp over the last week. Edwin Encarnacion is also hot with 26 fp. Adam Lind is 4-8 with 2 HRs and J.P. Arencibia is 2-4 with 1 HR vs Garcia. Everyone is in play though. Gentlemen start your TOR stacks.
- Away As hot as BAL has been hitting and as bad R.A. Dickey has looked at times at home, I think everyone is in play. Chris Davis, Adam Jones, and Nick Markakis have all produced over 30 fp in the last 7 days. All 3 plus Chris Dickerson are batting over .300 versus right-handers on the year.
Cleveland at Boston
| Cleveland | Boston | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenway Park | 1:35 PM | ||||||
| Scott Kazmir – (2-2), 6.35 ERA, 9.61 K/9, 1.62 WHIP | Jon Lester – (6-1), 3.15 ERA, 7.18 K/9, 1.07 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (33-112 H/AB) 0.295 BA-A, 21.43 K%, 0.893 OPS-A | PvB | (38-143 H/AB) 0.266 BA-A, 30.07 K%, 0.776 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-2), 8.1 ERA, 5 HRA, 7.4 K/9, 1.95 WHIP | HOME | (2-0), 1.66 ERA, 1 HRA, 6.2 K/9, 0.877 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| CLE BvP | CLE vs L | BOS BvP | BOS vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9
- Favored BOS -200
Pitchers
- Home I like Jon Lester and he is having a good year but I do not see how anyone could be a -200 favorite verus this CLE offense right now. Lester has been strong at home with a 1.66 ERA and has a very good K/9 ratio. CLE is batting .274 on the road, .280 versus left-handers, and .269 over the last 7 days. Sanchez shut them down last night so maybe they are cooling off. In Play
- Away Scott Kazmir came out and that sick start with 10 Ks in 6 IP and then has been crushed in his last two starts. He is a -200 dog but the one thing he has going for him is that he is a left-hander and BOS seems to struggle against them. BOS is batting .267 at home, .240 versus left-handers and .257 over the last 7 days. Unless you are looking for a wild GPP gamble with high K/9 upside then it is best to Avoid
Batters
- Home Dustin Pedroia hits lefties very well. He is also hot with 26.5 fp over the last 7 days and is 17-33 versus Kazmir. The right-handed bats are all in play. Do not forget about Jonny Gomes as a value play. If you think Kazmir will crumble then everyone is in play.
- Away Nich Swisher is 15-46 with 2 HRs versus Lester. Mark Reynolds is 5-15 with 1 HR. Carlos Santana and Drew Stubbs are both batting over .300 versus left-handed pitching. Michael Brantley, Michael Bourn, and Yan Gomes have been hot each producing over 24 fp in the last 7 days.
LA Angels at Kansas City
| LA Angels | Kansas City | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauffman Stadium | 2:10 PM | ||||||
| Billy Buckner – | Jeremy Guthrie – (5-2), 3.49 ERA, 4.87 K/9, 1.37 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (2-6 H/AB) 0.333 BA-A, 16.67 K%, 1 OPS-A | PvB | (31-139 H/AB) 0.223 BA-A, 10.07 K%, 0.727 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | NO DATA | HOME | (3-0), 1.61 ERA, 3 HRA, 4 K/9, 0.94 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| LAA BvP | LAA vs R | KCR BvP | KCR vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9
- Favored KAN -128
Pitchers
- Home I was high on Jeremy Guthrie and then he fail apart in his last 2 starts. It is hard to see him rebounding today against this LAA team that finally seems to be clicking on offense. Guthrie has been a much better pitcher at home and Vegas likes him so he is playable with limited options. LAA is batting .238 on the road, .271 versus right-handers, and .297 over the last 7 days with 10 HRs. In Play
- Away Lets just hope that Billy Buckner does not let a ground ball go through his legs to end the game. Actually if he were able to that then that would mean he would have pitched a complete game in his first start on the year so I guess that would be a good thing for us if we took him. The triple A call up has had a decent K/9 in the majors but a horrible WHIP and ERA. As always, he will be super cheap if you think he can pitch well you can load up on bats. Avoid
Batters
- Home Gentlemen start your KAN stacks. A hot Alex Gordon is playable with the traditional splits in his favor either way.
- Away Mike Trout is on a a nice run with 44 fp over the last 7 days. He hits righties better than lefties. Mark Trumbo, Alberto Callaspo , Chris Iannetta, Josh Hamilton, and Albert Pujols all have over 20 fp over the past week as well. Hamilton is 8-25 with 2 HRs vs. Guthrie. Kendrick is 7-25 with 2 HRs also.
Colorado at San Francisco
| Colorado | San Francisco | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AT&T Park | 4:05 PM | ||||||
| Juan Nicasio – (4-1), 4.47 ERA, 6.25 K/9, 1.32 WHIP | Barry Zito – (3-3), 3.91 ERA, 5.56 K/9, 1.54 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (8-43 H/AB) 0.186 BA-A, 18.6 K%, 0.558 OPS-A | PvB | (63-251 H/AB) 0.251 BA-A, 18.33 K%, 0.689 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (2-1), 5.19 ERA, 4 HRA, 4.8 K/9, 1.538 WHIP | HOME | (3-0), 0.55 ERA, 1 HRA, 4.4 K/9, 1.03 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| COL BvP | COL vs L | SFG BvP | SFG vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8
- Favored SFO -125
Pitchers
- Home If you are a proponent of splits, then you have to love Barry Zito today. His road ERA is 10.19. His home ERA is 0.55. His night ERA is 8.47. His day ERA is 1.60. I mentioned earlier in the year what a great play he would be in April. It is May now and I chose to ignore these splits and feel that the wheels have come off the Barry Zito Bandwagon but if you want to ride it until it completely falls apart the numbers look good for him at home. COL is batting .260 on the road, .263 versus left-handers, and .278 over the last 7 days. In Play
- Away Juan Nicasio has been a better pitcher at home on the year than on the road if you can believe that. Still, I like him on a ultiple pitcher site today to perform well outside of COL. He has held the current Giants to a .186 BAA. SFO is batting .278 at home, .274 vs. Right-handers, and .270 over the last 7 days. I would much rather have him than Zito. In Play
Batters
- Home No one on on SFO has numbers that jump out at you in any category. Marco scutaro is batting .341 versus right-handed pitching and Buster Posey is batting .360 at home. The .186 BAA scares me and COL pitcher almost always look much better away from Coors Field.
- Away Carlos Gonzalez is 10-31 versus Zito. He is also hot producing 33 fp over the last week. Dexter Fowler and Wilin Rosario have positive BvPs also. I also like the righty/lefty splits of Tulowitzki.
Pittsburgh at Milwaukee
| Pittsburgh | Milwaukee | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miller Park | 4:10 PM | ||||||
| Jeff Locke – (4-1), 2.73 ERA, 5.52 K/9, 1.16 WHIP | Mike Fiers – (1-2), 5.93 ERA, 3.41 K/9, 1.39 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (10-33 H/AB) 0.303 BA-A, 18.18 K%, 1.091 OPS-A | PvB | (14-48 H/AB) 0.292 BA-A, 25 K%, 0.938 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (2-1), 1.8 ERA, 0 HRA, 5.8 K/9, 0.96 WHIP | HOME | (0-1), 9.95 ERA, 2 HRA, 1.4 K/9, 2.053 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| PIT BvP | PIT vs R | MIL BvP | MIL vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9
- Favored MIL -125
Pitchers
- Home Mike Fiers was good last year. He has not been good this year. After 1 bad start MIL moved him to the bullpen. He has not looked good there either. The most worrisome factor with him is the drop in Ks. He may be faover but I do not see much upside in playing a guy with a 5.93 ERA and only 5 Ks on the year. PIT is batting .238 on the road, .243 versus right-handers,and .210 over the last 7 days. Avoid
- Away Jeff Locke has pitched much better on the road this year where he is a 1.80 pitcher. K totals are a low but with only 7 games going for the dayside his 2.73 ERA and 1.16 WHIP are certainly playable. The high OU means that MIL will probably spot him for a couple. I think he gets the win but understand that his upside is really limited. MIL is batting .274 at home, .266 versus left-handers, and .257 over the last 7 days. On a multiple pitcher site, he is In Play
Batters
- Home The BvPs are low but MIL has a .303 BAA vs. him so consider everyone in play. MIL has cooled of late and has no hot player but you have to like Ryan Braun with the traditional splits in his favor toady. Ryan Braun, Jean Segura, Aoki, and Carlos Gomez are all batting well above .300 versus left-handers on the year.
- Away PIT has disappeared as a team outside of Andrew McCutchen who has produced 22 fp over the last week. He is also 5-9 with 3 HRs vs. Fiers. I do not think that Fiers will perform so consider everyone in play especially the left-handed bats. Pedro Alvarez HR total in day games from a year ago is well documented but I am obligated to bring it up.
