MLB Daily Grind Down: Thursday, July 11th Part Two

by Kyle Koch (Jackandsoda) Last Updated 2013-07-11 20:38:47

Night Games

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Texas vs. Baltimore

7:05 PM	Texas – ROAD					Baltimore – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.260	0.741	17.50%	0.60		0.268	0.766	18.40%	0.64
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.264	0.757	17.40%	0.49		0.277	0.791	18.00%	0.54
SP STATS	Wolf – RHP					Gonzalez – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.29	1.98	1.99	2.83		1.21	3.63	6.89	10.14
LAST 14 DAYS	1.44	3.00	1.00	2.33		1.48	2.84	9.59	12.60
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	TEX vs R		TEX BvP			BAL vs R		BAL BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8.5

• Favored Team – TEX -135

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Miguel Gonzalez continues to impress. He is a worse pitcher at home but TEX is also much worse on the road. His K totals leave a little to be desired but he and his HR totals of 13 in 15 starts are scary. TEX comes into this matchup hot batting .256 on the road, .266 versus right-handers, and .273 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 5

• Away I am not sure why the OU of this game is a low as it is and why they have Ross Wolf listed as the favorite. In his 1 spot start of the year, he held TOR scoreless but only threw 82 pitches in that outing. He gets very few Ks and is facing the league’s second highest scoring offense. BAL is batting .264 at home, .275 versus right-handers, .219 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 1

Batter Grind Down

• Home Chris Davis is 1-24 over the past 7 days but you have to like him at home versus a right-hander. Davis, Machado, Jones and Markakis are all batting over .300 versus right-handed pitching. RG Stack Rating 7

• Away Adrian Beltre has 6 HRs over the past week and has produced 54.25 fp. Cruz and Kinsler are both hot as well. RG Stack Rating 5

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Washington vs. Philadelphia

7:05 PM	Washington – ROAD					Philadelphia – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.240	0.684	21.30%	0.53		0.258	0.717	19.50%	0.55
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.249	0.709	21.30%	0.44		0.261	0.717	19.00%	0.43
SP STATS	Zimmermann – RHP					Kendrick – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	0.95	2.57	6.36	12.61		1.30	3.90	5.53	9.23
LAST 14 DAYS	1.11	4.42	6.46	10.03		1.68	5.68	4.74	7.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	WSN vs R		WSN BvP			PHI vs R		PHI BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8

• Favored Team – WAS -138

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Do you remember at the beginning of the year when Kyle Kendrick had that great ERA? His WHIP has remained close to his career average and his ERA is now starting to resemble his career average as well as is his K/9. He is trending in the wrong direction versus a team that is trending in the right one. WAS is batting .217 on the road, .250 versus right-handers, and .276 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4

• Away Jordan Zimmermann is not that good on the road. His road ERA is a full 2 points higbher than his home ERA and he has had a horrible July so far with an ERA over 5. He gets you a limited number of Ks so the only thing he had working for him is that he went deep into games and did not give up runs. PHI is batting .252 at home .263 versus right-handers, and .293 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 6

Batter Grind Down

• Home Jimmy Rollins is 5-14 with 1 HR versus Zimmermann. I would trust the left-handed bats. Both Domonic Brown and Ben Revere have been hot over the last 7 days. RG Stack Rating 3

• Away Ian Desmond is 10-28 with 2 HRs versus Kendrick. Bryce Harper is 7-14 with 1 HR and Ryan Zimmerman is 11-37 with 1 HR. The team owns a .297 BAA versus Kendrick so there are positive numbers to be had by everyone. Jayson Wertg has been super hot with 34.5 fp. Ramos, Zimmerman, Harper, Rendon, and Desmond have been hot as well. RG Stack Rating 6

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Cincinnati vs. Atlanta

7:10 PM	Cincinnati – ROAD					Atlanta – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.250	0.724	20.20%	0.58		0.251	0.740	22.90%	0.61
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.248	0.719	20.50%	0.47		0.255	0.752	23.20%	0.50
SP STATS	Latos – RHP					Hudson – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.22	3.18	9.31	12.61		1.18	4.03	6.35	8.73
LAST 14 DAYS	1.39	3.10	14.78	18.03		1.07	3.55	4.43	8.60
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	CIN vs R		CIN BvP			ATL vs R		ATL BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5

• Favored Team – ATL -120

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Tim Hudson is still a solid play at home. Normally, his low K totals would make you want to avoid using him in a single pitcher format but he could be worth a look because of the amount of games but only if you think he can pitch to his season home ERA of 2.68. CIN is a tough draw. They are batting .241 on the road, .248 versus right-handers, and .248 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 5

• Away Mat Latos is a much better pitcher on the road than he is at home and he draws the K happy Braves tonight. The two causes for concern are he got roughed up in his last start and the Braves own a .302 BAA versus him. He is already a high K guy and the Braves will pad those totals. He has the most upside of any player going to night so I think he is worth a hard look anyway. ATL is batting .257 at home, .254 versus right-handers, and .271 over the last 7 days RG Start-Ability 8

Batter Grind Down

• Home There are positive BvPs to be had by almost everyone on ATL. Brian McCann numbers stick out the most and he has a .322 batting average versus right-handers. Freddie Freeman is batting .314 versus right-handers also. Dan Uggla, Justin Upton, and Jason Heyward have all produced over 20 fp in the past week. RG Stack Rating 4

• Away CIN is not the same team on the road that they are at home but both Votto and Bruce are batting over .300 versus right-handers. The club is getting steady production so taking 1 or 2 players might not be a bad idea but I would trust the low OU in this . RG Stack Rating 3

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St. Louis vs. Chicago Cubs

8:05 PM	St. Louis – ROAD					Chicago Cubs – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.274	0.748	17.90%	0.61		0.241	0.704	19.30%	0.55
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.286	0.763	18.10%	0.49		0.244	0.704	18.10%	0.43
SP STATS	Westbrook – RHP					Jackson – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.35	2.78	3.57	8.55		1.52	5.50	7.93	8.12
LAST 14 DAYS	1.24	5.82	3.18	6.67		1.37	5.51	5.59	8.03
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	STL vs R		STL BvP			CHC vs R		CHC BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8.5

• Favored Team – STL -125

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Edwin Jackson has been horrible at home with a 6.06 ERA. Things do not look any easier for him today as he draws a very hard hitting STL team. He looked sharp in his last start giving up only 1 ER and the OU is set at a moderate 8.5 but why gamble on a player that is so volatile? STL is batting .273 on the road, .282 versus right-handers and .297 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4

• Away Jake Westbrook ‘s season is just getting started but already his home an road splits strongly favor him pitching at home. He has been really bad on the road and is having a ton of trouble with baserunners. CHC is batting .278 at home, .287 versus right-handers, and .297 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4

Batter Grind Down

• Home Jake Westbrook has allowed left-handers to bat .348 versus him so load up on left-handed bats especially Anthony Rizzo. A super hot Alfonso Soriano who has produced 42.5 fp over the last 7 days is also playable. RG Stack Rating 6

• Away Matt Holliday, Matt Carpenter, and Allen Craig have all been hot for STL. STL as a team has a .306 BAA versus Jackson so the numbers are there for them. Yadier Molina, Matt Carpenter, Allen Craig, and Carlos Beltran have Batting averages over .300 versus right-handers. RG Stack Rating 6

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Milwaukee vs. Arizona

9:40 PM	Milwaukee – ROAD					Arizona – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.260	0.720	19.00%	0.56		0.260	0.718	18.40%	0.56
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.265	0.723	21.00%	0.42		0.262	0.728	19.20%	0.46
SP STATS	Gallardo – RHP					Miley – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.47	4.85	7.39	8.69		1.41	4.06	6.74	8.90
LAST 14 DAYS	2.46	10.38	9.00	5.00		1.19	1.31	7.13	12.40
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	MIL vs L		MIL BvP			ARI vs R		ARI BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 9

• Favored Team – ARI -145

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Wade Miley has been horrible at home this year but he has looked better in his last few starts. He pitched well against MIL the last time he faced them but the high OU scares me and MIL has had his number in the past. MIL is batting .248 on the road, .267 versus left-handers, and .252 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 3

• Away Yovani Gallardo got hit hard the last time he faced ARI. They are not special. The rest of the league has hit him pretty hard on the year also. I keep waiting for him to turn the corner but I am not jumping on board until I see some improvement. ARI is batting .254 at home, .258 versus right-handers, .258 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 2

Batter Grind Down

• Home Jason Kubel is 6-13 with 1 HR versus Gallardo. Paul Goldschmidt, and Wil Nieves have both been hot over the last 7 days. RG Stack Rating 6

• Away Ryan Braun is 2-5 with 2 HRs versus Miley. He is also batting .368 versus left-handers. Jonathan Lucroy, Carlos Gomez, and Jean Segura have all been hot over the last 7 days. MIL as a team is batting .373 versus Miley. RG Stack Rating 6

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Colorado vs. LA Dodgers

10:10 PM	Colorado – ROAD					LA Dodgers – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.269	0.763	19.40%	0.64		0.261	0.715	18.40%	0.55
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.263	0.727	18.70%	0.43		0.258	0.714	17.90%	0.43
SP STATS	Pomeranz – LHP					Capuano – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	2.59	9.72	7.78	3.05		1.46	5.19	6.92	5.83
LAST 14 DAYS	2.59	9.72	7.78	3.05		1.77	6.92	8.31	5.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	COL vs L		COL BvP			LAD vs L		LAD BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8

• Favored Team – LAD -160

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Chris Capuano has been horrible at home to start the year but based off of the OU and the line it looks like Vegas trust his credentials. I can’t point to any reason why but I think he pitches well tonight. I notice his price has dropped on most sites. If he can get back to being anywhere close to the pitcher he was then he is an absolute steal tonight for the price. RG Start-Ability 5

• Away The only real question about Drew Pomeranz is how much longer COL will allow him to get destroyed on the mound before the throw in the white towel. He has been bad at home. He has been bad on the road. LAD is batting .259 at home, .260 versus left-handers, and .305 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 1

Batter Grind Down

• Home Hanley Ramirez and Adrian Gonzalez have been super hot over the past 7 days. Puig is batting .410 versus left handed pitching. Pomeranz is pitching so bad everyone is playable. RG Stack Rating 9

• Away COL is batting .323 as a team versus Capuano. Michael Cuddyer has been hot and is hitting left-handers very well on the year. Carlos Gonzalez also has a batting average of above .300 versus left-handers. RG Stack Rating 5

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San Francisco vs. San Diego

10:10 PM	San Francisco – ROAD					San Diego – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.263	0.705	17.20%	0.53		0.246	0.694	20.80%	0.55
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.258	0.699	17.10%	0.41		0.255	0.724	19.90%	0.45
SP STATS	Bumgarner – LHP					Marquis – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	0.97	3.05	8.85	12.78		1.49	3.79	5.80	9.28
LAST 14 DAYS	0.76	2.14	8.14	14.33		2.10	4.86	6.11	6.07
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	SFG vs R		SFG BvP			SDP vs L		SDP BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7

• Favored Team – SFO -133

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home I cannot say anything bad about Jason Marquis. I cannot say anything good about him either. He has been a slightly above average pitcher on the year in all faucets. If you are not playing Bumgarner on a multiple pitcher site then he is worth a look if he is cheap enough. Outside of a value play, I’ll be avoiding him despite the low OU. RG Start-Ability 5

• Away Madison Bumgarner is SFO’s new ace…or at least for this year he is their new ace. Next year, he will not be able to find the strike zone because thats how it works out there. His numbers do not dip all that much on the road and he catches a SDG team that is batting much better lately but still not offensive power house. RG Start-Ability 8

Batter Grind Down

• Home Chris Denorfia and Carlos Quentin have great numbers versus Bumgarner if you are playing the fade. Chase Headley and Carlos Quentin have been hot for SDG. RG Stack Rating 1

• Away SFO has a .338 BAA versus Marqius. Hunter Pence ‘s 12-29 with 1 HR is the most impressive. The low OU seems ominous so I not digging to deep into a SFO team that is slumping. RG Stack Rating 2

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